Hello to all…
..Winter is not over yet in Southern New England as a winter storm system will affect portions of Southern New England Friday Morning into Saturday Afternoon. Exact snow and/or ice amounts remain uncertain given spread in the model guidance. Worst conditions expected Friday Afternoon into Saturday Morning in Central and Western areas and possibly extending into Saturday Afternoon in Northeast parts of the area..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts from 11 AM Friday Morning through 11 AM Saturday Morning for 6-9″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in the 9-12″ range near the New Hampshire border. The wet snow/sleet could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages. Worst conditions expected Friday Afternoon into Saturday Morning..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties Massachusetts from 2 PM Friday Afternoon 2 PM Saturday Afternoon for 6-9″ of snow with isolated higher amounts near the New Hampshire border. The wet snow/sleet could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages. Worst conditions expected Friday Afternoon into Saturday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 2 PM Friday Afternoon through 2 PM Saturday Afternoon for Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex and Suffolk Counties of Massachusetts for 2-6″ of snow and sleet with the highest amounts away from the coast. If higher snowfall amounts occur, this could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Worst conditions expected late Friday Afternoon into Saturday Afternoon..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 8 AM Saturday for Northern Connecticut and Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 1-4″ of snow and sleet with the highest amounts near the Mass Pike and a trace of ice accretion..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 8 AM Friday to 8 AM Saturday for Norfolk County Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 2-5″ of snow and a trace of ice. The heaviest precipitation will be Friday Evening through the overnight hours Friday into early Saturday..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from Midnight to Noon Saturday for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Other parts of the coast could see wind gusts around 40 MPH overnight through Saturday Morning. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide is possible at the Saturday Morning and especially Saturday Afternoon high tide cycles..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm throughout the entire event but Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible late Friday Afternoon into Saturday Morning depending on snow and ice accumulation and rates and damage potential with the wet snow and ice. A shortened coordination message will be sent if time allows and ops are initiated..
Winter is not quite done with Southern New England. Another winter storm system will likely affect portions of Southern New England Friday Morning into Saturday Afternoon. The headlines reflect current thinking but could change as models remain divergent in terms of storm track and amount of cold air over the region but the current advisories and warnings and snow/sleet/ice amounts are based on current model trends. As mentioned previously, key factors for this storm system:
1.) Exact track and intensity of the storm system. The storm is currently expected to track south of New England as an intensifying coastal storm and its exact track and intensity will affect amount of cold air available, rain/ice/snow line, strength of winds at the coast and precipitation amounts. Some models bring more warm air into the storm system than others for more ice in the interior and rain at the coast while other models imply colder air and more potential for wet snow. Amount of cold air, storm track and intensity will affect the rain/snow line and the amounts of snow and ice.
2.) Timing of heavy precipitation. This is currently expected to be in the later afternoon and evening hours Friday into Saturday Morning which may allow for better snow and ice accumulation with heavier precipitation possibly extending into Saturday Afternoon in Northeast Massachusetts. If any one type of precipitation is heavy enough (wet snow or ice accumulation), this could potentially cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages.
3.) Uncertainty is higher than normal given spread in model guidance on storm track and cold air along with the high sun angle of March and impact on precipitation type.
This type of winter storm could have higher variability in precipitation type and snow and ice amounts based on location and elevation. Spotter reports for this storm system per the reporting criteria will be critical during this event.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm throughout the entire event but Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible late Friday Afternoon into Saturday Morning depending on snow and ice accumulation and rates and damage potential with the wet snow and ice. A shortened coordination message will be sent if time allows and ops are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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