Hello to all…

..Potential Blizzard and Major Winter Storm for Southern New England Late Monday Night through Late Tuesday Night. Preparations for this potential blizzard and major winter storm should commence today with preparations completing late Monday Night/early Tuesday Morning..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from from 5 AM to 1 PM Tuesday and a Blizzard Watch is now in effect from Tuesday Afternoon through late Tuesday Night for Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk, Plymouth and Bristol Counties of Massachusetts and Southeast Providence, Bristol, Kent, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for 12-18″ of snow with an isolated band of 18-24″ of snow potentially in the northeast parts of the area, the potential for blizzard and whiteout conditions including thundersnow and winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts in the 55-65 MPH range. The combination of heavy snow that could be a wet snow along southeast coastal areas and strong to damaging winds will have the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for 4-8″ of snow. In this area, the amount of snow is the most uncertain and will be more track dependent and depending on track could be closer to the current forecasted amounts or will be higher if a more offshore track is favored. There is the potential for near blizzard and near whiteout conditions and winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts 60-65 MPH. The combination of heavy snow that could be a wet snow and strong to damaging winds will have the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 5 AM Tuesday to 2 AM Wednesday for the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for 12-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of 18-24″ either in a few locations or in a band within this area, the potential for near blizzard and near whiteout conditions with thundersnow potential and sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts of 40-50 MPH. The winds will have the potential to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from Tuesday Morning to Tuesday Afternoon for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. These strong to damaging winds coupled with any wet snowfall will have the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect from Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Afternoon for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket for widespread minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of the early Tuesday Afternoon high tide cycle..
..Upgrades to warnings and advisories and other adjustments to the current watches are likely as we get closer to this potential blizzard..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will occur with this potential blizzard potentially as early as 5-6 AM Tuesday and will last through late Tuesday Night. The timing of the activation and Amateur Radio Operations may be fine-tuned as we get closer to this event..
..ARES, RACES and Emergency Communications groups should closely monitor the progress of this potential blizzard and seek advice from their local leadership on any potential activation as they get closer to the potential blizzard event..
..Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent via our WX1BOX social media Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted..

The headlines of this coordination message depict the potential for a major winter storm/blizzard for the region based on the current weather model projections. In this update, the Blizzard Watch was expanded to include central sections of Rhode Island including the Providence area and much of Eastern Massachusetts and Winter Storm Warnings were issued for all areas except for Cape Cod and the Islands where a Winter Storm Watch remains in effect. Confidence is increasing on the overall track, intensity and snowfall amounts for this storm for much of the area with the highest uncertainty over Cape Cod and the Islands. The track is expected to be near Nantucket and the Outer Cape to possibly as far southeast as the 40 North/70 West benchmark. We are still 2 days away from this potential major winter storm/blizzard but most details are falling into place with the exception of snowfall amounts and precip type over Cape Cod and the Islands. The key items to be sorted as we watch the potential for this major winter storm/blizzard include:

1.) Exact storm track is key but is becoming a bit more certain with a consensus between near Nantucket and Outer Cape Cod to the 40 North/70 West benchmark. Timing issues are being worked through with snow expected to start from 4-8 AM Tuesday from southwest to northeast and rapidly become heavy with snowfall rates of 2-4″ per hour expected for several hours. The greatest uncertainty with these track differences is whether or not the Cape and Islands region remains all snow or if there is any mix or change to rain. That will make the difference in the current forecasted 4-8″ of snow for that area or much higher amounts. For the rest of the region, a widespread 12-18″ is likely with a band or isolated higher amounts of 18-24″ somewhere in that wide swath with northeastern and north-central parts of Massachusetts currently favored but this could change as we get closer to the storm event.
2.) The strong to damaging wind potential of this system is high. The consistency of the snow and how wet it is and whether a zone of heavy wet snow sets up will determine the extent of any tree and wire damage in the region. This will bear close watching and the greatest risk is over South Coastal Rhode Island and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts.
3.) How widespread the blizzard conditions will be. The current watch configuration and the expansion of the Blizzard Watch into Central Rhode Island and much of Eastern Massachusetts is based on where the highest confidence is for blizzard conditions. This could be adjusted in future updates.
4.) Extent of coastal flooding and if the strongest winds coincide with either high tide cycle. This will impact the level of coastal flooding along north and east facing areas. Currently, a Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for the Tuesday Afternoon high tide cycle for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod.

People should prepare for this major storm similar to other past major winter storms for the region. Have plenty of batteries and battery powered equipment on hand and test out this equipment and any generator equipment. Make sure you have gas for your generator as well. If it turns out that you do not lose power in the storm, you will be better prepared for the next storm system.

Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent via our WX1BOX social media Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will occur with this potential blizzard potentially as early as 5-6 AM Tuesday and will last through late Tuesday Night. The timing of the activation and Amateur Radio Operations may be fine-tuned as we get closer to this event. ARES, RACES and Emergency Communications groups should closely monitor the progress of this potential blizzard and seek advice from their local leadership on any potential activation as they get closer to the potential blizzard event. Another coordination message will be posted by 900 AM EDT Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard Watch/Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Blizzard Watch/Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Bitterly cold conditions has resulted in a Wind Chill Advisory being posted through 11 AM EDT Sunday for Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties for wind chills of 15-20 below zero. The cold conditions will continue through much of this week..
..Potential Blizzard and Major Winter Storm for Southern New England Late Monday Night through Late Tuesday Night. Preparations for this potential blizzard and major winter storm should commence today with preparations completing late Monday Night/early Tuesday Morning..
..A Blizzard Watch remains in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for Suffolk, Plymouth and Southern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts and Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for at least 6″ or more of snow if not 12″ or more of snow, the potential for blizzard and whiteout conditions and winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts in the 55-65 MPH range. The combination of heavy snow that could be a wet snow and strong to damaging winds will have the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Essex County for at least 6″ or more of snow if not 12″ or more of snow for Eastern Essex County with the Cape and Islands being more track dependent and depending on track could be closer to 6″ amounts or will be higher if a more offshore track is favored, the potential for near blizzard and near whiteout conditions and winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts 60-65 MPH. The combination of heavy snow that could be a wet snow and strong to damaging winds will have the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for at least 6″ or more of snow if not 12″ or more of snow, the potential for near blizzard and near whiteout conditions and sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts of 40-50 MPH. The winds will have the potential to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from Tuesday Morning to Tuesday Afternoon for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. These strong to damaging winds coupled with any wet snowfall will have the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Additional Watches, Warnings and Advisories and adjustments to the current watches are likely as we get closer to this potential blizzard. Minor to Moderate coastal flooding and the damaging wind potential at the coast is likely where additional watches/warnings will be required..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will occur with this potential blizzard. The timing of the activation and Amateur Radio Operations will be defined as we get closer to this event..
..ARES, RACES and Emergency Communications groups should closely monitor the progress of this potential blizzard and seek advice from their local leadership on any potential activation as they get closer to the potential blizzard event..
..Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent via our WX1BOX social media Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted..

The headlines of this coordination message depict the potential for a major winter storm/blizzard for the region based on the current weather model projections. A High Wind Watch is now posted for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. Other than that additional watch, no changes to the watch configuration have been made at this time. Given we are still 2-2.5 days away from this potential major winter storm/blizzard, it is difficult to get into many more details other than what is in the message headlines. The key items to be sorted as we watch the potential for this major winter storm/blizzard include:

1.) Exact storm track remains a bit uncertain though the consensus brings the potential major winter storm/blizzard just east of Nantucket and Cape Cod to the 40 North/70 West benchmark and the track guidance is gradually getting into better agreement. Some reliable models bring it inside of Nantucket and Cape Cod while others bring it closer to the 40 North/70 West benchmark. There are some timing issues as well with some models bringing conditions in a bit earlier Tuesday Morning with others favoring later Tuesday Morning into later Tuesday Night. This will be worked out as we get closer to this potential blizzard/major winter storm event. The greatest uncertainty with these track differences is whether or not the Cape and Islands region remains all snow and whether they get any mix or change to rain. For the remainder of the Winter Storm and Blizzard Watch areas, it would remain all snow with the only question being any dry slot that keeps amounts slightly lower in parts of Southeast New England. The track difference may also determine how far west the heavier snowfall of 12″ or more gets as you get into Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut.
2.) The strong to damaging wind potential of this system is high. The consistency of the snow and how wet it is and whether a zone of heavy wet snow sets up will determine the extent of any tree and wire damage in the region. This will bear close watching.
3.) How widespread the blizzard conditions will be. The current watch configuration is based on where the highest confidence is for blizzard conditions. This could be adjusted or possibly expanded in future updates.
4.) Extent of coastal flooding and if the strongest winds coincide with either high tide cycle. This will impact the level of coastal flooding along north and east facing areas and perhaps even parts of the south coast with this system.

People should prepare for this major storm similar to other past major winter storms for the region. Have plenty of batteries and battery powered equipment on hand and test out this equipment and any generator equipment. Make sure you have gas for your generator as well. If it turns out that you do not lose power in the storm, you will be better prepared for the next storm system.

Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent via our WX1BOX social media Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will occur with this potential blizzard. The timing of the activation and Amateur Radio Operations will be defined as we get closer to this event. ARES, RACES and Emergency Communications groups should closely monitor the progress of this potential blizzard and seek advice from their local leadership on any potential activation as they get closer to the potential blizzard event. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM EDT Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Hello to all…

..Bitterly cold conditions has resulted in a Wind Chill Advisory being posted through 11 AM EDT Sunday for Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties for wind chills of 15-20 below zero. The cold conditions will continue through much of this week..
..Potential Blizzard and Major Winter Storm for Southern New England Late Monday Night through Late Tuesday Night. Preparations for this potential blizzard and major winter storm should commence tonight or Sunday with preparations completing late Monday Night/early Tuesday Morning..
..A Blizzard Watch is now in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for Suffolk, Plymouth and Southern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts and Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for at least 6″ or more of snow if not 12″ or more of snow, the potential for blizzard and whiteout conditions and winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts over 50 MPH. The combination of heavy snow that could be a wet snow and strong to damaging winds will have the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Essex County for at least 6″ or more of snow if not 12″ or more of snow for Eastern Essex County with the Cape and Islands being more track dependent, the potential for near blizzard and near whiteout conditions and winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts over 60 MPH. The combination of heavy snow that could be a wet snow and strong to damaging winds will have the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for at least 6″ or more of snow if not 12″ or more of snow, the potential for near blizzard and near whiteout conditions and sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts of 40-50 MPH. The winds will have the potential to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Additional Watches, Warnings and Advisories and adjustments to the current watches are likely as we get closer to this potential blizzard. Minor to Moderate coastal flooding and the damaging wind potential at the coast is likely where additional watches/warnings will be required..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will occur with this potential blizzard. The timing of the activation and Amateur Radio Operations will be defined as we get closer to this event..
..ARES, RACES and Emergency Communications groups should closely monitor the progress of this potential blizzard and seek advice from their local leadership on any potential activation as they get closer to the potential blizzard event..
..Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent via our social media Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted..

The headlines of this coordination message depict the potential for a major winter storm/blizzard for the region based on the current weather model projections. Given we are still 2.5-3 days away from this potential major winter storm/blizzard, it is difficult to get into many more details other than what is in the message headlines. The key items to be sorted as we watch the potential for this major winter storm/blizzard include:

1.) Exact storm track remains a bit uncertain though the consensus brings the potential major winter storm/blizzard just east of Nantucket and Cape Cod. Some reliable models bring it inside of Nantucket and Cape Cod while others bring it closer to the 40 North/70 West benchmark. The greatest uncertainty with these track differences is whether or not the Cape and Islands region remains all snow and whether they get any mix or change to rain. For the remainder of the Winter Storm and Blizzard Watch areas, it would remain all snow with the only question being any dry slot that keeps amounts slightly lower in parts of Southeast New England.
2.) The strong to damaging wind potential of this system is high. The consistency of the snow and how wet it is and whether a zone of heavy wet snow sets up will determine the extent of any tree and wire damage in the region. This will bear close watching.
3.) How widespread the blizzard conditions will be. The current watch configuration is based on where the highest confidence is for blizzard conditions. This could be adjusted or possibly expanded in future updates.
4.) Extent of coastal flooding and if the strongest winds coincide with either high tide cycle. This will impact the level of coastal flooding along north and east facing areas and perhaps even parts of the south coast with this system.

People should prepare for this major storm similar to other past major winter storms for the region. Have plenty of batteries and battery powered equipment on hand and test out this equipment and any generator equipment. Make sure you have gas for your generator as well. If it turns out that you do not lose power in the storm, you will be better prepared for the next storm system.

Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent via our social media Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will occur with this potential blizzard. The timing of the activation and Amateur Radio Operations will be defined as we get closer to this event. ARES, RACES and Emergency Communications groups should closely monitor the progress of this potential blizzard and seek advice from their local leadership on any potential activation as they get closer to the potential blizzard event. Another coordination message will be posted by 800 AM EDT Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Strong to Damaging Winds from Thursday yields to a moderate to heavy snowstorm for for Southeast New England with other areas south of the Mass Pike impacted on Friday..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 3 AM to 4 PM Friday for Cape Cod and the Islands for 6-10″ of snow and significant impact to the morning commute..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 3 AM to 4 PM Friday for Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island except for Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of 8-10″ along the south coast of the warning area with significant impact to the morning commute..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 2 AM to Noon Friday for Northern Connecticut for 3-5″ of snow with impacts to the morning commute expected. The lower amounts are expected closer to the Massachusetts/Connecticut border with the higher amounts in the southern most part of Northern Connecticut..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 3 AM to 1 PM Friday for Southern Worcester and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 2-5″ of snow with impacts to the morning commute expected. The higher amounts are likely to be in the southernmost portion of the advisory areas..
..Areas outside of the Warning/Advisory areas are expected to receive 2″ or less of snow though some higher amounts could occur later in the day in the North Shore of Massachusetts and will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the the winter storm for Friday for snowfall reports..

The weather pattern will turn active and will be a return to winter for the region over the next few days. Thursday brought high-end Wind Advisory to low-end High Wind Warning criteria to portions of Southern New England. Here are links to summary reports on the wind gusts and wind damage in the region:

NWS Taunton Public Info Statement – Wind Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1703092139.nous41.html

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report – Wind Damage Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1703100027.nwus51.html

Raw Amateur Radio Log of Storm Wind Gust and Wind Damage Reports:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_9_17.txt

Attention turns to a winter storm for the region overnight through Friday Afternoon and the headlines of this message reflect current thinking with upgrades of the Winter Storm Watch areas to Winter Storm Warnings and some expansion of Winter Weather Advisories inland. Key items for this storm event include:

1.) Model trends have maintained a stronger storm intensity but the northern trend was halted and actually slipped a bit further south making the northern fringe of the Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory areas tougher to determine proper snowfall ranges as a sharp cutoff in accumulating/heavy snow is possible there.
2.) The highest likelihood for the heaviest snowfall is over the South Coast and Cape Cod and the Islands and into some areas of interior Southeast Massachusetts from about Taunton to Plymouth south and into South-Central Rhode Island. This is currently expected to remain the case for this storm.
3.) Some models are projecting some accumulating snow in the North Shore of Massachusetts later in the day Friday and will be monitored.

It will then become bitterly cold later Friday Night into Saturday with a cold air mass remaining in place through much of next week. Long range models are depicting the potential for a significant coastal storm for the middle of next week but it is too early to get into any details and outcomes could change significantly between now and the middle of next week.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the winter storm for Friday for snowfall reports. This will likely be the last coordination message for the storm event unless a significant upgrade/change occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Strong Winds today for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area will lead to a moderate to possibly heavy snowstorm particularly for Southeast New England with other areas south of the Mass Pike impacted..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect through 400 PM Thursday Afternoon for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage area for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts of 40-50 MPH with the strongest gusts in the higher elevations. These winds may be sufficient to cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 1 AM to 4 PM Friday for Cape Cod and the Islands for 6-8″ of snow and significant impact to the morning commute..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from late tonight through Friday Afternoon for Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island for 4-7″ of snow with higher amounts and the highest amounts over south coastal areas and significant impact to the morning commute..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to Noon Friday for Northern Connecticut and Norfolk County Massachusetts for 3-5″ of snow with impacts to the morning commute expected..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong winds for today and the winter storm for Friday for snowfall reports..

The weather pattern will turn active and will be a return to winter for the region over the next few days. Starting with today, strong winds today have resulted in a Wind Advisory for the NWS Taunton coverage area with a Wind Advisory in effect for the region through 400 PM for wind gusts of 40-50 MPH and isolated pockets of tree and wire damage potential.

Attention turns to a winter storm for the region overnight through Friday Afternoon and the headlines of this message reflect current thinking. Key items for this storm event include:

1.) Model trends have been stronger and a bit further north with this winter storm. If this trend continues, snowfall amounts could be bumped higher and also further north in the region.
2.) The highest likelihood for the heaviest snowfall is over the South Coast and Cape Cod and the Islands. This is currently expected to remain the case for this storm.
3.) A sharp cutoff in the accumulating snow versus little to no snow and between the accumulating snow and the heavier snow bands is likely with this system.

It will then become bitterly cold later Friday Night into Saturday with a cold air mass remaining in place through much of next week. Long range models are depicting the potential for a significant coastal storm for the middle of next week but it is too early to get into any details and outcomes could change significantly between now and the middle of next week.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong winds for today and the winter storm for Friday for snowfall reports. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..A return to winter with a possible moderate winter storm particularly for South Coastal Massachusetts and other parts of Southeast New England..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from late Thursday Night to Friday Afternoon for 4-7″ of snow. Areas closest to the Winter Storm Watch area may require Winter Weather Advisories as we get closer to the storm event..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely Friday for snowfall reports. Another coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Thursday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Snow Squalls are possible late this afternoon and tonight across parts of Southern New England. While snow accumulations will likely be 1″ or less and not all locations will see snow squalls, the squalls could result in quickly reduced visibilities and hazardous road conditions in areas that receive them. There is an outside chance of more persistent snow squalls in the region with slightly higher snow accumulations but this is low probability at this time. This is associated with an arctic cold front which will bring bitterly cold temperatures that we have not seen for several weeks into the region. Wind gusts to 40 MPH may occur but will be nowhere near what we had Thursday..
..Any damage photos or video from yesterday’s wind event can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook or Twitter feed or to pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter for the photos or video unless otherwise indicated. A Facebook photo album will be built up later today or this weekend.
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the snow squall potential for late this afternoon and tonight. This will likely be the only update on the snow squall and arctic cold potential unless time allows and a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook on the snow squall and arctic cold potential and links to information on the damaging wind reports from yesterday..

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Post Thursday 3/2/17 Wind Damage Event Report Information:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report – Thursday Wind Damage Events:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1703022354.nwus51.html

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Thursday Wind Measurement Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1703030324.nous41.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log Information:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_3_2_17.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Fine line of convective showers and isolated thunderstorms may produce strong to damaging winds with strong to damaging winds behind the cold front during the overnight/early morning hours Thursday through early Thursday Evening..
..A High Wind Warning is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area from 1 AM to 7 PM Thursday for sustained winds of 15-30 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH likely. These winds will likely cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the fine line of convective showers and isolated thunderstorms and the strong to damaging winds with that convective line and behind the cold front..

At 1110 PM, Doppler Radar showed a convective low-topped line of showers and thunderstorms associated with a strong cold front. Along and behind the cold front strong to damaging winds will occur and will last through Thursday Afternoon and early evening. The Wind Advisories for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area have been upgraded to High Wind Warnings with the potential for winds gusts as high as 60 MPH in the coverage area and extended period of wind gusts in the 50-60 MPH. These winds are likely to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages. Rochester New York gusted to 64 MPH earlier Wednesday Evening.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the fine line of convective showers and isolated thunderstorms and the strong to damaging winds with that convective line and behind the cold front overnight through early Thursday Evening. This will be the last coordination message on this event unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Unseasonably warm weather returns with a threat of Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with Damaging Winds as the primary threat while there is also a secondary threat for other forms of severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) continues Southwest Massachusetts and Connecticut in a Slight risk for severe weather while a marginal risk for severe weather exists for the remainder of Southern New England away from the immediate east and south coasts of the region. It is noted that the severe weather threat could remain southwest of our area but there is still enough factors where we need to remain vigilant on severe weather potential in portions of Southern New England particularly southwest parts of our coverage area..
..Strong Winds are expected during the day Thursday behind the strong cold front. A Wind Advisory is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area from 1 AM to 7 PM Thursday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts to 55 MPH likely. These winds may cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 230 PM Wednesday Afternoon lasting through Wednesday Evening for severe weather potential. SKYWARN self-Activation will monitor the strong wind potential for Thursday..

In a rather unusual weather pattern, the second potential severe weather threat in 5 days is possible over portions of Southern New England. The greatest risk for severe weather is in the SPC defined Slight Risk area and possible extending northward into other parts of Western and Central Massachusetts but all areas as defined in the marginal and slight risk areas have severe weather potential. Looking at radar and other trends, there is the possibility that this activity could remain southwest of our coverage area but there remains enough parameters where we need to remain vigilant for any severe weather potential. Key items and factors for this severe weather potential include:

1.) Amount of forcing with the cold front. Some models try and move this forcing both to the north and south of Southern New England leaving the very strong wind shear over the region untapped for potential strong to severe thunderstorm potential.
2.) Amount of instability over the region and whether widespread showers and isolated non-severe thunderstorms and low clouds over the region Wednesday Morning into early afternoon not allowing for sufficient instability for strong to severe thunderstorm development. Similar to Saturday, this is a low instability but high wind shear environment. There needs to be sufficient instability coupled with the wind shear for strong to severe thunderstorms to develop. A factor in Saturday’s severe weather was there was forcing, enough instability and very strong wind shear for the right mix of factors to produce severe weather over portions of Western New England. The question for Wednesday’s severe weather potential is whether those same factors align again as they did Saturday or if the favorable components can compensate for the components that are less favorable in this setup.
3.) The showers and any thunderstorms earlier in the day swings through and the strongest activity and severe weather parameters remain southwest of the area.

Similar to Saturday Evening, the main threat will be strong to damaging winds and a low-topped squall line configuration of strong to severe thunderstorms and possibly some hail. There is also the possibility for an isolated tornado if similar to Saturday Evening, a bow configuration forms on the line along the northern edge and allows for wind shear to be tapped with sufficient rotation for a brief isolated tornado. This potential will still bear watching. The timing of the severe weather is also rather problematic. There could be activity as early as midday but its more likely to be a later afternoon and evening event if activity can get move into our coverage area and tap the strong winds and the remaining favorable parameters.

Behind the cold front, strong winds are likely and a Wind Advisory is posted for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage area for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated wind gusts to 55 MPH possible. These winds will likely be strong enough to produce isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 230 PM Wednesday Afternoon lasting through Wednesday Evening for severe weather potential. SKYWARN self-Activation will monitor the strong wind potential for Thursday. This will be the last coordination message on Wednesday’s severe weather potential. Another coordination message on the strong winds for Thursday will be posted either by late Wednesday Evening or Thursday Morning depending on Wednesday’s severe weather potential being realized. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Unseasonably warm weather returns with a threat of Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with Damaging Winds as the primary threat while there is also a secondary threat for other forms of severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Southwest Massachusetts and Connecticut in a Slight risk for severe weather while a marginal risk for severe weather exists for the remainder of Southern New England away from the immediate east and south coasts of the region..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 230 PM Wednesday Afternoon lasting through Wednesday Evening for severe weather potential..

In a rather unusual weather pattern, the second potential severe weather threat in 5 days is possible over portions of Southern New England. The greatest risk for severe weather is in the SPC defined Slight Risk area and possible extending northward into other parts of Western and Central Massachusetts but all areas as defined in the marginal and slight risk areas have severe weather potential. Key items and factors for this severe weather potential include:

1.) Amount of forcing with the cold front. Some models try and move this forcing both to the north and south of Southern New England leaving the very strong wind shear over the region untapped for potential strong to severe thunderstorm potential.
2.) Amount of instability over the region and whether widespread showers and isolated non-severe thunderstorms tonight into Wednesday Morning do not allow for sufficient instability for strong to severe thunderstorm development. Similar to Saturday, this is a low instability but high wind shear environment. There needs to be sufficient instability coupled with the wind shear for strong to severe thunderstorms to develop. A factor in Saturday’s severe weather was there was forcing, enough instability and very strong wind shear for the right mix of factors to produce severe weather over portions of Western New England. The question for Wednesday’s severe weather potential is whether those same factors align again as they did Saturday or if the favorable components can compensate for the components that are less favorable in this setup.

Similar to Saturday Evening, the main threat will be strong to damaging winds and a low-topped squall line configuration of strong to severe thunderstorms and possibly some hail. There is also the possibility for an isolated tornado if similar to Saturday Evening, a bow configuration forms on the line along the northern edge and allows for wind shear to be tapped with sufficient rotation for a brief isolated tornado. This potential will be monitored closely.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 230 PM Wednesday Afternoon lasting through Wednesday Evening for severe weather potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Wednesday Morning on this severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day2otlk_20170228_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more