Storm Coordination Message #3 – Sunday 1/10/16 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System on track for the region bringing mild/record high temperatures, widespread heavy rainfall of 1-2.5″ with isolated higher amounts in a roughly 6 hour period which could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding and the threat of strong to damaging winds..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 11 AM Sunday Morning to 7 PM Sunday Evening for Eastern Essex, Barnstable and Nantucket Counties for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM Sunday Morning to 7 PM Sunday Evening for the remainder of Eastern Massachusetts including Martha’s Vineyard, Southeast Providence, Kent, Bristol, Washington, Newport Counties of Rhode Island and Block Island Rhode Island for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 45-55 MPH. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..After coordination with NWS Taunton, SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm system this morning through this evening..

A strong but warm storm system will affect Southern New England on Sunday. A widespread heavy rainfall of 1-2.5″ with isolated higher amounts in a 6 hour period could cause pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding. The headlines of the coordination message reflect the latest thinking on the potential strong to damaging wind threat. The key item regarding the strength of the winds will be how warm temperatures get and the ability of the very strong winds aloft to get to the surface. Any convective showers or thunderstorms or a fine line of convection that develops will also help to bring strong winds down to the surface. Currently, the strongest winds are expected across Eastern Massachusetts and Central and Southern Rhode Island but some wind gusts to 40 MPH could occur in interior locations especially the higher terrain. Also, after the rain area moves through and we move into the late afternoon/early evening, there is an outside chance of strong thunderstorms across Western/Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut that could have strong winds and possibly even hail but this will be contingent on how much mid-level drying occurs and if there is significant mid-level drying, that would mitigate any strong thunderstorm development.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system this morning through this evening. This will be the last coordination message on the Sunday storm system. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Facebook Infographics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Facebook Inforgraphics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.929715450456160/929715137122858/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System on track for the region bringing mild/record high temperatures, widespread heavy rainfall of 1-2.5″ with isolated higher amounts in a roughly 6 hour period which could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding and the threat of strong to damaging winds..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 11 AM Sunday Morning to 7 PM Sunday Evening for Eastern Essex, Barnstable and Nantucket Counties for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM Sunday Morning to 7 PM Sunday Evening for the remainder of Eastern Massachusetts including Martha’s Vineyard, Southeast Providence, Kent, Bristol, Washington, Newport Counties of Rhode Island and Block Island Rhode Island for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 45-55 MPH. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..After coordination with NWS Taunton, SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm system this morning through this evening..

A strong but warm storm system will affect Southern New England on Sunday. A widespread heavy rainfall of 1-2.5″ with isolated higher amounts in a 6 hour period could cause pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding. The headlines of the coordination message reflect the latest thinking on the potential strong to damaging wind threat. The key item regarding the strength of the winds will be how warm temperatures get and the ability of the very strong winds aloft to get to the surface. Any convective showers or thunderstorms or a fine line of convection that develops will also help to bring strong winds down to the surface. Currently, the strongest winds are expected across Eastern Massachusetts and Central and Southern Rhode Island but some wind gusts to 40 MPH could occur in interior locations especially the higher terrain. Also, after the rain area moves through and we move into the late afternoon/early evening, there is an outside chance of strong thunderstorms across Western/Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut that could have strong winds and possibly even hail but this will be contingent on how much mid-level drying occurs and if there is significant mid-level drying, that would mitigate any strong thunderstorm development.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system this morning through this evening. This will be the last coordination message on the Sunday storm system. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Facebook Infographics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Facebook Inforgraphics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.929715450456160/929715137122858/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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