Hello to all..

..Model Uncertainty Remains Higher Than Normal with Major Coastal Storm/Nor’easter that will attempt to take aim on portions of Southern New England, particularly Southeast New England with the threats of Heavy Snow, Near Blizzard to Blizzard Conditions and Strong to Damaging Winds Tuesday Night into Wednesday and the potential for minor to moderate Coastal Flooding at the time of the Wednesday Morning high tide on north and east facing coastal areas of Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Blizzard Watch remains in effect for late Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands for a general 5-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 12″ on Outer Cape and potentially Nantucket Island and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60-65 MPH and possibly higher gusts to hurricane force on Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket Island with the potential for blizzard conditions depending on the track of the storm. Isolated to Scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages are possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport County Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible depending on how close the coastal storm tracks toward the coast. Considerable blowing and drifting snow possible along with isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for the Wednesday Morning high tide for Cape Cod and Nantucket Island..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from late tonight through Wednesday Evening for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60-65 MPH and possibly higher gusts to hurricane force on Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket Island depending on how close the coastal storm tracks toward the region..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm/Blizzard Watch area from the North Shore of Massachusetts and the Boston to Providence corridor through the Connecticut/Rhode Island border may see advisory level snowfall at this time but this will ultimately depend on the track of this major coastal storm/nor’easter and where the sharp cutoff between light snow and heavier accumulating snow lines up. Farther inland, little to no snow accumulation is expected..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely late Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon..

Model solutions still have a wide variance as of Tuesday Morning. The European model has been the most consistent with its track closest to but still southeast of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. The European model was joined by one of the American short-term models late Monday Afternoon and Evening on this closer storm track. This remains at odds with a second American and Canadian model and a second European model which has a more offshore track confining the impacts to Cape Cod and the Islands. Wobbles in the track guidance of as little as 50-100 miles will have significant impacts on the forecast as we have said from the start of tracking this system. A track 50-100 miles further west would mean impacts through much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island with even greater impacts to Southeast New England. A track 50-100 miles further east would mean lighter impacts to the remainder of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island and the greatest impacts over Cape Cod and the Islands. As with many of our offshore systems this winter, there will be a sharp cutoff between heavier snow and strongest winds versus lighter winds and lighter snowfall. This will be monitored closely into Tuesday Evening. All models agree this is a powerful coastal storm/nor’easter and for that reason bears close monitoring across all of Eastern New England given uncertainties in the track guidance. The following represents the latest update of current thinking for this system and continue to indicate the most significant impacts would be over Cape Cod and the Islands as well as portions of Southeast Massachusetts and extreme Southeast Rhode Island. Confidence was still not high enough to convert Blizzard and Winter Storm Watches to Warnings, however, the High Wind threat for Cape Cod and the Islands is probably the highest confidence of the forecast to date.

A Blizzard Watch remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for 5-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of 12″ possible on Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket Island and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60-65 MPH and possibly higher gusts to hurricane force on Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket Island and the potential for blizzard conditions depending on how close the coastal system passes through the region. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon for Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport County Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH causing considerable blowing and drifting of snow depending on how close the coastal system passes through the region. A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for the Wednesday Morning high tide for Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for the potential of minor to moderate coastal flooding. For areas outside of the Winter Storm/Blizzard Watch area particularly from the North Shore of Massachusetts and the Boston to Providence corridor through the Connecticut/Rhode Island border, advisory level snow remains possible depending on the track of the major coastal storm and where the sharp cutoff between light snow and heavier accumulating snow lines up. Further west, little to no snow accumulation is expected.

It is noted that despite the offshore track of the system, one of the bigger concerns and highest confidence points of the forecast will be strong to damaging winds over Cape Cod and the Islands and the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages with wind gusts to 60-65 MPH and even a low probability of wind gusts to near hurricane force over the Outer Cape and Nantucket Island depending on how close the system tracks to the region. A High Wind Watch is now in effect from late tonight through Wednesday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands given the confidence on the wind threat. Strong winds will also affect much of Southeast Massachusetts particularly at the coast with wind gusts up to 50 MPH possibly causing isolated tree and wire damage and power outages.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely late Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon. The next coordination message will be posted by 830 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Major Coastal Storm/Nor’easter will attempt to take aim on portions of Southern New England, particularly Southeast New England with the threats of Heavy Snow, Near Blizzard to Blizzard Conditions and Strong to Damaging Winds Tuesday Night into Wednesday and the potential for minor to moderate Coastal Flooding at the time of the Wednesday Morning high tide on north and east facing coastal areas of Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Blizzard Watch remains in effect for Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands for a general 5-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 12″ on Outer Cape and potentially Nantucket Island and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60-65 MPH and possibly higher gusts to hurricane force on Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket Island with the potential for blizzard conditions. Isolated to Scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages are possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport County Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. Considerable blowing and drifting snow possible along with isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for the Wednesday Morning high tide for Cape Cod and Nantucket Island..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm/Blizzard Watch area from the North Shore of Massachusetts and the Boston to Providence corridor through the Connecticut/Rhode Island border may see advisory level snowfall at this time but this will ultimately depend on the track of this major coastal storm/nor’easter and where the sharp cutoff between light snow and heavier accumulating snow lines up. There is still some higher than normal model disparity affecting confidence in storm impacts for this event..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely late Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon..

Model solutions still have a fairly wide variance as of Monday afternoon with one camp of models (the European models) giving a slightly closer track to Southern New England while the American models give a track further offshore. Wobbles in the track guidance of as little as 50-100 miles will have significant impacts on the forecast. A track 50-100 miles further west would mean impacts through much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island with even greater impacts to Southeast New England. A track 50-100 miles further east would mean lighter impacts to the remainder of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island and the greatest impacts over Cape Cod and the Islands. As with many of our offshore systems this winter, there will be a sharp cutoff between heavier snow and strongest winds versus lighter winds and lighter snowfall. This will be monitored closely tonight into Tuesday Morning. All models agree this is a powerful coastal storm/nor’easter and for that reason bears close monitoring across all of Eastern New England given uncertainties in the track guidance. The following represents the latest update of current thinking for this system and continue to indicate the most significant impacts would be over Cape Cod and the Islands as well as portions of Southeast Massachusetts and extreme Southeast Rhode Island.

A Blizzard Watch remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for 5-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of 12″ possible on Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket Island and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60-65 MPH and possibly higher gusts to hurricane force on Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket Island and the potential for blizzard conditions. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon for Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport County Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH causing considerable blowing and drifting of snow. A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for the Wednesday Morning high tide for Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for the potential of minor to moderate coastal flooding. For areas outside of the Winter Storm/Blizzard Watch area particularly from the North Shore of Massachusetts and the Boston to Providence corridor through the Connecticut/Rhode Island border, advisory level snow remains possible depending on the track of the major coastal storm and where the sharp cutoff between light snow and heavier accumulating snow lines up.

It is noted that despite the offshore track of the system, one of the bigger concerns will be strong to damaging winds over Cape Cod and the Islands and the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages with wind gusts to 60-65 MPH and even a low probability of wind gusts to near hurricane force over the Outer Cape and Nantucket Island. Strong winds will also affect much of Southeast Massachusetts particularly at the coast with wind gusts up to 50 MPH possibly causing isolated tree and wire damage and power outages.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely late Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon. The next coordination message will be posted by 830 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Major Coastal Storm/Nor’easter will attempt to take aim on portions of Southern New England, particularly Southeast New England with the threats of Heavy Snow, Near Blizzard to Blizzard Conditions and Strong to Damaging Winds Tuesday Night into Wednesday and the potential for minor to moderate Coastal Flooding at the time of the Wednesday Morning high tide on north and east facing coastal areas of Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Blizzard Watch is now in effect for Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands for 6″ or more of snow and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and possibly higher gusts with the potential for blizzard conditions..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport County Rhode Island for 6″ or more of snow and sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts to 45-50 MPH. Considerable blowing and drifting snow possible..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for the Wednesday Morning high tide for Cape Cod and Nantucket Island..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm/Blizzard Watch area from the North Shore of Massachusetts and the Boston to Providence corridor through the Connecticut/Rhode Island border may see advisory level snowfall at this time but this will ultimately depend on the track of this major coastal storm/nor’easter and where the sharp cutoff between light snow and heavier accumulating snow lines up. There is still some higher than normal model disparity affecting confidence in storm impacts for this event..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely late Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon..

Model solutions still have a fairly wide variance as of Monday Morning but some wobbles to the east of the storm track have shifted a bit west particularly with the European model guidance overnight. For several days, model solutions with some variance have indicated the most significant impacts would be over Cape Cod and the Islands as well as portions of Southeast Massachusetts and extreme Southeast Rhode Island. Taking all current guidance into account, a Blizzard Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for 6″ or more of snow and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and the potential for blizzard conditions. A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon for Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport County Rhode Island for 6″ or more of snow and sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts to 45-50 MPH causing considerable blowing and drifting of snow. A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for the Wednesday Morning high tide for Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for the potential of minor to moderate coastal flooding. For areas outside of the Winter Storm/Blizzard Watch area particularly from the North Shore of Massachusetts and the Boston to Providence corridor through the Connecticut/Rhode Island border, advisory level snow is possible depending on the track of the major coastal storm and where the sharp cutoff between light snow and heavier accumulating snow lines up.

As stated in the prior coordination message, the European model guidance has a closer storm track. After a wobble east in the track yesterday, it has wobbled west with the track overnight. American model guidance remains further offshore with the greatest impacts confined to Cape Cod and the Islands. Track differences of as little as 50-100 miles can still have significant impact on the forecast. A track 50-100 miles further west would mean impacts through much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island with even greater impacts to Southeast New England. A track 50-100 miles further east would mean lighter impacts to the remainder of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island and the greatest impacts over Cape Cod and the Islands. As with many of our offshore systems this winter, there will be a sharp cutoff between heavier snow and strongest winds versus lighter winds and lighter snowfall. This will be monitored closely today. All models agree this is a powerful coastal storm/nor’easter and for that reason bears close monitoring across all of Eastern New England given uncertainties in the track guidance.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely late Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon. The next coordination message will be posted by 700 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm/Nor’easter to potentially impact portions of Southern New England, particularly Southeast New England, Tuesday Night into Wednesday. Exact specific impacts remain uncertain as well as northern and western extent of most potent impacts but the potential exist for Heavy Snow, Strong to Damaging Winds Tuesday Night into Wednesday for portions of Southeast New England and Minor to Moderate Coastal Flooding at the time of the Wednesday Morning High Tide on north and east facing coastal areas of Cape Cod, Nantucket and possibly other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Tuesday Night into Wednesday..

Computer models have indicated for several days a powerful coastal storm/nor’easter system will organize off the North Carolina coast and then move northeastward to near or southeast of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. The exact track of the storm system will determine the level and extent of impact across the NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Models have been fairly consistent with the primary impacts focused on Southeast New England including Cape Cod and the Islands and South Coastal Massachusetts from Southeast Plymouth County through Southern Bristol County with heavy snow (potentially more than 6″) and the potential for strong to damaging winds with the potential of minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of the Wednesday Morning High Tide on north and east facing coastal areas of Cape Cod, Nantucket and possibly other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts. Secondary impacts for a moderate snowfall and strong winds cover much of Southeast Massachusetts as well as East Coastal Massachusetts through Boston and the North Shore. A lighter snowfall is possible elsewhere in Southern New England.

As we have seen all winter with our storm systems that are more offshore, there is likely going to be a sharp cutoff between light snow and the heavier snowfall and strong to damaging wind threat. Future model runs should assist with delineating this line. A track difference of just 50-100 miles could vary the impact over the area significantly with a 50-100 mile westward shift meaning a greater impact in Eastern New England including South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands while a shift 50-100 miles eastward could mean lesser impacts and the worst conditions over Cape Cod and Nantucket Island.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Tuesday Night into Wednesday. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Probabilities Maps:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Probability Maps:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all..

Flood Safety Awareness Week was Monday 3/17/14-Friday 3/21/14 and NWS Taunton issued Public Information Statements as well as created a web link on Flood Safety tips. The links below have the information for Flood Safety Awareness Week:

http://www.weather.gov/box/FloodSafetyAwarenessWeek
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/flood_awareness_pns_2014.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

We have added several more SKYWARN Training sites to the SKYWARN Training Schedule for 2014. There have also been a few slight scheduling changes that we want to state explicitly for this SKYWARN Training update.

1.) The location for the SKYWARN Training at Rhode Island College in North Providence Rhode Island is now at Gaige Hall. Please make a note of this if you are attending this class as this is a different hall than what was posted previously as the school changed the location of the SKYWARN class on the Rhode Island College campus.

2.) The Petersham MA SKYWARN Training class start time as been moved up to 730 PM. This is to accommodate a Spaghetti Dinner benefit that the school is putting on to benefit a 5th and 6th Grade Class Trip. Those that are interested in the SKYWARN class and may want to grab dinner prior to the class are encouraged to go to this benefit and all proceeds benefit this class trip for students. In the SKYWARN Training Schedule posted to the wx1box.org web site, the flyer for that benefit is posted for those interested.

Additional Training sessions are still being planned. A few remaining sessions we are waiting to confirm over the next week or so are as follows:

Wilton, NH
East Longmeadow, MA
Plymouth, MA

An additional update on SKYWARN Training 2014 will be posted most likely by the end of next week. The SKYWARN Training 2014 Schedule can be seen via the following links:

http://beta.wx1box.org/node/36
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/officePrograms/skywarn/skywarnTraining.shtml#

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm Affecting Southern New England with strong winds along the South Coast, heavy rainfall and the threat for a moderate snowfall for Franklin County Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire along with a flash freeze and lighter snowfall for much of the rest of Southern New England. The threat of the flash freeze is more significant than the snowfall across much of the region south and east of Southern New Hampshire and Northwest Massachusetts and caution is advised for the morning commute on both roads and walkways as this will be one of the more significant flash freezes we have seen in recent years..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through Noon Thursday for Southern New Hampshire and Franklin County Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and a trace to a tenth inch of ice. The snow will be heavy and wet along with any icing and increasing winds as we get into Thursday may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through Noon Thursday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and the remainder of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts along with interior Southeast Massachusetts include the Metro Boston area for 1-3″ of snow with the highest amounts closest to the Route 2 corridor along with a trace to a few hundredths of an inch of ice accretion. Rain will transition to sleet and freezing rain and then snow during the overnight hours from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through 4 AM Thursday from northwest to southeast..
..At this time, winds are expected to stay just below Wind Advisory thresholds but will be monitored through Thursday Afternoon. Wind Gusts up to 40 and possibly 45 MPH are likely..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions for wet snow totals, flash freeze conditions and any damage from strong winds or strong winds and wet snow through Thursday Afternoon..

The strong coastal storm system is affecting the region as expected. Across Southern New Hampshire and Franklin County Massachusetts, a rain to freezing rain to wet snow situation is ongoing. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 400 PM Wednesday Afternoon through Noon Thursday for this area. The current forecast is that this area will receive 3-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts along with a trace of ice particularly in higher elevations. The snow is expected to be heavy and wet and may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The rain-snow line will bear close watching in this area during the course of the storm. Portions of Northern New England will likely receive well over 6″ of snow.

For much of the rest of Southern New England, rainfall of 0.50-1.5″ with isolated higher amounts is likely. Some urban and poor drainage flooding and poor drainage flooding from clogged storm drains will be possible across these areas. Much of the heaviest precipitation will occur late Wednesday Afternoon into Thursday Morning. Colder air will then work into the area with strong winds possible over the area. The colder air is expected to work into the rest of Southern New England from northwest to southeast between 10 PM Wednesday Evening and 4 AM Thursday Morning and would allow for the rain to change to snow with the potential of 1-3″ of accumulation with the highest amounts closest to the Route 2 corridor. A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through Noon Thursday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and the remainder of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts along with interior Southeast Massachusetts including the Metro Boston area. Caution is advised for the morning commute on both roads and walkways as this will be one of the more significant flash freezes we have seen in recent years. At this time, winds are expected to stay below Wind Advisory thresholds but will be monitored through Thursday Afternoon.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions for wet snow totals, flash freeze conditions and any damage from strong winds or strong winds and wet snow through Thursday Afternoon. This will be the last coordination message unless a significant change to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, and Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm System On Track for Southern New England. Threat for a moderate snowfall in Southern New Hampshire and Northwest Massachusetts with a flash freeze and a small snow and ice accumulation late Wednesday Night into Thursday in other parts of interior areas of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area after a period of heavy rainfall and possible urban/poor drainage flooding late Wednesday Afternoon and Wednesday Night. Strong Winds also likely Thursday across much of the NWS Taunton Coverage area as cold Arctic Air temporarily moves back into the region..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Wednesday Afternoon through Noon Thursday for Southern New Hampshire and Franklin County Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and a trace to a tenth inch of ice. The snow will be heavy and wet along with any icing and increasing winds as we get into Thursday may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through Noon Thursday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and the remainder of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts along with interior Southeast Massachusetts include the Metro Boston area for 1-4″ of snow with the highest amounts closest to the Route 2 corridor along with a trace to a few hundredths of an inch of ice accretion. Rain will transition to sleet and freezing rain and then snow during the overnight hours from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through 4 AM Thursday from northwest to southeast..
..A Wind Advisory will likely be required for Thursday for much of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for wind gusts up to 50 MPH..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions Wednesday Afternoon into Wednesday Evening. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday for strong winds and the flash freeze condition that could affect interior and East Coastal Southern New England along with snow and ice amounts any damage information for Southern New Hampshire and Northwest Massachusetts..

The strong coastal storm system poised to affect the region is on track. Across Southern New Hampshire and Franklin County Massachusetts, a snow to freezing rain and rain situation will take place before changing back to freezing rain and then wet snow. Precipitation will be heavy at times and there is still a level of uncertainty on the level of snow and ice accumulation in this area. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 400 PM Wednesday Afternoon through Noon Thursday for this area. The current forecast is that this area will receive 3-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts along with a trace of ice particularly in higher elevations. The snow is expected to be heavy and wet and may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The rain-snow line will bear close watching in this area during the course of the storm. Portions of Northern New England will likely receive well over 6″ of snow.

For much of the rest of Southern New England, rainfall of 0.50-1.5″ with isolated higher amounts is likely. Some urban and poor drainage flooding and poor drainage flooding from clogged storm drains will be possible across these areas. Much of the heaviest precipitation will occur late Wednesday Afternoon into Thursday Morning. Colder air will then work into the area with strong winds possible over the area. The colder air is expected to work into the rest of Southern New England from northwest to southeast between 10 PM Wednesday Evening and 4 AM Thursday Morning and would allow for the rain to change to snow with the potential of 1-4″ of accumulation with the highest amounts closest to the Route 2 corridor. A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through Noon Thursday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and the remainder of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts along with interior Southeast Massachusetts including the Metro Boston area. Also, A Wind Advisory will likely be required for Thursday for much of the NWS Taunton Coverage area for wind gusts up to 50 MPH.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions Wednesday Afternoon into Wednesday Evening. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday for strong winds and the flash freeze condition that could affect interior Southern New England along with snow and ice amounts any damage information for Southern New Hampshire and Northwest Massachusetts. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 PM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, and Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm System Continues to Trend Warmer but still a threat for a moderate snowfall in Southern New Hampshire and Northwest Massachusetts with a flash freeze and a small snow accumulation Thursday in other parts of interior areas of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area after a period of heavy rainfall and possible urban/poor drainage flooding Wednesday Afternoon and Wednesday Night. Strong Winds also likely Thursday across much of the NWS Taunton Coverage area as cold Arctic Air temporarily moves back into the region..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM Wednesday through Noon Thursday for Southern New Hampshire and Franklin County Massachusetts for 4-6″ of snow and a trace of ice. The snow will be heavy and wet along with any icing and may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions Wednesday Afternoon into Wednesday Evening. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday for strong winds and the flash freeze condition that could affect interior Southern New England along with snow and ice amounts any damage information for Southern New Hampshire and Northwest Massachusetts..

The strong coastal storm system poised to affect the region has trended warmer and will result in heavy rainfall for most of Southern New England except for far northwest area with 1-2″ of rainfall with isolated higher amounts. Some urban and poor drainage flooding and poor drainage flooding from clogged storm drains will be possible across these areas. Much of the heaviest precipitation will occur late Wednesday Afternoon into Thursday Morning. Colder air will then work into the area with strong to damaging winds possible over the area. This will also allow for the rain to change to snow with the potential of 1-4″ of accumulation with the highest amounts closest to the Winter Weather Advisory areas and the lowest amounts in Southeast New England.

Across Southern New Hampshire and Franklin County Massachusetts, a snow to freezing rain and rain situation will take place before changing back to freezing rain and then wet snow. Precipitation will be heavy at times and there is still a level of uncertainty on the level of snow and ice accumulation in this area. The current forecast is that this area will receive 4-6″ of snow with a trace of ice particularly in higher elevations. The snow is expected to be heavy and wet and may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. If a storm track gets even closer to Southern New England, more warm air could work into this area and this could mean less snow and ice. If cold air can hold firm of some these locations, then more snow and ice would occur. This will be monitored closely throughout the entire storm. Portions of Northern New England will likely receive well over 6″ of snow.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions Wednesday Afternoon into Wednesday Evening. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday for strong winds and the flash freeze condition that could affect interior Southern New England along with snow and ice amounts any damage information for Southern New Hampshire and Northwest Massachusetts. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, and Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
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Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm System to Affect the Region Wednesday into Thursday with the potential for Heavy Wet Snow in Northwest parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area and Heavy Rain and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding in South-Central and Southeast areas with strong winds at the coast. Details will become further defined in future forecasts and model runs..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Western Hampden and Western Hampshire Counties from Wednesday Morning Through Thursday Morning for the potential of 5-10″ of wet snow and the possibility for isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Advisory level snowfall is possible just to the south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area. The eventual rain-snow line and amounts of rain and snow will be determined by the eventual track of this coastal storm system..
..SKYWARN Activation at some level is expected Wednesday Late Morning into Thursday Morning..

Another coastal storm will make its way into New England Wednesday Late Morning into Thursday Morning. This storm system looks to be a fairly warm system for the region based on the current storm track. The eventual storm track will become better defined with upcoming computer model runs as the system continues to move over land areas.

A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Western Hampden and Western Hampshire Counties from Wednesday Morning Through Thursday Morning for the potential of 5-10″ of wet snow and the possibility for isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The eventual rain-snow line and amounts of rain and snow will be determined by the eventual track of this coastal storm system. Areas just immediately south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area may see advisory level snowfall.

Across much of Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut, the present expectation is for mostly rain ending as a period of snow Thursday Morning before ending. The heavy rain may be sufficient for urban and poor drainage flooding and poor drainage flooding in drainage areas clogged by any snow melt. At least, 1-1.5″ of rainfall currently appears possible in these areas. Strong winds possibly reaching Wind Advisory levels will be possible at the coast.

SKYWARN Activation at some level is expected Wednesday Late Morning into Thursday Morning. This will be better defined as we get closer to the storm event. The next coordination message will be posted by 8 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more