Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this Tuesday Afternoon and Evening particularly across Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. This potential is contingent on the overlap of instability with sufficiently strong wind shear profiles ahead of an approaching cold front which will bring cooler and less humid conditions to the region..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for this Tuesday Afternoon and Evening in Southeast New England. This will be the only coordination message as we shift into monitoring the severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late Monday Afternoon and Evening across Western Massachusetts along and west of the CT River Valley and Northwest Connecticut. Timeframe is between 5-10 PM Monday with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. There have been no changes to the outlook since yesterday..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut along and west of the Connecticut River Valley in a marginal risk for severe weather for late Monday Afternoon and Evening..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Monday late Afternoon and Evening..

A pre-frontal trough will move through New York and Northern New England and then spread into Southern New England during Monday in the late afternoon and evening and bring the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms over portions of Western New England. The headlines depict the current thinking and are unchanged from yesterday. Key factors include:

1.) Timing of the pre-frontal trough as earlier timing into Western New England would increase the severe weather potential there but later timing would reduce the potential.
2.) Wind shear profiles are favorable which may compensate for lower instability if current timing in the late afternoon/early evening holds.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Monday late afternoon and evening. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late Monday Afternoon and Evening across Western Massachusetts along and west of the CT River Valley and Northwest Connecticut. Timeframe is between 5-10 PM Monday with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut along and west of the Connecticut River Valley in a marginal risk for severe weather for Monday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Monday late Afternoon and Evening..

A pre-frontral trough will move through New York and Northern New England and then spread into Southern New England during Monday in the late afternoon and evening and bring the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms over portions of Western New England. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Timing of the pre-frontal trough as earlier timing into Western New England would increase the severe weather potential there but later timing would reduce the potential.
2.) Wind shear profiles are favorable which may compensate for lower instability if current timing in the late afternoon/early evening holds.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Monday late Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2021/day2otlk_20210620_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible mid-to-late Saturday Afternoon and Evening across areas of Southern New England along and south of the Mass Pike though areas north of the Mass Pike should continue to monitor with a timeframe of after 3-4 PM til 12 AM Saturday with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has focused the marginal risk for severe weather for Saturday to areas along and south of the Mass Pike with the latest update but areas north of the Mass Pike should continue to monitor..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Saturday late Afternoon and Evening..

An impulse in the atmosphere will move into Southern New England mid to late Saturday Afternoon into Saturday Evening with the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of available instability since the impulse will move through past peak heating.
2.) Wind shear profiles are favorable which may compensate for lower instability if current timing in the late afternoon/early evening holds.
3.) If timing of the impulse is earlier than currently expected allowing better overlap of higher instability with strong wind shear and the impulse acting as a trigger in the atmosphere.
4.) Amount of available moisture in the atmosphere and the moisture return as we get toward later afternoon and evening. Areas of north of the Mass Pike have drier dewpoints but areas along and south of the Mass Pike has higher dewpoints and moisture available which is why the marginal risk for severe weather is focused on that area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Saturday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late Saturday Afternoon and Evening across much of Southern New England with a timeframe of after 5 PM til 12 AM Saturday with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather for Saturday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Saturday late Afternoon and Evening..

An impulse in the atmosphere will move into Southern New England late Saturday Afternoon into Saturday Evening with the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of available instability since the impulse will move through past peak heating.
2.) Wind shear profiles are favorable which may compensate for lower instability if current timing in the late afternoon/early evening holds.
3.) If timing of the impulse is earlier than currently expected allowing better overlap of higher instability with strong wind shear and the impulse acting as a trigger in the atmosphere.
4.) Amount of available moisture in the atmosphere and the moisture return as we get toward later afternoon and evening.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Saturday late Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2021/day2otlk_20210618_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible to likely across Southern New England particularly Central and Eastern New England away from the immediate coast this Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban to poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather as more heating and destabilization is occurring away from the immediate coast leading to higher instability than originally forecasted. This coupled with strong winds aloft and cooling in the atmosphere will allow for some strong to severe thunderstorm development and the timeframe for severe weather potential for 2-8 PM Tuesday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely to monitor this severe weather potential for this Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Slow moving thunderstorms with a primary threat of frequent lightning, heavy rainfall and urban/poor drainage flood potential along with a secondary threat for strong to damaging winds and hail could affect much of interior Southern New England away from the southern and east coastal areas this Wednesday afternoon and evening anytime after 12 PM today and especially between 2-8 PM today as a cold front will push through the region late Wednesday Afternoon and Evening ending the heat and humidity..
..Intense Heat and Humidity will continue to affect the region today until the cold front passed through late Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. A Heat Advisory is in effect from 12 through 8 PM Wednesday for heat indices to 96 degrees for Northern Connecticut, North Central Rhode Island, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampden, Eastern Hampshire Southern Worcester, Western Essex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts. Use caution if exerting yourself outdoors including taking breaks to go into cooler areas and drink plenty of liquids in and close to the heat advisory areas to avoid heat illnesses..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation to monitor thunderstorms and their flood and isolated severe weather potential Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Heat Advisory Statement, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Heat Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Slow moving thunderstorms with a primary threat of frequent lightning, heavy rainfall and urban/poor drainage flood potential as the primary threat along with a secondary threat for strong to damaging winds and hail could affect much of interior Southern New England north and west of a Boston to Providence line this Tuesday afternoon and evening anytime between 2-8 PM today..
..Intense Heat and Humidity will affect the region through Wednesday. A Heat Advisory is in effect through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for heat indices between 95-96 degrees for Northern Connecticut, North Central Rhode Island, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampden, Eastern Hampshire Southern Worcester, Essex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts. Use caution if exerting yourself outdoors including taking breaks to go into cooler areas and drink plenty of liquids in and close to the heat advisory areas to avoid heat illnesses..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation to monitor thunderstorms and their flood and isolated severe weather potential Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Heat Advisory Statement, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Heat Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to possibly severe thunderstorms are possible today particularly in Western, and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut and possibly into Northwest Rhode Island. Strong to damaging winds and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats with hail as a secondary threat. Timeframe for the severe weather potential is after 12 PM today and especially in the 2-8 PM timeframe..
..Potential is contingent on sufficient clearing to allow for destabilization and satellite imagery shows partial clearing developing in western areas along with how well instability overlaps stronger wind field aloft to allow for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms to develop..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential this Friday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only coordination message on today’s potential unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box