Storm Coordination Message #2
Hello to all….
….Major Nor’easter Prompts Issuance of Multiple Watches for Heavy Snow/Ice, Heavy Rain and Flooding, Damaging Winds and Coastal Flooding at the time of the Sunday Evening High Tide….
….A Flood Watch is in effect for Eastern Hillsborough County NH, Rhode Island, Connecticut and Massachusetts except for Franklin County from Sunday Afternoon through Monday Afternoon….
….A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts, South Coastal Rhode Island and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for the Sunday Evening High Tide for the risk of at least moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide. Additional high tide cycles maybe affected depending on the track and intensity of the storm as we get into the Monday tide cycles. Threat appears to have shifted to South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands but Northeast areas should continue to monitor this event closely as the watch is in effect for all areas….
….A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for Southwest and South-Central New Hampshire, Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for Sunday Afternoon through late Sunday Night. Locations just south and east of this area may see a start with snow and sleet that will move quickly over to rain…..
….A High Wind Watch is in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island as well as Cape Cod and the Islands for Sunday Afternoon through late Sunday Night. Other areas along the coast and just inland may be included in either a High Wind Watch/Warning or Wind Advisory in future updates….
….Worst of Storm Will Affect the Region Sunday but residual effects of the storm will be felt during the Boston Marathon on Monday. There is also the possibility of continued steady moderate rain during the Marathon if a more offshore storm track occurs but the strongest winds are now expected to occur prior to Marathon Monday…..
….SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is expected to start around 7-8 AM and last through at least 1 or 2 AM Monday with the potential for overnight activation and Ops extending into Monday….
….Eastern Massachusetts ARES will be placed on stand-by Sunday through Marathon Monday to guard against any problems from this nor’easter and to have additional support with the displacement of Amateur Radio resources over the Boston Marathon route Monday. Other areas should seek advice from ARES/RACES leadership on any activation status for this storm….
A major nor’easter is expected to impact the region Sunday into Monday. The worst conditions will impact the area Sunday with residual impact into Monday. This coordination message will be broken down into a synopsis section, weather threats section, followed by Boston Marathon impact section, followed by SKYWARN and ARES activation status section.
Synopsis
A powerful nor’easter will impact Southern New England Sunday into Monday. TV media has made historical references that this is a nor’easter situation that hasn’t been seen since the early 1990’s. While it is a difficult to make these references and have them verify, SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators should be prepared for reporting the multiple threats that this storm brings to the region and be vigilant that a very strong storm will affect the region.
Models are very consistent on a powerful storm that will stall out over the area for a period of time before moving slowly out to sea Tuesday and Wednesday. Models diverge on a track over the region and this has an impact on precipitation totals and which area may be affected by coastal flooding and for how long that impact will be. Several reliable models forecast the storm to stall out right over Southern New England by Monday Morning. This would mean that precipitation would shut off over the area by Monday Morning and winds will decrease Monday before the storm slides offshore of Southern New England Tuesday and Wednesday. It would also mean the greatest risk of coastal flooding is over South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands Sunday with less of a threat for multiple high tide cycles to be affected on Monday and Tuesday. Other models keep the storm more offshore just south and east of Long Island and the Southern New England which would mean higher precipitation totals and continued rain up to moderate intensity and a bit more wind for Monday. It would also mean a greater risk of coastal flooding over north and east facing areas with the threat potential occurring over multiple high tide cycles.
Overall with either track, the strongest conditions will be felt Sunday and Sunday Night with some level of residual impact on Monday with the level of impact dependent on the eventual track of the storm. Heavy precipitation and strong winds are also likely with either track Sunday Afternoon through late Sunday Night.
We’ll now get into each of the threats for the region:
Flood and Heavy Rainfall Threat
Heavy rainfall from this storm is expected with the best consensus guidance calling for 2-4” of rain with isolated 5” amounts over the region. A Flood Watch is in effect for all of the NWS Taunton County Warning Area except for Franklin County Massachusetts and Cheshire and West-Central Hillsborough County of New Hampshire. 2” of rain over the region would be sufficient to cause minor flooding over some river basins in the area with some minor river/stream flooding as well as urban flooding. Higher amounts would lead to a more moderate flood event for rivers and streams and significant urban and poor drainage flooding. There will most likely be a heavier swath of rain over the region but it is difficult to determine that region so the Flood Watch has been issued for almost the entire area to monitor this threat.
Coastal Flood Threat
Coastal Flooding is possible at the time of high tide Sunday Evening with a Coastal Flood Watch in effect for East and South Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands and South Coastal Rhode Island for this timeframe. With the latest model guidance, the greatest threat now appears to be South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands as winds are expected to turn East and Southeast but if the storm tracks further offshore, the winds will be more Northeast and affect the East Coastal Massachusetts area with the possibility of multiple high tide cycles affected. Future model runs and guidance will give a better understanding of which area is affected and Coastal Flood Warnings will likely be issued for a portion of the area for the Sunday Evening high tide.
Heavy Snow and Sleet Threat
A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for Cheshire and West-Central Hillsborough County NH as well as Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts. In this area, 4-8” of snow and sleet is expected before a changeover to rain. This wet snow and sleet coupled with strong winds could cause some isolated tree and power line damage and power outages. The snow and sleet will eventually change to rain in this area. A more offshore storm track may allow for some level of additional accumulation and this threat will be monitored. It is noted that areas just south and east of the watch area may see some snow and sleet before changing over to rain with a light accumulation before the changeover.
High Wind Threat
A High Wind Watch is in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for Sunday Afternoon through late Sunday Night. Sustained winds of 25-40 MPH with gusts 60 MPH or slightly higher are possible. This will be enough to cause pockets of tree and power line damage and pockets of power outages. The watch will likely be converted to a warning for this area for this timeframe. Areas of East Coastal Massachusetts and other points just inland may see similar conditions with sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts in the 50-55 MPH range or slightly higher and this area may come under either Wind Advisories or High Wind Watches/Warnings in future updates.
Boston Marathon Impact
The good news is that regardless of track, it appears the worst conditions will occur Sunday into early Monday Morning before the start of the marathon, however, conditions will still be far less than ideal with at a minimum light rain and drizzle (possibly moderate rain if the storm track is more offshore), temperatures in the mid to upper 30’s and lighter winds of 10-20 MPH (possibly a bit stronger if the storm is more offshore) over the course route. There will be a lot of standing water in poor drainage areas with very moist soil conditions. It will be a cool, wet and raw day for running and it will be very difficult on the 200 Ham Radio volunteers and over 6,000 volunteers on the course route along with the runners. Here are some safety tips and items to keep in mind if you are volunteering for the Marathon or want to watch the marathon as a spectator:
1.) Wear multiple layers of clothing so you can stay warm.
2.) Wear water resistant clothing as the top layer of clothing.
3.) Wear boots or shoes that are resistant to the wet soil and road conditions.
4.) For Marathon volunteers and Amateur Radio Operators at the marathon, be sure that all items at first aid and water stations are secured wherever possible. While winds will not be as strong as initially thought, winds will still make conditions very raw and loose items will be blown about.
5.) For Marathon volunteers and Amateur Radio Operators at the marathon, keep an eye out for potential issues with flooding from urban/poor drainage that may affect the runners or your first aid/water stations and notify the Amateur Radio Net Control center for guidance
6.) For Marathon volunteers and Amateur Radio Operators at the marathon, if your first aid and/or water station is near a river or stream, keep an eye on that river or stream and if you fear that it is near flood or could cause a problem for the station, notify the Amateur Radio net control center immediately for guidance.
If there are additional safety tips or significant change in the forecast, this section will get updated as required.
SKYWARN and ARES Activation Status
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely beginning at 7 or 8 AM and lasting through early Monday Morning with the potential for overnight activation and the activation lasting into Monday. This will be defined further in the next coordination message.
With the displacement of Amateur Radio Operators in Eastern Massachusetts due to the Boston Marathon occurring while this major storm takes place and the fact that a few local agencies including Peabody EMA and MEMA Region 1 have requested some level of Amateur Radio support, Eastern Massachusetts ARES will be placed on stand-by activation Sunday Morning into Monday Afternoon. Details will be available on that status on the Eastern Massachusetts ARES web site at http://ares.ema.arrl.org along with other email lists. ARES/RACES Groups in other parts of the NWS Taunton County Warning Area should seek advice from their local/regional leadership if any activation plans are required for their area.
The next coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the Flood Watch statement, Coastal Flood Watch statement, Winter Storm Watch statement, High Wind Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook from NWS Taunton:
WGUS61 KBOX 140810
FFABOX
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
410 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
CTZ002>004-MAZ004>007-009>024-026-NHZ012-RIZ001>008-141615-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0003.070415T1600Z-070416T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…HARTFORD…WINDSOR LOCKS…UNION…
VERNON…PUTNAM…WILLIMANTIC…BARRE…FITCHBURG…FRAMINGHAM…
LOWELL…LAWRENCE…GLOUCESTER…BLANDFORD…AMHERST…
NORTHAMPTON…SPRINGFIELD…MILFORD…WORCESTER…FOXBORO…
NORWOOD…CAMBRIDGE…BOSTON…QUINCY…TAUNTON…BROCKTON…
PLYMOUTH…FALL RIVER…NEW BEDFORD…MATTAPOISETT…CHATHAM…
FALMOUTH…PROVINCETOWN…VINEYARD HAVEN…NANTUCKET…AYER…
MANCHESTER…NASHUA…FOSTER…SMITHFIELD…PROVIDENCE…
WEST GREENWICH…WARWICK…BRISTOL…NARRAGANSETT…WESTERLY…
NEWPORT…BLOCK ISLAND
410 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT…
MASSACHUSETTS…SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND RHODE ISLAND…
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT…
HARTFORD CT…TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT. IN MASSACHUSETTS…
BARNSTABLE MA…CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA…DUKES MA…EASTERN
ESSEX MA…EASTERN HAMPDEN MA…EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA…EASTERN
NORFOLK MA…EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA…NANTUCKET MA…NORTHERN
BRISTOL MA…NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA…NORTHERN WORCESTER MA…
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA…SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA…SOUTHERN
PLYMOUTH MA…SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA…SUFFOLK MA…WESTERN
ESSEX MA…WESTERN HAMPDEN MA…WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN
PLYMOUTH MA. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE…EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH
NH. IN RHODE ISLAND…BLOCK ISLAND RI…BRISTOL RI…EASTERN
KENT RI…NEWPORT RI…NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI…SOUTHEAST
PROVIDENCE RI…WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
* RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND…WITH AS MUCH AS 5 INCHES IN A FEW LOCATIONS
IN RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. RAIN WILL BEGIN SUNDAY
MORNING AND WILL BECOME HEAVY FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT. SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES ACROSS THE INTERIOR.
* THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN MAY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND
STREAMS…IN ADDITION TO SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING. DRIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR STREET FLOODING. AVOID
FLOODED ROADWAYS AND PLAN ON USING ALTERNATE ROUTES IF NECESSARY.
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
UPDATES.
$$
JWD/EVT
WHUS41 KBOX 140846
CFWBOX
BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
446 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
.LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY…THEN
WILL INTENSIFY INTO AN UNUSUALLY STRONG COASTAL STORM SOUTH OF NEW
ENGLAND BY SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS…COMBINED
WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH SPRING TIDES…COULD CAUSE A 2 FOOT STORM
SURGE DURING THE SUNDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDE. MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS SUNDAY.
RIZ002-004>007-MAZ017-020-142046-
446 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT…
FOR COASTAL RHODE ISLAND THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES PROVIDENCE
FOX POINT…FALL RIVER…CONIMICUT POINT…QUONSET POINT…NEWPORT
HARBOR…POINT JUDITH HARBOR…WATCH HILL POINT…BLOCK ISLAND.
FOR PROVIDENCE AT FOX POINT…A STORM TIDE OF 7.5 FEET IS FORECAST
AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR FALL RIVER…A STORM TIDE OF 7.3 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM
SUNDAY.
FOR CONIMICUT POINT…A STORM TIDE OF 7.1 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR QUONSET POINT…A STORM TIDE OF 6.2 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM
SUNDAY.
FOR NEWPORT HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 5.9 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7
PM SUNDAY.
FOR THE POINT JUDITH HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 5.3 FEET IS FORECAST
AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR WATCH HILL POINT…A STORM TIDE OF 4.9 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR BLOCK ISLAND…A STORM TIDE OF 5.0 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7
PM SUNDAY.
&&
STORM TIDE FORECASTS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE IN FEET MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TIDE HAS BEEN ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST
HOUR.
SITE FLOOD TIME OF FORECAST
STAGE HIGH TIDE STORM TIDE
COASTAL RHODE ISLAND
PROVIDENCE FOX POINT 7.0 07 PM SUN 7.5
FALL RIVER 7.0 07 PM SUN 7.3
CONIMICUT POINT 7.0 07 PM SUN 7.1
QUONSET POINT 7.0 07 PM SUN 6.2
NEWPORT HARBOR 6.6 07 PM SUN 5.9
POINT JUDITH HARBOR 9.0 07 PM SUN 5.3
WATCH HILL POINT 8.0 07 PM SUN 4.9
BLOCK ISLAND 6.7 07 PM SUN 5.0
$$
MAZ022-024-142046-
446 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT…
FOR EAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES
PROVINCETOWN…CHATHAM OUTER HARBOR…NANTUCKET HARBOR.
FOR PROVINCETOWN…A STORM TIDE OF 12.5 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
10 PM SUNDAY.
FOR CHATHAM OUTER HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 9.7 FEET IS FORECAST
AROUND 11 PM SUNDAY.
FOR NANTUCKET HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 6.0 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
11 PM SUNDAY.
&&
STORM TIDE FORECASTS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE IN FEET MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TIDE HAS BEEN ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST
HOUR.
SITE FLOOD TIME OF FORECAST
STAGE HIGH TIDE STORM TIDE
EAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS
PROVINCETOWN 12.0 10 PM SUN 12.5
CHATHAM OUTER HARBOR 9.0 11 PM SUN 9.7
NANTUCKET HARBOR 6.0 11 PM SUN 6.0
$$
MAZ020>023-142046-
446 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT…
FOR SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES
HYANNISPORT…VINEYARD HAVEN…WOODS HOLE…ONSET…MATTAPOISETT…
NEW BEDFORD HARBOR.
FOR HYANNISPORT…A STORM TIDE OF 6.2 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 11
PM SUNDAY.
FOR VINEYARD HAVEN…A STORM TIDE OF 4.6 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
11 PM SUNDAY.
FOR WOODS HOLE…A STORM TIDE OF 3.8 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM
SUNDAY.
FOR ONSET…A STORM TIDE OF 6.8 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR MATTAPOISETT…A STORM TIDE OF 6.5 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM
SUNDAY.
FOR NEW BEDFORD HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 6.2 FEET IS FORECAST
AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY.
&&
STORM TIDE FORECASTS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE IN FEET MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TIDE HAS BEEN ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST
HOUR.
SITE FLOOD TIME OF FORECAST
STAGE HIGH TIDE STORM TIDE
SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS
HYANNISPORT 8.0 11 PM SUN 6.2
VINEYARD HAVEN 6.0 11 PM SUN 4.6
ONSET 11.0 07 PM SUN 6.8
WOODS HOLE 6.7 07 PM SUN 3.8
MATTAPOISETT 8.5 07 PM SUN 6.5
NEW BEDFORD HARBOR 10.5 07 PM SUN 6.2
$$
WWUS71 KBOX 140817
NPWBOX
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
417 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
MAZ020>024-RIZ005>008-141630-
/O.NEW.KBOX.HW.A.0003.070415T1800Z-070416T1000Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FALL RIVER…NEW BEDFORD…
MATTAPOISETT…CHATHAM…FALMOUTH…PROVINCETOWN…
VINEYARD HAVEN…NANTUCKET…BRISTOL…NARRAGANSETT…WESTERLY…
NEWPORT…BLOCK ISLAND
417 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT.
LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY TO AN UNUSUALLY STRONG COASTAL STORM THIS
WEEKEND SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH
COASTS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND…INCLUDING CAPE COD AND THE
ISLANDS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND PREPARE FOR HIGH
WINDS SHOULD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. ANY LOOSE ITEMS THAT ARE OUT OF
DOORS…SUCH AS TRASH BARRELS AND LAWN FURNITURE…SHOULD BE SECURED
OR BROUGHT INDOORS BY SUNDAY MORNING. TRAVEL COULD ALSO BECOME
DIFFICULT…ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE MENTIONED AREAS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS CAUSING
PROPERTY DAMAGE. IF A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED…STAY INSIDE
AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
$$
JWD/EVT
FLUS41 KBOX 140833
HWOBOX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
MAZ002-003-008-NHZ011-015-151100-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
CHESHIRE NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
WINTER STORM WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT FOR
SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 INCHES OR MORE.
$$
MAZ020-021-RIZ005>008-151100-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT…
…COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS…NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
HIGH WIND WATCH
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL…HIGH WINDS…FLOODING AND COASTAL FLOODING.
$$
MAZ007-015-016-019-151100-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
…COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY EVENING…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS…EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS…NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL…FLOODING AND COASTAL FLOODING.
$$
CTZ002>004-MAZ004>006-009>014-017-018-026-NHZ012-RIZ001-003-151100-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT…CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS…EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS…NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS…SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS…WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS…SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL AND FLOODING.
$$
RIZ002-004-151100-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
…COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL…FLOODING AND COASTAL FLOODING.
$$
ANZ230>237-250-254-255-151100-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM…INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
GALE WARNING
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
HIGH WINDS.
$$
MAZ022>024-151100-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT…
…COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY EVENING…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
HIGH WIND WATCH
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL…HIGH WINDS…FLOODING AND COASTAL FLOODING.
$$
JWD
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo
1
Hello to all….
….Major Nor’easter Prompts Issuance of Multiple Watches for Heavy Snow/Ice, Heavy Rain and Flooding, Damaging Winds and Coastal Flooding at the time of the Sunday Evening High Tide….
….A Flood Watch is in effect for Eastern Hillsborough County NH, Rhode Island, Connecticut and Massachusetts except for Franklin County from Sunday Afternoon through Monday Afternoon….
….A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts, South Coastal Rhode Island and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for the Sunday Evening High Tide for the risk of at least moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide. Additional high tide cycles maybe affected depending on the track and intensity of the storm as we get into the Monday tide cycles. Threat appears to have shifted to South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands but Northeast areas should continue to monitor this event closely as the watch is in effect for all areas….
….A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for Southwest and South-Central New Hampshire, Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for Sunday Afternoon through late Sunday Night. Locations just south and east of this area may see a start with snow and sleet that will move quickly over to rain…..
….A High Wind Watch is in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island as well as Cape Cod and the Islands for Sunday Afternoon through late Sunday Night. Other areas along the coast and just inland may be included in either a High Wind Watch/Warning or Wind Advisory in future updates….
….Worst of Storm Will Affect the Region Sunday but residual effects of the storm will be felt during the Boston Marathon on Monday. There is also the possibility of continued steady moderate rain during the Marathon if a more offshore storm track occurs but the strongest winds are now expected to occur prior to Marathon Monday…..
….SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is expected to start around 7-8 AM and last through at least 1 or 2 AM Monday with the potential for overnight activation and Ops extending into Monday….
….Eastern Massachusetts ARES will be placed on stand-by Sunday through Marathon Monday to guard against any problems from this nor’easter and to have additional support with the displacement of Amateur Radio resources over the Boston Marathon route Monday. Other areas should seek advice from ARES/RACES leadership on any activation status for this storm….
A major nor’easter is expected to impact the region Sunday into Monday. The worst conditions will impact the area Sunday with residual impact into Monday. This coordination message will be broken down into a synopsis section, weather threats section, followed by Boston Marathon impact section, followed by SKYWARN and ARES activation status section.
Synopsis
A powerful nor’easter will impact Southern New England Sunday into Monday. TV media has made historical references that this is a nor’easter situation that hasn’t been seen since the early 1990’s. While it is a difficult to make these references and have them verify, SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators should be prepared for reporting the multiple threats that this storm brings to the region and be vigilant that a very strong storm will affect the region.
Models are very consistent on a powerful storm that will stall out over the area for a period of time before moving slowly out to sea Tuesday and Wednesday. Models diverge on a track over the region and this has an impact on precipitation totals and which area may be affected by coastal flooding and for how long that impact will be. Several reliable models forecast the storm to stall out right over Southern New England by Monday Morning. This would mean that precipitation would shut off over the area by Monday Morning and winds will decrease Monday before the storm slides offshore of Southern New England Tuesday and Wednesday. It would also mean the greatest risk of coastal flooding is over South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands Sunday with less of a threat for multiple high tide cycles to be affected on Monday and Tuesday. Other models keep the storm more offshore just south and east of Long Island and the Southern New England which would mean higher precipitation totals and continued rain up to moderate intensity and a bit more wind for Monday. It would also mean a greater risk of coastal flooding over north and east facing areas with the threat potential occurring over multiple high tide cycles.
Overall with either track, the strongest conditions will be felt Sunday and Sunday Night with some level of residual impact on Monday with the level of impact dependent on the eventual track of the storm. Heavy precipitation and strong winds are also likely with either track Sunday Afternoon through late Sunday Night.
We’ll now get into each of the threats for the region:
Flood and Heavy Rainfall Threat
Heavy rainfall from this storm is expected with the best consensus guidance calling for 2-4” of rain with isolated 5” amounts over the region. A Flood Watch is in effect for all of the NWS Taunton County Warning Area except for Franklin County Massachusetts and Cheshire and West-Central Hillsborough County of New Hampshire. 2” of rain over the region would be sufficient to cause minor flooding over some river basins in the area with some minor river/stream flooding as well as urban flooding. Higher amounts would lead to a more moderate flood event for rivers and streams and significant urban and poor drainage flooding. There will most likely be a heavier swath of rain over the region but it is difficult to determine that region so the Flood Watch has been issued for almost the entire area to monitor this threat.
Coastal Flood Threat
Coastal Flooding is possible at the time of high tide Sunday Evening with a Coastal Flood Watch in effect for East and South Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands and South Coastal Rhode Island for this timeframe. With the latest model guidance, the greatest threat now appears to be South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands as winds are expected to turn East and Southeast but if the storm tracks further offshore, the winds will be more Northeast and affect the East Coastal Massachusetts area with the possibility of multiple high tide cycles affected. Future model runs and guidance will give a better understanding of which area is affected and Coastal Flood Warnings will likely be issued for a portion of the area for the Sunday Evening high tide.
Heavy Snow and Sleet Threat
A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for Cheshire and West-Central Hillsborough County NH as well as Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts. In this area, 4-8” of snow and sleet is expected before a changeover to rain. This wet snow and sleet coupled with strong winds could cause some isolated tree and power line damage and power outages. The snow and sleet will eventually change to rain in this area. A more offshore storm track may allow for some level of additional accumulation and this threat will be monitored. It is noted that areas just south and east of the watch area may see some snow and sleet before changing over to rain with a light accumulation before the changeover.
High Wind Threat
A High Wind Watch is in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for Sunday Afternoon through late Sunday Night. Sustained winds of 25-40 MPH with gusts 60 MPH or slightly higher are possible. This will be enough to cause pockets of tree and power line damage and pockets of power outages. The watch will likely be converted to a warning for this area for this timeframe. Areas of East Coastal Massachusetts and other points just inland may see similar conditions with sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts in the 50-55 MPH range or slightly higher and this area may come under either Wind Advisories or High Wind Watches/Warnings in future updates.
Boston Marathon Impact
The good news is that regardless of track, it appears the worst conditions will occur Sunday into early Monday Morning before the start of the marathon, however, conditions will still be far less than ideal with at a minimum light rain and drizzle (possibly moderate rain if the storm track is more offshore), temperatures in the mid to upper 30’s and lighter winds of 10-20 MPH (possibly a bit stronger if the storm is more offshore) over the course route. There will be a lot of standing water in poor drainage areas with very moist soil conditions. It will be a cool, wet and raw day for running and it will be very difficult on the 200 Ham Radio volunteers and over 6,000 volunteers on the course route along with the runners. Here are some safety tips and items to keep in mind if you are volunteering for the Marathon or want to watch the marathon as a spectator:
1.) Wear multiple layers of clothing so you can stay warm.
2.) Wear water resistant clothing as the top layer of clothing.
3.) Wear boots or shoes that are resistant to the wet soil and road conditions.
4.) For Marathon volunteers and Amateur Radio Operators at the marathon, be sure that all items at first aid and water stations are secured wherever possible. While winds will not be as strong as initially thought, winds will still make conditions very raw and loose items will be blown about.
5.) For Marathon volunteers and Amateur Radio Operators at the marathon, keep an eye out for potential issues with flooding from urban/poor drainage that may affect the runners or your first aid/water stations and notify the Amateur Radio Net Control center for guidance
6.) For Marathon volunteers and Amateur Radio Operators at the marathon, if your first aid and/or water station is near a river or stream, keep an eye on that river or stream and if you fear that it is near flood or could cause a problem for the station, notify the Amateur Radio net control center immediately for guidance.
If there are additional safety tips or significant change in the forecast, this section will get updated as required.
SKYWARN and ARES Activation Status
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely beginning at 7 or 8 AM and lasting through early Monday Morning with the potential for overnight activation and the activation lasting into Monday. This will be defined further in the next coordination message.
With the displacement of Amateur Radio Operators in Eastern Massachusetts due to the Boston Marathon occurring while this major storm takes place and the fact that a few local agencies including Peabody EMA and MEMA Region 1 have requested some level of Amateur Radio support, Eastern Massachusetts ARES will be placed on stand-by activation Sunday Morning into Monday Afternoon. Details will be available on that status on the Eastern Massachusetts ARES web site at http://ares.ema.arrl.org along with other email lists. ARES/RACES Groups in other parts of the NWS Taunton County Warning Area should seek advice from their local/regional leadership if any activation plans are required for their area.
The next coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the Flood Watch statement, Coastal Flood Watch statement, Winter Storm Watch statement, High Wind Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook from NWS Taunton:
WGUS61 KBOX 140810
FFABOX
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
410 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
CTZ002>004-MAZ004>007-009>024-026-NHZ012-RIZ001>008-141615-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0003.070415T1600Z-070416T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…HARTFORD…WINDSOR LOCKS…UNION…
VERNON…PUTNAM…WILLIMANTIC…BARRE…FITCHBURG…FRAMINGHAM…
LOWELL…LAWRENCE…GLOUCESTER…BLANDFORD…AMHERST…
NORTHAMPTON…SPRINGFIELD…MILFORD…WORCESTER…FOXBORO…
NORWOOD…CAMBRIDGE…BOSTON…QUINCY…TAUNTON…BROCKTON…
PLYMOUTH…FALL RIVER…NEW BEDFORD…MATTAPOISETT…CHATHAM…
FALMOUTH…PROVINCETOWN…VINEYARD HAVEN…NANTUCKET…AYER…
MANCHESTER…NASHUA…FOSTER…SMITHFIELD…PROVIDENCE…
WEST GREENWICH…WARWICK…BRISTOL…NARRAGANSETT…WESTERLY…
NEWPORT…BLOCK ISLAND
410 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT…
MASSACHUSETTS…SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND RHODE ISLAND…
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT…
HARTFORD CT…TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT. IN MASSACHUSETTS…
BARNSTABLE MA…CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA…DUKES MA…EASTERN
ESSEX MA…EASTERN HAMPDEN MA…EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA…EASTERN
NORFOLK MA…EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA…NANTUCKET MA…NORTHERN
BRISTOL MA…NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA…NORTHERN WORCESTER MA…
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA…SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA…SOUTHERN
PLYMOUTH MA…SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA…SUFFOLK MA…WESTERN
ESSEX MA…WESTERN HAMPDEN MA…WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN
PLYMOUTH MA. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE…EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH
NH. IN RHODE ISLAND…BLOCK ISLAND RI…BRISTOL RI…EASTERN
KENT RI…NEWPORT RI…NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI…SOUTHEAST
PROVIDENCE RI…WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
* RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND…WITH AS MUCH AS 5 INCHES IN A FEW LOCATIONS
IN RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. RAIN WILL BEGIN SUNDAY
MORNING AND WILL BECOME HEAVY FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT. SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES ACROSS THE INTERIOR.
* THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN MAY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND
STREAMS…IN ADDITION TO SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING. DRIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR STREET FLOODING. AVOID
FLOODED ROADWAYS AND PLAN ON USING ALTERNATE ROUTES IF NECESSARY.
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
UPDATES.
$$
JWD/EVT
WHUS41 KBOX 140846
CFWBOX
BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
446 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
.LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY…THEN
WILL INTENSIFY INTO AN UNUSUALLY STRONG COASTAL STORM SOUTH OF NEW
ENGLAND BY SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS…COMBINED
WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH SPRING TIDES…COULD CAUSE A 2 FOOT STORM
SURGE DURING THE SUNDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDE. MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS SUNDAY.
RIZ002-004>007-MAZ017-020-142046-
446 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT…
FOR COASTAL RHODE ISLAND THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES PROVIDENCE
FOX POINT…FALL RIVER…CONIMICUT POINT…QUONSET POINT…NEWPORT
HARBOR…POINT JUDITH HARBOR…WATCH HILL POINT…BLOCK ISLAND.
FOR PROVIDENCE AT FOX POINT…A STORM TIDE OF 7.5 FEET IS FORECAST
AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR FALL RIVER…A STORM TIDE OF 7.3 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM
SUNDAY.
FOR CONIMICUT POINT…A STORM TIDE OF 7.1 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR QUONSET POINT…A STORM TIDE OF 6.2 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM
SUNDAY.
FOR NEWPORT HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 5.9 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7
PM SUNDAY.
FOR THE POINT JUDITH HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 5.3 FEET IS FORECAST
AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR WATCH HILL POINT…A STORM TIDE OF 4.9 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR BLOCK ISLAND…A STORM TIDE OF 5.0 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7
PM SUNDAY.
&&
STORM TIDE FORECASTS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE IN FEET MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TIDE HAS BEEN ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST
HOUR.
SITE FLOOD TIME OF FORECAST
STAGE HIGH TIDE STORM TIDE
COASTAL RHODE ISLAND
PROVIDENCE FOX POINT 7.0 07 PM SUN 7.5
FALL RIVER 7.0 07 PM SUN 7.3
CONIMICUT POINT 7.0 07 PM SUN 7.1
QUONSET POINT 7.0 07 PM SUN 6.2
NEWPORT HARBOR 6.6 07 PM SUN 5.9
POINT JUDITH HARBOR 9.0 07 PM SUN 5.3
WATCH HILL POINT 8.0 07 PM SUN 4.9
BLOCK ISLAND 6.7 07 PM SUN 5.0
$$
MAZ022-024-142046-
446 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT…
FOR EAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES
PROVINCETOWN…CHATHAM OUTER HARBOR…NANTUCKET HARBOR.
FOR PROVINCETOWN…A STORM TIDE OF 12.5 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
10 PM SUNDAY.
FOR CHATHAM OUTER HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 9.7 FEET IS FORECAST
AROUND 11 PM SUNDAY.
FOR NANTUCKET HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 6.0 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
11 PM SUNDAY.
&&
STORM TIDE FORECASTS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE IN FEET MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TIDE HAS BEEN ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST
HOUR.
SITE FLOOD TIME OF FORECAST
STAGE HIGH TIDE STORM TIDE
EAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS
PROVINCETOWN 12.0 10 PM SUN 12.5
CHATHAM OUTER HARBOR 9.0 11 PM SUN 9.7
NANTUCKET HARBOR 6.0 11 PM SUN 6.0
$$
MAZ020>023-142046-
446 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT…
FOR SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES
HYANNISPORT…VINEYARD HAVEN…WOODS HOLE…ONSET…MATTAPOISETT…
NEW BEDFORD HARBOR.
FOR HYANNISPORT…A STORM TIDE OF 6.2 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 11
PM SUNDAY.
FOR VINEYARD HAVEN…A STORM TIDE OF 4.6 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND
11 PM SUNDAY.
FOR WOODS HOLE…A STORM TIDE OF 3.8 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM
SUNDAY.
FOR ONSET…A STORM TIDE OF 6.8 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY.
FOR MATTAPOISETT…A STORM TIDE OF 6.5 FEET IS FORECAST AROUND 7 PM
SUNDAY.
FOR NEW BEDFORD HARBOR…A STORM TIDE OF 6.2 FEET IS FORECAST
AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY.
&&
STORM TIDE FORECASTS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE IN FEET MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TIDE HAS BEEN ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST
HOUR.
SITE FLOOD TIME OF FORECAST
STAGE HIGH TIDE STORM TIDE
SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS
HYANNISPORT 8.0 11 PM SUN 6.2
VINEYARD HAVEN 6.0 11 PM SUN 4.6
ONSET 11.0 07 PM SUN 6.8
WOODS HOLE 6.7 07 PM SUN 3.8
MATTAPOISETT 8.5 07 PM SUN 6.5
NEW BEDFORD HARBOR 10.5 07 PM SUN 6.2
$$
WWUS71 KBOX 140817
NPWBOX
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
417 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
MAZ020>024-RIZ005>008-141630-
/O.NEW.KBOX.HW.A.0003.070415T1800Z-070416T1000Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FALL RIVER…NEW BEDFORD…
MATTAPOISETT…CHATHAM…FALMOUTH…PROVINCETOWN…
VINEYARD HAVEN…NANTUCKET…BRISTOL…NARRAGANSETT…WESTERLY…
NEWPORT…BLOCK ISLAND
417 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT.
LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY TO AN UNUSUALLY STRONG COASTAL STORM THIS
WEEKEND SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH
COASTS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND…INCLUDING CAPE COD AND THE
ISLANDS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND PREPARE FOR HIGH
WINDS SHOULD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. ANY LOOSE ITEMS THAT ARE OUT OF
DOORS…SUCH AS TRASH BARRELS AND LAWN FURNITURE…SHOULD BE SECURED
OR BROUGHT INDOORS BY SUNDAY MORNING. TRAVEL COULD ALSO BECOME
DIFFICULT…ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE MENTIONED AREAS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS CAUSING
PROPERTY DAMAGE. IF A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED…STAY INSIDE
AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
$$
JWD/EVT
FLUS41 KBOX 140833
HWOBOX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
MAZ002-003-008-NHZ011-015-151100-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
CHESHIRE NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
WINTER STORM WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT FOR
SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 INCHES OR MORE.
$$
MAZ020-021-RIZ005>008-151100-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT…
…COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS…NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
HIGH WIND WATCH
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL…HIGH WINDS…FLOODING AND COASTAL FLOODING.
$$
MAZ007-015-016-019-151100-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
…COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY EVENING…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS…EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS…NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL…FLOODING AND COASTAL FLOODING.
$$
CTZ002>004-MAZ004>006-009>014-017-018-026-NHZ012-RIZ001-003-151100-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT…CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS…EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS…NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS…SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS…WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS…SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL AND FLOODING.
$$
RIZ002-004-151100-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
…COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL…FLOODING AND COASTAL FLOODING.
$$
ANZ230>237-250-254-255-151100-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM…INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
GALE WARNING
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
HIGH WINDS.
$$
MAZ022>024-151100-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
433 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON…
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT…
…COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY EVENING…
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH
HIGH WIND WATCH
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR REPORTS OF
RAINFALL…HIGH WINDS…FLOODING AND COASTAL FLOODING.
$$
JWD
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo
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