Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 6/13/17 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Intense Heat and Humidity today with a Heat Advisory now in effect through 600 PM EDT for Western Essex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts will give way to a cold front sweeping through this afternoon and evening and severe weather potential followed by cooler temperatures for the second half of this week..
..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible to likely across portions of Southern New England Tuesday anytime from around 12-1 PM through 9 PM EDT. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued the region in a marginal risk for severe weather for Tuesday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence around Noon-1 PM EDT to monitor severe weather potential..

Tuesday will mark the end of a string of hot and humid days as a cold front will move south over the region during the day on Tuesday. Instability will be quite high with sufficient heating and destabilization commencing across the area starting in the morning. The cold frontal timing is now expected to be a bit later and optimal in allowing for max destabilization of the atmosphere with the cold front moving through the region in the mid-afternoon through early evening timeframe from north-northwest to south-southeast. Wind shear profiles are marginal but will increase over the course of the day as the front moves through the region. This should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall. SPC has the region in a marginal risk for severe weather.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence around Noon-1 PM EDT to monitor severe weather potential. This will be the last coordination message on this severe weather potential as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Heat Advisory Statement and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Heat Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


Hello to all…

..Intense Heat and Humidity today with a Heat Advisory now in effect through 600 PM EDT for Western Essex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts will give way to a cold front sweeping through this afternoon and evening and severe weather potential followed by cooler temperatures for the second half of this week..
..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible to likely across portions of Southern New England Tuesday anytime from around 12-1 PM through 9 PM EDT. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued the region in a marginal risk for severe weather for Tuesday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence around Noon-1 PM EDT to monitor severe weather potential..

Tuesday will mark the end of a string of hot and humid days as a cold front will move south over the region during the day on Tuesday. Instability will be quite high with sufficient heating and destabilization commencing across the area starting in the morning. The cold frontal timing is now expected to be a bit later and optimal in allowing for max destabilization of the atmosphere with the cold front moving through the region in the mid-afternoon through early evening timeframe from north-northwest to south-southeast. Wind shear profiles are marginal but will increase over the course of the day as the front moves through the region. This should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall. SPC has the region in a marginal risk for severe weather.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence around Noon-1 PM EDT to monitor severe weather potential. This will be the last coordination message on this severe weather potential as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Heat Advisory Statement and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Heat Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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