Storm Coordination Message #4 – Wednesday Morning 3/21/18-Thursday Morning 3/22/18 Major Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Unfortunately, yet another nor’easter, the 4th nor’easter this month, is on target and taking aim on Southern New England Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning with potential significant impacts from heavy snowfall and potentially a wet snowfall, strong to damaging winds and a greater risk for one to two tide cycles of minor to moderate coastal flooding due to higher astronomical tides..
..Uncertainty has increased in exact snowfall amounts due to spread in the models on where the northwest cutoff of the snow is and possible mixed precipitation type issues for some coastal areas particularly Cape Cod and the Islands and the possibility dry air causes lighter precipitation. For now, the current forecast continues. Worst conditions for snow and wind will be from late this afternoon through Wednesday Night..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 8 AM Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday for Northern Connecticut, all of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth, Barnstable and Dukes Counties of Massachusetts for 5-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. In Barnstable County, the highest amounts will be closer to the Cape Cod Canal. The snow will be heavy and wet and with wind gusts in western interior areas to 35 MPH and central to eastern areas of 40-55 MPH with higher gusts to 60 MPH possible in coastal areas, isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages are likely..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 2 PM Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday for Essex, Northern Worcester, North-Central Middlesex and Hampden Counties Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow. Franklin and Hampshire Counties are expected to get 1-3″ of snow with similar amounts on Nantucket where Nantucket sees mixed precipitation..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 8 AM Wednesday through Noon Thursday for Cape Cod and the Islands. A High Wind Warning is in effect from 8 AM Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday for Block Island RI. The High Wind Warnings are for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds along with wet snow accumulation could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 8 AM Wednesday to 8 AM Thursday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and a Wind Advisory is now in effect from 11 AM Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday for Eastern Essex, Eastern Norfolk and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts. The wind advisories are for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds along with wet snow accumulation could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for the late Wednesday Night high tide cycle for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of this high tide cycle and the Thursday Afternoon tide cycle may also be impacted as well. A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for Eastern Essex, Eastern Norfolk and Suffolk Counties from Midnight to 6 AM Thursday for minor coastal flooding of shore roads..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will be handled from home stations for this storm event. No changes to reporting methods will be made. The statements and reports may have less reports than normal. Social media/emails with reports collected into the WX1BOX team will be disseminated to help provide situational awareness given the office move affected reports in NWS statements. Pictures and videos from this storm system can be sent in as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the pictures/videos..

Unfortunately, another nor’easter is taking aim on Southern New England. Track guidance overnight as struggled to coalesce further with a wide variation in the northwest cutoff of precipitation as well as the amount of dry air that could get entrenched over the area and where that ends up along with mixed precipitation issues over the coastal areas particularly Cape Cod and the Islands. Also the heaviest snow is expected towards late afternoon and Wednesday Night from southwest to northeast across the area. The headlines provide the current thinking which is little changed from prior updates. Key items for this storm system:

1.) Track guidance is close enough to the coast means higher snow amounts but along and south of the Mass Pike based on a track south and east of the benchmark currently. It also means more snow across South Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard with a setup between the strong to damaging winds and wet snow for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The Winter Storm Watch for North-Central and Northeast Massachusetts has been changed to a Winter Weather Advisory. There still could be more changes to the forecast given model spread on heaviest precipitation, dry air and mixed precipitation.
2.) The astronomical high tides are higher so that means a bit higher risk for at least minor to moderate coastal flooding on the Wednesday Night high tide cycle and possibly affecting the Thursday afternoon high tide cycle as well. A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect now for Northeast Coastal Massachusetts while a Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for Eastern Plymouth County, Cape Cod and Nantucket as it isn’t clear for the watch area whether coastal flooding will be more minor in nature or if it will remain in the moderate category.
3.) The strong to damaging winds and potentially heavy wet snow could cause another round of isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The current track and intensity support this scenario in areas where Winter Storm Warnings and Wind Advisories/High Wind Warnings are in effect.

SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will be handled from home stations for this storm event. No changes to reporting methods will be made. The statements and reports may have less reports than normal. Social media/emails with reports collected into the WX1BOX team will be disseminated to help provide situational awareness given the office move affected reports in NWS statements. Pictures and videos from this storm system can be sent in as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the pictures/videos. Another coordination message will be posted by 7 AM Wednesday Morning.

Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Watch/Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook briefing:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch/Advisory Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Storm Briefing:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1662619443832420/1662618757165822/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Wednesday Morning 3/21/18-Thursday Morning 3/22/18 Major Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Unfortunately, yet another nor’easter, the 4th nor’easter this month, is on target and taking aim on Southern New England Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning with potential significant impacts from heavy snowfall and potentially a wet snowfall, strong to damaging winds and a greater risk for one to two tide cycles of minor to moderate coastal flooding due to higher astronomical tides..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 8 AM Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday for Northern Connecticut, all of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth, Barnstable and Dukes Counties of Massachusetts for 5-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. In Barnstable County, the highest amounts will be closer to the Cape Cod Canal. The snow will be heavy and wet and with wind gusts in western interior areas to 35 MPH and central to eastern areas of 40-55 MPH with higher gusts to 60 MPH possible in coastal areas, isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages are likely..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 2 PM Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday for Hampden County Massachusetts for 3-5″ of snow. The Winter Storm Watch for Franklin and Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts has been cancelled as only 1-3″ of snow is expected in this area..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Worcester, North-Central Middlesex and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and Winds gusts of 25-35 MPH are expected in the interior western parts of the Winter Storm Watch area with wind gusts between 40-60 MPH in Northeast Massachusetts. These winds with wet snow may cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 8 AM Wednesday through Noon Thursday for Cape Cod and the Islands. A High Wind Warning is in effect from 8 AM Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday for Block Island RI. The High Wind Warnings are for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds along with wet snow accumulation could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 8 AM Wednesday to 8 AM Thursday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and a Wind Advisory is now in effect from 11 AM Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday for Eastern Essex, Eastern Norfolk and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts. The wind advisories are for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds along with wet snow accumulation could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for the late Wednesday Night high tide cycle for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of this high tide cycle and the Thursday Afternoon tide cycle may also be impacted as well..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will be handled from home stations for this storm event. No changes to reporting methods will be made. The statements and reports may have less reports than normal. Social media/emails with reports collected into the WX1BOX team will be disseminated to help provide situational awareness given the office move affected reports in NWS statements. Pictures and videos from this storm system can be sent in as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the pictures/videos..

Unfortunately, another nor’easter is taking aim on Southern New England. The trend with these storm systems this month has been to have the storm systems look further offshore in the 3-5 day period only to come closer to coast in the under 3-day period and that seems to be the case for this system as well. The track guidance continues to coalesce to be a storm system with significant impacts to our region once again though there is a sharp northwest cutoff that has been illustrated and the solution has turned a bit colder for the South coast of Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard with Winter Storm Warnings in effect for those areas. Also the heaviest snow is expected towards late afternoon and Wednesday Night from southwest to northeast across the area. The headlines provide the current thinking. Key items for this storm system:

1.) Track guidance is close enough to the coast means higher snow amounts but along and south of the Mass Pike based on a track south and east of the benchmark currently. It also means more snow across South Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard with a setup between the strong to damaging winds and wet snow for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for North-Central and Northeast Massachusetts as these areas may remain in the heavier snowfall area.
2.) The astronomical high tides are higher so that means a bit higher risk for at least minor to moderate coastal flooding on the Wednesday Night high tide cycle and possibly affecting the Thursday afternoon high tide cycle as well.
3.) The strong to damaging winds and potentially heavy wet snow could cause another round of isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The current track and intensity support this scenario in areas where Winter Storm Warnings and Wind Advisories/High Wind Warings are in effect.

SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will be handled from home stations for this storm event. No changes to reporting methods will be made. The statements and reports may have less reports than normal. Social media/emails with reports collected into the WX1BOX team will be disseminated to help provide situational awareness given the office move affected reports in NWS statements. Pictures and videos from this storm system can be sent in as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the pictures/videos. Another coordination message will be posted by 7 AM Wednesday Morning.

Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook briefing:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Storm Briefing:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1662090640551967/1662090577218640/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday Morning 3/21/18-Thursday Morning 3/22/18 Major Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Unfortunately, yet another nor’easter, the 4th nor’easter this month, is on target and taking aim on Southern New England Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning with potential significant impacts from heavy snowfall and potentially a wet snowfall, strong to damaging winds and a greater risk for one to two tide cycles of minor to moderate coastal flooding due to higher astronomical tides..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 8 AM Wednesday to 8 AM Thursday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Northern Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties Massachusetts for 10-14″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. The snow will be heavy and wet and with wind gusts in western interior areas to 35 MPH and central to eastern areas of 40-55 MPH with higher gusts to 60 MPH possible in coastal areas, isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages are likely..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard for 3-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in the 6-10″ range closer to the Cape Cod Canal area and strong to damaging winds with wet snow have the potential to produce isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Southern Rhode Island, Eastern Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden Counties, Northern Worcester, North-Central Middlesex, Essex, Southern Bristol and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for total snowfall of 6-12″ with isolated higher amounts or bands of higher amounts of snow of up to 14″. Winds gusts of 25-35 MPH are expected in the interior western parts of the Winter Storm Watch area with wind gusts between 40-60 MPH in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. These winds with wet snow may cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for South Coastal Rhode Island and East and South Coastal Massachusetts for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds along with wet snow accumulation could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for the late Wednesday Night high tide cycle for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of this high tide cycle and the Thursday Afternoon tide cycle may also be impacted as well..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will most likely be done from Amateur Radio home stations for this storm event. This will be updated as needed..

Unfortunately, another nor’easter is taking aim on Southern New England. The trend with these storm systems this month has been to have the storm systems look further offshore in the 3-5 day period only to come closer to coast in the under 3-day period and that seems to be the case for this system as well. The track guidance continues to coalesce to be a storm system with significant impacts to our region once again. The headlines provide the current thinking. Key items for this storm system:

1.) Track guidance closer to the coast means higher snow amounts and this could increase more depending on the track provided it stays along or just east of the benchmark. This could also mean higher wind speeds depending on storm system intensity. Some mixed precipitation is possible at the coast which is why Winter Storm Watches remain in place there but heavier precipitation may offset the threat of mixed precipitation during the event. Northern and western parts of the area may have lighter snowfall depending on the northwest cut off the storm which is why Winter Storm Watches remain in place there.
2.) The astronomical high tides are higher so that means a bit higher risk for at least minor to moderate coastal flooding on the Wednesday Night high tide cycle and possibly affecting the Thursday afternoon high tide cycle as well.
3.) The strong to damaging winds and potentially heavy wet snow could cause another round of isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages and will depend on storm track and intensity.

SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will most likely be done from Amateur Radio home stations for this storm event. This will be updated as needed. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Maps:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday Morning 3/21/18-Thursday Morning 3/22/18 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Unfortunately, yet another nor’easter, the 4th nor’easter this month, will take aim on Southern New England Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning with potential significant impacts from heavy snowfall and potentially a wet snowfall, strong to damaging winds and a greater risk for one to two tide cycles of minor to moderate coastal flooding due to higher astronomical tides..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire and Eastern Hampden Counties eastward through the rest of Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for total snowfall of 5-8″ with isolated higher amounts or bands of higher amounts of snow of up to 12″. Winds gusts of 25-35 MPH are expected in the interior western parts of the Winter Storm Watch area with wind gusts between 40-55 MPH in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. These winds with wet snow may cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for the late Wednesday Night high tide cycle for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of this high tide cycle and the Thursday Afternoon tide cycle may also be impacted as well..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will most likely be done from Amateur Radio home stations for this storm event. This will be updated as needed..

Unfortunately, another nor’easter is taking aim on Southern New England. The trend with these storm systems this month has been to have the storm systems look further offshore in the 3-5 day period only to come closer to coast in the under 3-day period and that seems to be the case for this system as well. The headlines provide the current thinking. Key items for this storm system:

1.) Track guidance closer to the coast means higher snow amounts and this could increase more depending on the track provided it stays along or just east of the benchmark. This could also mean higher wind speeds depending on storm system intensity.
2.) The astronomical high tides are higher so that means a bit higher risk for at least minor to moderate coastal flooding on the Wednesday Night high tide cycle and possibly affecting the Thursday afternoon high tide cycle as well.
3.) The strong winds and potentially heavy wet snow could cause another round of isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages and will depend on storm track and intensity.

SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will most likely be done from Amateur Radio home stations for this storm event. This will be updated as needed. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Maps:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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Post Storm Coordination Message #1 – Major Nor’easter Storm Summaries for 3/2/18- 3/4/18 & 3/8/18-3/9/18 Major Winter Storms & Tuesday 3/13/18 Blizzard

Hello to all…

..Three major coastal storm/nor’easters, one of which was a blizzard, slam Southern New England on Friday 3/2/18-Sunday 3/4/18, Wednesday 3/7/18-Thursday 3/8/18 and Tuesday 3/13/18. Each storm brought significant severe weather types..
..The 3/2/18-3/14/18 major nor’easter brought heavy rainfall with river/stream/urban flooding, some heavy wet snow to far northern and western parts of the coverage area, hurricane force wind gusts with widespread pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages and numerous cycles of coastal flooding with several tide cycles of severe coastal flooding. At the height of the storm, 455,000 were without power in Massachusetts..
..The 3/7/18-3/8/18 major nor’easter brought heavy wet snowfall with widespread pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages to Connecticut, interior Rhode Island and Western, Central and Northeastern Massachusetts with strong wind gusts in the 50-60 MPH with heavy rainfall in Southeastern New England and minor coastal flooding in East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands. At the height of the storm, 350,000 were without power in Massachusetts and 135,000 were without power in Connecticut..
..The 3/13/18 major nor’easter brought a blizzard to portions of Eastern New England, widespread heavy snowfall of 10-20″ with higher amounts of 20-28″ in Northeastern and North-Central Massachusetts, hurricane force wind gusts to Cape Cod and the Islands and Southeast New England where the hurricane force wind gusts and wet snow caused widespread pockets of tree and power line damage, and minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide. At the height of the storm, 250,000 were without power in Massachusetts with 23,000 without power in Rhode Island..
..Pictures and videos from these three major nor’easters can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds or through the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the photos and videos. Photos will be posted to the WX1BOX Facebook Albums for each storm as they are received through the end of March..
..Below are links for each storm with the Raw Amateur Radio logs of reports, the NWS Taunton Local Storm Reports, NWS Taunton Public Information Statements of spotter reports including a special Public Information Statement classifying Blizzard conditions for the Tuesday 3/13/18 Blizzard and the WX1BOX Facebook Albums for each storm system..
..It is too early to comment on a potential nor’easter for Wednesday into Thursday of this week but all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators should monitor forecasts and statements over the next few days..

Friday 3/2/18-Sunday 3/4/18 – Raw Amateur Radio logs:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_2_18_3_3_18.txt
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_4_18.txt

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report – Friday 3/2/18-Sunday 3/4/18 – Major Nor’easter:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/LSR_3_2_18_3_4_18.txt

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Friday 3/2/18-Sunday 3/4/18 – Major Nor’easter:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/PNS_3_2_18_to_3_3_18.txt

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album – Friday 3/2/18-Sunday 3/4/18 – Major Nor’easter:
https://www.facebook.com/pg/wx1box/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1884897344877608

Wednesday 3/7/18-Thursday 3/8/18 – Raw Amateur Radio Logs:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_7_18.txt

NWS Taunton Local Storm Reports – Wednesday 3/7/18-Thursday 3/8/18 – Major Winter Storm:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/LSR_3_8_18.txt

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Wednesday 3/7/18-Thursday 3/8/18 – Major Winter Storm:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/PNS_3_7_18_to_3_8_18.txt

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album – Wednesday 3/7/18-Thursday 3/8/18 – Major Winter Storm/Nor’easter:
https://www.facebook.com/pg/wx1box/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1886847021349307

Tuesday March 13th, 2018 – Raw Amateur Radio Logs:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_13_18_5.txt
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_13_18_4.txt
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_13_18_3.txt
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_13_18_2.txt
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_13_18.txt

NWS Taunton Local Storm Reports – Tuesday March 13th, 2018 Blizzard:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/LSR_3_14_18.txt

NWS Taunton Public Information Statements – Tuesday March 13th, 2018 Blizzard Snowfall & Wind Gust Reports:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/PNS_3_13_18_3_14_18.txt

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Tuesday March 13th, 2018 Blizzard:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/blizzard_3_14_18.txt

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album – Tuesday March 13th, 2018 Blizzard/Major Winter Storm/Nor’easter:
https://www.facebook.com/pg/wx1box/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1897111876989488

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

 

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Special Announcement: Post Storm Message Update and NWS Taunton Move to Norton Update

Hello to all…

..Post Storm Msg Update from a “hat trick” of nor’easters to be posted by Saturday. We have started Facebook Photo Albums for the first two storms on the WX1BOX Facebook Page and a third photo album for the 3/13/18 blizzard will be started today. Any damage photos/videos from any of the 3 storms can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org.
..Below is the latest information on the NWS Taunton Move to Norton which is scheduled to take place on Tuesday March 20th including new phone numbers for the facility. Please note that the NWS office 800 Spotter line is unchanged…

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – NWS Office Move Update:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_nwstaunton_move.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Blizzard/Storm Coordination Message #4 – Monday Evening 3/12/18-Tuesday Evening 3/13/18 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Another significant coastal storm with heavy snowfall across much of Southern New England with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions for Eastern New England and strong to damaging winds. Coastal flooding will be at minor levels in Northeast Coastal Massachusetts and Marthas Vineyard with minor to moderate coastal flooding in Eastern Plymouth County, Cape Cod and Nantucket given lower astronomical tides during this significant coastal storm event. Confidence in at least a level of accumulating snow and strong winds is very high with confidence level on a high impact event moderate to high at this time..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect from 11 PM Monday Evening to 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Eastern Essex, Plymouth, Barnstable and Dukes Counties of Massachusetts for 10-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 20″, sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH with isolated higher gusts likely. Snow in this area is likely to be heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is remains in effect for all of Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for 10-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in Eastern New England. Winds will be sustained at 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35-40 MPH in Central Massachusetts and sustained winds at 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH across Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts with near blizzard conditions expected. Snow along south coastal areas of Eastern Massachusetts and possibly Rhode Island maybe heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for Nantucket Island from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for 5-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. The snow in this area could be heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages. This area is the most problematic in terms of snowfall accumulation and rain/snow mix holding down snowfall amounts. If heavy snow coincides with the strongest winds, near blizzard conditions are expected..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Northern Connecticut and Western Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The snow in this area will “not” be heavy and wet so main impacts will be to travel in this area from heavy snowfall and reduced visibilities..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Nantucket for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. These winds along with snow accumulation will likely cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages. The remainder of the coastal area under the High Wind Watch is now covered under the Blizzard Warning..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect from 8 AM-Noon Tuesday for the Tuesday Morning high tide cycle for Eastern Plymouth County, Cape Cod and Nantucket for moderate coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of the morning high tide cycle. A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 8 AM-Noon Tuesday for the Tuesday Morning high tide cycle for Eastern Essex and Dukes Counties of Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of the morning high tide cycle..
..ARES/RACES Groups in Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts should closely monitor the progress of this system and seek advice from their local leadership. Pictures and videos from this latest coastal storm event can be sent to WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds, sent to pics@nsradio.org or as a reply to this email and will be shared with emergency management, non-governmental organizations and other outlets. Credit will be given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 4 AM Tuesday Morning..

Another significant coastal storm with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is going to affect the region late Monday Night into Tuesday. There is continued confidence on a significant system with high confidence in significant accumulating snow and strong winds and at least moderate to high confidence in a high impact event. The headlines depict the current thinking which is an upgrade to a Blizzard Warning for Eastern Essex, Plymouth, Barnstable and Dukes Counties of Massachusetts with a Winter Storm Warning remaining in effect across all of Southern New England. A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Nantucket Island as depicted in the headlines. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The current thinking is that the snow consistency won’t be quite as heavy and wet as the prior storm system with the exception of areas along East and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and possibly South Coastal Rhode Island closer to the rain-snow line. This area stands the greatest risk for tree and wire damage from heavy wet snow and damaging winds. Also, Nantucket remains in the Winter Storm Warning and if the 5-8″ of snow is realized with the high winds, Nantucket could be an area that sustains tree and wire damage and power outages from the combination of heavy wet snow and strong to damaging winds and this will be monitored. Nantucket remains closest to the rain-snow line and a few miles could be the difference between a damaging winter storm event or mostly rain along with the high winds.
2.) Storm track could still change as we approach the event. Models have coalesced around the current solution but there is still some spread in the guidance and shifts in guidance of up to 50 miles are still possible and that could change some of the impacts across the region and where they occur. This will be monitored throughout the day today and is the reason for the Blizzard Warning upgrade to parts of East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard.
3.) The threat for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is likely to make travel near impossible on Tuesday by the morning commute and will likely impact the evening commute to a degree as the storm begins to depart the region at that time. Very high snowfall rates of 2-3″ per hour (possibly higher) and the potential for thundersnow could result in rapidly accumulating deep snowfall in the region. This will setup in parts of East Coastal Massachusetts in the Blizzard Warning area. There could be a further upgrade to the eastern most parts of the current Winter Storm Warning in later forecast updates and this will be monitored as well.

ARES/RACES Groups in Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts should closely monitor the progress of this system and seek advice from their local leadership. Pictures and videos from this latest coastal storm event can be sent to WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds, sent to pics@nsradio.org or as a reply to this email and will be shared with emergency management, non-governmental organizations and other outlets. Credit will be given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 4 AM Tuesday Morning. There could be one more coordination message by 8 PM Monday Evening if there is any significant changes otherwise this will be the last coordination message as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning statement, High Wind Warning Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1652411654853199/1652410274853337/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Monday Evening 3/12/18-Tuesday Evening 3/13/18 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..We are still working on a Post Storm Coordination Message that will now encompass both major coastal storms that affected the region over the past 7-10 days and will post this message later this week and encompass this latest major winter storm event. We have started Facebook Photo Albums for each storm available on the WX1BOX Facebook Page. Any damage photos/videos can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org..
..Another significant coastal storm with heavy snowfall across much of Southern New England with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions for Eastern New England and strong to damaging winds. Coastal flooding will be at minor levels given lower astronomical tides during this significant coastal storm event. Confidence in at least a level of accumulating snow and strong winds is high with confidence level on a high impact event at least moderate at this time..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for all of Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for 10-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 22″ possible and those higher amounts possible in Eastern New England. Winds will be sustained at 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35-40 MPH in Central Massachusetts, sustained winds at 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH across Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands where sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH are likely. Snow along coastal areas of Eastern Massachusetts and possibly Rhode Island maybe heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for Nantucket Island from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for 5-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. The snow in this area could be heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages. This area is the most problematic in terms of snowfall accumulation and rain/snow mix holding down snowfall amounts..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Northern Connecticut and Western Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The snow in this area will “not” be heavy and wet so main impacts will be to travel in this area from heavy snowfall and reduced visibilities..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect from late Monday Night through Tuesday Evening for Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts into Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. These winds along with snow accumulation will likely cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Minor Coastal flooding is possible at the time of high tide Tuesday Morning in East Coastal Massachusetts. Astronomical tides are low and this will preclude a greater coastal flood threat understanding the damaged coastal infrastructure from the previous two major coastal storm systems..
..ARES/RACES Groups in Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts should closely monitor the progress of this system and seek advice from their local leadership. Pictures and videos from this latest coastal storm event can be sent to WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds, sent to pics@nsradio.org or as a reply to this email and will be shared with emergency management, non-governmental organizations and other outlets. Credit will be given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely. Initial start time for NWS Taunton Ops is between 4-5 AM Tuesday Morning..

Another significant coastal storm with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is going to affect the region late Monday Night into Tuesday. There is continued confidence on a significant system with high confidence in significant accumulating snow and strong winds and at least moderate confidence in a high impact event. The headlines depict the current thinking which is an upgrade to Winter Storm Warning across all of Southern New England and now includes Nantucket and High Wind Watches continue along East Coastal Massachusetts including the Cape and Islands. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The current thinking is that the snow consistency won’t be quite as heavy and wet as the prior storm system with the exception of areas along East and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and possibly South Coastal Rhode Island closer to the rain-snow line. This area stands the greatest risk for tree and wire damage from heavy wet snow and damaging winds. Also, Nantucket is now included in the Winter Storm Warning and if the 5-8″ of snow is realized with the high winds, Nantucket could be an area that sustains tree and wire damage and power outages from the combination of heavy wet snow and strong to damaging winds and this will be monitored. Nantucket remains closest to the rain-snow line and a few miles could be the difference between a damaging winter storm event or mostly rain along with the high winds.
2.) Storm track could still change as we approach the event. Models have coalesced around the current solution but there is still some spread in the guidance and shifts in guidance of up to 50 miles are still possible and that could change some of the impacts across the region and where they occur. This will be monitored throughout the day today.
3.) The threat for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is likely to make travel near impossible on Tuesday by the morning commute and will likely impact the evening commute to a degree as the storm begins to depart the region at that time. Very high snowfall rates of 2-3″ per hour (possibly higher) and the potential for thundersnow could result in rapidly accumulating deep snowfall in the region. This will likely setup in bands particularly in Eastern New England or could be widespread enough to affect much of the Eastern New England area with widespread snowfall of 6″ or more over the region likely. There could be a further upgrade to the Winter Storm Warning in later forecast updates and this will be monitored as well.

ARES/RACES Groups in Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts should closely monitor the progress of this system and seek advice from their local leadership. Pictures and videos from this latest coastal storm event can be sent to WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds, sent to pics@nsradio.org or as a reply to this email and will be shared with emergency management, non-governmental organizations and other outlets. Credit will be given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely. Initial start time for NWS Taunton Ops is between 4-5 AM Tuesday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 800 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1652411654853199/1652410274853337/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday Evening 3/12/18-Tuesday Evening 3/13/18 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..We are still working on a Post Storm Coordination Message that will now encompass both major coastal storms that affected the region over the past 7-10 days. We have started Facebook Photo Albums for each storm available on the WX1BOX Facebook Page. Any damage photos/videos can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org..
..Another significant coastal storm with heavy snowfall across much of Southern New England with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions for Eastern New England and strong to damaging winds. Coastal flooding will be at minor levels given lower astronomical tides during this significant coastal storm event. Confidence in at least a level of accumulating snow and strong winds is high with confidence level on a high impact event at least moderate at this time..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening through Tuesday Evening for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area except for Nantucket Island. Nantucket Island could receive advisory level snowfall. Total snowfall in the Winter Storm Watch area of 6-12″ are expected region wide with at least bands of 12-18″ of snowfall likely in Central and Eastern New England. Strong wind gusts coupled with the potential for heavy wet snow particularly in eastern and southeastern parts of the coverage of the Winter Storm Watch could result in at least isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated to scattered power outages. Wind gusts in the western interior will be in the 25-35 MPH range, 35-45 MPH range in Central areas and 45-65 MPH Gusts in Eastern areas with the highest gusts of 65 MPH across East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Essex County Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect for Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts into Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. These winds along with snow accumulation will likely cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Minor Coastal flooding is possible at the time of high tide Tuesday Morning in East Coastal Massachusetts. Astronomical tides are low and this will preclude a greater coastal flood threat understanding the damaged coastal infrastructure from the previous two major coastal storm systems..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely. Initial start time for NWS Taunton Ops is between 4-5 AM Tuesday Morning..

Another significant coastal storm with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is going to affect the region late Monday Night into Tuesday. There is continued confidence on a significant system with high confidence in significant accumulating snow and strong winds and at least moderate confidence in a high impact event. The headlines depict the current thinking which is an expansion of the Winter Storm Watch across all of Southern New England except for Nantucket and High Wind Watches along East Coastal Massachusetts including the Cape and Islands. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The current thinking is that the snow consistency won’t be quite as heavy and wet as the prior storm system with the exception of areas along East and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and possibly South Coastal Rhode Island closer to the rain-snow line. This area stands the greatest risk for tree and wire damage from heavy wet snow and damaging winds.
2.) Storm track could still change as we approach the event. Some of the European models have shifted a bit further offshore but when factoring in the ensemble of European models with the American models, a closer to the coast track near the benchmark remains the favored solution increasing the risk for high impact major winter storm potential blizzard scenario. This will be watched closely over the next several model cycles.
3.) The threat for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is likely to make travel near impossible on Tuesday by the morning commute and will likely impact the evening commute to a degree as the storm begins to depart the region at that time. Very high snowfall rates of 2-3″ per hour (possibly higher) and the potential for thundersnow could result in rapidly accumulating deep snowfall in the region. This will likely setup in bands particularly in Eastern New England or could be widespread enough to affect much of the Eastern New England area with widespread snowfall of 6″ or more over the region likely.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely. Initial start time for NWS Taunton Ops is between 4-5 AM Tuesday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1651865511574480/1651864794907885/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday Evening 3/12/18-Tuesday 3/13/18 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..We are still working on a Post Storm Coordination Message that will now encompass both major coastal storms that affected the region over the past 7-10 days. We have started Facebook Photo Albums for each storm available on the WX1BOX Facebook Page. Any damage photos/videos can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org..
..Another potentially significant coastal storm will affect the region with at least an accumulating snowfall and the potential for strong winds at the coast. A higher impact event for the region is possible but will ultimately depend on the track of the intense coastal storm towards our region..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening to Tuesday Afternoon for Northeast Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Central and Eastern Massachusetts away from the south coast and Cape and Islands for 4-8″ of snow. The snow is not expected to be heavy and wet as the prior storm but temperatures will be around 32 degrees so this will need to be watched carefully. Areas of the south coast could see advisory level snowfall where there is some question of mixed precipitation in this area..
..Winds to Wind Advisory level (Gusts in the 45-55 MPH range) are possible along the immediate coast with the possibility of High Wind Warning criteria winds (Gusts to around 60 MPH) if the storm track is a bit closer to the coast..
..Coastal flood threat is low due to low astronomical high tides but minor coastal flooding is possible on Tuesday
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely centered on Tuesday. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible. Details on the activation posture will become better known as we get closer to the storm event..

Another coastal storm is going to affect the region late Monday Night into Tuesday. Confidence is growing on impacts from accumulating snow and potentially strong winds at the coastline. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The current thinking is that the snow consistency won’t be quite as heavy and wet as the prior storm system. Temperatures will be near freezing but the current thinking is the column air from surface to the upper levels will be colder. This will have to be watched carefully as temperatures are in a range for a heavier and wet snow but other factors are currently expected to keep it lighter than the past storm.
2.) Storm track could still change as we approach the event. This could lead to higher snowfall and greater wind impacts. From a coastal flood perspective, even a closer storm track won’t change those outcomes very much.
3.) The amount of rain/snow mix along South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands. This will affect snowfall amounts and if its all snow and with temperatures near freezing with the potential for strong winds, we’ll need to watch this area for any tree/wire damage issues whereas if its more rain its less impacts.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely centered on Tuesday. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible. Details on the activation posture will become better known as we get closer to the storm event. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1651286568299041/1651282074966157/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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