Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 6/25/14 and Thursday 6/26/14 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Possibly Severe Thunderstorms are possible Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts, and Western Connecticut. Strong to Damaging Winds and Heavy Downpours resulting in urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..Another round of isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms are possible from midday Thursday into Thursday Evening across much of interior Southern New England with a focus across Central and Eastern New England. Again, Strong to Damaging Winds and Heavy Downpours resulting in urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Wednesday and Thursday. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible on both days.
A Warm Front will pass through the area tonight. This will set the stage for warmer and more humid conditions for Wednesday and Thursday with a cold front approaching from the north and west and this will lead to the potential for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Possibly Severe Thunderstorms for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut and for much of interior Southern New England particularly central and Eastern New England midday Thursday into Thursday Evening. Strong to damaging winds and heavy downpours resulting in urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats.
For Wednesday, the severe weather potential for Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut will be determined by the position of the cold front and the amount of mid-level dry air that affects any potential strong to severe thunderstorm development. There should be sufficient heating and destabilization over this area but the cold front could be further north and west limiting the threat or limiting the threat to Wednesday Evening resulting in more of a potential heavy rain, urban and poor drainage and flash flood type of an event. This will be monitored as we get into Wednesday Morning.
For Thursday, the cold front will move through the region and it will be a similar setup to Wednesday but covering much of interior Southern New England and maybe more of a heavy rainfall and potential urban and poor drainage and flash flood issue as cloud cover may limit destabilization for any kind of severe thunderstorm development but if sufficient destabilization can occur isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms would be possible.
Looking ahead to Friday through Sunday, the annual American Radio Relay League (ARRL) Amateur Radio Field Day weekend, initial indications are for a sunny and gorgeous weekend with little to no threat for thunderstorms and also low humidity. Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Messages will likely be issued Thursday Evening and Friday and if no significant weather threat for thunderstorms exists, there will be no need to issue any over the weekend.
SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Wednesday and Thursday. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible on both days. The next coordination message will be issued by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-2 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1406241732.acus02.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Possibly Severe Thunderstorms are possible Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts, and Western Connecticut. Strong to Damaging Winds and Heavy Downpours resulting in urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..Another round of isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms are possible from midday Thursday into Thursday Evening across much of interior Southern New England with a focus across Central and Eastern New England. Again, Strong to Damaging Winds and Heavy Downpours resulting in urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Wednesday and Thursday. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible on both days.
A Warm Front will pass through the area tonight. This will set the stage for warmer and more humid conditions for Wednesday and Thursday with a cold front approaching from the north and west and this will lead to the potential for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Possibly Severe Thunderstorms for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut and for much of interior Southern New England particularly central and Eastern New England midday Thursday into Thursday Evening. Strong to damaging winds and heavy downpours resulting in urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats.
For Wednesday, the severe weather potential for Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut will be determined by the position of the cold front and the amount of mid-level dry air that affects any potential strong to severe thunderstorm development. There should be sufficient heating and destabilization over this area but the cold front could be further north and west limiting the threat or limiting the threat to Wednesday Evening resulting in more of a potential heavy rain, urban and poor drainage and flash flood type of an event. This will be monitored as we get into Wednesday Morning.
For Thursday, the cold front will move through the region and it will be a similar setup to Wednesday but covering much of interior Southern New England and maybe more of a heavy rainfall and potential urban and poor drainage and flash flood issue as cloud cover may limit destabilization for any kind of severe thunderstorm development but if sufficient destabilization can occur isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms would be possible.
Looking ahead to Friday through Sunday, the annual American Radio Relay League (ARRL) Amateur Radio Field Day weekend, initial indications are for a sunny and gorgeous weekend with little to no threat for thunderstorms and also low humidity. Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Messages will likely be issued Thursday Evening and Friday and if no significant weather threat for thunderstorms exists, there will be no need to issue any over the weekend.
SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Wednesday and Thursday. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible on both days. The next coordination message will be issued by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-2 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1406241732.acus02.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box