Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday 8/24/20 and Tuesday 8/25/20 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Another Round of Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are likely Monday Afternoon and evening across much of Southern New England away from the south coast of Mass and Rhode Island for Monday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. Threat timeframe is 2-8 PM EDT Monday Afternoon and Evening..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed most of Southern New England except for Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island in a marginal risk for severe weather for Monday..
..Scattered to Numerous strong to severe thunderstorms are likely Tuesday across all of New England with the same main threats as Monday but potentially more widespread than the last few days. SPC has all of New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather for Tuesday. Timeframe for severe weather potential Tuesday is from 2-8 PM EDT though could start as early as a 11 AM or 12 PM EDT Tuesday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will occur both Monday and Tuesday for the severe weather potential for Monday and Tuesday..

It has been an active weekend for severe weather for portions of Southern New England. We are working toward posting Facebook Photo Albums for both severe weather events today pending when the severe weather from today starts up. Pictures, video and reports from the severe weather events of Saturday 8/22 and Sunday 8/23 can be sent to the email address pics@nsradio.org or via our WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds with credit given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio report for the information unless otherwise indicated. The latest Local Storm Reports for the severe weather events of Saturday 8/22 and Sunday 8/23 are listed below:

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report – Saturday 8/22/20 Severe Weather Event:
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/2008222259.nwus51.html

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report – Sunday 8/23/20 Severe Weather Event:
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/2008241407.nwus51.html

In a similar setup to the weekend, another round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are likely in portions of Southern New England today anytime between 2-8 PM EDT. While much of Southern New England is in a marginal risk for severe weather, an area within the marginal risk for severe weather with higher severe weather potential is area along and south of the Mass Pike but away from the south coast of Rhode Island and Massachusetts. All areas within the marginal risk area should continue to monitor today’s potential.

For Tuesday, a strong cold front will move through the area with higher wind shear profiles. The timing of the cold front is in question and could affect instability parameters but a more widespread severe weather event is likely on Tuesday. Cold frontal timing could increase the severe weather potential if its passage is later in the afternoon. SPC has placed the area in a slight risk for severe weather for Tuesday given the potential for more widespread coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will occur both Monday and Tuesday for the severe weather potential for Monday and Tuesday. The next coordination message focusing on the Tuesday severe weather potential will be posted by 1030 PM Monday evening pending how the Monday severe weather potential evolves. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 and Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Special Weather Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/2008241308.wwus81.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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