Storm Coordination Message #2 – Late Thursday Night 1/6/22-Friday Evening 1/7/22 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A moderate snowstorm with plowable snowfall remains likely for Southern New England late Thursday Night through Friday Afternoon with the worst conditions in and around the Friday Morning Work Commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 7 PM Friday Evening for Rhode Island and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 4 PM Friday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Northern Middlesex Counties for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible in Northeast Connecticut..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 7 PM Friday Evening for Block Island Rhode Island for 2-4″ of wet snow with winds gusting to 35 MPH..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late tonight through Friday Evening for Essex, Central Middlesex and Southern Worcester County Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Late Tonight Through Friday Evening for Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard for 2-7″ of snow and wind gusts to 40 MPH. Key items on snow amounts here is any mixed precipitation cutting down amounts in parts of this area as well snow being heavy and wet and with wind gusts to around 40 MPH causing isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon..

A moderate snowstorm is expected for Southern New England late Thursday Night into Friday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The storm track still has some variance. If there is a track further southeast it could slide heavier snowfall further southeast in the watch area with less mixing on Cape Cod and the Islands and more snowfall there. A track further north and west could bring heavier snows to more of the region. Recent trends have been for a closer storm track to the area with an expansion of Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Watches and Warnings covering all areas except Nantucket.
2.) The storm is expected to intensify more rapidly as it moves away from Southern New England. If that intensification occurs sooner closer to Southern New England, it could enhance snowfall amounts a bit more and some of that intensification is going to occur closer to Southern New England allowing for slightly higher snowfall amounts.
3.) The worst conditions are expected during the Friday Morning commute which raises the impact for this storm versus one that is timed between the commutes or over the weekend.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM Thursday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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