Tropical Storm Jose Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 9/19/17-Wednesday 9/20/17 Possible Jose Impacts

September 14, 2017 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Tropical Storm Jose is expected to at least gradually intensify and after making a cyclonic loop 400 miles east-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas, it will gradually move west and northwestward and then nothward parallel to the US East Coast with the possibility of direct impacts in Southern New England in the Tuesday to Wednesday timeframe. Latest National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory mentions interests from North Carolina northward to New England on the US East Coast should monitor the progress of Jose..
..The extent on specifics of impact are too early to state at this time but swells and rip currents along the New England Coast are likely. Heavy Rain, Gusty Winds, and Coastal Flooding and Beach Erosion along the South Coast of New England are potential threats..
..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of Jose. Since it is not near land, they are not active at this time..
..Interests in Southern New England should begin monitoring the progress of Tropical Storm Jose. This message’s intent, at this very early stage, is to have folks begin the monitoring process..

Tropical Storm Jose is currently a 70 MPH tropical storm making a cyclonic loop to the east-northeast of the Bahamas. Over the next few days, Jose is expected to track more towards the northwest and northward with some increase in forward speed and should at least gradually intensify. Model guidance has shifted a bit closer to the coast with some reliable guidance bringing Jose to near the 40 North/70 west benchmark just south of Nantucket. Other models are further west while others are still further east and there is considerable spread in the guidance. The NHC advisory mentions interests from North Carolina to New England should monitor the progress of Jose so that necessitates starting coordination messages. Given the spread in the model guidance, it is too early to state any direct impacts with the exception of swells and rip currents along the New England coast which are likely as we get into the weekend and early next week. Heavy Rains, Gusty Winds, and Coastal Flooding to South Coastal New England are all potential threats pending the track of Jose if a closer to the coast impact verifies Tuesday into Wednesday. The track error ‘cone of uncertainty’ is approaching Southern New England with the latest forecast package.

Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track and intensity of Tropical Storm Jose. People should gradually begin reviewing their preparedness measures for tropical storm/hurricane force conditions as a precaution. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness:

Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips via the link below:

http://beta.wx1box.org/local/hurr_prepare_week_2017.txt

Once again, Tropical Storm Jose should be monitored closely by people in Southern New England. The latest NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory information on Tropical Storm Jose are listed below:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Tropical Storm Jose Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt32.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt42.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt22.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font12.KNHC.html

The next coordination message will likely be posted some time Friday Evening pending further computer model data on the track of Jose and significant updates to Jose’s status as a tropical system from an intensity perspective.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box