Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Evening 5/18/17-Early Friday Morning 5/19/17 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Record heat will give way to the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms over portions of Western Massachusetts and Northwest and North-Central Connecticut as a cold front approaches. Strong to damaging winds, hail, lightning and torrential downpours with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The timeframe is between 6 PM to 12 AM this evening..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut in a marginal risk of severe weather with a slight risk of severe weather into portions of Berkshire County Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather threat this evening in Western New England. Strong to Severe thunderstorms will likely weaken as they cross into central and eastern parts of New England due to loss of daytime heating and marine influences..

Record heat is expected across Southern New England today. A cold front will approach from New York State as we get into this evening. While the cold front will move through past peak heating, the record heat expected over the area will mean warmer temperatures as we get into this evening providing sufficient heating and destabilization coupled with strong winds aloft and a triggering mechanism with the cold front for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms and SPC has placed portions of Western Massachusetts and Northwest and North-Central Connecticut in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather as stated in the headlines. The timeframe for severe weather is anytime between 6 PM and 12 AM this evening. Activity should weaken as it moves eastward as further loss of daytime heating and marine influences weaken the thunderstorms.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather threat this evening in Western New England. Strong to Severe thunderstorms will likely weaken as they cross into central and eastern parts of New England due to loss of daytime heating and marine influences. This will likely be the only coordination message on this severe weather potential unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Record heat will give way to the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms over portions of Western Massachusetts and Northwest and North-Central Connecticut as a cold front approaches. Strong to damaging winds, hail, lightning and torrential downpours with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The timeframe is between 6 PM to 12 AM this evening..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut in a marginal risk of severe weather with a slight risk of severe weather into portions of Berkshire County Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather threat this evening in Western New England. Strong to Severe thunderstorms will likely weaken as they cross into central and eastern parts of New England due to loss of daytime heating and marine influences..

Record heat is expected across Southern New England today. A cold front will approach from New York State as we get into this evening. While the cold front will move through past peak heating, the record heat expected over the area will mean warmer temperatures as we get into this evening providing sufficient heating and destabilization coupled with strong winds aloft and a triggering mechanism with the cold front for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms and SPC has placed portions of Western Massachusetts and Northwest and North-Central Connecticut in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather as stated in the headlines. The timeframe for severe weather is anytime between 6 PM and 12 AM this evening. Activity should weaken as it moves eastward as further loss of daytime heating and marine influences weaken the thunderstorms.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather threat this evening in Western New England. Strong to Severe thunderstorms will likely weaken as they cross into central and eastern parts of New England due to loss of daytime heating and marine influences. This will likely be the only coordination message on this severe weather potential unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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