Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 5/23/24 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all…
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late Thursday Morning through Thursday Evening through around 8 PM Thursday. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued most of Southern New England in a marginal risk of severe weather with the greatest potential now along and south of the Mass Pike and could include some coastal areas but all parts of the marginal risk area should monitor conditions today..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets remain possible Thursday for the severe weather potential..
A pre-frontal trough and cold front will swing through Southern New England Thursday setting the stage for potential strong to severe thunderstorm development. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) Amount of cloud cover which given current shower and thunderstorm activity over the area could limit the potential a bit but there still could be isolated strong to severe thunderstorms in the area.
2.) Timing of the cold front is a bit earlier in the day which means heating won’t be as maximized per earlier thinking but some storms have been severe in portions of Southeast New York and Southwest Connecticut despite the earlier timing so this will still bear watching.
3.) The coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms in the region will depend on the above two factors.
SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible Thursday for the severe weather potential. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
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