Storm Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 12/17/13 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Storm System On Track to Bring Accumulating Snow and a plowable snowfall to much of Southern New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 7 PM Tuesday for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5 inches of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to 8 PM Tuesday for Suffolk (Metro Boston Area), Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island except for Block Island Rhode Island for 3-5 inches of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to 11 PM Tuesday for Southern New Hampshire, Worcester, Middlesex, and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5 inches of snow..
..The potential continues to exist for a band of heavier snow greater than 5 inches somewhere in the Winter Weather Advisory area. At greatest risk are parts of Northeast and North-Central Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire though it could setup elsewhere within the advisory areas in Eastern New England..
..Over Cape Cod and the Islands, rain is expected to mix with the snow keeping amounts in the coating to 2 inch range..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm looking for snowfall reports throughout the day on Tuesday..

A storm system is moving into the area from the west and will intensify offshore of Southern New England. Snow has started in portions of Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut as of 830 AM.

The storm will bring a plowable snowfall and a general snow accumulation of 3-5″ to much of Southern New England. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for much of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands where a mix of snow and rain will keep amounts lower and in the coating to 2 inch range. The morning commute should not be impacted across most of the region though western areas are seeing the snow start near the end of the morning commute. The evening commute will see direct impact from this storm event with the heaviest snowfall likely between 3-8 PM across the region.

The uncertainties with this particular storm event will be how much moisture is associated with the system and when and how quickly the storm intensifies but a general 3-5 inch snowfall is still the most likely outcome currently though its noted models had higher precipitation amounts over portions of the area, particularly in Eastern New England. Models are continuing to hint at the potential for a heavier band of snow to setup within the general Winter Weather Advisory area. If this were to occur, it could create an area of snowfall greater than 5 inches somewhere within the advisory area. It is difficult to know the exact area of where this band may setup but current possibilities are over portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts and possibly other parts of Eastern New England. The timing of the heavier snow band formation is likely to be during and just after the evening commute.

It is noted that the snowfall graphic will show a more widespread 4-6″ snowfall versus the prior update. This is due to the fact the graphic will not allow for a 3-5″ range of snow totals. It only allows for 2-4″ or 4-6″ ranges. The most likely scenario is for 3-5″ with a band of potentially higher snowfall of greater than 5″ potentially in the Northeast Massachusetts/Southern New Hampshire region and possibly affecting other parts of Eastern New England.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized for this storm event looking for snowfall reports throughout the day. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Storm System On Track to Bring Accumulating Snow and a plowable snowfall to much of Southern New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 7 PM Tuesday for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5 inches of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to 8 PM Tuesday for Suffolk (Metro Boston Area), Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island except for Block Island Rhode Island for 3-5 inches of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to 11 PM Tuesday for Southern New Hampshire, Worcester, Middlesex, and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5 inches of snow..
..The potential continues to exist for a band of heavier snow greater than 5 inches somewhere in the Winter Weather Advisory area. At greatest risk are parts of Northeast and North-Central Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire though it could setup elsewhere within the advisory areas in Eastern New England..
..Over Cape Cod and the Islands, rain is expected to mix with the snow keeping amounts in the coating to 2 inch range..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm looking for snowfall reports throughout the day on Tuesday..

A storm system is moving into the area from the west and will intensify offshore of Southern New England. Snow has started in portions of Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut as of 830 AM.

The storm will bring a plowable snowfall and a general snow accumulation of 3-5″ to much of Southern New England. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for much of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands where a mix of snow and rain will keep amounts lower and in the coating to 2 inch range. The morning commute should not be impacted across most of the region though western areas are seeing the snow start near the end of the morning commute. The evening commute will see direct impact from this storm event with the heaviest snowfall likely between 3-8 PM across the region.

The uncertainties with this particular storm event will be how much moisture is associated with the system and when and how quickly the storm intensifies but a general 3-5 inch snowfall is still the most likely outcome currently though its noted models had higher precipitation amounts over portions of the area, particularly in Eastern New England. Models are continuing to hint at the potential for a heavier band of snow to setup within the general Winter Weather Advisory area. If this were to occur, it could create an area of snowfall greater than 5 inches somewhere within the advisory area. It is difficult to know the exact area of where this band may setup but current possibilities are over portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts and possibly other parts of Eastern New England. The timing of the heavier snow band formation is likely to be during and just after the evening commute.

It is noted that the snowfall graphic will show a more widespread 4-6″ snowfall versus the prior update. This is due to the fact the graphic will not allow for a 3-5″ range of snow totals. It only allows for 2-4″ or 4-6″ ranges. The most likely scenario is for 3-5″ with a band of potentially higher snowfall of greater than 5″ potentially in the Northeast Massachusetts/Southern New Hampshire region and possibly affecting other parts of Eastern New England.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized for this storm event looking for snowfall reports throughout the day. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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