Storm Coordination Message #3 – Monday 1/23/17-Tuesday Morning 1/24/17 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Updated headlines for the High Wind Watch for Plymouth and Eastern Essex Counties of Massachusetts and item 1 regarding the wind headline changes. Remainder of the coordination message is unchanged..
..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts in the 60-70 MPH range from 9 AM Monday to 6 AM Tuesday. These winds will likely cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages. A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Eastern Essex and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts from Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts 50-60 MPH and these winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Additional wind headlines will likely be issued across much of Southern New England as we get closer to the storm event, specifically Wind Advisories for much of the rest of Eastern New England. These strong winds outside the High Wind Warning area could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with higher amounts possible in areas where heavy rain trains over the same area. This could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region and small river and stream flooding if amounts of more than 3″ occur in a short enough period of time..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region..
..Some accumulating snow and/or ice is possible to likely particularly along the New Hampshire border in Franklin and Northern Worcester Counties extending down into the east slopes of the Berkshires in Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region..

This is the third in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line is very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages. High Wind Watches have now been posted over Eastern Essex and Plymouth Counties Massachusetts from Monday Afternoon into Monday Night for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-60 MPH. Wind Advisories will likely be issued for much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island in future forecasts. A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands where sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60-70 MPH could cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. There isn’t a lot of cold air available but if there is enough cold air for the heaviest precipitation, it could allow for either significant wet snow or icing in these areas and the details here have yet to be worked out and will depend on how cold the lower levels of the atmosphere becomes as the intense coastal storm tracks to our region.
3.) Confidence has increased in widespread heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with the potential for higher amounts in bands across a portion of Eastern New England. This has resulted in flood watches being posted for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM Sunday. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday 1/23/17-Tuesday Morning 1/24/17 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts in the 60-70 MPH range. These winds will likely cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages. Additional wind headlines will likely be issued across much of Southern New England as we get closer to the storm event, specifically Wind Advisories for much of the rest of Eastern New England. These strong winds outside the High Wind Warning area could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with higher amounts possible in areas where heavy rain trains over the same area. This could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region and small river and stream flooding if amounts of more than 3″ occur in a short enough period of time..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region..
..Some accumulating snow and/or ice is likely particularly along the New Hampshire border in Franklin and Northern Worcester Counties extending down into the east slopes of the Berkshires in Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region..

This is the second in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line is very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages. Wind Advisories will likely be issued for much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island in future forecasts and other coastal areas could see winds at the high end of the wind advisory criteria to the low end of the High Wind Warning criteria. A High Wind Warning is in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands where sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60-70 MPH could cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. There isn’t a lot of cold air available but if there is enough cold air for the heaviest precipitation, it could allow for either significant wet snow or icing in these areas and the details here have yet to be worked out and will depend on how cold the lower levels of the atmosphere becomes as the intense coastal storm tracks to our region.
3.) Confidence has increased in widespread heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with the potential for higher amounts in bands across a portion of Eastern New England. This has resulted in flood watches being posted for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region. Another coordination message will be posted by Noon Sunday. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 1/23/17-Tuesday Morning 1/24/17 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH possible. This High Wind Watch could be expanded to other portions of Southern New England coast line with wind advisories also possible for other parts of Eastern New England. These winds could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Heavy Rainfall of 1-3″ highest in Eastern New England could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region. If rainfall amounts were to be in the 3-4″ range, this could result in some flooding of small rivers and streams in areas that receive this rainfall..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region..

This will be the first in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line is very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. There isn’t a lot of cold air available but if there is enough cold air for the heaviest precipitation, it could allow for either significant wet snow or icing in these areas and the details here have yet to be worked out.
3.) Heavy rainfall of 1-3″ is likely, highest in Eastern New England. If higher rainfall amounts of 3-4″ occur, this could lead to a bit more flooding including on small rivers and streams.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday Afternoon 1/17/17-Wednesday 1/18/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Storm system to bring a wintry mix of precipitation to portions of Western and Central New England and Northern Massachusetts near the New Hampshire state border mid-afternoon Tuesday through Wednesday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 10 AM Tuesday Morning to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and up to one tenth of an inch of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 1-4″ of snow with isolated higher amounts near the New Hampshire border and a trace to up to one-tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Connecticut for up to 1″ of snow and up to one tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning and for Central Middlesex County Massachusetts and western Essex County for 1-3″ of snow and a trace of ice. Isolated higher snow and/or ice amounts are possible near the New Hampshire border..
..Areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory are expected to see a brief period of wintry mix before it changes over and remains plain rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible for the first part of the storm depending on how the winter weather unfolds in the advisory area..

A storm system will bring a wintry mix of precipitation to the region. The headlines of this coordination message depict the current scenario but its noted that the key item for this storm will be what the predominant precip type within the wintry mix will be. A small change in temperature profiles could change whether the predominant precipitation is a wet snow, sleet or freezing rain within the advisory area. Outside the advisory area, precipitation is expected to be rain with a brief period of wintry mix at the start possible before changing over to rain. Spotter reports on precipitation type change over and snow/sleet/ice accumulations will be very helpful for this storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning. This will likely be the last complete coordination message for this event. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday Afternoon 1/17/17-Wednesday 1/18/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Storm system to bring a wintry mix of precipitation to portions of Western and Central New England and Northern Massachusetts near the New Hampshire state border mid-afternoon Tuesday through Wednesday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from Noon Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and up to one tenth of an inch of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Eastern Franklin, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow with the highest amounts near the New Hampshire border and up to one-tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 1-3″ of snow and up to one tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Western Essex County Massachusetts from 4 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning and for Central Middlesex County Massachusetts from 1 PM Tuesday afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for 2-4″ of snow with amounts up to 5″ possible near the New Hampshire border and a light coating of ice..
..Areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory are expected to see a brief period of wintry mix before it changes over and remains plain rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning..

A storm system will bring a wintry mix of precipitation to the region. The headlines of this coordination message depict the current scenario but its noted that the key item for this storm will be what the predominant precip type within the wintry mix will be. A small change in temperature profiles could change whether the predominant precipitation is a wet snow, sleet or freezing rain within the advisory area. Outside the advisory area, precipitation is expected to be rain with a brief period of wintry mix at the start possible before changing over to rain. Another coordination message issued tomorrow morning will update any change to the current headlines regarding snowfall and ice amounts and what the predominant form of precipitation will be in the advisory area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Blizzard/Storm Coordination Message #5 – Saturday AM 1/7/17-Sunday AM 1/8/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Major Winter Storm and Blizzard to slam much of Eastern New England with a plowable to significant snowfall now expected in most western parts of Southern New England as the storm track shifts closer to the 40 North/70 West Benchmark. Travel is not recommended this Saturday Afternoon and Evening..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect until 3 AM Sunday for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands for 15-20″ of snow with isolated higher amounts, blizzard conditions, and sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts of 40-50 MPH likely. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The consistency and weight of the snow is expected to be light so the winds and snow are only currently expected to cause minor tree and wire damage though this will be monitored..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 3 AM Sunday for Southern Bristol and Western and Southern Plymouth County Massachusetts for 12-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and considerable blowing and drifting snow with a period of near blizzard conditions as wind gusts get into the 40-45 MPH range..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 1 AM Sunday for all of Rhode Island and Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk and Northern Bristol County Massachusetts for 8-12″ of snow and isolated higher amounts possible along Northeast coastal Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island. Wind gusts to 35 MPH may result in considerable blowing and drifting snow..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 AM Saturday Morning through 11 PM Saturday Evening for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut and Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Northern Worcester, Northern Middlesex, Eastern Hampden Counties of Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut from 9 AM Saturday Morning to 9 PM Saturday Evening for 3-6″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather advisory is now in effect for Franklin, Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts from 9 AM Saturday Morning through 7 PM Saturday Evening for 2-4″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight or 1-2 AM Sunday Morning for this major winter storm. Pictures and video of the major winter storm for situational awareness can be sent to the pics@nsradio.org email address, via our Facebook and/or Twitter feed or as a reply to this coordination message..

The headlines of this coordination message depict the latest information on the now major winter storm/blizzard expected for much of Southern New England, particularly Eastern New England and even into Central New England. Blizzard Warnings are now in effect for Eastern Plymouth County as well as Cape Cod and the Islands due to stronger winds with the closer storm track creating the potential for blizzard conditions defined as 3 consecutive hours of predominant weather conditions with visibility less than a quarter mile and frequent gusts 35 mph or higher and snowfall amounts were nudged upward slightly there and in the prior Winter Storm Warning areas. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories have also been expanded westward. Models have trended the system closer to the 40 North/70 West benchmark which has resulted in these upgrades and heavier snowfall tracking further west into Central New England with a plowable snowfall in Western New England. The western extent of the snow remains the lower confidence portion of the forecast as small shifts in storm track could affect the western extent of the snowfall but the trend has continued to be slightly closer to the coast prompting these changes. There is higher confidence in Warning criteria snowfall in Eastern New England and the potential for blizzard conditions and very high snowfall amounts in Southeast Coastal and interior Southeast Massachusetts.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight Sunday for this major winter storm. This will be the last message on this winter storm. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard Warning/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Saturday AM 1/7/17-Sunday AM 1/8/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..An accumulating/plowable snowfall occurred Friday Morning in Southeast New England with a lighter snowfall elsewhere in the region. A major winter storm will strike Southeast New England with near blizzard conditions likely and a significant plowable snowfall across much of Eastern New England and a lighter snowfall elsewhere..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 7 AM Saturday to 4 AM Sunday for Cape Cod and the Islands, Southern Bristol and all of Plymouth County Massachusetts for 12-16″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and considerable blowing and drifting snow with a period of near blizzard conditions as wind gusts get into the 40-45 MPH range..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 7 AM Saturday to 1 AM Sunday for all of Rhode Island and Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk and Northern Bristol County Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and isolated higher amounts possible along Northeast coastal Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island. Wind gusts to 35 MPH may result in considerable blowing and drifting snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 7 to 10 PM Saturday for Central Middlesex, Southern Worcester and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and Tolland and Windham Counties Connecticut for 3-5″ of snow. Areas outside of the advisory will likely see a coating to 3″ of snow with the 3″ amounts closest to the advisory area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight Sunday for this major winter storm. Pictures and video of the major winter storm for situational awareness can be sent to the pics@nsradio.org email address, via our Facebook and/or Twitter feed or as a reply to this coordination message..

Snowfall Friday Morning accumulated between 3-5″ across Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central Rhode Island with isolated 6-7″ amounts in parts of Cape Cod and the Islands with snowfall rates briefly getting into the 1-2″ per hour range. Lighter snowfall amounts occurred to the north and west. Latest snowfall reports from SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators can be seen at the following links.

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1701062221.nous41.html

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1701062221.nwus51.html

The headlines of this coordination message depict the latest information on the now major winter storm expected for Saturday especially in Southeast Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands where a period of near blizzard conditions are likely with 12″-16″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. Models have maintained a track that will get portions of Eastern New England into significant snowfall of 4-8″ with higher amounts towards Southern Rhode Island and East-Coastal Massachusetts. The one area of uncertainty is where the cutoff of heaviest snow will be as a change in track of 15-20 miles closer to the region could allow for heavier snowfall further north and west into much of the coverage area while a track of 15-20 miles further south and east would mean less snow in northern and western parts of the the advisory and warning areas. This will continue to be monitored in future model runs with snowfall amounts in the northwest portions of the warning and advisory area being adjusted if needed.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight Sunday for this major winter storm. The next coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Friday AM 1/6/17 Winter Storm Wrap-Up & Saturday AM 1/7/17-Sunday AM 1/8/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..An accumulating/plowable snowfall Friday Morning to Midday across Southeast Coastal New England followed by a more significant winter storm for Saturday Morning through late Saturday Night/Sunday Morning across Southern New England as models shift the track of the Saturday Winter Storm Northwestward..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 12 PM Friday for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across interior South-Central Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts, 1-3″ of snow is likely and outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County for the potential of 8 to 15″ of snow. Over the Cape and Islands, Northeast winds will increase with gusts to 40 MPH possible and the potential for blowing and drifting snow and the potential for whiteout conditions..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through late Saturday Night for Windham County Connecticut, all of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and North-Central and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in any significant snow bands or ocean effect enhancement that could occur in the watch area.
..Some areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area may see advisory level snowfall from the Saturday storm system and that will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor snowfall totals in the advisory area through the early afternoon Friday. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for the Saturday Winter Storm with Ops at NWS Taunton possible depending on storm impacts, storm track and trends in that storm track..

Snow is ongoing from the Friday winter storm and will wind down by midday across Southeast New England after producing a period of 1-2″ per hour snow in parts of the region. The headlines of the coordination message depict the current situation well. Latest snowfall reports from SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators can be seen at the following link.

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

Focus of the rest of this coordination message will be on the Saturday Winter Storm system. Models have trended further north and west with this system and this has resulted in the expansion of Winter Storm Watches to much of Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Windham County Connecticut and the raising of snowfall amounts using a consensus of the model guidance. It is noted that Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County near the Plymouth area are likely to see the highest snowfall amounts with the potential for considerable blowing and drifting of snow and a period of whiteout conditions with wind gusts up to 40 MPH possible. Model trends will continue to be monitored to see if the current track holds firm, if a further shift north and west occurs or if the trend in the track reverses. This will ultimately determine the heaviest snow amounts and the extent of that heavier snow over the area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor snowfall totals in the advisory area through the early afternoon Friday. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for the Saturday Winter Storm with Ops at NWS Taunton possible depending on storm impacts, storm track and trends in that storm track. The next coordination message focused on the Saturday winter storm will be posted by 900 PM Friday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Friday Morning 1/6/17 Winter Storm Potential and Saturday AM 1/7/17-Sunday AM 1/8/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..An offshore storm system will affect Southeast New England with accumulating snow with confidence growing in a plowable snowfall for that area for Friday Morning and a track that will see that plowable snowfall cover much of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for Friday Morning. Another storm system has the potential to bring another plowable to possibly significant snowfall some time between Saturday Morning to Sunday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 12 AM to 12 PM Friday for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across interior South-Central Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts, 1-3″ of snow is likely and outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..There will be a sharp northwest cutoff between the heavier accumulating snow and the lighter snowfall area with this offshore storm system. The current trend is for a track slightly closer to the area which resulted in expansion of the Winter Weather Advisory for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning for 6″ or more of snow and there is the potential for advisory level snow in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central RI with this system. Similar to the Friday system, it is an offshore track with a sharp cutoff between heavier snow and lighter snow and also a wide model spread on what could occur with this system..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday..

A couple of storm systems will affect the region, particularly Southeast New England, Friday Morning and again Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking on both storms. Regarding the Saturday storm, models still have a pretty wide spread in solutions and it is noted that one particular model is producing a rather prolific snow event for Southeast New England. In scenarios where there are a wide spread in model solutions, a consensus of models must be reviewed as well as looking at trends in the model guidance. Currently, a Winter Storm Watch for 6″ or more of snow is in effect Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands with advisory level snowfall possible in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central Rhode Island. Future model runs will help better discern the storm potential and whether a closer to the coast track with the Saturday system occurs or if it tracks further offshore.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday. This will be the last coordination message regarding the Friday winter storm system. Another coordination message on the Saturday system will either be posted by 11 AM Friday Morning or not until Friday Evening depending on SKYWARN Self-Activation operations for the Friday Morning winter storm. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Friday Morning 1/6/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..An offshore storm system will affect Southeast New England with accumulating snow with confidence growing in a plowable snowfall for that area..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 11 AM Friday for Southern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for 2-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across the remainder of South Coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island up to the Providence and Taunton Mass area, 1-3″ of snow is likely and parts of this area could see an upgrade to a Winter Weather Advisory area. Outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..There will be a sharp northwest cutoff between the heavier accumulating snow and the lighter snowfall area with this offshore storm system. The current trend is for a track slightly closer to the area and trends will be monitored to see if things remain as they are, continue to trend closer to the area or track further offshore..
..Another storm system could affect Southeast New England late Saturday and Saturday Night. Details on this system will be posted as they become more apparent in future forecasts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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