Storm Coordination Message #1 – Major Winter Storm/Nor’easter Potential late Thursday Night 2/7/13 through Saturday Morning 2/9/13

Hello to all..

..Major Nor’easter becoming likely with significant impacts to Southern New England including Heavy Snowfall, minor to moderate coastal flooding and strong to damaging winds..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Thursday Night through Saturday Morning for Southern New Hampshire and Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west for at least 6″ or more of snow. Winter Storm Watches will likely be extended into parts of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts in future updates..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely for this poentially major Winter Storm centered around the Friday to Saturday Morning timeframe..

After several days of the international European or ‘Euro’ model hinting at a major storm, several other computer models including the GFS model are now also supporting a major winter storm for much of Southern New England. There are still a number of details that need to be worked out at this time. They are as follows:

1.) Track position of the storm. A difference of as little as 50 miles west or east could either push the heaviest snowfall further west into the interior if a further west track verifies or closer to the coast if the track is 50 miles further east.

2.) Potential mixed precipitation or period of rain at the coast. This will be determined by the track position as highlighted in factor 1.

A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Thursday Night through Saturday Morning for Southern New Hampshire and Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west for at least 6″ or more of snow. Winter Storm Watches will likely be extended into parts of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts in future updates.

Strong to Damaging winds will be possible particularly along East and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands, portions of Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and higher elevation interior locations of Northeast and Central Massachusetts Friday Evening. This may prompt wind or other headlines as we get closer to this major storm event.

Minor to Moderate coastal flooding will be possible on one to potentially two high tide cycles depending on the speed of the storm system. This may prompt Coastal flood headlines as we get closer to this major storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Friday into Saturday Morning. The next coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..Major Nor’easter becoming likely with significant impacts to Southern New England including Heavy Snowfall, minor to moderate coastal flooding and strong to damaging winds..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Thursday Night through Saturday Morning for Southern New Hampshire and Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west for at least 6″ or more of snow. Winter Storm Watches will likely be extended into parts of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts in future updates..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely for this poentially major Winter Storm centered around the Friday to Saturday Morning timeframe..

After several days of the international European or ‘Euro’ model hinting at a major storm, several other computer models including the GFS model are now also supporting a major winter storm for much of Southern New England. There are still a number of details that need to be worked out at this time. They are as follows:

1.) Track position of the storm. A difference of as little as 50 miles west or east could either push the heaviest snowfall further west into the interior if a further west track verifies or closer to the coast if the track is 50 miles further east.

2.) Potential mixed precipitation or period of rain at the coast. This will be determined by the track position as highlighted in factor 1.

A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Thursday Night through Saturday Morning for Southern New Hampshire and Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west for at least 6″ or more of snow. Winter Storm Watches will likely be extended into parts of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts in future updates.

Strong to Damaging winds will be possible particularly along East and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands, portions of Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and higher elevation interior locations of Northeast and Central Massachusetts Friday Evening. This may prompt wind or other headlines as we get closer to this major storm event.

Minor to Moderate coastal flooding will be possible on one to potentially two high tide cycles depending on the speed of the storm system. This may prompt Coastal flood headlines as we get closer to this major storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Friday into Saturday Morning. The next coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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