Storm Coordination Message #4 – Sunday 1/28/24-Monday 1/29/24 Coastal Storm Hazards
Hello to all…
..Coastal Storm will bring the potential for heavy snow to the higher elevations of Southern New England. Lower elevation and coastal areas will see rain to change to snow but snowfall amounts are much more uncertain and will change as we get closer to the storm event. Strong winds are possible in parts of Southeast New England particularly Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strength of the storm on closest approach to the region..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 12 PM Monday for Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and a light glaze of ice affecting travel Sunday into the Monday Morning Commute..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect through 7 PM Monday Evening for Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts with 4-8″ and isolated higher amounts to 10″ possible along with mixed precipitation affecting travel Sunday, the Monday Morning commute and the Monday Evening commute..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 12 PM Monday for Western Hampshire County Massachusetts for 4-6″ of snow and a light glaze of ice affecting travel Sunday into the Monday Morning Commute..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 7 PM Monday for Eastern Franklin, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties for 3-6″ of snow and mixed precipitation affecting travel Sunday into the Monday Morning and Monday Evening commutes..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 7 PM Monday for Tolland, Windham Counties of Connecticut, Eastern Essex, Western Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 2-4 inches of snow and mixed precipitation affecting travel Sunday into the Monday Morning and Evening commutes..
..The snow may be heavy and wet and this may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage from snow load issues if the snow accumulates 4″ or more in the interior with wind gusts in the interior as high as 35 MPH in the Winter Storm Warning/Advisory areas..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely late Sunday Morning into Monday for snowfall and damage reporting. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook & Twitter feeds and to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..
A coastal storm will impact the region Sunday into Monday. The headlines depict the current thinking and given just small differences in storm track, speed, intensity, and air temperature could cause significant changes in storm impacts, this is a lower than normal forecast confidence on the impacts and additional changes to the forecast are likely. Key factors include:
1.) The strength of the coastal storm and when/where intensification occurs.
2.) Based on the strength and intensification of the coastal storm, how much colder air and dynamics wrap into the system to bring accumulating snow to lower elevation areas and even coastal Southern New England.
3.) The consistency of the snow both in the lower and higher elevations. If its a heavier, wetter snow, snow load could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages.
4.) The strength of the wind gusts in Southeast New England, particularly Cape Cod and the Islands as this will depend on the strength and intensification of the storm close to Southern New England. At this time wind gusts of around 35 MPH are expected in interior areas with gusts along the coast of 40-50 MPH possible, highest over the Cape and Islands.
SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible Sunday Afternoon into Monday for snowfall and damage reporting. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook & Twitter feeds and to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. This will likely be the last coordination message on this storm system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Winter Storm Warning/Advisory Statement & Snowfall Map and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Advisory Statement & Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
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