Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Night 10/13/22-Friday Morning 10/14/22 – Heavy Rain/Strong Wind/Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all…
..Heavy Rainfall with strong winds expected across much of Southern New England tonight into Friday Morning bringing it with it the potential for Isolated to Scattered Pockets of Tree and Wire Damage, Isolated power outages and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and possibly some small river and stream flooding..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from 8 PM Thursday Evening through Friday Morning for Northern Connecticut, North Central Rhode Island, Western and Central Massachusetts for rainfall amounts of 2-4″ with isolated higher amounts possible. Areas outside of the flood watch area will likely see a general 1-2″ rainfall with isolated higher amounts..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 2 AM to 11 AM Friday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and from 5 AM-1 PM Friday for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Essex County Massachusetts for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts of 40-50 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Areas outside of the advisory area will see wind gusts of around 40 MPH with the potential for higher gusts in any convective showers and thunderstorms..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall and strong wind potential Thursday Night into Friday Morning..
A strong cold front and storm system will bring the region heavy rains, strong to damaging winds and perhaps the potential for convective straightline wind damage and perhaps a brief isolated spin-up due to strong winds aloft and turning in the atmosphere. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) Development of any low topped thunderstorms that could enhance the strong to damaging wind potential and perhaps allow for a brief spin-up
2.) Exact placement of heavy rainfall. Currently, the Flood Watch area is where the heaviest rainfall is expected
3.) How much wind can mix to the surface in or ahead of convective showers and thunderstorms
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall and strong wind potential Thursday Night into Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org