Storm Coordination Message #3 – Saturday 12/14/13-Sunday 12/15/13 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm on track to affect much of Southern New England with Heavy Snow and a wintry mix of precipitation. Light Snows have commenced across portions of Northern Connecticut..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 1 PM Sunday Afternoon for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County in Rhode Island and in Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west including the Metro Boston region. Total snowfall of 6-12 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 14″ possible over portions of Northwest Massachusetts and Southwest New Hampshire with a trace to a tenth inch of ice in portions of Massachusetts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Southeast Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow, a trace of ice and wind gusts up to 40 MPH..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Newport County RI, and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-5″ of snow for much of the advisory area and a trace of ice with sustained winds of 20-30 MPH and gusts to 50 MPH likely. Isolated higher amounts are possible west of the Cape Cod Canal with amounts closer to 2 inches over the Outer Cape, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Island. The snow and ice accumulations and strong winds may cause isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Some Uncertainty still exists on exact snowfall and icing amounts which will depend on any changeover in precipitation particularly in areas along and south of the Massachusetts Turnpike..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands from 11 AM Saturday Night to 7 AM Sunday Morning for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds may bring isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 8 AM-Noon for the morning high tide cycle of East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding of shore roads due to high tide..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is currently expected to start at 600 PM Saturday Evening. It is noted that the heaviest snowfall and strongest winds are expected during overnight hours so Ops during overnight hours at some level appear likely..

A coastal winter storm that has been modeled for several days remains likely for Southern New England. Light snow has started across portions of Connecticut.

Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect for Southern New Hampshire, all of interior Massachusetts including the Metro Boston area and Northeast Coastal Massachusetts through Norfolk County Massachusetts as well as Northern Connecticut, and Northwest Providence Counties of Rhode Island. Total snowfall of 6-12″ are likely with isolated higher amounts of up to 14 inches in Northwest Massachusetts and Southwest New Hampshire. Portions of Massachusetts may also see a trace to one-tenth inch of ice accumulation as well.

A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Southeast Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow, a trace of ice and wind gusts up to 40 MPH. This replaces the Winter Storm Watch for this region.

A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Newport County RI, and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-5″ of snow for much of the advisory area and a trace of ice with sustained winds of 20-30 MPH and gusts to 50 MPH likely. Isolated higher amounts are possible west of the Cape Cod Canal with amounts closer to 2 inches over the Outer Cape, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Island. The snow and ice accumulations and strong winds may cause isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages.

There remains some uncertainty in exact snow and ice amounts particularly along and south of the Mass. Pike to the Cape Cod Canal and this will be dependent on the timing of the precipitation type changeover. If the storm tracks a bit closer to the coast, it will allow for mixed precipitation further inland. A track slightly more offshore would allow for more snow to occur in areas that are currently expected to get some mixed precipitation. It is noted the air remains very cold over the area with strong high pressure to the north of New England. Precipitation type changeover reports in addition to snow and ice total reports, wind measurement and wind damage reports will be critical during this storm.

A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 8-12 AM Sunday. Minor coastal flooding could occur at the time of the Sunday Morning high tide resulting in lane or road closures along most exposed north and east facing beaches in this area.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is currently expected to start at 600 PM Saturday Evening. It is noted that the heaviest snowfall and strongest winds are expected during overnight hours so Ops during overnight hours at some level appear likely. This will be the last coordination message on this storm system as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map (the map breaks down the snowfall ranges more specifically):

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm on track to affect much of Southern New England with Heavy Snow and a wintry mix of precipitation. Light Snows have commenced across portions of Northern Connecticut..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 1 PM Sunday Afternoon for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County in Rhode Island and in Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west including the Metro Boston region. Total snowfall of 6-12 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 14″ possible over portions of Northwest Massachusetts and Southwest New Hampshire with a trace to a tenth inch of ice in portions of Massachusetts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Southeast Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow, a trace of ice and wind gusts up to 40 MPH..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Newport County RI, and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-5″ of snow for much of the advisory area and a trace of ice with sustained winds of 20-30 MPH and gusts to 50 MPH likely. Isolated higher amounts are possible west of the Cape Cod Canal with amounts closer to 2 inches over the Outer Cape, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Island. The snow and ice accumulations and strong winds may cause isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Some Uncertainty still exists on exact snowfall and icing amounts which will depend on any changeover in precipitation particularly in areas along and south of the Massachusetts Turnpike..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands from 11 AM Saturday Night to 7 AM Sunday Morning for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds may bring isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 8 AM-Noon for the morning high tide cycle of East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding of shore roads due to high tide..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is currently expected to start at 600 PM Saturday Evening. It is noted that the heaviest snowfall and strongest winds are expected during overnight hours so Ops during overnight hours at some level appear likely..

A coastal winter storm that has been modeled for several days remains likely for Southern New England. Light snow has started across portions of Connecticut.

Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect for Southern New Hampshire, all of interior Massachusetts including the Metro Boston area and Northeast Coastal Massachusetts through Norfolk County Massachusetts as well as Northern Connecticut, and Northwest Providence Counties of Rhode Island. Total snowfall of 6-12″ are likely with isolated higher amounts of up to 14 inches in Northwest Massachusetts and Southwest New Hampshire. Portions of Massachusetts may also see a trace to one-tenth inch of ice accumulation as well.

A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Southeast Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow, a trace of ice and wind gusts up to 40 MPH. This replaces the Winter Storm Watch for this region.

A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 AM Sunday Morning for Newport County RI, and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-5″ of snow for much of the advisory area and a trace of ice with sustained winds of 20-30 MPH and gusts to 50 MPH likely. Isolated higher amounts are possible west of the Cape Cod Canal with amounts closer to 2 inches over the Outer Cape, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Island. The snow and ice accumulations and strong winds may cause isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages.

There remains some uncertainty in exact snow and ice amounts particularly along and south of the Mass. Pike to the Cape Cod Canal and this will be dependent on the timing of the precipitation type changeover. If the storm tracks a bit closer to the coast, it will allow for mixed precipitation further inland. A track slightly more offshore would allow for more snow to occur in areas that are currently expected to get some mixed precipitation. It is noted the air remains very cold over the area with strong high pressure to the north of New England. Precipitation type changeover reports in addition to snow and ice total reports, wind measurement and wind damage reports will be critical during this storm.

A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 8-12 AM Sunday. Minor coastal flooding could occur at the time of the Sunday Morning high tide resulting in lane or road closures along most exposed north and east facing beaches in this area.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is currently expected to start at 600 PM Saturday Evening. It is noted that the heaviest snowfall and strongest winds are expected during overnight hours so Ops during overnight hours at some level appear likely. This will be the last coordination message on this storm system as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map (the map breaks down the snowfall ranges more specifically):

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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