Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday 9/14/16 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible to likely today as a brief return to heat and humidity will occur ahead of a strong cold front which will bring Fall weather into the region. Strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall potentially leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats with hail as a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a Marginal risk of severe weather for much of Southern New England. Timeframe for potential severe weather is between 2-8 PM EDT..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT..

Heat and humidity will return on Wednesday for one day ahead of a strong cold front that will swing through the region. Model forecasts are not much different than they were last night. Wind shear profiles will be sufficient of severe weather. Instability and moisture levels maybe sufficient to allow for an isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm episode. This is a typical high wind shear, low instability environment typical of the region transitioning to the fall weather season. The extent of any isolated strong to severe thunderstorm development will be the level of moisture and instability that develops as the cold front approaches to tap into the strong wind shear provided by the front. SPC has continued a marginal risk for severe weather for much of Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Wednesday. This will be the last coordination message on this severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible to likely today as a brief return to heat and humidity will occur ahead of a strong cold front which will bring Fall weather into the region. Strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall potentially leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats with hail as a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a Marginal risk of severe weather for much of Southern New England. Timeframe for potential severe weather is between 2-8 PM EDT..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT..

Heat and humidity will return on Wednesday for one day ahead of a strong cold front that will swing through the region. Model forecasts are not much different than they were last night. Wind shear profiles will be sufficient of severe weather. Instability and moisture levels maybe sufficient to allow for an isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm episode. This is a typical high wind shear, low instability environment typical of the region transitioning to the fall weather season. The extent of any isolated strong to severe thunderstorm development will be the level of moisture and instability that develops as the cold front approaches to tap into the strong wind shear provided by the front. SPC has continued a marginal risk for severe weather for much of Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Wednesday. This will be the last coordination message on this severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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