Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday June 2nd, 2013 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Slow moving Cold Front will bring an end to the heat and humidity late Sunday Afternoon into Monday and set the stage for the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. Greatest threat will be across Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut after 2 PM Sunday Afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed this region in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for Sunday. Areas outside of the slight risk area should monitor as well..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely and are tentatively expected to commence at 2 PM Sunday Afternoon lasting through late evening..

A slow moving cold front is expected to move into New York and New England over the course of Sunday Afternoon and Evening. Heating and destabilization are expected to occur across interior Southern New England as the cold front enters the region with most destabilization parameters being favorable. Shear profiles will be favorably strong and combine with heating for the development for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. Caveats to the severe weather threat include the timing of the cold front to provide the trigger and lift for strong to severe thunderstorm development and that sufficient heating can occur over interior areas of Southern New England. The greatest threat area for severe weather is across Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut after 2 PM Sunday Afternoon. SPC has placed the region in a slight risk for severe weather. Areas outside of the slight risk area should monitor for a more isolated strong to severe thunderstorm event and the potential for thunderstorms that may cause pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely and are tentatively expected to commence at 2 PM Sunday Afternoon lasting through late evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Sunday Morning. Below are the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1306011725.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Slow moving Cold Front will bring an end to the heat and humidity late Sunday Afternoon into Monday and set the stage for the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. Greatest threat will be across Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut after 2 PM Sunday Afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed this region in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for Sunday. Areas outside of the slight risk area should monitor as well..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely and are tentatively expected to commence at 2 PM Sunday Afternoon lasting through late evening..

A slow moving cold front is expected to move into New York and New England over the course of Sunday Afternoon and Evening. Heating and destabilization are expected to occur across interior Southern New England as the cold front enters the region with most destabilization parameters being favorable. Shear profiles will be favorably strong and combine with heating for the development for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. Caveats to the severe weather threat include the timing of the cold front to provide the trigger and lift for strong to severe thunderstorm development and that sufficient heating can occur over interior areas of Southern New England. The greatest threat area for severe weather is across Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut after 2 PM Sunday Afternoon. SPC has placed the region in a slight risk for severe weather. Areas outside of the slight risk area should monitor for a more isolated strong to severe thunderstorm event and the potential for thunderstorms that may cause pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely and are tentatively expected to commence at 2 PM Sunday Afternoon lasting through late evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Sunday Morning. Below are the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1306011725.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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