Hurricane Matthew Coordination Message #1

Hello to all…

..Hurricane Matthew causing significant damage and flooding in portions of Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Eastern Cuba and the Bahamas are next in line for a potential significant strike followed by the potential for tropical storm to possibly hurricane force conditions over parts of the Southeast United States coast from Florida to North Carolina later this week. Amateur Radio hurricane nets will be active for the next several days relaying reports on conditions from Hurricane Matthew along his path..
..Hurricane Matthew’s impacts on Southern New England remain highly uncertain with impacts ranging from little to no significant direct impact to a direct strike on the region. We are still 5 to 6 days from any impacts from Hurricane Matthew with any impacts to the region not expected until the Columbus Day weekend. Interests in Southern New England should begin monitoring the progress of Matthew now that he is entering the Bahama Island region. Keep your situational awareness high by monitoring National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center forecasts and information, these coordination messages, satellite and radar imagery on Hurricane Matthew and conventional media outlets..
..Any SKYWARN Activation status for the Columbus Day Weekend will be determined as we get closer to this weekend. ARES/RACES groups should seek guidance from local leadership and monitor the progress of Hurricane Matthew..

Hurricane Matthew has caused significant damage across portions of Haiti and the Dominican Republic and is taking aim on Eastern Cuba and the Bahama islands for tonight into Wednesday. From there, impacts to Florida could occur on Thursday and then to South and North Carolina on Friday into Saturday. It is not clear at this time how close Matthew will get to the Southeast US coast. In the longer range, it remains uncertain how close Matthew will get to the mid-atlantic and Northeast United States coast. Amateur Radio hurricane nets will be active over the next several days. Links to their web sites follow below:

Hurricane Watch Net – HWN:
http://www.hwn.org

VoIP Hurricane Net – VoIPWXNet:
http://www.voipwx.net

Model guidance remains divergent with a wide spread and varying solutions on what occurs with Matthew as he attempts to make his way up the US East coast. In addition, model solutions have had a wide run to run variance especially regarding the longer range period between 4-6 days and how close Matthew gets to Southern New England. It is also not clear what kind of intensity Matthew will have depending on any land interaction as it approaches the Southeast US coast. It is premature to say with any precision how close Matthew will get to the region and how strong it would be. There is slightly higher confidence in the potential for beneficial rainfall between the trough that approaches the region and its potentially ability to tap the tropical moisture feed from Matthew for this weekend. Even there though, its quite difficult to determine what rainfall amounts will be this far out in advance. As we get closer to this weekend and Matthew tracks through the Bahamas and towards the Southeast US coast, confidence should increase on how close Matthew gets to the region and on what impacts, direct or indirect, Matthew will have on the region.

At this time, SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators should monitor the progress of Matthew and begin thinking about some low level of preparations. With the holiday weekend coming up this weekend and many people having plans, keep an eye on the weather and the progress of Matthew during this period. It can never hurt to make some level of preparations. If the impacts from Matthew are minimal, you will be prepared in case another tropical system or major winter system as we get into the winter season gets close or impacts the region.

Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Area Forecast Discussion as well as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Hurricane Matthew Advisory and Information graphics link and the NWS Taunton Hurricane Preparedness Information and Safety Tips:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Hurricane Matthew Advisory Information and Infographics:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#MATTHEW

NWS Taunton Hurricane Preparedness Information and Safety Tips:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_hurricane_season_start_2016.txt

The next coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM Wednesday Evening.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Hurricane Matthew causing significant damage and flooding in portions of Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Eastern Cuba and the Bahamas are next in line for a potential significant strike followed by the potential for tropical storm to possibly hurricane force conditions over parts of the Southeast United States coast from Florida to North Carolina later this week. Amateur Radio hurricane nets will be active for the next several days relaying reports on conditions from Hurricane Matthew along his path..
..Hurricane Matthew’s impacts on Southern New England remain highly uncertain with impacts ranging from little to no significant direct impact to a direct strike on the region. We are still 5 to 6 days from any impacts from Hurricane Matthew with any impacts to the region not expected until the Columbus Day weekend. Interests in Southern New England should begin monitoring the progress of Matthew now that he is entering the Bahama Island region. Keep your situational awareness high by monitoring National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center forecasts and information, these coordination messages, satellite and radar imagery on Hurricane Matthew and conventional media outlets..
..Any SKYWARN Activation status for the Columbus Day Weekend will be determined as we get closer to this weekend. ARES/RACES groups should seek guidance from local leadership and monitor the progress of Hurricane Matthew..

Hurricane Matthew has caused significant damage across portions of Haiti and the Dominican Republic and is taking aim on Eastern Cuba and the Bahama islands for tonight into Wednesday. From there, impacts to Florida could occur on Thursday and then to South and North Carolina on Friday into Saturday. It is not clear at this time how close Matthew will get to the Southeast US coast. In the longer range, it remains uncertain how close Matthew will get to the mid-atlantic and Northeast United States coast. Amateur Radio hurricane nets will be active over the next several days. Links to their web sites follow below:

Hurricane Watch Net – HWN:
http://www.hwn.org

VoIP Hurricane Net – VoIPWXNet:
http://www.voipwx.net

Model guidance remains divergent with a wide spread and varying solutions on what occurs with Matthew as he attempts to make his way up the US East coast. In addition, model solutions have had a wide run to run variance especially regarding the longer range period between 4-6 days and how close Matthew gets to Southern New England. It is also not clear what kind of intensity Matthew will have depending on any land interaction as it approaches the Southeast US coast. It is premature to say with any precision how close Matthew will get to the region and how strong it would be. There is slightly higher confidence in the potential for beneficial rainfall between the trough that approaches the region and its potentially ability to tap the tropical moisture feed from Matthew for this weekend. Even there though, its quite difficult to determine what rainfall amounts will be this far out in advance. As we get closer to this weekend and Matthew tracks through the Bahamas and towards the Southeast US coast, confidence should increase on how close Matthew gets to the region and on what impacts, direct or indirect, Matthew will have on the region.

At this time, SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators should monitor the progress of Matthew and begin thinking about some low level of preparations. With the holiday weekend coming up this weekend and many people having plans, keep an eye on the weather and the progress of Matthew during this period. It can never hurt to make some level of preparations. If the impacts from Matthew are minimal, you will be prepared in case another tropical system or major winter system as we get into the winter season gets close or impacts the region.

Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Area Forecast Discussion as well as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Hurricane Matthew Advisory and Information graphics link and the NWS Taunton Hurricane Preparedness Information and Safety Tips:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Hurricane Matthew Advisory Information and Infographics:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#MATTHEW

NWS Taunton Hurricane Preparedness Information and Safety Tips:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_hurricane_season_start_2016.txt

The next coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM Wednesday Evening.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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