Blizzard/Storm Coordination Message #2 – Saturday-Sunday AM 2/15/14-2/16/14 Potential Blizzard/Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Yet another Major Winter Coastal Storm/Blizzard for Portions of Southern New England as the Winter of 2013-2014 tightens its grip on the region before moderation comes by the middle to end of next week..
..A Blizzard Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through late Saturday Night for all of Eastern Essex, East Coastal Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for 6-10″ of snow with the potential for 10-14″ snowfall amounts in East Coastal Plymouth County and Cape Cod with sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible leading to the potential of blizzard conditions..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 10 AM Saturday Morning to 5 AM Sunday Morning for all of Rhode Island, Norfolk, Suffolk, Bristol and Western and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated amounts up to 12″ likely with near blizzard conditions possible in Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and sustained winds 10-20 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH and higher gusts possible along Southeast Coastal Massachusetts. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Southeast Middlesex County Massachusetts from 10 AM Saturday Morning to 5 AM Sunday Morning for 4-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 10 AM Saturday to Midnight Saturday Night for Northern Connecticut, Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Hillsborough County New Hampshire for 3-5″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning..

On Friday, wind gusts across portions of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island ranged from 40-50 MPH with Cape Cod and Nantucket Island receiving wind gusts in the 50-60 MPH range with isolated higher gusts as the coastal storm from Thursday departed the region.

Models have converged on a significant impact particularly for Eastern New England with yet another major coastal storm/blizzard for the region. This new major coastal storm/blizzard will take shape to our west and rapidly intensify off the Southern New England coast. Models are in good agreement now on a significant impact to Eastern New England with a more moderate impact elsewhere. The message headlines detail the potential impacts for Southern New England. This is now the third Blizzard Watch issued for a portion of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area this winter season and affecting similar areas to the prior Blizzard Watches from this season.

Unlike the past blizzards of earlier this year, the snow is likely to be somewhat heavier and wetter and coupled with the strong winds, we will need to monitor for the potential of isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages in the Blizzard Watch areas and locations closest to the Blizzard Watch area. This will be monitored closely though this storm event should again fall short of the impact of the February Blizzard of 2013.

The remaining uncertainty is the northwest extent of this system. Some weather models are trying to bring heavier precipitation throughout much of Southern New England while the majority of weather models feature a fairly sharp cutoff in the heaviest snows as aligned in the current forecast and watches/warnings/advisories as outlined in the above headlines. This could be further adjusted as we get closer to this significant winter storm event for Eastern New England and moderate storm event for portions of South-Central New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning. The next coordination message on the winter storm for this weekend will be posted by 11 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard Watch/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Blizzard Watch/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Yet another Major Winter Coastal Storm/Blizzard for Portions of Southern New England as the Winter of 2013-2014 tightens its grip on the region before moderation comes by the middle to end of next week..
..A Blizzard Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through late Saturday Night for all of Eastern Essex, East Coastal Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for 6-10″ of snow with the potential for 10-14″ snowfall amounts in East Coastal Plymouth County and Cape Cod with sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible leading to the potential of blizzard conditions..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 10 AM Saturday Morning to 5 AM Sunday Morning for all of Rhode Island, Norfolk, Suffolk, Bristol and Western and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated amounts up to 12″ likely with near blizzard conditions possible in Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and sustained winds 10-20 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH and higher gusts possible along Southeast Coastal Massachusetts. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Southeast Middlesex County Massachusetts from 10 AM Saturday Morning to 5 AM Sunday Morning for 4-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 10 AM Saturday to Midnight Saturday Night for Northern Connecticut, Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Hillsborough County New Hampshire for 3-5″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning..

On Friday, wind gusts across portions of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island ranged from 40-50 MPH with Cape Cod and Nantucket Island receiving wind gusts in the 50-60 MPH range with isolated higher gusts as the coastal storm from Thursday departed the region.

Models have converged on a significant impact particularly for Eastern New England with yet another major coastal storm/blizzard for the region. This new major coastal storm/blizzard will take shape to our west and rapidly intensify off the Southern New England coast. Models are in good agreement now on a significant impact to Eastern New England with a more moderate impact elsewhere. The message headlines detail the potential impacts for Southern New England. This is now the third Blizzard Watch issued for a portion of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area this winter season and affecting similar areas to the prior Blizzard Watches from this season.

Unlike the past blizzards of earlier this year, the snow is likely to be somewhat heavier and wetter and coupled with the strong winds, we will need to monitor for the potential of isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages in the Blizzard Watch areas and locations closest to the Blizzard Watch area. This will be monitored closely though this storm event should again fall short of the impact of the February Blizzard of 2013.

The remaining uncertainty is the northwest extent of this system. Some weather models are trying to bring heavier precipitation throughout much of Southern New England while the majority of weather models feature a fairly sharp cutoff in the heaviest snows as aligned in the current forecast and watches/warnings/advisories as outlined in the above headlines. This could be further adjusted as we get closer to this significant winter storm event for Eastern New England and moderate storm event for portions of South-Central New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning. The next coordination message on the winter storm for this weekend will be posted by 11 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard Watch/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Blizzard Watch/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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