Storm Coordination Message #1 – Friday Afternoon 11/26/21-Saturday Morning 11/27/21 – Light Snowfall Event

Hello to all…

..On behalf of the WX1BOX Amateur Radio team and the forecasters of NWS Boston/Norton, we hope all Amateur Radio and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters had a great Thanksgiving day and we are forever grateful to all of you for your help and support during severe weather events around the region. Many thanks to all of you for all your help and support every year!..
..A dynamic storm system will result in rain changing to snow in the higher elevations with some accumulations expected in those areas while in the lower elevations rain may change to snow before ending with little to no accumulation. Snow is now being reported in Berkshire County Massachusetts and into locations like Rowe Massachusetts in Northwest Franklin County Massachusetts.
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 1 PM Friday Afternoon to 6 AM Saturday Morning for Western Franklin County Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and 40 MPH wind gusts. Areas of Western Hampshire County Massachusetts and Northern Worcester County could receive 1-3″ of snow while lower elevations in these areas and other parts of Northeast Massachusetts will receive a light coating to no accumulation..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports and any wind gust reports of 40 MPH or greater in the region tonight through Saturday Morning. This will be the only coordination message on this storm system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion, and Snowfall Map..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Post Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Saturday 11/13/21 Severe Weather Outbreak

Hello to all…

..Rare November Severe Weather Outbreak hits Southern New England. 3 Tornadoes affected the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area in Connecticut and Rhode Island. It is also worth noting that in NWS Brookhaven New York’s coverage area, 8 tornadoes occurred, 6 in New York and 2 in Connecticut and brings the total tornadoes for Saturday November 13th to 11 tornadoes across Southern New York and Southern New England..
..A hearty thank you to all Amateur Radio and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN spotters who provided robust support on post storm damage and hail reports, pictures and videos. If there are any further post Storm damage and hail reports, pictures, videos, including approximate time of damage or hail, town and street location, they can be sent to our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org..

A rare November severe weather outbreak which included tornadoes impacted Southern New England on Saturday November 13th, 2021. To put this event in context, the event is rare but not totally unprecedented. Here are some facts and figures to put this event in perspective as provided by NWS Boston/Norton:

Since 1950, there have been no tornadoes ever recorded in the month of November in Connecticut and Rhode Island until November 13th, 2021. In the state of Massachusetts, tornadoes were recorded in November and December on the following dates:

November 21, 1956 in Worcester Co, Essex Co, and Norfolk Co;
November 18, 1967 in Plymouth Co;
November 7, 1971 in Worcester Co and Middlesex Co;

Other notable out of season tornadoes also include:
December 18, 1951 on Marthas Vineyard
December 18, 1956 in Essex Co (near Middleton)

Also noteworthy is the Goshen and South Ashfield tornadoes on February 25, 2017 which were the first ever recorded tornadoes in Massachusetts in the month of February.

This event was caused by a strong cold front and low pressure system that had very cold mid-level temperatures along with strong winds aloft that compensated for an environment that was not particularly stable across the entire atmosphere due to lower dewpoints and temperatures that were in the upper 40s and 50s. This set the stage for strong to severe thunderstorms that produced, damaging winds, hail and several tornadoes. A reasonable example of an event that was similar in more recent times is the October 23rd, 2018 severe weather outbreak where 4 tornadoes occurred in the NWS Boston/Norton coverage area with many hail reports and some straightline wind damage reports. This was also a rare event but not unprecedented.

The tornadoes in many cases were on the ground briefly and they were EF0 to EF1 tornadoes that occurred in the region. There were also pockets of straightline wind damage and stronger wind gusts in several areas with a 69 MPH measured wind gust at the Chappy Ferry Point in Edgartown, MA, 59 MPH at Fairhaven – West Island, 55 MPH at TF Green State Airport in Warwick, RI, 54 MPH at Bradley International Airport in Windsor Locks, CT and 51 MPH Gust at Brainard Airport in Hartford, CT.

In our coverage area, there were preliminary Amateur Radio and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN reports of storm damage under every tornado path along with general pockets of wind damage in severe thunderstorms also reported SKYWARN. These reports along with the later storm photos and videos helped to provide ground truth during the event and support to allow for rapid storm surveying of the area to show the three tornado paths that occurred. We are very grateful for all the help and support of our community of spotters for their support during this severe weather outbreak.

We may post one more post severe weather coordination message with any final updates and information. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report, Public Information Statement on the damage surveys, a NWS summary graphic on the Tornadoes in New York and New England, an updated raw Amateur Radio Log of storm damage reports and hail reports and the WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album of storm damage from this event:

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/LSR_11_13_21.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement – Storm Surveys of Tornadoes:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/PNS_11_13_21_NWS_Norton_Tornado_Surveys.pdf

NWS Brookhaven NY Public Information Statement – Storm Survey of Tornadoes:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/PNS_11_13_21_NWS_Brookhaven_Tornado_Surveys.pdf

NWS Tornado Graphic Summary of 11/13/21 Severe Weather Outbreak:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/NWS_Tornado_11_13_21_graphic.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton Amateur Radio Storm Log – Revision 2:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/reports_11_13_21_rev_2.pdf

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album:
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?vanity=wx1box&set=a.5003397166360928

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Post Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday 11/13/21 Severe Weather Outbreak

Hello to all…

..Rare November Severe Weather Outbreak hits Southern New England. Hardest hit areas are across portions of Connecticut and Rhode Island with some isolated pockets of wind damage in portions of Southwest, South-Central and Southeast Massachusetts. Numerous reports of small hail in addition to pockets of wind damage. some significant, occurred across Southern New England..
..Storm surveys are planned for Rhode Island to initially include Coventry, Scituate, and Kingston RI but could cover other parts of Rhode Island..
..Post Storm damage and hail reports, pictures, videos, including approximate time of damage or hail, town and street location would be helpful for storm surveys that are occurring today. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report, Public Information Statement on the damage surveys and the raw Amateur Radio Log of storm damage reports and hail reports that will likely be added to later today. Will post another post severe weather coordination message later tonight or on Monday Morning..

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report:
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/2111140047.nwus51.html

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement – Storm Surveys for today:
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/2111140149.nous41.html

NWS Boston/Norton Amateur Radio Storm Log – Revision 1:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/WX1BOX_Amateur_Radio_Log_Reports_11_13_21_Rev_1-1.pdf

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday 11/13/21 Severe Weather and Strong Wind Gust Potential

Hello to all…

..Another strong cold front will bring a period of strong winds and the potential for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with the potential for strong to damaging winds, hail, brief heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and at least some lightning as the primary threats with an isolated tornado as a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has much of Connecticut, Southwest and South-Central Massachusetts and North-Central Rhode Island in a slight risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather over the rest of Southern New England..
..A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is now in effect through 700 PM EDT for Connecticut and Rhode Island and adjacent areas of Massachusetts should monitor closely..
..Strong Wind Gusts of around 40 MPH or likely later tonight into early Sunday Morning after the front and any thunderstorms passes through the region. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather and strong wind potential for Saturday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only coordination message on this severe weather potential as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch Statement and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch Statement:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0549.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Friday 11/12/21 Heavy Rainfall/Strong Wind/Isolated Severe Thunderstorm Potential

Hello to all…

..A strong cold front will bring a period of brief heavy rainfall with a quick 1-2″ of rain, strong wind gusts of 35-50 MPH with isolated higher gusts at the coast, and the possibility for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds as the primary threat and even an isolated tornado as a secondary threat Friday Morning through early Friday Evening. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued Connecticut, Rhode Island, Southwest, South-Central and Southeast Massachusetts in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect through 7 PM Friday Evening for Eastern Essex, Bristol, Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes, Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts, Eastern Kent, Washington, Bristol and Newport Counties Rhode Island for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH likely. These winds with a number of trees still having leaves on them will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Winds could be locally enhanced in any convective showers and thunderstorms..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather, strong wind and heavy rainfall potential for Friday..

A strong cold front will bring a brief period of heavy rainfall, strong wind gusts and isolated severe thunderstorm potential. The headlines depict the current thinking with the biggest change being a Wind Advisory for South-Central Rhode Island, Southeast Massachusetts including the Cape and Islands and the Cape Ann area of Eastern Essex County. Key factors remain as follows:

1.) Amount of instability or ability for strong winds aloft and jet dynamics to allow for any isolated strong to severe thunderstorms to form along the cold front.
2.) Ability for strong winds in any convective showers and thunderstorms to reach the surface. If temperatures reach the mid-60s or higher, these winds will have a greater potential to reach the surface. Given some of the wind profiles and the potential for temperatures to warm to the mid-60s, strong winds may occur generally and in any convective showers and thunderstorms so a Wind advisory has been posted for Southeast New England and the Cape Ann area.
3.) Any flooding should be confined to nuisance urban and poor drainage flooding but will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather, strong wind and heavy rainfall potential for Friday. This will be the last coordination message on Friday’s storm system as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook, Rainfall/Wind Gust Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Boston/Norton Rainfall/Wind Gust Map:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/NWS-Boston_Norton_Rainfall_Wind_Gust_Map_11_12_21.jpg

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday 11/11/21 Heavy Rainfall/Strong Wind/Isolated Severe Thunderstorm Potential

Hello to all…

..A strong cold front will bring a period of brief heavy rainfall with a quick 1-2″ of rain, strong wind gusts of 35-45 MPH with isolated higher gusts at the coast, and the possibility for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds as the primary threat and even an isolated tornado as a secondary threat Friday Morning through early Friday Evening. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Connecticut, Rhode Island, Southwest, South-Central and Southeast Massachusetts in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather, strong wind and heavy rainfall potential for Friday..

A strong cold front will bring a brief period of heavy rainfall, strong wind gusts and isolated severe thunderstorm potential. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of instability or ability for strong winds aloft and jet dynamics to allow for any isolated strong to severe thunderstorms to form along the cold front.
2.) Ability for strong winds in any convective showers and thunderstorms to reach the surface. If temperatures reach the mid-60s or higher, these winds will have a greater potential to reach the surface.
3.) Any flooding should be confined to nuisance urban and poor drainage flooding but will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather, strong wind and heavy rainfall potential for Friday. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook, and Wind Gust Map (Wind Gust Map is outside of any severe thunderstorms):

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2021/day2otlk_20211111_1730.html

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Gust Map:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/NWS_Wind_Gust_Map_Friday_11_12_21.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Post Storm Coordination Message #2 – Major Nor’easter Tuesday Night 10/26/21-Wednesday 10/27/21 Post Storm Update

Hello to all…

..Major Nor’easter slammed Eastern Massachusetts, particularly Southeast Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands, the Cape Ann area as well as Southern and Central Rhode Island with widespread damaging winds, tree and power line damage and some direct structural damage to weakened structures Tuesday Evening 10/26/21-Wednesday Evening 10/27/21..
..Wind gusts to hurricane force between 74-98 MPH occurred Across East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands with 50-70 MPH Gusts across portions of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central RI..
..At the height of the storm, close to 500,000 customers were without power in Massachusetts and over 93,000 customers without power in Rhode Island. These outages were much higher than Tropical Storm Henri in August in Massachusetts and a bit higher than Tropical Storm Henri for the state of Rhode Island. Most power was restored by Saturday Evening..
..Post storm reports, pictures and videos of storm damage, coastal flooding, flooding from heavy rainfall can be sent as a reply to this message, via our Facebook and Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org. Credit will be given to the spotter for their photo, video or report unless otherwise indicated. A WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album has been created with storm damage photos received to date and will likely be updated one more time between now and week’s end with any additional photos received. This information is being utilized by local and state emergency management officials and is helpful for damage assessment to determine a possible federal disaster declaration for this event..
..There will be a final post storm coordination message from this major nor’easter posted by the end of November. Below is the ARRL Web story on Amateur Radio efforts during the major nor’easter, WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album, NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement of Rainfall/Wind Report, Local Storm Report and an updated Amateur Radio Compilation log of wind gusts and wind damage..

ARRL Web Story – Amateur Radio Emergency Services (ARES) & SKYWARN Respond to Major Nor’easter:
http://www.arrl.org/news/amateur-radio-emergency-service-and-skywarn-respond-to-major-nor-easter

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album:
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?vanity=wx1box&set=a.4949547578412554

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/pns_10_26_21_10_27_21.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/lsr_10_26_21_10_27_21.pdf

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/reports_10_26_21_10_27_21_Rev_2.pdf

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Special Announcement: Virtual Southern New England Weather Conference Saturday 11/13/21 1000 AM-200 PM

Hello to all…

The virtual Southern New England Weather Conference will be held Saturday 11/13/21 from 1000 AM-200 PM. There is still time to register for this virtual conference. Registration details and the conference agenda can be seen at the following links:

Virtual Southern New England Weather Conference Registration link:
https://www.weather.gov/box/SNE_WX_CONFERENCE

Southern New England Weather Conference Web Site:
http://www.sneweatherconf.org/

We hope you can attend as this will be a worthwhile weather conference for all attendees.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Special Announcement: NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Preparedness Week Public Information Statements & Infographics – 11/1/21-11/5/21

Hello to all…

During the week of November 1st-5th 2021, NWS Boston/Norton put out Public Information Statements & Infographics for Winter Weather Preparedness Week. The winter months are approaching and now is the time to prepare for the season. Below are links to the NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statements & Infographics for Winter Weather Preparedness Week:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Preparedness Week Infographics:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/NWS_Winter_Weather_Preparedness_Week_11_6_21.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statements – Winter Weather Preparedness Week:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/PNS_11_6_21_Winter_Preparedness_Week.pdf

We hope this information is useful as we move into the Winter season.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box