Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 6/7/16 and Wednesday 6/8/16 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely across much of interior Southern New England from around midday Tuesday into late Tuesday Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall and frequent lightning are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of interior Southern New England from just south of the CT/MA and RI/MA border through Southern New Hampshire in a Slight Risk for severe weather with a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather surrounding the slight risk area covering the remainder of Southern New England..
..Another threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for much of Southern New England exists for Wednesday with strong winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall resulting in urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are planned for Tuesday at 1000 AM EDT lasting through early evening. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely on Wednesday..

The potential continues to exist for our first severe weather event of the spring/summer season across portions of interior Southern New England for Tuesday with a second round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible on Wednesday. The headlines indicate the current severe weather potential. It is noted that there will be strong wind shear and considerable cooling aloft in the upper levels of the atmosphere as favorable factors for severe thunderstorm potential for Tuesday.  Key items that will ultimately effect the potential for severe weather across Southern New England Tuesday:

1.)The first factor of concern was amount of sunshine and heating for instability. Radar and Satellite imagery shows the area of showers and thunderstorms that was in Pennsylvania last night weakened significantly and there is considerable sunshine in the region so there should be sufficient heating for destabilization.
2.) The amount of dry air in mid-levels in the atmosphere and whether this does not allow for strong updraft potential. If there is too much dry air, this could reduce severe weather potential. If the dry air is not that significant, this would increase the severe weather potential. This remains the key factor in the coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms over the region today.

For Wednesday, while temperatures will be cooler at the surface, even cooler temperatures aloft will allow for a big enough temperature difference for another round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. Wind shear won’t be quite as strong as today but sufficient for the possibility of strong to severe thunderstorms and temperatures aloft will be colder than Tuesday. Strong winds, hail, frequent lightning and urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall would be the main threats. There could be many reports of sub-severe hail on Wednesday based on the cold temperatures aloft. Again, the key item on this potential will be the amount of dry air in the atmosphere and if that hinders strong to severe thunderstorm development.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are planned for Tuesday at 1000 AM EDT lasting through early evening. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely on Wednesday. This will be the last coordination message for Tuesday’s severe weather potential. The next coordination message on Wednesday’s severe weather potential will be posted by 1130 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 and Day-2 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 6/7/16 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible to likely across much of interior Southern New England from around midday Tuesday into late Tuesday Evening. Can also not rule out the possibility of a strong to severe thunderstorm during the early Tuesday Morning hours as well. Strong to damaging winds, hail, urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall and frequent lightning are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of interior Southern New England in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather with a possible upgrade to a slight risk for severe weather in later outlooks..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are planned for Tuesday at 1000 AM EDT lasting through early evening..

The potential exists for our first severe weather event of the spring/summer season across portions of interior Southern New England for Tuesday. The headlines indicate the current severe weather potential. It is noted that there will be strong wind shear and considerable cooling aloft in the upper levels of the atmosphere as favorable factors for severe thunderstorm potential for Tuesday.  Key items that will ultimately effect the potential for severe weather across Southern New England Tuesday:

1.) Any morning convection in the 5-8 AM EDT timeframe, the strength of that convection and any cloud cover/debris that is left behind from that convection. More cloud debris during the day would reduce instability levels and limit severe weather potential. Faster clearing and more heating will allow for greater instability and greater potential for severe weather.
2.) The amount of dry air in mid-levels in the atmosphere and whether this does not allow for strong updraft potential. If there is too much dry air, this could reduce severe weather potential. If the dry air is not that significant, this would increase the severe weather potential.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are planned for Tuesday at 1000 AM EDT lasting through early evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM EDT Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Sunday 6/5/16 – Heavy Rainfall/Flood/Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Heavy rainfall and embedded thunderstorm activity expected Sunday Afternoon and Evening Across much of Southern New England. Urban and poor drainage flooding and possibly small river and stream flooding is the main threat. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western Connecticut into Berkshire County Massachusetts in a marginal risk for severe weather with damaging wind a possible additional threat though the main area of severe weather should be south and west of Southern New England based on the current forecast..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions for flooding reports and measured rainfall reports in the region and any severe weather threat that develops in Western New England..

A storm system will approach Southern New England as we get into Sunday Afternoon and Evening and bring the potential for heavy rainfall and embedded thunderstorm activity Sunday Afternoon and Evening to much of Southern New England. Rainfall amounts of 1-2″ with isolated higher amounts in areas that have heavy rain train over the same area. This could bring the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding with the potential for some small river and small stream flooding as the main threat. There is also a secondary threat for severe weather in the form of damaging winds across Western Connecticut and Berkshire Massachusetts where SPC has placed this area in a marginal risk for severe weather. Most of the severe weather threat, however, should be south and west of Southern New England into the mid-atlantic states.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions for flooding reports and measured rainfall reports in the region and any severe weather threat that develops in Western New England. This will be the last coordination message on this situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 6/5/16 – Heavy Rainfall/Flood/Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Heavy rainfall and embedded thunderstorm activity expected Sunday Afternoon and Evening Across much of Southern New England. Urban and poor drainage flooding and possibly small river and stream flooding is the main threat. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather with damaging wind a possible additional threat though the main area of severe weather should be south and west of Southern New England based on the current forecast..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions for flooding reports and measured rainfall reports in the region and any severe weather threat that develops in Western Connecticut..

A storm system will approach Southern New England on Sunday and bring the potential for heavy rainfall and embedded thunderstorm activity Sunday Afternoon and Evening to much of Southern New England. Rainfall amounts of 1-2″ with isolated higher amounts in areas that have heavy rain train over the same area. This could bring the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding with the potential for some small river and small stream flooding as the main threat. There is also a secondary threat for severe weather in the form of damaging winds across Western Connecticut where SPC has placed this area in a marginal risk for severe weather. Most of the severe weather threat, however, should be south and west of Southern New England into the mid-atlantic states.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions for flooding reports and measured rainfall reports in the region and any severe weather threat that develops in Western Connecticut. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: Remembering the June 1st, 2011 Massachusetts Tornado Outbreak – 5th Anniversary

Hello to all..

We have reached the five-year anniversary of a historic day in Southern New England Weather History. The June 1st, 2011 Massachusetts Tornado Outbreak will be a day long remembered in weather history. This announcement recaps the tornado outbreak and the lessons learned that apply today. This message is leveraged from prior anniversary messages with some updates.

The June 1st, 2011 event was forecasted by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman Oklahoma as far as 5 days out. This is very rare for New England to be in a convective outlook past 3 days. The outlook of ‘Slight Risk’ for severe weather would continue right up through June 1st. As we got into June 1st, a fast moving area of rapidly developing severe thunderstorms ahead of the warm front affected portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts producing large hail. These storms quickly moved out of area and were a sign of things to come and how explosive the atmosphere was on June 1st. Abundant sunshine and rapid heating and destabilization coupled with extremely strong wind shear values, set the stage for a historic major severe weather outbreak in Massachusetts and other parts of New England. The Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma issued a Mesoscale Convective Discussion highlighting the need for Tornado Watches for much of New York and New England. The Tornado Watches would be issued and supercell severe thunderstorms would move into Southern New England.

Initially the supercells produced very large hail including hail slightly over 4″ in diameter in East Windsor Massachusetts, Berkshire County, which may potentially set the new record for the commonwealth as far as hail size but no tornadic or wind damage activity through 400 PM. This is when the supercell began to take shape in Western Hampden County Massachusetts and set the stage for the large, long track EF-3 Tornado that traversed the area from Westfield to Charlton Massachusetts for a 39-mile long damage path and was on the ground for 70 minutes. Three smaller tornadoes occurred in Western and Central Massachusetts from additional supercells moving through the area. Another area of supercells went through Northern Worcester County into Middlesex and Suffolk Counties producing Golf Ball Sized hail and pockets of wind damage all the way into the Metro Boston area.

June 1st, 2011 underscored how important Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters are to the warning process and how the timely severe weather reporting can not only help the warning process but can also help saves lives. The near real-time reporting of the large EF-3 tornado touchdown with initial preliminary reports in Westfield, the actual spotting of the EF3 Tornado by several Amateurs including KB1NOX-Richard Stewart who was in a car with several other Amateurs and Western Massachusetts SKYWARN Coordinator, Ray Weber-KA1JJM, and the amazing remote webcam footage from WWLP-TV channel 22 in Springfield Massachusetts helped to tell people that not only was this a radar detected tornado but that it was definitely on the ground and doing significant damage. It is quite likely that many lives were saved by this near realtime reporting of the tornado being on the ground.

Amateur Radio SKYWARN Nets were active on several Amateur Radio Repeaters including the 146.940-Mount Tom Repeater run by the Mount Tom Amateur Radio Club and with Amateur Radio members and SKYWARN Spotters from the Hampden County Radio Association also reporting into the net. The 146.970-Paxton Repeater run by the Central Massachusetts Amateur Radio Club was active for several hours as well. Both repeaters providing significant near realtime reporting for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes not only to the National Weather Service but also to the media, local, state and federal emergency management officials. The Amateur Radio Internet Radio Linking Project (IRLP)/Echolink system on the echolink conference *NEW-ENG* node 9123/IRLP 9123 was also active with liaisons from various Amateur Radio nets reporting into the network. While not in the NWS Taunton County Warning Area, the 146.910-Mount Greylock Repeater was active with Berkshire County SKYWARN as run by Rick-WA1ZHM with Walt-N1DQU providing information from the net into NWS Taunton. Net Controls for the 146.940 Mount Tom Net were Bob Meneguzzo-K1YO and for the 146.970 Paxton Net, John Ruggiero-N2YHK. N9SC-Steve Craven provided a critical liaison link from the 146.970-Paxton Repeater Net to the 146.940-Mount Tom Net during the tornadic outbreak. Many Amateur Radio Operators and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters reported severe weather conditions despite being at risk from these powerful supercells. We are forever grateful for the reporting that helped save lives. The outpouring of damage assessment pictures and videos and reports near and after the event was unprecedented. This clearly helped Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), local and state emergency management perform their duties to try and bring as many resources to bear on the significant path of destruction carved out by the tornado outbreak.

For the victims, today is likely a painful reminder of what occurred and what loses they face and in some cases are still recovering from in terms of property damage and possibly lives lost. Our thoughts and prayers remain to all those people that are affected and we hope that they have fully recovered and moved on with their lives after this tornado outbreak.

For those not impacted by such a significant event as June 1st and not impacted severely by the likes of Irene, Snowtober, Sandy, the February 2013 Blizzard, the 2014 EF-2 Revere Massachusetts Tornado and the August 4th 2015 severe weather outbreak over the past 5 years, this is a reminder that we must all be prepared for these significant weather situations that occur at low frequency but can be with high impact. The more self-sufficient and prepared we are, the easier the situation will be if we are faced with such a significant scenario if it comes our way and potentially occurs in a more widespread way. For those SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators who have not witnessed such severe weather, this is why we train and prepare because we never know the hour or day where a critical severe weather report can help the warning process and save lives.

On a personal level, we never want severe weather like this to happen but if it has to happen, the level of commitment, support and reporting of the situation in near realtime on June 1st with a high level of precision and quality but also in the quantity that the reports came through in our network is a testament to all of you for remaining dedicated and supportive of the National Weather Service SKYWARN program. It is an honor and a privilege for myself and many of our Amateur Radio SKYWARN Coordinators across the NWS Taunton Coverage Area to serve as leaders of the program and we appreciate everything you do, as without all of you, we wouldn’t have the SKYWARN program we have today in our region. Having been the leader of the program for 20 years, this was our finest hour in supporting the NWS Taunton office and saving lives and it couldn’t have been done without all of your support.

We hope this remembrance makes people never forget what happened on June 1st 2011 and remind ourselves again that we must remain, prepared and vigilant especially here in New England where events such as June 1st can happen but on a low frequency basis. A June 1st 2011 video collage has been posted at our SKYWARN video page at video.nsradio.org with recordings of some of the Amateur Radio reports that came in through the network and a direct link is listed below. Also listed below is the NWS Taunton – Massachusetts Tornado Summary, the NWS Taunton June 1st, 2011 Facebook Graphic, the ARRL Story on the June 1st Tornado Outbreak, the NWS Taunton June 1st Local Storm Report and the Raw Storm log from the WX1BOX Amateur Radio Station.

Amateur Radio SKYWARN Video – June 1st, 2011:
http://www.nsradio.org/video/features/recap/2011tornado/index.html

NWS Taunton June 1st, 2011 Facebook Graphics:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/remembering_june_1st_2011_mass_tornado_outbreak.jpg
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/a.178319238929122.42608.122106561217057/1018773178217053/?type=3&theater

NWS Taunton Local Storm Reports 6/1/11:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/lsr_6_1_11.txt

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Tornado Classifications from 6/1/11:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_6_1_11.txt

ARRL Story from 6/1/11 – Central Massachusetts Experiences Rare Tornado, Area Hams Hasten to Help:
http://www.arrl.org/news/central-massachusetts-experiences-rare-tornado-area-hams-hasten-to-help

NWS Taunton-WX1BOX Raw Amateur Radio Storm Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/storm_reports.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Monday Memorial Day 5/30/16 Severe Weather/Heavy Rainfall Potential

Hello to all…

..Memorial Day is bringing more widespread showers and the potential for an embedded thunderstorm or two with the potential for localized heavy rainfall and urban and poor drainage flooding in localized areas that receive persistent and short duration heavy rainfall. This is associated with a cold front that will capture some of the moisture from Bonnie in the South/North Carolina region. An Isolated Strong to Severe Thunderstorm risk is also possible in parts of Northwest Massachusetts with strong to damaging wind and hail as well with the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) continuing a marginal risk for severe weather for Northwest Massachusetts into Northern New England with areas west of Northwest Massachusetts most favorable depending on the amount of clearing that develops after rain moves through western areas this morning..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions area wide on Memorial Day. This will be the last coordination message on the Memorial Day weather unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook..

NWS Taunton Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: Prevailing Winds SKYWARN Newsletter – Spring 2016 Edition

Hello to all..

The Spring 2016 edition of the Prevailing Winds SKYWARN Newsletter is now available. Links to the Spring 2016 Prevailing Winds SKYWARN Newsletter appear below:

http://beta.wx1box.org/local/Iss6vol1_newsletter_may2016.pdf
http://www.weather.gov/media/box/officePrograms/prevailing_winds/2016_05_prevailing_winds.pdf

An archive of Prevailing Winds SKYWARN Newsletters can be seen via the following link:
http://beta.wx1box.org/node/3288

There are many interesting stories in the Spring 2016 Prevailing Winds SKYWARN Newsletter including a summary of SKYWARN Activations and Amateur Radio Operations during the winter of 2015-2016.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Special Announcement: 2016 WX4NHC Communications Test Very Successful – FEMA Administrator KK4INZ-Craig Fugate Participates in VoIPWXNet Portion of the Test

Hello to all..

The 2016 WX4NHC Communications Test was very successful. Many Amateur Radio stations checked in with WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center allowing for critical testing of equipment. In addition, KK4INZ-Craig Fugate, FEMA Administrator, checked into the test and contacted both WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, and VE1MBR-Bob Robichaud, who was located at the Canadian Hurricane Centre in the Halifax Nova Scotia Canada area and monitored the last approximately 45 minutes of the Communications test. The moment was captured and recorded via the Echolink audio recording feature. The approximately 5 minute and 30 second period where KK4INZ-Craig Fugate made contact with WX4NHC and the Canadian Hurricane Centre can be heard via the following link:

http://www.voipwx.net/files/KK4INZ_Craig_Fugate_on_voipwxnet_wx4nhc_comms_test.wav

This link and recording has also been archived in the VoIP Hurricane Prep Net Presentations Archive which is a link off the Main Menu of the web site. As we enter the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season, the SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio community in the NWS Taunton Coverage area should be prepared to report severe weather per the SKYWARN reporting criteria during tropical systems and as we move into the summer severe weather season to support the National Weather Service in Taunton Massachusetts, their local and state emergency management, non-governmental organizations and the media to provide a high level of situational awareness and disaster intelligence information. It is also important to assure your personally prepared as well. As witnessed by the time taken by the FEMA Administrator to participate in the WX4NHC Communications test, Amateur Radio’s preparedness and SKYWARN Spotter preparedness before event and executing support during potentially significant weather situations and tropical systems is critical to the overall disaster response effort.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 5/29/16 and Monday Memorial Day 5/30/16 Severe Weather/Heavy Rainfall Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Possibly a Marginally Severe Thunderstorm or two are possible over Western Massachusetts from Western Worcester County Massachusetts west to the New York State line and Northwestern and North-Central Connecticut this Sunday afternoon through early evening. Heavy rainfall and urban and poor drainage flooding and lightning are the main threats but isolated strong to damaging winds or hail is also possible..
..On Memorial Day, more widespread showers are likely with the potential for localized heavy rainfall and urban and poor drainage flooding in localized areas that receive persistent and short duration heavy rainfall. This is associated with a cold front that will capture some of the moisture from Bonnie in the South/North Carolina region. An Isolated Strong to Severe Thunderstorm risk is also possible in parts of Northwest Massachusetts with strong to damaging wind and hail as well with the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) placing Northwest Massachusetts into Northern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions over Western New England for today and area wide on Memorial Day. Another coordination message will be posted either late this evening or Memorial Day Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Strong Thunderstorm Potential for Saturday 5/28/16 and Potential Strong Thunderstorms for Later into the Memorial Day Weekend

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong thunderstorms possible today across interior Southern New England during the afternoon and early evening hours. Heavy downpours with urban and poor drainage flooding and lightning are the main threats but strong winds and hail could occur in the strongest thunderstorms. This same potential exists on Sunday confined to Western and Central parts of Southern New England with the potential for more widespread heavy downpours and convective showers and thunderstorms Monday as a cold front interacts with Tropical Depression Two on Memorial Day..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong thunderstorm potential for Saturday. SKYWARN Self-Activation will likely be needed again on Sunday and Monday and will be detailed in future coordination messages. This will be the only coordination message for today’s strong thunderstorm activity unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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