Page 155 – WX1BOX – Amateur Radio Station at NWS Boston/Norton

Freezing Rain Coordination Message #3 – Late Sunday 12/22/13-Monday Morning 12/23/13 Freezing Rain Event

December 23, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Potential for Freezing Rain over northern portions of the NWS Taunton coverage area continues late tonight through midday Monday. Freezing Rain Advisories continue and expanded to Southern Worcester County Massachusetts..
..A Freezing Rain Advisory remains in effect for Hillsborough County New Hampshire through Noon Monday. A Freezing Rain Advisory remains in effect for Cheshire County NH and Essex, Middlesex, and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and is now in effect for Southern Worcester County through 11 AM Monday Morning..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor the situation as ice accretion amounts could cause hazardous travel but is unlikely to accumulate enough to cause significant tree and wire damage though this will continue to be monitored closely..

A Freezing Rain Advisory remains in effect for Hillsborough County New Hampshire through Noon Monday. A Freezing Rain Advisory remains in effect for Cheshire County NH and Essex, Middlesex, and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and is now in effect for Southern Worcester County through 11 AM Monday Morning. The greatest threat for icing will be areas north and west of Route 128 and north of the Mass. Pike though areas along and inside of Route 128 and along the Mass Pike within the advisory area are at some risk for freezing rain and icing so the advisory is in effect through this region.

At this time, the situation looks more like a hazard to roads versus a problem for power outages and tree and wire damage but this will need continued close monitoring and an isolated pocket or two of power outages remain possible. The fact that there has been much lighter precipitation over the advisory area should keep this event largely a road hazard issue though this will continue to be monitored. It is noted that much of Northern New England currently north of the NWS Taunton coverage area have had significant icing the likes of which have not been seen since the December 2008 Ice Storm that hit this area and extended into Southern New Hampshire and Northwest, North Central and Northeast Massachusetts.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor the situation as ice accretion amounts could cause hazardous travel but is unlikely to accumulate enough to cause significant tree and wire damage though this will continue to be monitored closely. This will likely be the last coordination message on this event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Freezing Rain Coordination Message #2 – Sunday 12/22/13 Freezing Rain Event

December 22, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Potential for Freezing Rain over northern portions of the NWS Taunton coverage area continues today through midday Monday. Freezing Rain Advisories extended and expanded in the NWS Taunton Coverage Area..
..A Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Hillsborough County New Hampshire through Noon Monday. A Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Cheshire County NH and Essex, Middlesex, and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts from 4 PM This Sunday Afternoon to 11 AM Monday Morning..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor the situation with Ops at NWS Taunton possible later today depending on potential ice accretion amounts..

A wide temperature contrast continues to exist over Southern New England today. As an example, an Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotter in Ashburnham, MA as of approximately 1045 AM had a temperature of 58 Degrees but in the area from Townsend to Westford to Chelmsford to Haverhill Massachusetts and points northeast temperatures were in the 33-35 degree range. Weather models continue to indicate cold air draining south and west from this area setting up an area for potential freezing rain. Precipitation will start late this afternoon and evening and become steadier during the overnight hours potentially extending into Monday Morning.

Given the trends, a Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Hillsborough County New Hampshire through Noon Monday. A Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Cheshire County NH and Essex, Middlesex, and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts from 4 PM This Sunday Afternoon to 11 AM Monday Morning. The greatest threat for icing will be areas north and west of Route 128 though areas along and inside of Route 128 within the advisory area are at some risk for freezing rain and icing so the advisory is in effect through this region.

At this time, the situation looks more like a hazard to roads versus a problem for power outages and tree and wire damage but this will need continued close monitoring and an isolated pocket or two of power outages remain possible. It is noted that much of Northern New England currently north of the NWS Taunton coverage area is expecting a significant ice storm the likes of which have not been seen since the December 2008 Ice Storm that hit this area and extended into Southern New Hampshire and Northwest, North Central and Northeast Massachusetts.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor the situation with Ops at NWS Taunton later today depending on potential ice accretion amounts. Another coordination message will be issued by 8 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Freezing Rain Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 12/22/13 Freezing Rain Event

December 22, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Potential for Freezing Rain over northern portions of the NWS Taunton coverage area today into Monday Morning..
..A Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Hillsborough County New Hampshire from Noon to Midnight today. Freezing Rain Advisories could be expanded to other parts of North-Central and Northeast Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire later today. This will be highly dependent on how far south the colder temperatures progress into the region..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the situation with Ops at NWS Taunton later today if the Freezing Rain threat increases and expands to other areas..

A wide temperature contrasts exists over Southern New England today. Much of Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Southwest, South-Central and Southeast Massachusetts are in the 50s to even 60 degrees this morning. Areas north and east of Route 2, however, are only in the mid to upper 30s and getting colder as cold air attempts to drain down into these areas in a situation that resembles a back door cold front in spring time versus winter. Temperatures in Hillsborough County NH are expected to get near or possibly below freezing today with rain moving into the area. This has the potential to become a freezing rain situation. A Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Hillsborough County New Hampshire from Noon to Midnight today. Temperatures will be monitored throughout the day and if below freezing temperatures are able to make their way into parts of interior northeast and North-Central Massachusetts, Freezing Rain Advisories could be expanded into this area. At this time, the situation looks more like a hazard to roads versus a problem for power outages and trees and wires but this will need close monitoring and an isolated pocket or two of power outages are possible. It is noted that much of Northern New England currently north of the NWS Taunton coverage area is expecting a significant ice storm the likes of which have not been seen since the December 2008 Ice Storm that hit this area and extended into Southern New Hampshire and Northwest, North Central and Northeast Massachusetts.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the situation with Ops at NWS Taunton later today if the freezing rain threat increases and expands to other areas. Another coordination message will be issued during the afternoon/early evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #2A – Tuesday 12/17/13 Winter Storm Event

December 17, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Storm System On Track to Bring Accumulating Snow and a plowable snowfall to much of Southern New England. Confidence increases on heavier snow for portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast/North-Central Massachusetts results in Winter Storm Warnings being issued for this area. Cape Cod now expected to receive advisory level snowfall with a Winter Weather Advisory issued there..
..A Winter Stom Warning is now in effect through 1 AM Wednesday for Southern New Hampshire, Essex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8 inches of snow with the heaviest snow during and after the evening commute between 4-10 PM..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 10 PM this evening for 2-4 inches of snow. The islands are still expected to receive only a dusting to 2″ of snow at this time. The heaviest snow will likely occur during and after the evening commute between 4-10 PM..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 10 PM Tuesday for Northern Connecticut, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island except for Block Island for 3-5 inches of snow..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor the storm looking for snowfall reports throughout the day on Tuesday. This will be the last coordination message unless another significant upgrade to the situation occurs Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Graphic..

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 12/17/13 Winter Storm Event

December 17, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Storm System On Track to Bring Accumulating Snow and a plowable snowfall to much of Southern New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 7 PM Tuesday for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5 inches of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to 8 PM Tuesday for Suffolk (Metro Boston Area), Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island except for Block Island Rhode Island for 3-5 inches of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to 11 PM Tuesday for Southern New Hampshire, Worcester, Middlesex, and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5 inches of snow..
..The potential continues to exist for a band of heavier snow greater than 5 inches somewhere in the Winter Weather Advisory area. At greatest risk are parts of Northeast and North-Central Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire though it could setup elsewhere within the advisory areas in Eastern New England..
..Over Cape Cod and the Islands, rain is expected to mix with the snow keeping amounts in the coating to 2 inch range..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm looking for snowfall reports throughout the day on Tuesday..

A storm system is moving into the area from the west and will intensify offshore of Southern New England. Snow has started in portions of Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut as of 830 AM.

The storm will bring a plowable snowfall and a general snow accumulation of 3-5″ to much of Southern New England. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for much of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands where a mix of snow and rain will keep amounts lower and in the coating to 2 inch range. The morning commute should not be impacted across most of the region though western areas are seeing the snow start near the end of the morning commute. The evening commute will see direct impact from this storm event with the heaviest snowfall likely between 3-8 PM across the region.

The uncertainties with this particular storm event will be how much moisture is associated with the system and when and how quickly the storm intensifies but a general 3-5 inch snowfall is still the most likely outcome currently though its noted models had higher precipitation amounts over portions of the area, particularly in Eastern New England. Models are continuing to hint at the potential for a heavier band of snow to setup within the general Winter Weather Advisory area. If this were to occur, it could create an area of snowfall greater than 5 inches somewhere within the advisory area. It is difficult to know the exact area of where this band may setup but current possibilities are over portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts and possibly other parts of Eastern New England. The timing of the heavier snow band formation is likely to be during and just after the evening commute.

It is noted that the snowfall graphic will show a more widespread 4-6″ snowfall versus the prior update. This is due to the fact the graphic will not allow for a 3-5″ range of snow totals. It only allows for 2-4″ or 4-6″ ranges. The most likely scenario is for 3-5″ with a band of potentially higher snowfall of greater than 5″ potentially in the Northeast Massachusetts/Southern New Hampshire region and possibly affecting other parts of Eastern New England.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized for this storm event looking for snowfall reports throughout the day. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 12/17/13 Winter Storm Event

December 17, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Storm System to Bring Accumulating Snow and a plowable snowfall to much of Southern New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM to 6 PM Tuesday for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4 inches of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to 7 PM Tuesday for Suffolk (Metro Boston Area), Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island except for Block Island Rhode Island for 2-4 inches of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to 9 PM Tuesday for Southern New Hampshire, Worcester, Middlesex, and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5 inches of snow..
..The potential exists for a band of heavier snow greater than 5 inches somewhere in the Winter Weather Advisory area. At greatest risk are parts of Northeast and North-Central Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire though it could setup elsewhere within the advisory areas..
..Over Cape Cod and the Islands, rain is expected to mix with the snow keeping amounts in the coating to 2 inch range..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm looking for snowfall reports throughout the day on Tuesday..

A storm system will move into the area from the west and begin to intensify offshore of Southern New England. The storm will bring a plowable snowfall and a general snow accumulation of 2-5″ to much of Southern New England. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for much of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands where a mix of snow and rain will keep amounts lower and in the coating to 2 inch range. The morning commute should not be impacted across most of the region though western areas could see snow start near the end of or just after the morning commute. The evening commute will see direct impact from this storm event.

The uncertainties with this particular storm event will be how much moisture is associated with the system and when and how quickly the storm intensifies but a general 2-5 inch snowfall is the most likely outcome currently. Models are also hinting at the potential for a heavier band of snow to setup within the general Winter Weather Advisory area. If this were to occur, it could create an area of snowfall greater than 5 inches somewhere within the advisory area. It is difficult to know the exact area of where this band may setup but current possibilities are over portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts and possibly other parts of Eastern New England. The timing of the heavier snow band formation could be during the evening commute. Future model runs and trends will be monitored for this potential.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized for this storm event looking for snowfall reports throughout the day. Another coordination message will be issued by 9 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Saturday 12/14/13-Sunday 12/15/13 Winter Storm Event

December 14, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm on track to affect much of Southern New England with Heavy Snow and a wintry mix of precipitation. Light Snows have commenced across portions of Northern Connecticut..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 1 PM Sunday Afternoon for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County in Rhode Island and in Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west including the Metro Boston region. Total snowfall of 6-12 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 14″ possible over portions of Northwest Massachusetts and Southwest New Hampshire with a trace to a tenth inch of ice in portions of Massachusetts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Southeast Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow, a trace of ice and wind gusts up to 40 MPH..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Newport County RI, and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-5″ of snow for much of the advisory area and a trace of ice with sustained winds of 20-30 MPH and gusts to 50 MPH likely. Isolated higher amounts are possible west of the Cape Cod Canal with amounts closer to 2 inches over the Outer Cape, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Island. The snow and ice accumulations and strong winds may cause isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Some Uncertainty still exists on exact snowfall and icing amounts which will depend on any changeover in precipitation particularly in areas along and south of the Massachusetts Turnpike..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands from 11 AM Saturday Night to 7 AM Sunday Morning for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds may bring isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 8 AM-Noon for the morning high tide cycle of East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding of shore roads due to high tide..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is currently expected to start at 600 PM Saturday Evening. It is noted that the heaviest snowfall and strongest winds are expected during overnight hours so Ops during overnight hours at some level appear likely..

A coastal winter storm that has been modeled for several days remains likely for Southern New England. Light snow has started across portions of Connecticut.

Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect for Southern New Hampshire, all of interior Massachusetts including the Metro Boston area and Northeast Coastal Massachusetts through Norfolk County Massachusetts as well as Northern Connecticut, and Northwest Providence Counties of Rhode Island. Total snowfall of 6-12″ are likely with isolated higher amounts of up to 14 inches in Northwest Massachusetts and Southwest New Hampshire. Portions of Massachusetts may also see a trace to one-tenth inch of ice accumulation as well.

A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Southeast Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow, a trace of ice and wind gusts up to 40 MPH. This replaces the Winter Storm Watch for this region.

A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Newport County RI, and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-5″ of snow for much of the advisory area and a trace of ice with sustained winds of 20-30 MPH and gusts to 50 MPH likely. Isolated higher amounts are possible west of the Cape Cod Canal with amounts closer to 2 inches over the Outer Cape, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Island. The snow and ice accumulations and strong winds may cause isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages.

There remains some uncertainty in exact snow and ice amounts particularly along and south of the Mass. Pike to the Cape Cod Canal and this will be dependent on the timing of the precipitation type changeover. If the storm tracks a bit closer to the coast, it will allow for mixed precipitation further inland. A track slightly more offshore would allow for more snow to occur in areas that are currently expected to get some mixed precipitation. It is noted the air remains very cold over the area with strong high pressure to the north of New England. Precipitation type changeover reports in addition to snow and ice total reports, wind measurement and wind damage reports will be critical during this storm.

A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 8-12 AM Sunday. Minor coastal flooding could occur at the time of the Sunday Morning high tide resulting in lane or road closures along most exposed north and east facing beaches in this area.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is currently expected to start at 600 PM Saturday Evening. It is noted that the heaviest snowfall and strongest winds are expected during overnight hours so Ops during overnight hours at some level appear likely. This will be the last coordination message on this storm system as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map (the map breaks down the snowfall ranges more specifically):

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Saturday 12/14/13-Sunday 12/15/13 Winter Storm Event

December 13, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm on track to affect much of Southern New England with Heavy Snow and a wintry mix of precipitation..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 1 PM Saturday Afternoon to 1 PM Sunday Afternoon for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County in Rhode Island and in Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west including the Metro Boston region. Total snowfall of 6-10 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts followed by a trace of ice is likely..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Southeast Providence and Western Kent Counties in Rhode Island, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and has been extended into Eastern Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island. Total snowfall of 4-6 inches of snow and a trace of ice are possible in this area. Snowfall in this area is near the threshold of advisory level versus warning level snowfall currently..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch/Warning area could potentially receive 2-5″ of snow along South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island west of the Cape Cod Canal before a changeover to rain. Over Cape Cod and the Islands, 1-2″ of snow/ice is expected before a change over to rain..
..Some Uncertainty still exists on exact snowfall and icing amounts which will depend on any changeover in precipitation..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 8 AM-Noon for the morning high tide cycle of East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding of shore roads due to high tide. Portions of Cape Cod and the Islands could potentially see 40-50 MPH wind gusts during Sunday Morning..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is currently expected to start at 600 PM Saturday Evening. It is noted that the heaviest snowfall is expected between roughly 10 PM Saturday Night-4 AM Sunday Morning and this may mean some level of overnight ops for this storm system..

A coastal winter storm that has been modeled for several days remains likely for Southern New England. Winter Storm Watches have been upgraded to Winter Storm Warnings for Southern New Hampshire, all of interior Massachusetts including the Metro Boston area and Northeast Coastal Massachusetts through Norfolk County Massachusetts as well as Northern Connecticut, and Northwest Providence Counties of Rhode Island. Total snowfall of 6-10″ with isolated higher amounts followed by a changeover to sleet and freezing rain producing a trace of ice accumulation.

A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Southeast Providence and Western Kent Counties in Rhode Island, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and has been extended into Eastern Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island. Total snowfall of 4-6 inches of snow and a trace of ice are possible in this area. Snowfall in this area is near the threshold of advisory level versus warning level snowfall currently. The watch will likely be converted to a Winter Weather Advisory or Winter Storm Warning in future updates.

Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch/Warning area could potentially receive 2-5″ of snow along South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island west of the Cape Cod Canal before a changeover to rain. Winter Weather Advisories could be issued for areas west of Cape Cod and the Islands. Over Cape Cod and the Islands, 1-2″ of snow/ice is expected before a change over to rain.

There remains some uncertainty in exact snow and ice amounts and this will be dependent on the timing of the precipitation type changeover. If the storm tracks a bit closer to the coast, it will allow for mixed precipitation further inland. A track slightly more offshore would allow for more snow to occur in areas that are currently expected to get mixed precipitation.

A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 8-12 AM Sunday. Minor coastal flooding could occur resulting in one lane or road closures along most exposed north and east facing beaches in this area. Also, over portions of the Cape Cod and the Islands, there is the potential for wind gusts of 40-50 MPH which will also be monitored.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is currently expected to start at 600 PM Saturday Evening. It is noted that the heaviest snowfall is expected between roughly 10 PM Saturday Night-4 AM Sunday Morning and this may mean some level of overnight ops for this storm system. Another coordination message will be issued by Noon Saturday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map (the map breaks down the snowfall ranges more specifically):

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday 12/14/13-Sunday 12/15/13 Winter Storm Event

December 13, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..A Winter Storm is poised to affect much of Southern New England with Heavy Snow and a potential for a wintry mix of precipitation..
..A Winter Storm Watch Is Now In Effect from Saturday Afternoon to Sunday Morning for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Providence and Western Kent Counties of Northern Rhode Island and in Massachusetts from Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties north and west to the state line. The potential exists for 6-12 inches of snow followed by a trace to a tenth inch of ice. Advisory level snow and ice (2-6″ along with a trace of ice) are possible from just south of the Winter Storm Watch area to the Cape Cod Canal before a changeover to rain with 1-2″ of snow/ice on Cape Cod and the Islands before a change over to rain. Uncertainty still exists on exact snowfall and icing amounts which will depend on any changeover in precipitation..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely during Saturday Afternoon/Night and Sunday Morning..

A Winter Storm that has been modeled for several days is likely for Southern New England. There has been some question as far as the intensity of the storm system and precipitation type but heavy amounts of precipitation are likely. A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for Southern New Hampshire, all of interior Massachusetts including the Metro Boston area and Northeast Coastal Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut, and Providence and Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island. The initial preliminary totals is for 6-12″ of snow over the Winter Storm Watch area followed by a changeover to sleet and freezing rain producing a trace to a tenth inch of ice accumulation. Areas south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area are likely to see a period of snow and ice with 2-6″ of snow accumulation and a trace of ice before a changeover to rain from just south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area to the Cape Cod Canal with 1-2″ of snow across Cape Cod and the Islands before a changeover to rain. There remains uncertainty as far as exact snow and ice totals across the region. Models had trended colder with this storm for a time but are now implying more mixed precipitation particularly in Southeastern New England though this could extend further north and west. Future model runs should better delineate the rain/snow/ice line across the region.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely during Saturday Afternoon/Night and Sunday Morning. Another coordination message will be issued by 11 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map (the map breaks down the snowfall ranges more specifically):

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday December 10th, 2013 Snow Event

December 10, 2013 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Plowable Snowfall for Portions of Southern New England particularly along and South of the Massachusetts Turnpike..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands through 5 PM This Evening. Total snowfall of 2-4″ of snow are expected with isolated higher amounts of 4-6″ possible in portions of South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands..
..Along and north of the Mass. Pike 1-2″ of snow is expected with an Inch or less near the New Hampshire/Massachusetts border and into Southern New Hampshire..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm looking for snowfall reports from around the region during the day and evening hours. This will likely be the only coordination message issued for today’s storm unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

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