Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday PM & Evening 8/3/24 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all…
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible particularly in Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut though all interior Southern New England should monitor the potential this Saturday Afternoon and Evening between 4-11 PM. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..A Heat Advisory is also in effect until 7 PM Saturday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for hear indices of 95 to 104 degrees. If outdoors, take frequent breaks if working, drink plenty of liquids and find cool areas to rest to avoid heat related illnesses..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for later Saturday PM and evening..
Yesterday, severe weather affected portions of Southern New England. Hardest hit was the Simsbury, Granby, West Suffield, CT area along with East Windsor CT. Other isolated damage were reported in parts of Western, Central and Eastern Massachusetts and Northeast Rhode Island. The WX1BOX Amateur Radio log and NWS Norton Local Storm Report are listed below:
WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/reports_8_2_24.pdf
NWS Norton MA Local Storm Report:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/LSR-8-2-24.pdf
Today could have a similar scenario as Friday though a bit later in the day after 4 PM through 11 PM this Saturday Afternoon and Evening. The headlines depict current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) Ability of heating and destabilization and marginal wind shear to compensate for other marginal instability factors to produce severe weather
2.) Timing of an impulse in atmosphere to trigger the instability and marginal wind shear for strong to severe thunderstorm development
NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box
NWS Boston/Norton Heat Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
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