Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 7/7/16 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms likely across much of interior Southern New England from midday through early evening Thursday. Heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats with a secondary threat for strong to damaging winds and hail..
..Threat remains contingent on a trigger in the atmosphere to set off high instability induced from intense heat and humidity over the area and the ability of the high instability over the area to overcome what is still currently expected to be weak levels of wind shear in the atmosphere..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by Noon Thursday..
Intense heat and humidity coupled with an impulse in the atmosphere will lead to isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms over much of interior Southern New England today. While wind shear profiles are weak, high levels of instability in the atmosphere, forcing from the impulse and the winds that are available should be sufficient for strong thunderstorm activity with heavy rainfall having the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the main threats with a secondary threat for hail and strong to damaging winds in the strongest storms. The threat timeframe is after noon today lasting through early evening. Key items for any strong to severe thunderstorm potential is that the impulse in the atmosphere tracks into Southern New England at the time of peak heating as currently expected and that the impulse coupled with high instability can overcome weak winds aloft for strong to possibly isolated severe thunderstorm development.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by Noon today. This will be the last coordination message on today’s severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms likely across much of interior Southern New England from midday through early evening Thursday. Heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats with a secondary threat for strong to damaging winds and hail..
..Threat remains contingent on a trigger in the atmosphere to set off high instability induced from intense heat and humidity over the area and the ability of the high instability over the area to overcome what is still currently expected to be weak levels of wind shear in the atmosphere..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by Noon Thursday..
Intense heat and humidity coupled with an impulse in the atmosphere will lead to isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms over much of interior Southern New England today. While wind shear profiles are weak, high levels of instability in the atmosphere, forcing from the impulse and the winds that are available should be sufficient for strong thunderstorm activity with heavy rainfall having the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the main threats with a secondary threat for hail and strong to damaging winds in the strongest storms. The threat timeframe is after noon today lasting through early evening. Key items for any strong to severe thunderstorm potential is that the impulse in the atmosphere tracks into Southern New England at the time of peak heating as currently expected and that the impulse coupled with high instability can overcome weak winds aloft for strong to possibly isolated severe thunderstorm development.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by Noon today. This will be the last coordination message on today’s severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box