Storm Coordination Message #1 – Friday 3/31/17-Saturday 4/1/17 Winter Storm Potential
Hello to all…
..Winter is not over yet in Southern New England as a winter storm system will affect portions of Southern New England Friday Morning into Saturday Afternoon. Exact snow and/or ice amounts are uncertain..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for either 6″ or more of snow or the potential for significant sleet and/or freezing rain accumulations..
..Outside of the Winter Storm Watch area, some snow and/or ice accumulation is possible away from coastal areas but the extent is uncertain and at this time, are expected to be below Winter Storm Watch/Warning amounts. This will be monitored as we get closer to the storm event as things could change..
..Strong Winds will be possible later Friday Night and Saturday in the coastal plain with the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide Saturday Morning and Saturday Afternoon..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Friday into Saturday depending on the evolution of this winter storm system..
Winter is not quite done with Southern New England. Another winter storm system will likely affect portions of Southern New England Friday Morning into Saturday Afternoon. The headlines reflect current thinking and we are still 36-48 hours from the storm event so much could change. Key factors for this storm system:
1.) Exact track and intensity of the storm system. The storm is currently expected to track south of New England as an intensifying coastal storm and its exact track and intensity will affect amount of cold air available, rain/ice/snow line, strength of winds at the coast and precipitation amounts. Some models bring more warm air into the storm system than others for more ice in the interior and rain at the coast while other models imply colder air and more potential for wet snow. Amount of cold air, storm track and intensity will affect the rain/snow line and the amounts of snow and ice.
2.) Timing of heavy precipitation. This is currently expected to be in the later afternoon and evening hours Friday into Saturday Morning which may allow for better snow and ice accumulation. If any one type of precipitation is heavy enough (wet snow or ice accumulation), this could potentially cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages.
3.) Uncertainty is higher than normal given spread in model guidance on storm track and cold air along with the high sun angle of March and impact on precipitation type. The uncertainty should gradually reduce as we get closer to the storm event.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Friday into Saturday depending on the evolution of this winter storm system. Another coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all…
..Winter is not over yet in Southern New England as a winter storm system will affect portions of Southern New England Friday Morning into Saturday Afternoon. Exact snow and/or ice amounts are uncertain..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for either 6″ or more of snow or the potential for significant sleet and/or freezing rain accumulations..
..Outside of the Winter Storm Watch area, some snow and/or ice accumulation is possible away from coastal areas but the extent is uncertain and at this time, are expected to be below Winter Storm Watch/Warning amounts. This will be monitored as we get closer to the storm event as things could change..
..Strong Winds will be possible later Friday Night and Saturday in the coastal plain with the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide Saturday Morning and Saturday Afternoon..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Friday into Saturday depending on the evolution of this winter storm system..
Winter is not quite done with Southern New England. Another winter storm system will likely affect portions of Southern New England Friday Morning into Saturday Afternoon. The headlines reflect current thinking and we are still 36-48 hours from the storm event so much could change. Key factors for this storm system:
1.) Exact track and intensity of the storm system. The storm is currently expected to track south of New England as an intensifying coastal storm and its exact track and intensity will affect amount of cold air available, rain/ice/snow line, strength of winds at the coast and precipitation amounts. Some models bring more warm air into the storm system than others for more ice in the interior and rain at the coast while other models imply colder air and more potential for wet snow. Amount of cold air, storm track and intensity will affect the rain/snow line and the amounts of snow and ice.
2.) Timing of heavy precipitation. This is currently expected to be in the later afternoon and evening hours Friday into Saturday Morning which may allow for better snow and ice accumulation. If any one type of precipitation is heavy enough (wet snow or ice accumulation), this could potentially cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages.
3.) Uncertainty is higher than normal given spread in model guidance on storm track and cold air along with the high sun angle of March and impact on precipitation type. The uncertainty should gradually reduce as we get closer to the storm event.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Friday into Saturday depending on the evolution of this winter storm system. Another coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box