Storm Coordination Message #2 – Friday Morning 1/6/17 Winter Storm Potential and Saturday AM 1/7/17-Sunday AM 1/8/17 Winter Storm Potential
Hello to all…
..An offshore storm system will affect Southeast New England with accumulating snow with confidence growing in a plowable snowfall for that area for Friday Morning and a track that will see that plowable snowfall cover much of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for Friday Morning. Another storm system has the potential to bring another plowable to possibly significant snowfall some time between Saturday Morning to Sunday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 12 AM to 12 PM Friday for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across interior South-Central Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts, 1-3″ of snow is likely and outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..There will be a sharp northwest cutoff between the heavier accumulating snow and the lighter snowfall area with this offshore storm system. The current trend is for a track slightly closer to the area which resulted in expansion of the Winter Weather Advisory for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning for 6″ or more of snow and there is the potential for advisory level snow in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central RI with this system. Similar to the Friday system, it is an offshore track with a sharp cutoff between heavier snow and lighter snow and also a wide model spread on what could occur with this system..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday..
A couple of storm systems will affect the region, particularly Southeast New England, Friday Morning and again Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking on both storms. Regarding the Saturday storm, models still have a pretty wide spread in solutions and it is noted that one particular model is producing a rather prolific snow event for Southeast New England. In scenarios where there are a wide spread in model solutions, a consensus of models must be reviewed as well as looking at trends in the model guidance. Currently, a Winter Storm Watch for 6″ or more of snow is in effect Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands with advisory level snowfall possible in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central Rhode Island. Future model runs will help better discern the storm potential and whether a closer to the coast track with the Saturday system occurs or if it tracks further offshore.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday. This will be the last coordination message regarding the Friday winter storm system. Another coordination message on the Saturday system will either be posted by 11 AM Friday Morning or not until Friday Evening depending on SKYWARN Self-Activation operations for the Friday Morning winter storm. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all…
..An offshore storm system will affect Southeast New England with accumulating snow with confidence growing in a plowable snowfall for that area for Friday Morning and a track that will see that plowable snowfall cover much of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for Friday Morning. Another storm system has the potential to bring another plowable to possibly significant snowfall some time between Saturday Morning to Sunday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 12 AM to 12 PM Friday for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across interior South-Central Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts, 1-3″ of snow is likely and outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..There will be a sharp northwest cutoff between the heavier accumulating snow and the lighter snowfall area with this offshore storm system. The current trend is for a track slightly closer to the area which resulted in expansion of the Winter Weather Advisory for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning for 6″ or more of snow and there is the potential for advisory level snow in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central RI with this system. Similar to the Friday system, it is an offshore track with a sharp cutoff between heavier snow and lighter snow and also a wide model spread on what could occur with this system..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday..
A couple of storm systems will affect the region, particularly Southeast New England, Friday Morning and again Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking on both storms. Regarding the Saturday storm, models still have a pretty wide spread in solutions and it is noted that one particular model is producing a rather prolific snow event for Southeast New England. In scenarios where there are a wide spread in model solutions, a consensus of models must be reviewed as well as looking at trends in the model guidance. Currently, a Winter Storm Watch for 6″ or more of snow is in effect Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands with advisory level snowfall possible in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central Rhode Island. Future model runs will help better discern the storm potential and whether a closer to the coast track with the Saturday system occurs or if it tracks further offshore.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday. This will be the last coordination message regarding the Friday winter storm system. Another coordination message on the Saturday system will either be posted by 11 AM Friday Morning or not until Friday Evening depending on SKYWARN Self-Activation operations for the Friday Morning winter storm. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box