January 2014 – Page 2

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Sunday Evening 1/5/14-Monday 1/6/14 Freezing Rain/Rain Event

January 5, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Temperatures will warm as a storm system and cold front approaches from the west tonight into Monday. Cold air will be tough to dislodge over parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area bringing the threat of freezing rain/freezing drizzle to parts of the region..
..A Freezing Rain Advisory remains in effect for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts through Midnight Sunday. A Freezing Rain Advisory remains in effect for Southern New Hampshire through 5 AM Monday. A Freezing Rain Advisory is in effect for Northern Connecticut and all of Rhode Island except for Block Island through 7 PM this evening. A trace to a few hundredths of an inch of ice is expected for this area. This is likely to make for slippery road conditions but should not cause much tree or wire damage though this will be monitored. Slippery road conditions have been reported in some of the freezing rain advisory area where freezing drizzle has occurred..
..The freezing rain will change to rain in the advisory areas overnight from south to north. Rainfall amounts of 1″ or less could occur Sunday Night to Monday Night across much of the region with this storm. This should not cause any widespread flooding issues but a few urban/poor drainage flood issues are possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor this storm event. This will be the last coordination message on this system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday Evening 1/5/14-Monday 1/6/14 Freezing Rain/Rain Event

January 4, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Temperatures will warm as a storm system and cold front approaches from the west later Sunday into Monday. Cold air will be tough to dislodge in northwest parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area bringing the threat of freezing rain to parts of the region..
..A Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Franklin, Western Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts from 4 PM-Midnight Sunday. A Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire from 4 PM Sunday to 5 AM Monday. A trace to a tenth of an inch of ice is expected for this area. This is likely to make for slippery road conditions but should not cause much tree or wire damage though this will be monitored..
..The freezing rain will change to rain in the advisory areas overnight. Rainfall amounts of around 1″ could occur Sunday Night to Monday Night across much of the region with this storm. This should not cause any widespread flooding issues but a few urban/poor drainage flood issues are possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Blizzard/Storm Coordination Message #5 – Thursday 1/2/14-Friday 1/3/14 Coastal Storm Event

January 2, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm on track to impact Southern New England Thursday into Friday. Light Snows affecting most of the region now and will be intermittent through the day, steadiest north of the Massachusetts Turnpike. The peak of the storm and the worst conditions is still expected Thursday Night into Friday Morning..
..The coastal storm has the potential to bring heavy snow region wide with blizzard conditions in Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and near blizzard conditions to other parts of east and south coastal Massachusetts, strong winds near and at the coast and minor to moderate coastal flooding to East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands with the potential for more significant coastal flooding during the Friday midday high tide..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect through 11 AM Friday Morning for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod. Total snowfall of 10-14″ with isolated higher amounts are expected along with winds sustained at 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH likely..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for the remainder of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area through 10 AM Friday. A widespread 6-14″ snowfall is expected with isolated higher amounts over portions of East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts. Near Blizzard conditions are likely along portions of the Eastern Massachusetts coast line with sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible later Thursday Night into Friday Morning. In the interior, winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH are possible later Thursday Night into Friday Morning..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 10 AM-4 PM Thursday for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands. A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect for East Costal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands from Thursday Evening through Friday Afternoon timeframe for the potential of widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides late night Thursday and midday Friday. Coastal flooding for the midday Friday high tide is of particular concern for more significant moderate to possibly isolated pockets of major coastal flooding especially south of Boston through Cape Cod and the Islands..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor storm conditions and gather snowfall reports and reports on the Thursday midday high tide in East Coastal Massachusetts during the morning and afternoon hours Thursday. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will start at 5 PM Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN Operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well..
..Pictures of damage, coastal flooding, and the snowfall are appreciated. They can be sent over our Facebook/Twitter feeds or sent to pics@nsradio.org and will provide the National Weather Service, emergency management, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and media situational awareness information. As always, credit will be given to the spotter for the information unless the spotter indicates otherwise..

As of 845 AM, much of the region has seen light snow with snow accumulations ranging from a dusting to 2″ across the area. Light snow will continue especially in areas along and north of the Mass. Pike with another 1-2″ possible. South of the Mass. Pike, light snow and flurries will be more intermittent through the day with another inch of snow possible. As we get into Thursday Night, steadier and heavier snow will move into the region and last into early Friday Morning and its during this timeframe where the worst of the heavy snowfall and strong winds will occur. There has been no change to snowfall forecasts with a widespread 6-14″ of snow likely. The heaviest amounts of snow and isolated higher amounts greater than 14″ are possible over East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts and Cape Cod.

A Blizzard Warning is now in effect through 11 AM Friday Morning for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod. This area has the most likely chance of seeing blizzard criteria defined as sustained or frequent winds of 35 mph or higher with considerable falling and/or blowing snow that frequently reduces visibility to 1/4 of a mile or less for at least a 3 hour period. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 10 AM for the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Near Blizzard conditions could still occur across other parts of East and South Coastal Massachusetts Thursday Night into Friday. While blizzard to near blizzard conditions will be likely due to the strong winds and heavy snow along the coast, the snow is still right now expected to be a lighter and fluffier snow and winds are still not expected to be as strong as the February 2013 blizzard. Isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages will be possible along the Eastern Massachusetts coast line and Cape Cod and the Islands but the extent of any damage from a wind perspective is still right now expected to be less than the February 2013 blizzard. This will continue to be monitored. Like with any larger storm, it is always good to be prepared and have any battery operated and generator equipment prepared just in case and if its not needed, you will be better prepared for the next major storm.

A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 10 AM-4 PM Thursday for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide. A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for Thursday Evening through Friday Afternoon for the potential of widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides late night Thursday and midday Friday. Tides are astronomically high and this coupled with a long period of onshore winds will create the threat of minor to moderate coastal flooding. If the storm were to slow down over the course of Friday, the midday Friday high tide could have the highest concerns for more significant coastal flooding meaning the potential for isolated pockets of major coastal flooding and a widespread moderate coastal flood event particularly south of Boston along East Coastal Massachusetts and this will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor storm conditions and gather snowfall reports and reports on the Thursday midday high tide in East Coastal Massachusetts during the morning and afternoon hours Thursday. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will start at 5 PM Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN Operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well. Pictures of damage, coastal flooding, and the snowfall are appreciated. They can be sent over our Facebook/Twitter feeds or sent to pics@nsradio.org and will provide the National Weather Service, emergency management, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and media situational awareness information. As always, credit will be given to the spotter for the information unless the spotter indicates otherwise. This will be the last coordination message as we move into operations mode. Below are the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory/Warning Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory/Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Thursday 1/2/14-Friday 1/3/14 Potential Coastal Storm Event

January 2, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Happy New Year to all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators..
..Strong Coastal Storm taking aim on Southern New England Thursday into Friday. The peak of the storm and the worst conditions is still expected Thursday Night into Friday Morning. The coastal storm has the potential to bring heavy snow region wide with near blizzard conditions at the coast, strong winds near and at the coast and minor to moderate coastal flooding to East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands with the potential for more significant coastal flooding during the Friday midday high tide..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area from 4 AM Thursday to 10 AM Friday. A widespread 8-14″ snowfall is expected with isolated higher amounts over portions of East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod. Across Martha’s Vineyard, Nantucket and Block Island Rhode Island, 6-10″ of snow is expected. Near Blizzard conditions are likely along portions of the Eastern Massachusetts coast line with sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible later Thursday Night into Friday Morning. In the interior, winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH are possible later Thursday Night into Friday Morning..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 10 AM-4 PM Thursday for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands. A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for East Costal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands from Thursday Evening through Friday Afternoon for the potential of widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides late night Thursday and midday Friday. Coastal flooding for the midday Friday high tide is of particular concern for more significant moderate to possibly major coastal flooding especially south of Boston through Cape Cod and the Islands..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor storm conditions and gather snowfall reports and reports on the Thursday midday high tide in East Coastal Massachusetts during the morning and afternoon hours Thursday. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will start at 5 PM Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN Operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well..

Confidence continues to grow in a widespread heavy snowfall across Southern New England Thursday into Friday with Winter Storm Warnings now in effect for the entire region. Snow will begin Thursday Morning. At first snow will be steadiest north of the Mass. Pike during the day with accumulations of 2-5″ by Thursday Evening. South of the Mass. Pike, there will be some snow during the day but there could be a lull during the late morning and afternoon hours with 1-3″ of snow accumulation. As we get into Thursday Night, steadier and heavier snow will move into the region and last into early Friday Morning and its during this timeframe where near blizzard conditions could occur along East Coastal and South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands before becoming more intermittent and ending later Friday Morning into the afternoon. By the time the storm winds down midday Friday, total snowfall of 8-14 is expected pretty much across the entire region with isolated higher amounts in East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts and Cape Cod. Across the islands of Block Island Rhode Island, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket, 6-10″ of snow is expected.

As mentioned above, near Blizzard conditions are possible along portions of the Eastern Massachusetts coast line including Cape Cod and the Islands as sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH will be possible. Inland, winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts of 30 MPH are possible. While near blizzard conditions will be possible due to the strong winds and heavy snow along the coast, the snow is still right now expected to be a lighter and fluffier snow and winds are still not expected to be as strong as the February 2013 blizzard. Isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages will be possible along the Eastern Massachusetts coast line and Cape Cod and the Islands but the extent of any damage from a wind perspective is still right now expected to be less than the February 2013 blizzard. This will continue to be monitored and its possible some areas may actually reach blizzard criteria defined as sustained or frequent winds of 35 mph or higher with considerable falling and/or blowing snow that frequently reduces visibility to 1/4 of a mile or less for at least a 3 hour period. Like with any larger storm, it is always good to be prepared and have any battery operated and generator equipment prepared just in case and if its not needed, you will be better prepared for the next major storm.

A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 10 AM-4 PM Thursday for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide. A Coastal Flood Watch remains effect for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for Thursday Evening through Friday Afternoon for the potential of widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides late night Thursday and midday Friday. Tides are astronomically high and this coupled with a long period of onshore winds will create the threat of minor to moderate coastal flooding. If the storm were to slow down over the course of Friday, the midday Friday high tide could have the highest concerns for more significant coastal flooding meaning the potential for major coastal flooding and a widespread moderate coastal flood event particularly south of Boston along East Coastal Massachusetts and this will be monitored.

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Thursday 1/2/14-Friday 1/3/14 Potential Coastal Storm Event

January 1, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

Overnight, some computer models have trended a bit stronger with a similar track as prior runs with the strong coastal storm taking aim on Southern New England. A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area for late tonight through Friday Morning. The headlines depict the potential scenario at hand and snowfall amounts. It is noted that on Thursday, along and south of the Mass. Pike, there may be an initial burst of snow and then a lull before conditions deteriorate Thursday Night. North of the Mass. Pike there could be an extended period of steady snow before it becomes heavier Thursday Night.

Near Blizzard conditions are possible along portions of the Eastern Massachusetts coast line including Cape Cod and the Islands as sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH will be possible. Inland, winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts of 30 MPH are possible. While near blizzard conditions will be possible due to the strong winds and heavy snow along the coast, the snow is still right now expected to be a lighter and fluffier snow and winds are still not expected to be as strong as the February 2013 blizzard. Isolated pockets of tree and wire damage will be possible along the Eastern Massachusetts coast line and Cape Cod and the Islands but the extent of any damage from a wind perspective is still right now expected to be less than the February 2013 blizzard. This will continue to be monitored. Like with any larger storm, it is always good to be prepared and have any battery operated and generator equipment prepared just in case and if its not needed, you will be better prepared for the next major storm.

A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands from Thursday Morning through Friday Afternoon for the potential of minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides midday Thursday, late night Thursday and midday Friday. Tides are astronomically high and this coupled with a long period of onshore winds will create the threat of minor to moderate coastal flooding. If the storm were to slow down over the course of Friday, the midday Friday high tide could have the highest concerns for more significant coastal flooding and this will be monitored.

As mentioned in the prior coordination message, during and after the storm passes, bitterly cold air will affect the region later Thursday Night through Saturday and into Sunday. It will be the coldest air of the winter season to date. This could have an impact on schools or other buildings where heat has been turned down for school vacation weeks where vacations extend into the Thursday/Friday period or other reasons. It is advised to raise heat in these buildings where needed to avoid frozen/bursting pipes in various buildings. Also, portable space heaters should be properly maintained to avoid any overheating and fire issues.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely some time on Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well. The next coordination message will be posted by 10 PM this evening. Below are the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Special Weather Statement for the Bitter Cold conditions, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement on Bitter Cold Conditions:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

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