Storm Coordination Message #1 – Late Saturday Night 1/31/26-Early Monday AM 2/2/26 Coastal Storm Potential – Southeast New England
Hello to all…
..Bitter Cold Temperatures and Wind Chills expected through the weekend into Monday across the region..
..A large ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England but will bring accumulating snowfall to Southeast Massachusetts and particularly Cape Cod and the Islands, strong to potentially damaging wind gusts to East Coastal Massachusetts and Southeast coastal New England and minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of several high tide cycles across East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from late Saturday Night through late Sunday Night for Cape Cod and the Islands for 4-8″ of snow with the highest amounts over the mid to outer Cape and Nantucket. Areas of the South Shore and South Coastal Massachusetts could see a lighter accumulating snow depending on the storm track..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect from Sunday Morning through Monday Afternoon for East Coastal Massachusetts including Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket Counties for minor to moderate coastal flooding of shore roads that could lead to some road closures of most exposed coastal areas or areas damaged by previous coastal flood events..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets on the Cape & Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts for snowfall and coastal flood issues on shore roads. Pictures/videos of the storm can be sent as a reply to this message via our WX1BOX Facebook/X/Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..
A large coastal storm will pass offshore of Southern New England late Saturday Night into early Monday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) Any shift to the west will change the impacts significantly especially over Cape Cod and the Islands but even adjacent areas of Southeast Coastal Massachusetts increasing snowfall and wind potential. Any shift to the east would lessen impacts.
2.) Even with these track deviations, strong wind gusts of at least 45-50 MPH with higher gusts about 50 MPH are likely and a track further west would increase the wind potential.
3.) With a large intense storm systems, we sometimes will see things such as a larger precipitation envelope that isn’t modeled correctly and/or ocean effect that enhances snowfall in localized areas on Cape Cod and the Islands and Southeast coastal New England.
SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets on the Cape & Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts for snowfall and coastal flood issues on shore roads. Pictures/videos of the storm can be sent as a reply to this message via our WX1BOX Facebook/X/Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Friday Evening:
NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
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