Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 3/9/19 Wintry Mix Potential

Hello to all…

..Storm system to bring a wintry mix to portions of Southern New England Sunday Morning into Sunday Early Afternoon..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM to 2 PM Sunday for Northern Connecticut, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 1-3″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in Northwest Massachusetts and a trace to one-tenth of an inch of ice..
..Interior Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Rhode Island outside of the advisory area will see a wintry mix changing fairly quickly to rain while mostly rain is expected elsewhere..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snow and ice accumulation and changeover in precipitation type reports. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 PM Saturday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Sunday Evening 3/3/19-Monday Morning 3/4/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Moderate to Major Snowstorm to affect Southern New England tonight through Monday Morning. Latest Models have increased snowfall amounts for much of the area but there does remain uncertainty in the Southeast coastal areas where sleet and/or rain could hold down amounts. If higher snow amounts are realized in interior central and Southeastern New England and coastal Southeast New England, wet snow damage risk would increase..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 7 PM Sunday Evening to 10 AM Monday Morning for Northern Connecticut, All of Rhode Island Eastern Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Essex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 5-10″ of snow likely with isolated higher amounts to around 12″ possible in interior portions of the warning area. The southern and eastern parts of the warning area may see a wet snow that could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages particularly if higher amounts are realized..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts from 7 PM Sunday Evening to 10 AM Monday Morning for 3-6″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Barnstable County Massachusetts from 7 PM Sunday Evening to 10 AM Monday Morning for 3-5″ of snow as sleet and rain mix holds down amounts in this area with wind gusts between 35-40 MPH. If less mixing occurs, it would increase snow amounts with isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages possible. Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Island are expected to see 2″ or less of snow at this time..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will monitor for snowfall reports, precipitation type reports and any wet snow damage reports..

Another winter storm will affect the region tonight into Monday Morning. The headlines depict the current expectations which have been increased a little since the last message which has necessitated this update. As people have probably seen over the last few storms, models have struggled with the pattern and with marginal temperatures causing mixing with sleet and rain, this has affected snow totals in some areas in past storm events, however, for this storm, the trend in the models between the prior message and this message has been for a stronger storm solution with heavier snow and a storm track favorable for what is outlined about. Key factors for this specific storm remain as follows:

1.) How much rain and sleet mixes in with the snow in the southeast portions of the Winter Storm Warning at the coastline. If that mix occurs, it could hold snow amounts down. If it falls mostly as snow, it could be a heavy wet snow which would increase the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages.
2.) The storm track, speed and intensification process of the storm will be another factor. If the storm track is a bit more southeast or intensification occurs later in time or further offshore, snow amounts will be on the lower end of the ranges. If the storm track holds to the same current projection or gets a bit closer and the intensification occurs a little more rapidly closer to our region, it would support the higher end of the snow total ranges particularly in the interior portions of the Winter Storm Warning are with the isolated higher amounts being a bit more widespread. As of this update, the track near the 40 North/70 West benchmark and more intensification earlier is leading to higher snowfall rates per hour which means a stronger storm solution that will bear watching for both higher end snow amounts as depicted as well as a potential greater threat for wet snow damage.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will monitor for snowfall reports, precipitation type reports and any wet snow damage reports. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Sunday Evening 3/3/19-Monday Morning 3/4/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Moderate Snowstorm to affect Southern New England tonight through Monday Morning..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 PM Sunday Evening to 10 AM Monday Morning for Northern Connecticut, All of Rhode Island Eastern Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Essex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow likely with isolated higher amounts to 10″ possible in interior portions of the warning area. The southern and eastern parts of the warning area may see a wet snow that could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts from 7 PM Sunday Evening to 10 AM Monday Morning for 3-5″ of snow..

..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Barnstable County Massachusetts from 7 PM Sunday Evening to 10 AM Monday Morning for 3-5″ of snow as sleet and rain mix holds down amounts in this area with wind gusts between 35-40 MPH. Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Island are expected to see 2″ or less of snow at this time..

..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will monitor for snowfall reports, precipitation type reports and any wet snow damage reports..

Another winter storm will affect the region tonight into Monday Morning. The headlines depict the current expectations. As people have probably seen over the last few storms, models have struggled with the pattern and with marginal temperatures causing mixing with sleet and rain, this has affected snow totals in some areas in past storm events. Key factors for this specific storm include:

1.) How much rain and sleet mixes in with the snow in the southeast portions of the Winter Storm Warning at the coastline. If that mix occurs, it could hold snow amounts down. If it falls mostly as snow, it could be a heavy wet snow which would increase the potential for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages.
2.) The storm track, speed and intensification process of the storm will be another factor. If the storm track is a bit more southeast or intensification occurs later in time or further offshore, snow amounts will be on the lower end of the ranges. If the storm track holds to the same current projection or gets a bit closer and the intensification occurs a little more rapidly closer to our region, it would support the higher end of the snow total ranges particularly in the interior portions of the Winter Storm Warning are with the isolated higher amounts being a bit more widespread.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will monitor for snowfall reports, precipitation type reports and any wet snow damage reports. This could be the last coordination message for this storm event or if there are significant changes to the current warnings/advisories, another coordination message could be posted by 9 PM Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday Evening 3/3/19-Monday Morning 3/4/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..One storm departs the region and another storm will affect the region with a more significant snowfall except for portions of Southeast New England which will see snow to ice to rain..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Sunday Evening through Monday Morning for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Massachusetts from Suffolk and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts through Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of 10-12″ in portions of northern and western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. In the southern and eastern areas of the Winter Storm Watch, the snow could be heavier and wetter with the potential for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Winter Weather Advisories may be needed for portions of Southern Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts for snow and sleet before it changes over to rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the latest storm system for Sunday Evening into Monday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted later this evening if any changes to Winter Storm Watch occurs or tomorrow morning by 10 AM. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement and WX1BOX Amateur Radio log of storm total snowfall from the Saturday 3/2/19 winter storm and then the NWS Boston Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow Maps..

NWS Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/reports_3_2_19.txt

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Late Friday Night 3/1/19-Saturday Evening 3/2/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Coastal storm system to bring heavy accumulating wet snow storm to portions of Southern New England late tonight into early Saturday Evening. Confidence in storm solution lower than normal at this time range due to varying model solutions..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 1 AM to 7 PM Saturday for Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for heavy wet snow accumulating from 4 to 8″ with isolated higher amounts possible and the heaviest snow between 4 AM and 12 PM Saturday. The heavy wet snow with wind gusts 35-40 MPH may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 1 AM to 7 PM Saturday for Northern Connecticut, All of Rhode Island, Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard, Eastern Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex and Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and those isolated higher amounts being most likely in Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts and the heaviest snow between 4-10 AM. Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard may also see higher snow amounts if no mix with sleet or rain occurs during the storm event. If snow amounts are greater than 4″, isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages are possible particularly coastal areas where there could also be wind gusts between 35-40 MPH..
..Interior areas outside of the Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory areas will receive a Coating to 2″ of snow with snow to rain on Nantucket Island..
..Another significant winter storm will affect the region Sunday Night into Monday with heavier snow in the interior and snow mixing with sleet and rain along and southeast of the Boston to Providence corridor. Details on this system will be in future coordination messages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will monitor this winter storm potential late Friday Night into early Saturday Evening..

An active weekend of winter weather will affect Southern New England tonight into early Saturday Evening and again late Sunday Afternoon into Monday. This message focuses on the first winter storm for tonight into early Saturday Evening. Additional coordination messages focusing on the late Sunday Afternoon into Monday winter storm will occur after the late Friday night into early Saturday Evening storm is completed. The headlines focus of the coordination message focuses on the late Friday Night into early Saturday Evening storm. Key factors for this storm includes:

1.) Model agreement this close to the storm event is lower than normal. There had been a trend towards a closer to the coast solution which has now trended a little further offshore. Any continued changes in this regard could make snowfall amounts greater in Southern New England and further west with more mixing in Southeast Coastal New England or keep the storm more focused on Southeast New England as currently depicted or even slightly further south and east if the storm tracks a bit more to the east or offshore.
2.) The amount of intensification as the storm swings through the region as well as how quickly it will swing through the area. This will affect snowfall rates per hour and may also be a factor in precipitation type along the south coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island region. The speed of the system will also affect the duration of the heavier snowfall.
3.) Snow accumulations over 4 inches and especially over 6 inches with wind gusts in the 30-40 MPH range and those strongest wind gusts in East and South Coastal Massachusetts would have the potential to cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. This could be a greater threat if the heavier snow amounts occur and over a more widespread area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will monitor this winter storm potential late Friday Night into early Saturday Evening. This will most likely be the only coordination message on this storm event unless time allows for an update and a significant change to the storm scenario occurs. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snow and Ice Maps and Facebook Infographics:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.2109808055780221/2109807815780245/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday Evening 2/27/19-Thursday Morning 2/28/19 Plowable Snowfall Potential

Hello to all…

..Plowable snowfall expected starting late Wednesday Afternoon into early Thursday Morning in Southern New England and now looks to affect all of Southern New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 5 PM Wednesday Evening to 7 AM Thursday Morning for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden Counties of Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for 2-4″ of snow with isolated higher amounts particularly along and north of the Mass Pike..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 PM Wednesday Evening to 7 AM Thursday Morning for all of Rhode Island and expanded to all of Central and Eastern Massachusetts for 2-4″ of snow with isolated higher amounts particularly along and north of the Mass Pike..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with a few Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will monitor for snowfall reports for this storm system. Another coordination message may be posted by 9 PM this evening if a significant change to the forecast occurs and time allows for an update or this will potentially be the last update on this system. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Facebook Infographics..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.2106558136105213/2106557302771963/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Plowable Snowfall Potential – Wednesday Evening 2/27/19-Thursday Morning 2/28/19

Hello to all…

..Bitter cold wind chills in Western Massachusetts will occur tonight followed by plowable snowfall expected Wednesday Night into Thursday Morning in Southern New England particularly in Western Massachusetts and then along and south of the Mass Pike..
..A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect from Midnight to 8 AM Wednesday for Franklin, Western Hampden, Western Hampshire and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for wind chill indices as low as 15 to 20 below zero..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Wednesday Evening to 7 AM Thursday Morning for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden Counties of Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for 2-4″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 PM Wednesday Evening to 7 AM Thursday Morning for all of Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts from Suffolk and Norfolk Counties through Cape Cod and the Islands for 2-4″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with a few Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will monitor for snowfall reports for this storm system. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather/Wind Chill Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Facebook Infographics..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather/Wind Chill Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.2105783022849391/2105782242849469/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Wind Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 2/26/19 Strong Wind Potential and Overnight 2/26-2/27/19 Bitter Wind Chills in the East Slopes of the Berkshires

Hello to all…

..Strong Winds will occur over the course of the day today but not to the strength we had around the region on Monday. These winds, however, may slow power restoration efforts for those that have lost power..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect through 5 PM Tuesday Afternoon for the entire NWS Boston/Norton Coverage area for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with wind gusts of 40-50 MPH. This may result in a few isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect from Midnight to 8 AM Wednesday for Franklin, Western Hampden, Western Hampshire and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for wind chill indices as low as 15 to 20 below zero..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong winds for today. Any wind damage photos or videos can be provided as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the SKYWARN Spotter or Amateur Radio Operator for the photos and/or videos. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook as well as the storm summary reports from yesterday via the NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report, Public Information Statement and WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/reports_2_25_19.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message # 4 – Late Sunday Night 2/24/19-Monday Evening 2/25/19 Damaging Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..Very Strong to Damaging Winds Expected Across much of Southern New England late tonight and especially during the day Monday with the peak winds expected Monday Afternoon into early evening. A few snow squalls are possible in Western New England..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect from 10 PM Sunday Evening through 7 PM Monday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and from 3 AM to 7 PM Monday for the rest of the NWS Norton coverage area for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with gusts to 60-65 MPH and a few isolated higher wind gusts between 65-70 MPH and possibly higher also likely. These winds will be sufficient to cause scattered to potentially numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will commence by 8 AM Monday Morning for the wind damage potential with self-activation monitoring conditions overnight through 8 AM Monday Morning..

The headlines depict the current potential with the storm system for the damaging wind potential for the region late Sunday Night into Monday Evening where High Wind Warnings remain in effect for the entire coverage area and the potential for wind gusts between 60-65 MPH and a few isolated wind gusts between 65-70 MPH with possibly higher wind gusts. The strongest winds will be during the day on Monday into Monday Afternoon. Very strong wind fields aloft, good mixing capability to bring the winds down to the surface and a very significant pressure difference between the storm to our northwest that is deepening and the high pressure system will allow for these damaging winds in the region. A couple of other factors that will be worth monitoring include that several of the higher elevation locations in the east slopes of the Berkshires had 1/8-1/4″ icing on trees and power lines and the strong winds in these areas may have a greater impact giving that icing. Also, areas that lost their snow pack with Sunday’s rainfall will create saturated ground that might also allow for enhanced wind damage potential due to the saturated ground conditions.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will commence by 8 AM Monday Morning for the wind damage potential with self-activation monitoring conditions overnight through 8 AM Monday Morning. This will be the last coordination message on this storm potential as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, and Facebook Infographics:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.2102948673132826/2102948173132876/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Sunday AM 2/24/19 Wintry Mix and Late Sunday Night 2/24/19-Monday Evening 2/25/19 Damaging Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..A wintry mix of precipitation is continuing across Western and Northern Massachusetts and will change to rain before ending in these areas. Of greater concern is the development of damaging winds across all of Southern New England late Sunday Night and especially Monday..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 10 AM for Franklin, Northern Worcester, Northern Middlesex, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties for light icing. Winter Weather Advisories for other parts of Southern New England has expired with the changeover to rain in these areas..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 10 PM Sunday Evening through 7 PM Monday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and from 3 AM to 7 PM Monday for the rest of the NWS Norton coverage area for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with gusts to 60-65 MPH and a few isolated wind gusts higher than 65 MPH possible. These winds will be sufficient to cause scattered to potentially numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the wintry mix conditions overnight into Sunday Morning. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely late Sunday Night into Monday Evening with the potential for Ops at NWS Boston/Norton during the day Monday for the damaging wind potential and the operations plan for Monday’s damaging wind potential will be defined later today..

The headlines depict the current potential with the storm system for late tonight through Sunday Afternoon in terms of the wintry mix and then of more concern is the damaging wind potential for the region late Sunday Night into Monday Evening where High Wind Watches have been upgraded to High Wind Warnings for the entire coverage area. The strongest winds will be during the day on Monday and there is the potential for wind gusts even stronger than the 60-65 MPH gusts in at least isolated areas. Very strong wind fields aloft, good mixing capability to bring the winds down to the surface and a very significant pressure difference between the storm to our northwest that is deepening and the high pressure system will allow for these damaging winds in the region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the wintry mix conditions overnight into Sunday Morning. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely late Sunday Night into Monday Evening with the potential for Ops at NWS Boston/Norton during the day Monday for the damaging wind potential and the operations plan for Monday’s damaging wind potential will be defined later today. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 PM Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snow, Ice and Rain Maps and Facebook Infographics:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, Ice and Rain Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://www.weather.gov/box/PQPFTest

NWS Boston/Norton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/a.178319238929122/2102278049866555/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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