Storm/Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Message #1 – Friday 6/26/15-Sunday 6/28/15 Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend Weather Information

Hello to all..

..The following is the first in a series of messages on Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend and providing information on the weather during this period. This is a tradition spanning over 13 years for Amateur Radio Operators involved with Field Day and the NWS Taunton SKYWARN Program..
..This year’s Amateur Radio Field Day weekend will feature dry weather conditions Friday into Saturday Afternoon. After that, a windswept rain is expected to develop across much of the NWS Taunton coverage area Saturday Evening through Sunday. This will likely make Amateur Radio Field Day activities wet during the second half of the weekend. Field Day sites are advised to bring rain gear and to prepare for possible windy conditions that could develop as well as for the chance of lightning in any embedded thunderstorm activity that might occur. A widespread 1-3″ of rainfall is likely Saturday Evening into Sunday with the highest amounts currently expected in Western New England though that could change as we get closer to the storm event..
..Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend is an annual event where Ham Operators across the United States setup at Emergency Operations Centers, field locations, home locations etc. to operate and test their equipment and skills and make as many radio contacts as possible during the weekend. Many locations can be visited by the public and Amateur Radio Field Day can be a form of outreach to Ham and non-Ham Operators. It is also noted that several states have given proclamations to Amateur Radio/Ham Radio Operators for either an ‘Amateur Radio Day or Amateur Radio Week’ during the month of June or an ‘Amateur Radio Month’ for this month. It is both a fun/preparatory event for Ham Radio Operators for Emergency Communications scenarios..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely to monitor the Saturday Evening into Sunday storm system. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible depending on the extent of the Saturday Evening to Sunday Morning storm threat..

There are a large number of Amateur Radio Field Day sites across the NWS Taunton Coverage Area and adjacent NWS Coverage Areas. Here are some links to information on these Amateur Radio Field Day Sites from across the region:

Amateur Radio Field Day Information: http://www.arrl.org/field-day
Amateur Radio Field Day National Locator: http://www.arrl.org/field-day-locator
Eastern Massachusetts Field Day Home Page: http://fd.ema.arrl.org/

If there is additional Amateur Radio Field Day information that you would like to appear in these coordination message, please contact me and it will be added to this section of the Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Message. There will likely be a series of Field Day Coordination Messages through Saturday Evening given the potential storm system for Saturday Evening into Sunday.

Friday into Saturday Afternoon will feature largely dry and cool conditions. There could be some scattered showers Friday Morning particularly in South Coastal areas but conditions will improve through the day Friday and then be dry through Saturday Afternoon. High temperatures will be in the low 70s with low temperatures in the 50s with some slightly cooler lows in rural areas. As we get into late Saturday Morning into Saturday Afternoon, clouds will increase and thicken over the region.

As we get into Saturday Evening into Sunday, a review of the model runs understanding that we are 48-72 hours out from the storm event shows strong correlation on a heavy rainfall event in the Saturday Evening to Sunday timeframe. Some models have the start time of rainfall as early as late Saturday Afternoon or early evening while other model runs have the rain starting late Saturday Night or early Sunday Morning in the 10 PM-2 AM timeframe. Heavier rainfall is expected by Sunday Morning and depicted similarly across the various model runs. Both models bring the heaviest rainfall into Western New England but periods of rain, heavy at times will extend into Eastern New England. By storm’s end, rainfall amounts of 1-3″ are likely region wide but the higher rainfall amounts in the range are likely in Western New England and potentially secondarily along the Northeast Massachusetts area bordering New Hampshire. Winds may also be a concern with this storm system but it is a bit premature to get into the details on the winds and how strong they will be. Concerning thunderstorm potential, conditions will actually be quite cool as the storm hits with temperatures in the upper 50s and 60s but the strength of the system could mean embedded thunder and lightning in the heavy rain area and a chance for a few thunderstorms later on Sunday Afternoon depending on the evolution of the storm system. These details will be worked out as we get closer to the storm event. In addition, the axis of heaviest rainfall could shift in future forecasts and will be monitored closely.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely to monitor the Saturday Evening into Sunday storm system. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible depending on the extent of the Saturday Evening to Sunday Morning storm threat. Below is a link to the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook for those interested in checking out weather conditions over the course of Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

As a reminder, during setup and takedown of Amateur Radio Field Day sites and even while operating, be sure to drink plenty of fluids and eat accordingly. Also having a jacket or sweatshirt during evenings as conditions cool etc. may also be useful while operating this year’s Field Day as well as rain gear given the potential for rain and heavy rainfall. The links below features information on Heat Safety though its noted conditions will be cooler than normal with temperatures in the low 70s Friday and Saturday and even cooler during the storm system Saturday Night into Sunday as well as Lightning Safety since this year’s Amateur Radio Field Day weekend coincides with Lightning Safety Awareness Week and Flood Safety Information from the NWS Taunton Flood Safety Awareness Week given the potential for heavy rainfall during the second half of Amateur Radio Field Day weekend:

NWS Heat Safety Rules:
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/heat/index.shtml

NWS Taunton Flood Safety Awareness Week Information:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/flood_awareness_2015.txt

NWS Taunton Lightning Safety Awareness Week Information:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/lightning_safety_awareness_2015.txt

Amateur Radio Field Day sites are encouraged to bring a NOAA All-Hazards Weather Radio and a dedicated Ham Radio that can monitor their local SKYWARN Frequency for their area as a best safety and preparedness practice. Also sites that have mobile Internet capability can utilize that capability as a way to monitor for weather information. With Mobile Internet capability, utilizing Echolink to monitor the New England Reflector system on Echolink Conference Node: 9123/IRLP 9123 would be helpful as well. Please see the link below for the latest SKYWARN Frequency information for the region:
http://beta.wx1box.org/node/37

The next coordination message will be posted by 930 AM Friday Morning.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Post Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday June 23rd, 2015 Severe Weather Event

Hello to all..

..NWS Taunton Survey Team determined that an EF-0 Tornado touched down in Wrentham, MA in the town common area. Straightline wind damage causing power outages in the Falmouth, Hyannis, Barnstable, Centerville, Mass area with wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH from West Island – Fairhaven into the Falmouth, Hyannis, Mass area from late Tuesday Evening severe thunderstorms. A late report from a sailboat in Quissett Harbor Woods Hole measured wind gusts of 70 Knots during the severe thunderstorm..
..Any additional photos, video and damage from the Tuesday 6/23/15 severe weather event can be sent as reply to this message or sent to pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for their photo or video. The photo album on the WX1BOX Facebook page will be updated with new pictures received over the next day or two. This will likely be the last post severe weather coordination message on the Tuesday 6/23/15 severe weather event. Below is the latest NWS Taunton Local Storm Reports, NWS Taunton Public Information Statement Regarding the EF-0 Wrentham Tornado, Amateur Radio log from this storm event and the WX1BOX Facebook Album..

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/lsr_6_23_15.txt

NWS Taunton Public Info Statement:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_6_24_15_wrentham_tor_6_23_15.txt

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log During the Storm Event:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_6_23_15.txt

WX1BOX Facebook Album:
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.1009200565780628.1073741864.216287391738620&type=3

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Post Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday June 23rd, 2015 Severe Weather Event

Hello to all..

..NWS Taunton Survey Team will investigate damage in the Blackstone, Wrentham, Franklin, MA area as well as Woonsocket, RI to determine if the pockets of damage were tornadic or from straight line winds. Straightline wind damage causing power outages in the Falmouth, Hyannis, Barnstable, Centerville, Mass area with wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH from West Island – Fairhaven into the Falmouth, Hyannis, Mass area from late Tuesday Evening severe thunderstorms..
..Any additional photos and video from yesterday or damage from the Tuesday 6/23/15 severe weather event can be sent as reply to this message or sent to pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for their photo or video. Below is the NWS Taunton Local Storm Report, NWS Taunton Public Information Statement Regarding the Survey, Amateur Radio log from this storm event and the WX1BOX Facebook Album..

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Public Info Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log During the Storm Event:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_6_23_15.txt

WX1BOX Facebook Album:
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.1009200565780628.1073741864.216287391738620&type=3

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – Tuesday June 23rd 2015 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Potential significant severe weather outbreak with scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms remains likely across much of Southern New England particularly north and west of a Boston to Providence line but potentially affecting an area as far south and east as the Cape Cod Canal. Damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats but an isolated tornado or two remains possible. Evolution of severe weather potential still has some uncertainty but confidence has increased since Monday Evening..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has expanded the enhanced risk area for severe weather. The enhanced risk area now covers Central and Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, most of Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island. Surrounding the enhanced risk of severe weather, there is a slight risk for severe weather for extreme Southeast Connecticut, the remainder of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts north and west of the Cape Cod Canal and a marginal risk for severe weather for Cape Cod and the Islands. NWS Taunton is in agreement with this assessment..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 12 PM for this potentially significant severe weather event. ARES/RACES Groups should closely monitor the situation and seek advice from local leadership. Pictures and videos will be very helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence and can be sent as a reply to this email, via pics@nsradio.org or via the Facebook, Twitter feeds under WX1BOX. Severe Weather Safety Rules should be reviewed ahead of any severe weather activity..

At 650 AM, Satellite imagery shows mostly clear skies over Southern New England with some scattered clouds. Doppler Radar is showing showers and embedded thunderstorms with heavy rain over Northeastern New York and into Vermont while across South Central New York through Northern Pennsylvania, a complex of severe thunderstorms is moving straight east. The showers and embedded thunderstorms in Northeast New York and Vermont represent the warm front that is moving east-northeast. The activity across South-Central New York through Northern Pennsylvania is expected to reach Southern New England by around Noon if it continues to hold together and would likely constitute the start of the severe weather event. Based on the satellite imagery and latest model runs, there should be sufficient heating and destabilization ahead of this activity to allow for a significant severe weather outbreak. It is also noted that given favorable wind shear profiles and other parameters, provided temperatures can reach the 80s, that will be more than sufficient for a significant severe weather outbreak to occur. Main threats will be damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding but the secondary threat for an isolated tornado or two remains possible. The threat timeframe appears to be slightly earlier. The threat timeframe now appears to be from Noon-8 PM though could extend to 9 or 10 PM in eastern areas. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has expanded the enhanced risk area for severe weather. The enhanced risk area now covers Central and Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, most of Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island. Surrounding the enhanced risk of severe weather, there is a slight risk for severe weather for extreme Southeast Connecticut, the remainder of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts north and west of the Cape Cod Canal and a marginal risk for severe weather for Cape Cod and the Islands. NWS Taunton is in agreement with this assessment.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 12 PM for this potentially significant severe weather event. ARES/RACES Groups should closely monitor the situation and seek advice from local leadership. Severe Weather Safety Rules should be reviewed ahead of any severe weather activity. Pictures and videos will be very helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence and can be sent as a reply to this email, via pics@nsradio.org or via the Facebook, Twitter feeds under WX1BOX. This will be the last coordination message unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement on Severe Weather Potential, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Area Forecast Discussion, SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and NWS Taunton Severe Weather Preparedness Week Information to review severe weather safety rules:

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and Graphics:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Public Information Statements – Severe Weather Preparedness Week:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/severe_weather_awareness_2015.txt

NWS Taunton Severe Weather Preparedness Week Web Page:
http://www.weather.gov/box/SevereWeatherPreparednessWeek

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday June 23rd 2015 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Potential major severe weather outbreak with scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms likely across much of Southern New England particularly north and west of a Boston to Providence line but potentially affecting an area as far south and east as the Cape Cod Canal. Damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats but an isolated tornado or two is also possible. The main caveat to this potential will be evolution of overnight convection and amount of clearing over the region by the midday Tuesday timeframe..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the area of Central and Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut in an enhanced risk of severe weather. Surrounding the enhanced risk of severe weather, there is a slight risk for severe weather for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts north and west of the Cape Cod Canal and a marginal risk for severe weather for Cape Cod and the Islands. NWS Taunton is in agreement with this assessment..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 1 PM for this potentially significant severe weather event and SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor any convection that could organize ahead of the warm front. ARES/RACES Groups should closely monitor the situation and seek advice from local leadership. Severe Weather Safety Rules should be reviewed ahead of any severe weather activity..

At 900 PM Monday Evening, Doppler Radar shows a line of showers in the West-Central New York State area. This activity is moving eastward and has been on a weakening trend. Behind this activity, a line of convection is organizing in the state of Michigan. The evolution of this overnight activity and any cloud cover is the main uncertainty that could affect the severe weather potential for Tuesday. A review of radar and satellite imagery at this time shows a more than sufficient level of clearing between the activity in Michigan and the Western New York activity to set the stage for the severe weather outbreak but we are still more than 18 hours from the event and convective activity in Michigan and its track and timing will ultimately determine the extent of the severe weather potential on Tuesday for Southern New England. At this time, the consensus of model runs and current trends support a scenario where sufficient heating and destabilization will allow for a potent severe weather outbreak for Southern New England. Factors that are confirmed to be in place for the potential for a severe weather outbreak include very strong winds aloft, a strong cold front and triggering mechanism.

The extent of destabilization as well as the wind profiles will determine if there is a large complex of severe thunderstorms enhancing the damaging wind potential or if there will be discreet supercells that would allow for the isolated tornado threat to materialize that would then evolve into a complex of severe thunderstorms or occur out ahead of any complex severe thunderstorms. If cloud cover does not sufficiently break by noon or 1 PM, the severe weather potential would be marginalized to a more isolated, typical Southern New England severe weather event with isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms and would likely be confined to Western New England but this currently appears to be the least likely scenario.

The threat timeframe for severe weather potential is between 2-8 PM though could go as long as 10 or 11 PM particularly in eastern areas of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the area of Central and Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut in an enhanced risk of severe weather. Surrounding the enhanced risk of severe weather, there is a slight risk for severe weather for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts north and west of the Cape Cod Canal and a marginal risk for severe weather for Cape Cod and the Islands. NWS Taunton is in agreement with this assessment. Damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats but an isolated tornado or two remain possible as a secondary threat.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 1 PM for this potentially significant severe weather event and SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor any convection that could organize ahead of the warm front. ARES/RACES Groups should closely monitor the situation and seek advice from local leadership. Severe Weather Safety Rules should be reviewed ahead of any severe weather activity. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Area Forecast Discussion, SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook and NWS Taunton Severe Weather Preparedness Week Information to review severe weather safety rules:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook and Graphics:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1506221732.acus02.html
http://weather.cod.edu/text/products/spc/conOutlookGraphic.php?load=d2-graphic
http://weather.cod.edu/text/products/spc/conOutlookGraphic.php?load=d2-prob

NWS Taunton Public Information Statements – Severe Weather Preparedness Week:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/severe_weather_awareness_2015.txt

NWS Taunton Severe Weather Preparedness Week Web Page:
http://www.weather.gov/box/SevereWeatherPreparednessWeek

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday June 23rd 2015 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Scattered to Numerous Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Tuesday Afternoon and Evening across Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and extreme Northwest Rhode Island. Damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats but a secondary threat for an isolated tornado or two is also possible. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut in a slight risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather further east..
..Threat will be contingent on any cloud debris from any shower and thunderstorm activity that occurs Tuesday Morning and how much destabilization occurs. Many other parameters look quite favorable for severe weather potential including very strong wind shear profiles. This is the most favorable severe weather setup modeled for the spring/summer 2015 season with the understanding that predicting severe weather threats 36-48 hours particularly in Southern New England are more difficult than nor’easter and other major storm events..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message with further details will be posted by 1100 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

NWS Taunton Graphic:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/cwa_template_severe_002.jpg

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Post Tropical Cyclone Bill Impacts – Sunday June 21st, 2015

Hello to all..

..Post Tropical Cyclone Bill will have the potential to bring a soaking rainfall to much of Southern New England with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding in Southeastern New England..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect for Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod and Rhode Island except for Block Island RI from 4 AM Sunday through Sunday Afternoon for 1.5-3 inches of rain with isolated higher amounts possible. If the rain falls in a short enough period of time, urban and poor drainage flooding issues could develop..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rain gauge reports and the urban and poor drainage flood potential Sunday Morning through mid-afternoon..

Post Tropical Cyclone Bill will pass close enough to Southern New England to bring a widespread soaking rainfall to much of Southern New England with the heaviest rainfall of 1.5 to possibly as much as 3″ with isolated higher amounts possible in Southeast New England. A Flood Watch is now in effect for Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod and Rhode Island except for Block Island RI from 4 AM Sunday through Sunday Afternoon. If the rain falls in a short enough period of time, urban and poor drainage flooding could develop particularly in locations in Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts that have these kind of issues in these scenarios.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rain gauge reports and the urban and poor drainage flood potential Sunday Morning through mid-afternoon. This will likely be the only coordination message for this event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Post Tropical Cyclone Bill Advisory Statement:

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

WPC Post Tropical Cyclone Bill Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/HPC/latest.wtnt32.KWNH.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Friday June 12th 2015 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible over Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut and extended into portions of Southern New Hampshire for late Friday Afternoon into Friday Night and the Storm Prediction Center has continued a marginal risk for severe weather for this timeframe. Specifically, the timeframe for severe weather is between 5 PM to 10 PM possibly lasting as long as midnight Friday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 5 PM Friday Afternoon..

A warm front will push northward through Southern New England. Presuming sufficient heating, the atmosphere will destabilize across Northern Connecticut, Western and Central Massachusetts and into Southern New Hampshire. While the cold front will be further west and will not push through until the overnight hours, wind profiles coupled with expected atmospheric destabilization and other parameters should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms late Friday Afternoon and evening across Western New England. SPC has placed Northern Connecticut, Western and Central Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire in a marginal risk for severe weather and the timeframe is between 5-10 PM possibly lasting as long as midnight Friday.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 5 PM Friday Afternoon. This will be the last coordination message on Friday’s severe weather potential unless a significant change to the situation has occurred. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday June 12th 2015 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible over Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut and extended into portions of Southern New Hampshire for late Friday Afternoon into Friday Night and the Storm Prediction Center has placed this region in a marginal risk for severe weather for this timeframe. Specifically, the timeframe for severe weather is between 4 PM to Midnight Friday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely Friday Afternoon and Evening. Another more complete coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1506111738.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday June 9th 2015 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe thunderstorms are possible to likely Tuesday afternoon and evening across much of interior Southern New England north and west of a Boston to Providence line. Strong to damaging winds, hail and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center, SPC, has upgraded interior Southern New England north and west of the Boston to Providence line to a slight risk for severe weather..
..Threat timeframe is from 3-9 PM across the region and is contingent on the degree of heating and destabilization for our area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 230-300 PM EDT..

At 930 AM, Satellite imagery shows an area of clearing in Central New York and Central Pennsylvania moving east and east-northeast into Southern New England. If this clearing can make it into Southern New England and allow for sufficient heating and destabilization, the strong wind fields aloft ahead of an approaching cold front would set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across much of interior Southern New England, north and west of a Boston to Providence line with strong to damaging winds, hail and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center, SPC, has upgraded interior Southern New England north and west of the Boston to Providence line to a slight risk for severe weather. The threat timeframe is from 3-9 PM across the region and is again, contingent on the degree of heating and destabilization for our area. If cloud cover remains over the area, the severe weather potential is more limited but if clearing occurs as expected, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are likely.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 230-300 PM EDT. This will be the last coordination message on the Tuesday Severe Weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement on the Severe Weather Potential, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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