Storm Coordination Message #2 – Saturday 1/11/14-Early Sunday Morning 1/12/14 Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Period of icing has largely ended across northwest parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area. Focus now on the strong winds and heavy rainfall for later Saturday Afternoon and Evening..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect through Sunday Afternoon for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, and Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts. The potential remains for 1-2 inches of rain with isolated higher amounts and the combination of rain and melting snow may result in urban and poor drainage flooding and the potential for ice jam river and stream flooding due to heavy rain and warm temperatures..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect through Midnight for the Cape and Islands including Block Island Rhode Island and a Wind Advisory remains in effect from 4-11 PM for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 15-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH in this area. These winds could cause isolated tree and wire damage and power outages. Stronger winds may occur in any fine line of convective showers or thunderstorms this evening if they can organize embedded in an area of moderate to heavy rainfall..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rainfall and flooding reports and any wind measurement and wind damage reports for the duration of this storm system. At this time, Ops at NWS Taunton are not expected but will be monitored..

A period of icing occurred overnight and into Saturday Morning across portions of Western and Central Massachusetts, Southern New Hampshire and Northern Connecticut resulting in an icy glaze on untreated roadways, driveways and grassy areas. Temperatures have largely risen above freezing in these areas and Freezing Rain Advisories have expired. Temperatures will continue to rise throughout the day in these areas.

As we get into later this afternoon and evening, heavy rainfall and strong winds will affect the region. A Flood Watch remains in effect through Sunday Afternoon for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut and Western and Central Massachusetts. Total rainfall both in and outside of the Flood Watch area will be 1-2 inches with isolated higher amounts. In the Flood Watch area, the heavy rainfall, coupled with snow melt could result in urban and poor drainage flooding. River ice that melts between the above freezing temperatures and heavy rainfall may cause ice jam flooding in the Flood Watch area and will be monitored.

A Wind Advisory remains in effect through Midnight for the Cape and Islands including Block Island Rhode Island and a Wind Advisory remains in effect from 4-11 PM for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 15-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. These winds could cause isolated tree and wire damage and power outages. Stronger winds may occur in any fine line of convective showers or thunderstorms this evening if they can organize embedded in an area of moderate to heavy rainfall. Outside of any convective showers or thunderstorms area wide and outside of the wind advisory area, wind gusts of 35-40 MPH are possible.

It is also possible that there will be a period of strong winds Sunday though currently expected to be below Wind Advisory criteria. If necessary, a coordination message for strong winds will be sent Sunday Morning.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rainfall and flooding reports and any wind measurement and wind damage reports for the duration of this storm system. At this time, Ops at NWS Taunton are not expected but will be monitored. This will be the last coordination message for this storm through early Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement, Wind Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday 1/11/14-Sunday Morning 1/12/14 Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System to bring a period of light freezing rain overnight then heavy rain and strong winds with the potential for urban/poor drainage/ice jam related river/stream flooding and isolated tree and wire damage from strong winds..
..A Freezing Rain Advisory is in effect for Southern New Hampshire through 7 AM Saturday. A Freezing Rain Advisory is in effect for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden and Northern Worcester Counties Massachusetts through 6 AM. A Freezing Rain Advisory in effect for Hartford County Connecticut through 4 AM. The potential exists for a trace of ice causing slippery travel conditions overnight into early Saturday Morning..
..A Flood Watch is in effect for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut and Northern Middlesex to Worcester Counties West through the East slopes of the Berkshires from Saturday Afternoon through Sunday Afternoon for 1-2″ of rain with isolated higher amounts causing urban and poor drainage flooding with ice jam related river/stream flooding also possible..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 2 PM to Midnight Saturday for Cape Cod and the Islands. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 4 PM-11 PM Saturday for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island. Winds in the advisory areas will be from 25-35 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH possible. This will have the potential to bring isolated tree and wire damage..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will likely monitor the situation. Ops at NWS Taunton are also possible. The next coordination message will be issued by Noon Saturday. Below is the NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Wind Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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http://beta.wx1box.org
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Wind/Wind Chill Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 1/7/14 Strong Winds on Cape and Islands/Low Wind Chills in Western New England

Hello to all..

..Strong Winds for Cape Cod and the Islands today along with very cold wind chills particularly in Western New England..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 7 AM-7 PM today for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts up to 45-50 MPH. These winds may cause isolated tree and wire damage in this area..
..A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for wind chill readings as low as 15 below zero. Areas outside of the Wind Chill advisory area will see wind chills around zero to a few degrees below zero. Dress warmly and in layers over the next couple of days.
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong winds over the Cape and Islands today. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Wind Chill Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Wind Chill Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Sunday Evening 1/5/14-Monday 1/6/14 Freezing Rain/Rain Event

Hello to all..

..Temperatures will warm as a storm system and cold front approaches from the west tonight into Monday. Cold air will be tough to dislodge over parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area bringing the threat of freezing rain/freezing drizzle to parts of the region..
..A Freezing Rain Advisory remains in effect for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts through Midnight Sunday. A Freezing Rain Advisory remains in effect for Southern New Hampshire through 5 AM Monday. A Freezing Rain Advisory is in effect for Northern Connecticut and all of Rhode Island except for Block Island through 7 PM this evening. A trace to a few hundredths of an inch of ice is expected for this area. This is likely to make for slippery road conditions but should not cause much tree or wire damage though this will be monitored. Slippery road conditions have been reported in some of the freezing rain advisory area where freezing drizzle has occurred..
..The freezing rain will change to rain in the advisory areas overnight from south to north. Rainfall amounts of 1″ or less could occur Sunday Night to Monday Night across much of the region with this storm. This should not cause any widespread flooding issues but a few urban/poor drainage flood issues are possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor this storm event. This will be the last coordination message on this system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday Evening 1/5/14-Monday 1/6/14 Freezing Rain/Rain Event

Hello to all..

..Temperatures will warm as a storm system and cold front approaches from the west later Sunday into Monday. Cold air will be tough to dislodge in northwest parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area bringing the threat of freezing rain to parts of the region..
..A Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Franklin, Western Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts from 4 PM-Midnight Sunday. A Freezing Rain Advisory is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire from 4 PM Sunday to 5 AM Monday. A trace to a tenth of an inch of ice is expected for this area. This is likely to make for slippery road conditions but should not cause much tree or wire damage though this will be monitored..
..The freezing rain will change to rain in the advisory areas overnight. Rainfall amounts of around 1″ could occur Sunday Night to Monday Night across much of the region with this storm. This should not cause any widespread flooding issues but a few urban/poor drainage flood issues are possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Blizzard/Storm Coordination Message #5 – Thursday 1/2/14-Friday 1/3/14 Coastal Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm on track to impact Southern New England Thursday into Friday. Light Snows affecting most of the region now and will be intermittent through the day, steadiest north of the Massachusetts Turnpike. The peak of the storm and the worst conditions is still expected Thursday Night into Friday Morning..
..The coastal storm has the potential to bring heavy snow region wide with blizzard conditions in Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and near blizzard conditions to other parts of east and south coastal Massachusetts, strong winds near and at the coast and minor to moderate coastal flooding to East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands with the potential for more significant coastal flooding during the Friday midday high tide..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect through 11 AM Friday Morning for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod. Total snowfall of 10-14″ with isolated higher amounts are expected along with winds sustained at 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH likely..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for the remainder of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area through 10 AM Friday. A widespread 6-14″ snowfall is expected with isolated higher amounts over portions of East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts. Near Blizzard conditions are likely along portions of the Eastern Massachusetts coast line with sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible later Thursday Night into Friday Morning. In the interior, winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH are possible later Thursday Night into Friday Morning..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 10 AM-4 PM Thursday for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands. A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect for East Costal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands from Thursday Evening through Friday Afternoon timeframe for the potential of widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides late night Thursday and midday Friday. Coastal flooding for the midday Friday high tide is of particular concern for more significant moderate to possibly isolated pockets of major coastal flooding especially south of Boston through Cape Cod and the Islands..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor storm conditions and gather snowfall reports and reports on the Thursday midday high tide in East Coastal Massachusetts during the morning and afternoon hours Thursday. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will start at 5 PM Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN Operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well..
..Pictures of damage, coastal flooding, and the snowfall are appreciated. They can be sent over our Facebook/Twitter feeds or sent to pics@nsradio.org and will provide the National Weather Service, emergency management, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and media situational awareness information. As always, credit will be given to the spotter for the information unless the spotter indicates otherwise..

As of 845 AM, much of the region has seen light snow with snow accumulations ranging from a dusting to 2″ across the area. Light snow will continue especially in areas along and north of the Mass. Pike with another 1-2″ possible. South of the Mass. Pike, light snow and flurries will be more intermittent through the day with another inch of snow possible. As we get into Thursday Night, steadier and heavier snow will move into the region and last into early Friday Morning and its during this timeframe where the worst of the heavy snowfall and strong winds will occur. There has been no change to snowfall forecasts with a widespread 6-14″ of snow likely. The heaviest amounts of snow and isolated higher amounts greater than 14″ are possible over East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts and Cape Cod.

A Blizzard Warning is now in effect through 11 AM Friday Morning for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod. This area has the most likely chance of seeing blizzard criteria defined as sustained or frequent winds of 35 mph or higher with considerable falling and/or blowing snow that frequently reduces visibility to 1/4 of a mile or less for at least a 3 hour period. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 10 AM for the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Near Blizzard conditions could still occur across other parts of East and South Coastal Massachusetts Thursday Night into Friday. While blizzard to near blizzard conditions will be likely due to the strong winds and heavy snow along the coast, the snow is still right now expected to be a lighter and fluffier snow and winds are still not expected to be as strong as the February 2013 blizzard. Isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages will be possible along the Eastern Massachusetts coast line and Cape Cod and the Islands but the extent of any damage from a wind perspective is still right now expected to be less than the February 2013 blizzard. This will continue to be monitored. Like with any larger storm, it is always good to be prepared and have any battery operated and generator equipment prepared just in case and if its not needed, you will be better prepared for the next major storm.

A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 10 AM-4 PM Thursday for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide. A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for Thursday Evening through Friday Afternoon for the potential of widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides late night Thursday and midday Friday. Tides are astronomically high and this coupled with a long period of onshore winds will create the threat of minor to moderate coastal flooding. If the storm were to slow down over the course of Friday, the midday Friday high tide could have the highest concerns for more significant coastal flooding meaning the potential for isolated pockets of major coastal flooding and a widespread moderate coastal flood event particularly south of Boston along East Coastal Massachusetts and this will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor storm conditions and gather snowfall reports and reports on the Thursday midday high tide in East Coastal Massachusetts during the morning and afternoon hours Thursday. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will start at 5 PM Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN Operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well. Pictures of damage, coastal flooding, and the snowfall are appreciated. They can be sent over our Facebook/Twitter feeds or sent to pics@nsradio.org and will provide the National Weather Service, emergency management, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and media situational awareness information. As always, credit will be given to the spotter for the information unless the spotter indicates otherwise. This will be the last coordination message as we move into operations mode. Below are the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory/Warning Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory/Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Thursday 1/2/14-Friday 1/3/14 Potential Coastal Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Happy New Year to all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators..
..Strong Coastal Storm taking aim on Southern New England Thursday into Friday. The peak of the storm and the worst conditions is still expected Thursday Night into Friday Morning. The coastal storm has the potential to bring heavy snow region wide with near blizzard conditions at the coast, strong winds near and at the coast and minor to moderate coastal flooding to East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands with the potential for more significant coastal flooding during the Friday midday high tide..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area from 4 AM Thursday to 10 AM Friday. A widespread 8-14″ snowfall is expected with isolated higher amounts over portions of East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod. Across Martha’s Vineyard, Nantucket and Block Island Rhode Island, 6-10″ of snow is expected. Near Blizzard conditions are likely along portions of the Eastern Massachusetts coast line with sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible later Thursday Night into Friday Morning. In the interior, winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH are possible later Thursday Night into Friday Morning..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 10 AM-4 PM Thursday for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands. A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for East Costal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands from Thursday Evening through Friday Afternoon for the potential of widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides late night Thursday and midday Friday. Coastal flooding for the midday Friday high tide is of particular concern for more significant moderate to possibly major coastal flooding especially south of Boston through Cape Cod and the Islands..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor storm conditions and gather snowfall reports and reports on the Thursday midday high tide in East Coastal Massachusetts during the morning and afternoon hours Thursday. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will start at 5 PM Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN Operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well..

Confidence continues to grow in a widespread heavy snowfall across Southern New England Thursday into Friday with Winter Storm Warnings now in effect for the entire region. Snow will begin Thursday Morning. At first snow will be steadiest north of the Mass. Pike during the day with accumulations of 2-5″ by Thursday Evening. South of the Mass. Pike, there will be some snow during the day but there could be a lull during the late morning and afternoon hours with 1-3″ of snow accumulation. As we get into Thursday Night, steadier and heavier snow will move into the region and last into early Friday Morning and its during this timeframe where near blizzard conditions could occur along East Coastal and South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands before becoming more intermittent and ending later Friday Morning into the afternoon. By the time the storm winds down midday Friday, total snowfall of 8-14 is expected pretty much across the entire region with isolated higher amounts in East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts and Cape Cod. Across the islands of Block Island Rhode Island, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket, 6-10″ of snow is expected.

As mentioned above, near Blizzard conditions are possible along portions of the Eastern Massachusetts coast line including Cape Cod and the Islands as sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH will be possible. Inland, winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts of 30 MPH are possible. While near blizzard conditions will be possible due to the strong winds and heavy snow along the coast, the snow is still right now expected to be a lighter and fluffier snow and winds are still not expected to be as strong as the February 2013 blizzard. Isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages will be possible along the Eastern Massachusetts coast line and Cape Cod and the Islands but the extent of any damage from a wind perspective is still right now expected to be less than the February 2013 blizzard. This will continue to be monitored and its possible some areas may actually reach blizzard criteria defined as sustained or frequent winds of 35 mph or higher with considerable falling and/or blowing snow that frequently reduces visibility to 1/4 of a mile or less for at least a 3 hour period. Like with any larger storm, it is always good to be prepared and have any battery operated and generator equipment prepared just in case and if its not needed, you will be better prepared for the next major storm.

A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 10 AM-4 PM Thursday for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide. A Coastal Flood Watch remains effect for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for Thursday Evening through Friday Afternoon for the potential of widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides late night Thursday and midday Friday. Tides are astronomically high and this coupled with a long period of onshore winds will create the threat of minor to moderate coastal flooding. If the storm were to slow down over the course of Friday, the midday Friday high tide could have the highest concerns for more significant coastal flooding meaning the potential for major coastal flooding and a widespread moderate coastal flood event particularly south of Boston along East Coastal Massachusetts and this will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor storm conditions and gather snowfall reports and reports on the Thursday midday high tide in East Coastal Massachusetts during the morning and afternoon hours Thursday. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will start at 5 PM Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN Operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Thursday. Below are the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory/Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Thursday 1/2/14-Friday 1/3/14 Potential Coastal Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Happy New Year to all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators..
..Strong Coastal Storm taking aim on Southern New England Thursday into Friday. The peak of the storm and the worst conditions are expected Thursday Night into Friday Morning. The coastal storm has the potential to bring heavy snow region wide with near blizzard conditions at the coast, strong winds near and at the coast and minor to moderate coastal flooding to East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area for late tonight through Friday Morning. A widespread 6-12″ snowfall is expected with portions of Eastern Massachusetts potentially receiving 8-14 inches of snow with locally higher amounts. Near Blizzard conditions are possible along portions of the Eastern Massachusetts coast line with sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible. In the interior, winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH are possible..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for East Costal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands from Thursday Morning through Friday Afternoon for the potential of minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides Midday Thursday, late night Thursday and midday Friday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely some time on Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN Operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well..

Overnight, some computer models have trended a bit stronger with a similar track as prior runs with the strong coastal storm taking aim on Southern New England. A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area for late tonight through Friday Morning. The headlines depict the potential scenario at hand and snowfall amounts. It is noted that on Thursday, along and south of the Mass. Pike, there may be an initial burst of snow and then a lull before conditions deteriorate Thursday Night. North of the Mass. Pike there could be an extended period of steady snow before it becomes heavier Thursday Night.

Near Blizzard conditions are possible along portions of the Eastern Massachusetts coast line including Cape Cod and the Islands as sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH will be possible. Inland, winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts of 30 MPH are possible. While near blizzard conditions will be possible due to the strong winds and heavy snow along the coast, the snow is still right now expected to be a lighter and fluffier snow and winds are still not expected to be as strong as the February 2013 blizzard. Isolated pockets of tree and wire damage will be possible along the Eastern Massachusetts coast line and Cape Cod and the Islands but the extent of any damage from a wind perspective is still right now expected to be less than the February 2013 blizzard. This will continue to be monitored. Like with any larger storm, it is always good to be prepared and have any battery operated and generator equipment prepared just in case and if its not needed, you will be better prepared for the next major storm.

A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands from Thursday Morning through Friday Afternoon for the potential of minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tides midday Thursday, late night Thursday and midday Friday. Tides are astronomically high and this coupled with a long period of onshore winds will create the threat of minor to moderate coastal flooding. If the storm were to slow down over the course of Friday, the midday Friday high tide could have the highest concerns for more significant coastal flooding and this will be monitored.

As mentioned in the prior coordination message, during and after the storm passes, bitterly cold air will affect the region later Thursday Night through Saturday and into Sunday. It will be the coldest air of the winter season to date. This could have an impact on schools or other buildings where heat has been turned down for school vacation weeks where vacations extend into the Thursday/Friday period or other reasons. It is advised to raise heat in these buildings where needed to avoid frozen/bursting pipes in various buildings. Also, portable space heaters should be properly maintained to avoid any overheating and fire issues.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely some time on Thursday lasting through mid-afternoon Friday. Overnight SKYWARN operations at NWS Taunton are likely as well. The next coordination message will be posted by 10 PM this evening. Below are the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Special Weather Statement for the Bitter Cold conditions, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement on Bitter Cold Conditions:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Forecast Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 1/2/14-Friday 1/3/14 Potential Coastal Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Happy New Year to all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators..
..Coastal Storm likely to impact Southern New England with the potential for Moderate to Heavy Snow, Strong Winds in coastal areas and several tide cycles of minor to moderate coastal flooding Thursday into Friday. Snowfall amounts, wind and coastal flood impacts to be better defined over the next 24 hours..
..Bitter cold air will move into the region as the storm moves into and passes the region later Thursday through the weekend..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday into Friday..

A coastal storm will likely impact Southern New England Thursday into Friday. While there have been stronger storms to impact the region, this coastal storm will bring some potent impacts to Southern New England. A moderate to heavy snowfall is likely for much of Southern New England due to the fact that it will be quite cold allowing for higher snow to water ratios and current precipitation forecasts in the 0.40 to 0.90″ range with those potential higher snow to water ratios.

At this time, the heaviest snowfall is expected to be across Rhode Island and portions of Southeast and East Coastal Massachusetts though all areas will get a plowable snowfall. Nearly all of Southern New England will have the potential to see snowfall of 4″ or more. Across Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts as well as East Coastal Massachusetts, the potential exist for 6″ or more of snow and the potential is there for some snowfall totals greater than 8″ in this region. In addition, strong winds particularly at the coast with gusts to 50 MPH may allow for a period or two of near blizzard conditions. Unlike the Blizzard of February 2013, the lighter consistency of the snow along with winds not as strong as that blizzard means that any possible power outages or tree and wire damage will be in isolated pockets based on the current track and intensity of the storm though this will continue to bear watching. Winter Storm Watches will likely be required for at least a portion of the NWS Taunton coverage area as we get into the day on Wednesday. As always with coastal storms, the track of the storm will determine the impacts and that will be better defined in future model runs.

Due to the long duration of the storm, there will be several high tide cycles with the potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding. These tide cycles include the Thursday Midday and evening high tide cycles and the Friday midday high tide cycle. These impacts will be better defined in future outlooks based on storm track and intensity and the direction of the winds and length of the fetch over the area.

During and after the storm passes, bitterly cold air will affect the region later Thursday Night through Saturday and into Sunday. It will be the coldest air of the winter season to date. This could have an impact on schools or other buildings where heat has been turned down for school vacation weeks where vacations extend into the Thursday/Friday period or other reasons. It is advised to raise heat in these buildings where needed to avoid frozen/bursting pipes in various buildings. Also, portable space heaters should be properly maintained to avoid any overheating and fire issues.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday into Friday. The next coordination message will be issued by Noon Wednesday. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement on the cold air moving into the region, Hazardous Weather Outlook detailing Coastal Storm impacts and the NWS Taunton Snowfall Probability Graphics (Snowfall total graphics won’t be available until Wednesday):

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Probability Graphics:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php#

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 1/2/14-Friday 1/3/14 Potential Coastal Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Happy New Year to All SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators..
..Potential exists for a significant coastal storm to impact Southern New England in the Thursday into Friday timeframe. It is too soon to get into specific details but a plowable to potentially significant snowfall is possible and at least minor coastal flooding and potentially strong winds are also possible. More significant impacts are possible depending on the track and intensity of the storm system. Message being sent earlier than normal given the New Year’s Day holiday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday into Friday..

The potential exists for a significant coastal storm to impact Southern New England in the Thursday into Friday timeframe. At this time, it is a bit early to speak of snowfall amounts as we are more than 2 days away from potential storm impacts but the potential exists for a plowable to a potentially significant snowfall. Minor coastal flooding is possible at the time of high tide cycles Thursday into Friday in East Coastal Massachusetts along with strong winds at the coast as well. The potential exists for significant impacts from heavy snow, strong winds and coastal flooding but this will depend on the track and intensity of the storm which is still a bit early to determine at the present time. Given the New Year’s holiday and that some people will be headed back to work and school immediately after the holiday, it made sense at this stage given the latest weather model runs to put together a coordination message ahead of time to raise situational awareness on the potential storm situation. As we get into Tuesday Night and especially Wednesday (New Year’s Day), the potential impacts will be better understood.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday into Friday. The next coordination message on the storm situation will be posted late Tuesday Afternoon or early evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

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