Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday Night 3/25/14-Wednesday 3/26/14 Winter Storm Event
Hello to all..
..Strong Coastal Storm/Nor’easter to potentially impact portions of Southern New England, particularly Southeast New England, Tuesday Night into Wednesday. Exact specific impacts remain uncertain as well as northern and western extent of most potent impacts but the potential exist for Heavy Snow, Strong to Damaging Winds Tuesday Night into Wednesday for portions of Southeast New England and Minor to Moderate Coastal Flooding at the time of the Wednesday Morning High Tide on north and east facing coastal areas of Cape Cod, Nantucket and possibly other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Tuesday Night into Wednesday..
Computer models have indicated for several days a powerful coastal storm/nor’easter system will organize off the North Carolina coast and then move northeastward to near or southeast of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. The exact track of the storm system will determine the level and extent of impact across the NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Models have been fairly consistent with the primary impacts focused on Southeast New England including Cape Cod and the Islands and South Coastal Massachusetts from Southeast Plymouth County through Southern Bristol County with heavy snow (potentially more than 6″) and the potential for strong to damaging winds with the potential of minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of the Wednesday Morning High Tide on north and east facing coastal areas of Cape Cod, Nantucket and possibly other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts. Secondary impacts for a moderate snowfall and strong winds cover much of Southeast Massachusetts as well as East Coastal Massachusetts through Boston and the North Shore. A lighter snowfall is possible elsewhere in Southern New England.
As we have seen all winter with our storm systems that are more offshore, there is likely going to be a sharp cutoff between light snow and the heavier snowfall and strong to damaging wind threat. Future model runs should assist with delineating this line. A track difference of just 50-100 miles could vary the impact over the area significantly with a 50-100 mile westward shift meaning a greater impact in Eastern New England including South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands while a shift 50-100 miles eastward could mean lesser impacts and the worst conditions over Cape Cod and Nantucket Island.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Tuesday Night into Wednesday. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Probabilities Maps:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Snowfall Probability Maps:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all..
..Strong Coastal Storm/Nor’easter to potentially impact portions of Southern New England, particularly Southeast New England, Tuesday Night into Wednesday. Exact specific impacts remain uncertain as well as northern and western extent of most potent impacts but the potential exist for Heavy Snow, Strong to Damaging Winds Tuesday Night into Wednesday for portions of Southeast New England and Minor to Moderate Coastal Flooding at the time of the Wednesday Morning High Tide on north and east facing coastal areas of Cape Cod, Nantucket and possibly other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Tuesday Night into Wednesday..
Computer models have indicated for several days a powerful coastal storm/nor’easter system will organize off the North Carolina coast and then move northeastward to near or southeast of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. The exact track of the storm system will determine the level and extent of impact across the NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Models have been fairly consistent with the primary impacts focused on Southeast New England including Cape Cod and the Islands and South Coastal Massachusetts from Southeast Plymouth County through Southern Bristol County with heavy snow (potentially more than 6″) and the potential for strong to damaging winds with the potential of minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of the Wednesday Morning High Tide on north and east facing coastal areas of Cape Cod, Nantucket and possibly other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts. Secondary impacts for a moderate snowfall and strong winds cover much of Southeast Massachusetts as well as East Coastal Massachusetts through Boston and the North Shore. A lighter snowfall is possible elsewhere in Southern New England.
As we have seen all winter with our storm systems that are more offshore, there is likely going to be a sharp cutoff between light snow and the heavier snowfall and strong to damaging wind threat. Future model runs should assist with delineating this line. A track difference of just 50-100 miles could vary the impact over the area significantly with a 50-100 mile westward shift meaning a greater impact in Eastern New England including South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands while a shift 50-100 miles eastward could mean lesser impacts and the worst conditions over Cape Cod and Nantucket Island.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Tuesday Night into Wednesday. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Probabilities Maps:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Snowfall Probability Maps:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box