Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Monday July 18th, 2016 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night across much of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a slight risk for severe weather across Western and Central Massachusetts through Northwest Connecticut with the rest of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening..
The heat and humidity will continue on Monday and be even warmer and more humid than Sunday across the region. A trough and cold front is still expected to swing through Southern New England later Monday Afternoon into Monday Night with the potential of one or two rounds of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The first round potentially being in the mid-afternoon into early evening with a second round possible in the early evening through late Monday Night around the midnight timeframe. There will be sufficient heating for destabilization and sufficiently strong shear profiles to support severe weather and the timing of the trough is looking favorable to tap into the destabilized atmosphere and the sufficiently strong shear profiles. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats though there is a secondary threat for an isolated tornado in the severe weather slight risk area covering Western and Central Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. As is generally the case with these situations, the thunderstorms will be isolated to scattered so not all areas will see thunderstorms or severe weather but some areas will see thunderstorms and localized areas scattered about Southern New England could see severe weather as the trough and cold front swing through the area later today into Monday Night with the greatest risk for severe weather in interior Southern New England especially Western and Central Massachusetts through Northern Connecticut.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening. This will be the last coordination message on today’s severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night across much of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a slight risk for severe weather across Western and Central Massachusetts through Northwest Connecticut with the rest of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening..
The heat and humidity will continue on Monday and be even warmer and more humid than Sunday across the region. A trough and cold front is still expected to swing through Southern New England later Monday Afternoon into Monday Night with the potential of one or two rounds of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The first round potentially being in the mid-afternoon into early evening with a second round possible in the early evening through late Monday Night around the midnight timeframe. There will be sufficient heating for destabilization and sufficiently strong shear profiles to support severe weather and the timing of the trough is looking favorable to tap into the destabilized atmosphere and the sufficiently strong shear profiles. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats though there is a secondary threat for an isolated tornado in the severe weather slight risk area covering Western and Central Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. As is generally the case with these situations, the thunderstorms will be isolated to scattered so not all areas will see thunderstorms or severe weather but some areas will see thunderstorms and localized areas scattered about Southern New England could see severe weather as the trough and cold front swing through the area later today into Monday Night with the greatest risk for severe weather in interior Southern New England especially Western and Central Massachusetts through Northern Connecticut.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening. This will be the last coordination message on today’s severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box