Hello to all…

..Storm system to bring a wintry mix of precipitation to portions of Western and Central New England and Northern Massachusetts near the New Hampshire state border mid-afternoon Tuesday through Wednesday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from Noon Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and up to one tenth of an inch of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Eastern Franklin, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow with the highest amounts near the New Hampshire border and up to one-tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 1-3″ of snow and up to one tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Western Essex County Massachusetts from 4 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning and for Central Middlesex County Massachusetts from 1 PM Tuesday afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for 2-4″ of snow with amounts up to 5″ possible near the New Hampshire border and a light coating of ice..
..Areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory are expected to see a brief period of wintry mix before it changes over and remains plain rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning..

A storm system will bring a wintry mix of precipitation to the region. The headlines of this coordination message depict the current scenario but its noted that the key item for this storm will be what the predominant precip type within the wintry mix will be. A small change in temperature profiles could change whether the predominant precipitation is a wet snow, sleet or freezing rain within the advisory area. Outside the advisory area, precipitation is expected to be rain with a brief period of wintry mix at the start possible before changing over to rain. Another coordination message issued tomorrow morning will update any change to the current headlines regarding snowfall and ice amounts and what the predominant form of precipitation will be in the advisory area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Major Winter Storm and Blizzard to slam much of Eastern New England with a plowable to significant snowfall now expected in most western parts of Southern New England as the storm track shifts closer to the 40 North/70 West Benchmark. Travel is not recommended this Saturday Afternoon and Evening..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect until 3 AM Sunday for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands for 15-20″ of snow with isolated higher amounts, blizzard conditions, and sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts of 40-50 MPH likely. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The consistency and weight of the snow is expected to be light so the winds and snow are only currently expected to cause minor tree and wire damage though this will be monitored..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 3 AM Sunday for Southern Bristol and Western and Southern Plymouth County Massachusetts for 12-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and considerable blowing and drifting snow with a period of near blizzard conditions as wind gusts get into the 40-45 MPH range..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 1 AM Sunday for all of Rhode Island and Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk and Northern Bristol County Massachusetts for 8-12″ of snow and isolated higher amounts possible along Northeast coastal Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island. Wind gusts to 35 MPH may result in considerable blowing and drifting snow..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 AM Saturday Morning through 11 PM Saturday Evening for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut and Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Northern Worcester, Northern Middlesex, Eastern Hampden Counties of Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut from 9 AM Saturday Morning to 9 PM Saturday Evening for 3-6″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather advisory is now in effect for Franklin, Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts from 9 AM Saturday Morning through 7 PM Saturday Evening for 2-4″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight or 1-2 AM Sunday Morning for this major winter storm. Pictures and video of the major winter storm for situational awareness can be sent to the pics@nsradio.org email address, via our Facebook and/or Twitter feed or as a reply to this coordination message..

The headlines of this coordination message depict the latest information on the now major winter storm/blizzard expected for much of Southern New England, particularly Eastern New England and even into Central New England. Blizzard Warnings are now in effect for Eastern Plymouth County as well as Cape Cod and the Islands due to stronger winds with the closer storm track creating the potential for blizzard conditions defined as 3 consecutive hours of predominant weather conditions with visibility less than a quarter mile and frequent gusts 35 mph or higher and snowfall amounts were nudged upward slightly there and in the prior Winter Storm Warning areas. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories have also been expanded westward. Models have trended the system closer to the 40 North/70 West benchmark which has resulted in these upgrades and heavier snowfall tracking further west into Central New England with a plowable snowfall in Western New England. The western extent of the snow remains the lower confidence portion of the forecast as small shifts in storm track could affect the western extent of the snowfall but the trend has continued to be slightly closer to the coast prompting these changes. There is higher confidence in Warning criteria snowfall in Eastern New England and the potential for blizzard conditions and very high snowfall amounts in Southeast Coastal and interior Southeast Massachusetts.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight Sunday for this major winter storm. This will be the last message on this winter storm. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard Warning/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..An accumulating/plowable snowfall occurred Friday Morning in Southeast New England with a lighter snowfall elsewhere in the region. A major winter storm will strike Southeast New England with near blizzard conditions likely and a significant plowable snowfall across much of Eastern New England and a lighter snowfall elsewhere..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 7 AM Saturday to 4 AM Sunday for Cape Cod and the Islands, Southern Bristol and all of Plymouth County Massachusetts for 12-16″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and considerable blowing and drifting snow with a period of near blizzard conditions as wind gusts get into the 40-45 MPH range..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 7 AM Saturday to 1 AM Sunday for all of Rhode Island and Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk and Northern Bristol County Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and isolated higher amounts possible along Northeast coastal Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island. Wind gusts to 35 MPH may result in considerable blowing and drifting snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 7 to 10 PM Saturday for Central Middlesex, Southern Worcester and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and Tolland and Windham Counties Connecticut for 3-5″ of snow. Areas outside of the advisory will likely see a coating to 3″ of snow with the 3″ amounts closest to the advisory area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight Sunday for this major winter storm. Pictures and video of the major winter storm for situational awareness can be sent to the pics@nsradio.org email address, via our Facebook and/or Twitter feed or as a reply to this coordination message..

Snowfall Friday Morning accumulated between 3-5″ across Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central Rhode Island with isolated 6-7″ amounts in parts of Cape Cod and the Islands with snowfall rates briefly getting into the 1-2″ per hour range. Lighter snowfall amounts occurred to the north and west. Latest snowfall reports from SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators can be seen at the following links.

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1701062221.nous41.html

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1701062221.nwus51.html

The headlines of this coordination message depict the latest information on the now major winter storm expected for Saturday especially in Southeast Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands where a period of near blizzard conditions are likely with 12″-16″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. Models have maintained a track that will get portions of Eastern New England into significant snowfall of 4-8″ with higher amounts towards Southern Rhode Island and East-Coastal Massachusetts. The one area of uncertainty is where the cutoff of heaviest snow will be as a change in track of 15-20 miles closer to the region could allow for heavier snowfall further north and west into much of the coverage area while a track of 15-20 miles further south and east would mean less snow in northern and western parts of the the advisory and warning areas. This will continue to be monitored in future model runs with snowfall amounts in the northwest portions of the warning and advisory area being adjusted if needed.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight Sunday for this major winter storm. The next coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..An accumulating/plowable snowfall Friday Morning to Midday across Southeast Coastal New England followed by a more significant winter storm for Saturday Morning through late Saturday Night/Sunday Morning across Southern New England as models shift the track of the Saturday Winter Storm Northwestward..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 12 PM Friday for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across interior South-Central Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts, 1-3″ of snow is likely and outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County for the potential of 8 to 15″ of snow. Over the Cape and Islands, Northeast winds will increase with gusts to 40 MPH possible and the potential for blowing and drifting snow and the potential for whiteout conditions..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through late Saturday Night for Windham County Connecticut, all of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and North-Central and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in any significant snow bands or ocean effect enhancement that could occur in the watch area.
..Some areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area may see advisory level snowfall from the Saturday storm system and that will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor snowfall totals in the advisory area through the early afternoon Friday. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for the Saturday Winter Storm with Ops at NWS Taunton possible depending on storm impacts, storm track and trends in that storm track..

Snow is ongoing from the Friday winter storm and will wind down by midday across Southeast New England after producing a period of 1-2″ per hour snow in parts of the region. The headlines of the coordination message depict the current situation well. Latest snowfall reports from SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators can be seen at the following link.

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

Focus of the rest of this coordination message will be on the Saturday Winter Storm system. Models have trended further north and west with this system and this has resulted in the expansion of Winter Storm Watches to much of Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Windham County Connecticut and the raising of snowfall amounts using a consensus of the model guidance. It is noted that Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County near the Plymouth area are likely to see the highest snowfall amounts with the potential for considerable blowing and drifting of snow and a period of whiteout conditions with wind gusts up to 40 MPH possible. Model trends will continue to be monitored to see if the current track holds firm, if a further shift north and west occurs or if the trend in the track reverses. This will ultimately determine the heaviest snow amounts and the extent of that heavier snow over the area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor snowfall totals in the advisory area through the early afternoon Friday. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for the Saturday Winter Storm with Ops at NWS Taunton possible depending on storm impacts, storm track and trends in that storm track. The next coordination message focused on the Saturday winter storm will be posted by 900 PM Friday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..An offshore storm system will affect Southeast New England with accumulating snow with confidence growing in a plowable snowfall for that area for Friday Morning and a track that will see that plowable snowfall cover much of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for Friday Morning. Another storm system has the potential to bring another plowable to possibly significant snowfall some time between Saturday Morning to Sunday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 12 AM to 12 PM Friday for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across interior South-Central Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts, 1-3″ of snow is likely and outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..There will be a sharp northwest cutoff between the heavier accumulating snow and the lighter snowfall area with this offshore storm system. The current trend is for a track slightly closer to the area which resulted in expansion of the Winter Weather Advisory for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning for 6″ or more of snow and there is the potential for advisory level snow in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central RI with this system. Similar to the Friday system, it is an offshore track with a sharp cutoff between heavier snow and lighter snow and also a wide model spread on what could occur with this system..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday..

A couple of storm systems will affect the region, particularly Southeast New England, Friday Morning and again Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking on both storms. Regarding the Saturday storm, models still have a pretty wide spread in solutions and it is noted that one particular model is producing a rather prolific snow event for Southeast New England. In scenarios where there are a wide spread in model solutions, a consensus of models must be reviewed as well as looking at trends in the model guidance. Currently, a Winter Storm Watch for 6″ or more of snow is in effect Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands with advisory level snowfall possible in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central Rhode Island. Future model runs will help better discern the storm potential and whether a closer to the coast track with the Saturday system occurs or if it tracks further offshore.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday. This will be the last coordination message regarding the Friday winter storm system. Another coordination message on the Saturday system will either be posted by 11 AM Friday Morning or not until Friday Evening depending on SKYWARN Self-Activation operations for the Friday Morning winter storm. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..An offshore storm system will affect Southeast New England with accumulating snow with confidence growing in a plowable snowfall for that area..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 11 AM Friday for Southern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for 2-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across the remainder of South Coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island up to the Providence and Taunton Mass area, 1-3″ of snow is likely and parts of this area could see an upgrade to a Winter Weather Advisory area. Outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..There will be a sharp northwest cutoff between the heavier accumulating snow and the lighter snowfall area with this offshore storm system. The current trend is for a track slightly closer to the area and trends will be monitored to see if things remain as they are, continue to trend closer to the area or track further offshore..
..Another storm system could affect Southeast New England late Saturday and Saturday Night. Details on this system will be posted as they become more apparent in future forecasts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Happy New Year to all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators..
..A light snow event is expected overnight in portions of interior Southern New England. With this being a busy travel time for New Year’s Eve, this short coordination message is being sent to raise awareness. A coating to 2″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 3″ are possible across Western and Central Massachusetts. Other areas are likely to see an inch or less of snow where the precipitation is snow away from the coastal areas..
..A period of strong winds with wind gusts to around 40 MPH are possible at the coast overnight as well..
..Another storm system may bring a period of light icing followed by rain and strong winds Monday Night into Tuesday. Coordination Messages will be sent out on that system Sunday Night or Monday Morning as needed..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for any snowfall totals, precip type change over and wind reports overnight and Sunday Morning. This will be the only coordination message on this situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Nor’easter will bring significant snowfall to interior Southern New England with the possibility of the snow being heavy and wet and clinging to tree and power lines along with strong wind gusts leading to the potential of isolated to scattered tree and power line damage and isolated power outages in this area. As the nor’easter rapidly intensifies, strong to damaging winds are likely in Eastern New England particularly at the coast later Thursday Evening into Friday with isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages possible in those areas as well..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts from 9 AM Thursday to 4 AM Friday for 5-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 12″ possible. The heaviest snow accumulations will be in the higher terrain around and above 1000 feet. Elevations below 1000 feet will see lesser snow amounts in the low end of the range or possibly in the 3-5″ range depending on how much rain if any mixes in with the snow. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with wind gusts of 40-50 MPH could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..The Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester counties of Massachusetts from 9 AM Thursday Morning to 4 AM Friday Morning for 2-5″ of snow and wind gusts of 40-50 MPH. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with wind gusts of 40-50 MPH could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. This area continues to have the highest level of uncertainty on the snow amounts and how much rain occurs etc. but this reflects the current thinking..
..The Winter Weather Advisory for Hartford and Tolland Counties of Connecticut and Central Middlesex and Western Essex counties of Massachusetts has been cancelled. Snow amounts in this area will range from 1-3″ with much more rain expected in these areas based on the storm track. Parts of extreme Northwest Hartford County CT in the Hartland/Granby CT area could see some isolated amounts of 4″ of snow. This area also continues to have the highest level of uncertainty on the snow amounts and how much rain occurs etc. but this reflects the current thinking..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for all of Central and Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts of 50-55 MPH likely. The area that was under the High Wind Watch from Eastern Plymouth County through Northeast Massachusetts is the area where the highest winds could occur and a short-fused upgrade to a High Wind Warning is possible in that area if even stronger wind gusts become likely..
..Other areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area away from the coast could see some snow accumulation but this is currently expected to be below advisory levels if there is any significant accumulation at all. This will depend on the track, speed and intensity of the storm and its ability to draw cold air into the region and the current track is slightly closer to the coast with more warm air over the area which has resulted in reduced snowfall amounts..
..It is noted that the IRLP link to the Route 2 corridor system in Northern Worcester County is not working. Amateur Radio Operators in Northern Worcester County are encouraged to provide reports on the 146.97-Paxton Repeater, 146.480-Worcester Repeater and the 448.625-Mount Wachusett Repeater which is a new repeater that is now up and running and functional (PL: Tone: 88.5 Hz with a minus offset). WX1BOX will also attempt to go on the Gardner Repeater directly but this may be difficult due to distance from the NWS office and storm conditions. Other Amateur Radio call-up nets are likely either late this morning or early this afternoon particularly in the Winter Storm Warning area on typical SKYWARN frequencies with some nets being brought up as winds increase in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island as required tonight..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence between 10 AM and Noon Thursday likely lasting through 3 or 4 AM Friday Morning..

A nor’easter is expected to significantly effect Southern New England Thursday Morning through Thursday Evening and the overnight hours into early Friday Morning. The headlines depict the latest thinking which includes some reduction in snowfall amounts particularly in the lower elevations of the Winter Storm Warning area and the dropping of Winter Weather Advisories in Middlesex and Western Essex County Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut. This is due to models insisting on somewhat warmer air in these areas and a slightly closer storm track. Strong to damaging winds are also a concern and the High Wind Watch has been converted to a Wind Advisory for all of Central and Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. There is still the potential for high wind warning criteria wind gusts in parts of Northeast Massachusetts that could result in a short fused issuance of a High Wind Warning for some portion of Northeast Massachusetts. Key factors for this storm and eventual snow amounts and areas impacted most significantly and wind intensity near and around the coast still include the following:

1.) Where the intensification occurs and how rapid. This is currently forecast to be close enough to Southern New England where the impacts as stated in the headlines are likely. This intensification is also likely to control how quickly cold air works into the region and determine how quickly areas that have rain changeover to snow as the storm system draws colder air from the northwest into the region.
2.) The eventual track of the storm and how close to Southern New England it gets. A closer track means less snow and more rain in eastern areas and the potential for a dry slot to work into western areas that would remain snow or possibly a mix of snow and sleet towards North-Central Connecticut. A track further offshore could bring heavier snow a bit further east but still away from the coast due to warm water temperatures.
3.) How much cooling occurs and if temperatures hover around freezing. This will determine the consistency of the snow, how wet it is and the potential damage from heavy wet snow accumulation.
4.) The intensification process and how rapid it is will also control the potential for strong to damaging winds along East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island, Cape Cod and the Islands and areas of interior Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. At this time, the potential is there for wind gusts of 50-55 MPH with isolated higher gusts.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence between 10 AM and Noon Thursday likely lasting through 3 or 4 AM Friday Morning. This will be the last coordination message as we move into Amateur Radio Operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Hello to all…

..Nor’easter will bring significant snowfall to interior Southern New England with the possibility of the snow being heavy and wet and clinging to tree and power lines along with strong wind gusts leading to the potential of isolated to scattered tree and power line damage and isolated power outages in this area. As the nor’easter rapidly intensifies, strong to damaging winds are also possible in Eastern New England particularly at the coast later Thursday Evening into Friday with isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages possible in those areas as well..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts from 9 AM Thursday to 4 AM Friday for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with wind gusts of 40-50 MPH could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Hartford and Tolland Counties of Connecticut and Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex and Western Essex counties of Massachusetts from 9 AM Thursday Morning to 4 AM Friday Morning for 2-5″ of snow and wind gusts of 40-50 MPH. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with wind gusts of 40-50 MPH could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. This area continues to have the highest level of uncertainty on the snow amounts and how much rain occurs etc. but this reflects the current thinking..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Thursday Evening through late Thursday Night for Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50-60 MPH with isolated higher wind gusts possible. Other areas around the High Wind Watch could also experience strong winds and are covered under the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory products where issued and a Wind Advisory may be needed for areas of Southeast New England..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area away from the coast could see some snow accumulation but this is currently expected to be below advisory levels if there is any significant accumulation at all. This will depend on the track, speed and intensity of the storm and its ability to draw cold air into the region..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence between 10 AM and Noon Thursday likely lasting through 3 or 4 AM Friday Morning..

A nor’easter is expected to significantly effect Southern New England Thursday Morning through Thursday Evening and the overnight hours into early Friday Morning. The headlines depict the latest thinking with portions of Northern and Western Massachusetts with Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories replacing the Winter Storm Watch area. Strong to damaging winds are also a concern, particularly in Northeast Massachusetts where a High Wind Watch is now posted for Thursday Evening into the overnight hours though strong winds to Wind Advisory level could be seen across much of Southern New England as the coordination message headlines indicate. Key factors for this storm and eventual snow amounts and areas impacted most significantly and wind intensity near and around the coast, include the following:

1.) Where the intensification occurs and how rapid. This is currently forecast to be close enough to Southern New England where the impacts as stated in the headlines are likely. This intensification is also likely to control how quickly cold air works into the region and determine how quickly areas that have rain changeover to snow as the storm system draws colder air from the northwest into the region.
2.) The eventual track of the storm and how close to Southern New England it gets. A closer track means less snow and more rain in eastern areas and the potential for a dry slot to work into western areas that would remain snow or possibly a mix of snow and sleet towards North-Central Connecticut. A track further offshore could bring heavier snow a bit further east but still away from the coast due to warm water temperatures.
3.) How much cooling occurs and if temperatures hover around freezing. This will determine the consistency of the snow, how wet it is and the potential damage from heavy wet snow accumulation.
4.) The intensification process and how rapid it is will also control the potential for strong to damaging winds along East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island, Cape Cod and the Islands and areas of interior Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. At this time, the potential is there for wind gusts of 40-60 MPH with isolated higher gusts.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence between 10 AM and Noon Thursday likely lasting through 3 or 4 AM Friday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Nor’easter will bring significant snowfall to interior Southern New England with the possibility of the snow being heavy and wet and clinging to tree and power lines with isolated to scattered tree and power line damage and isolated power outages possible in this area. As the nor’easter rapidly intensifies, strong to damaging winds are possible in Eastern New England particularly at the coast later Thursday Evening into Friday with isolated pocket of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages possible in those areas..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts from 9 AM Thursday to 10 AM Friday for 8-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with wind gusts to around 40-45 MPH could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex and has been expanded to Western Essex counties of Massachusetts from Thursday Morning to Friday Morning for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with wind gusts to around 40-45 MPH could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. There remains some uncertainty on the snow amounts and how much rain occurs so the Winter Storm Watch has not been converted to a warning or advisory as yet..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Hartford and Tolland Counties of Connecticut for 2-4″ of snow and sleet. This area has the most uncertainty in terms of mixed precipitation and if the heaviest precipitation occurs in this area or is northeast of this area..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area away from the coast could see some snow accumulation. This will depend on the track, speed and intensity of the storm and its ability to draw cold air into the region. At the coast, given warm water temperatures, precipitation is likely to be mostly rain perhaps changing to a short period of snow before ending..
..Wind Advisories will likely be needed for East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and possibly extending into some areas of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island for strong winds later Thursday Night into Friday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely on Thursday. Exact timeframe of activation and whether it extends into a portion of the overnight hours Thursday Night will depend on the timing and eventual intensity of the storm as it passes through Southern New England..

A nor’easter is expected to significantly effect Southern New England Thursday Morning through Thursday Evening. The headlines depict the latest thinking with portions of Northern and Western Massachusetts upgraded to Winter Storm Warnings and an expansion of the Winter Storm Watch into Western Essex county Massachusetts. Key factors for this storm and eventual snow amounts and areas impacted most significantly and wind intensity near and around the coast, include the following:

1.) Where the intensification occurs and how rapid. This is currently forecast to be close enough to Southern New England where the impacts as stated in the headlines are likely. This intensification is also likely to control how quickly cold air works into the region and determine how quickly areas that have rain changeover to snow as the storm system draws colder air from the northwest into the region.
2.) The eventual track of the storm and how close to Southern New England it gets. A closer track means less snow and more rain in eastern areas and the potential for a dry slot to work into western areas that would remain snow or possibly a mix of snow and sleet towards North-Central Connecticut. A track further offshore could bring heavier snow a bit further east but still away from the coast due to warm water temperatures.
3.) How much cooling occurs and if temperatures hover around freezing. This will determine the consistency of the snow, how wet it is and the potential damage from heavy wet snow accumulation.
4.) The intensification process and how rapid it is will also control the potential for strong to damaging winds along East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island, Cape Cod and the Islands and areas of interior Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. At this time, the potential is there for wind gusts of 40-50 MPH with isolated higher gusts.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely on Thursday. Exact timeframe of activation and whether it extends into a portion of the overnight hours Thursday Night will depend on the timing and eventual intensity of the storm as it passes through Southern New England. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM Wednesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more