Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday 11/17/14 Storm Potential
Hello to all..
..Strong Storm System is affecting the west-central interior portions of Southern New England with a light wintry mix. Much of Southern New England will see heavy rainfall especially this afternoon and evening with strong to damaging winds likely in Eastern and Southeastern New England this afternoon and evening as well..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 1 PM Monday for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts particularly in elevations above 1000 feet for up to 1″ of snow along with a coating to a tenth inch of ice resulting in slippery travel during this time period..
..A High Wind Warning is in effect for Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 3-11 PM Monday for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 3-10 PM Monday for all of Rhode Island and North-Central Bristol, Western Plymouth, Norfolk, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex and Eastern Essex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential..
A strong storm system will track into Southern New England Monday into Monday Evening. The storm is bringing a light wintry mix changing to rain over western and central New England particularly in the higher elevations, heavy rainfall for much of Southern New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeastern New England as we get into this afternoon an evening. The headlines indicate the latest expectations for this storm system.
Regarding the heavy rainfall across much of Southern New England, rainfall amounts of 1-2″ are likely region wide with portions of Southeast New England seeing isolated 2-3″ rainfall amounts. This rainfall could result in urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.
Regarding the strong to damaging wind threat, the headlines depict the current expectation and the potential for stronger wind gusts and those stronger wind gusts extending northward into East-Coastal Massachusetts and other parts of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island as models depict a stronger wind field covering a larger part of the area. The wind threat remains contingent on a few factors:
1.) Temperatures in the Wind Advisory and High Wind Warning area. If they get into the 50s and lower 60s as expected, that will realize the strong to damaging wind threat.
2.) Strength of the low level winds. The trend has been towards a stronger wind field aloft. The current High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory reflects current thinking.
3.) Any heavy convective showers or possibly even thunderstorms that can organize in Southeast New England. These convective showers and thunderstorms would assist with bringing the stronger winds on to the surface.
4.) Position of the warm front. Some models bring the warm front further north which would allow the strong to damaging wind threat to expand farther inland. This will be monitored.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England during Monday Morning into the early afternoon. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all..
..Strong Storm System is affecting the west-central interior portions of Southern New England with a light wintry mix. Much of Southern New England will see heavy rainfall especially this afternoon and evening with strong to damaging winds likely in Eastern and Southeastern New England this afternoon and evening as well..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 1 PM Monday for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts particularly in elevations above 1000 feet for up to 1″ of snow along with a coating to a tenth inch of ice resulting in slippery travel during this time period..
..A High Wind Warning is in effect for Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 3-11 PM Monday for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 3-10 PM Monday for all of Rhode Island and North-Central Bristol, Western Plymouth, Norfolk, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex and Eastern Essex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential..
A strong storm system will track into Southern New England Monday into Monday Evening. The storm is bringing a light wintry mix changing to rain over western and central New England particularly in the higher elevations, heavy rainfall for much of Southern New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeastern New England as we get into this afternoon an evening. The headlines indicate the latest expectations for this storm system.
Regarding the heavy rainfall across much of Southern New England, rainfall amounts of 1-2″ are likely region wide with portions of Southeast New England seeing isolated 2-3″ rainfall amounts. This rainfall could result in urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.
Regarding the strong to damaging wind threat, the headlines depict the current expectation and the potential for stronger wind gusts and those stronger wind gusts extending northward into East-Coastal Massachusetts and other parts of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island as models depict a stronger wind field covering a larger part of the area. The wind threat remains contingent on a few factors:
1.) Temperatures in the Wind Advisory and High Wind Warning area. If they get into the 50s and lower 60s as expected, that will realize the strong to damaging wind threat.
2.) Strength of the low level winds. The trend has been towards a stronger wind field aloft. The current High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory reflects current thinking.
3.) Any heavy convective showers or possibly even thunderstorms that can organize in Southeast New England. These convective showers and thunderstorms would assist with bringing the stronger winds on to the surface.
4.) Position of the warm front. Some models bring the warm front further north which would allow the strong to damaging wind threat to expand farther inland. This will be monitored.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England during Monday Morning into the early afternoon. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box