Special Announcement: 25th Anniversary of Hurricane Bob’s Impact on Southern New England

Hello to all…

On August 19th, 1991, Hurricane Bob impacted Southern New England as the last landfalling hurricane to strike the region. NWS Taunton has put together a web page summarizing the impacts of Hurricane Bob on the region. In addition, back in 2011 commemorating the 20th anniversary of Hurricane Bob’s impact on the region, NWS Taunton put a Public Information Statement out summarizing Bob’s impacts on the region and finally, local SKYWARN Spotter and Amateur Radio Operator, ML Baron-KA1WBH has a complete web page of videos and information on Bob’s impacts on South Coastal Massachusetts. Links to pertinent information on Hurricane Bob can be seen at the following links:

NWS Taunton Web Page – Hurricane Bob Summary:
http://www.weather.gov/box/hurricane_bob

WX1BOX Web Page Link on Hurricane Bob and the August 19th, 2011 Public Information Statement 20th Anniversary Statement:
http://beta.wx1box.org/node/1234

KA1WBH-ML Baron – West Island Weather Station Hurricane Bob Summary Page:
http://www.westislandweather.com/hurricanebob1991.htm

We are approaching the main timeframe for Southern New England to be impacted from a tropical system. While it has been a very dry summer over the region, we should remain vigilant and prepared and monitor developments from the tropics as we approach the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. Now is the time to review your personal/family preparedness plans for any type of tropical system impact and to review plans and be prepared to spot and report conditions based on the SKYWARN reporting criteria in the event a tropical system impacts the region.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday Evening 8/21/16-Early Monday Morning 8/22/16 Heavy Rainfall/Flood/Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Convective showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are likely tonight across much of Southern New England between 9 PM to 1 AM in Western and Central New England and between 1 AM to 6 AM across Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The heavy rainfall and urban and poor drainage flooding associated with the heavy rainfall is the main concern but a secondary concern for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with a strong to damaging wind component is also possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for reportable criteria conditions during the overnight hours..

A cold front will move through Southern New England overnight into early Monday Morning and will bring the first fall-like temperatures of the late summer for a couple of days to start the new work week. Ahead of the front, convective showers and thunderstorms are likely as the headlines depict the main concern heavy rainfall and urban and poor drainage flooding but there is a secondary concern for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with a strong to damaging wind component as well. There is even the small chance for an isolated weak tornado or waterspout in Southeast New England if there is enough instability to tap into strengthening wind shear profiles. The most likely scenario is for the heavy rainfall and the potential for localized urban and poor drainage flooding but we cannot rule out an isolated severe thunderstorms with a localized strong to damaging wind threat as the front moves through the entire region and the possibility of a weak tornado/waterspout and that possibility confined to Southeast New England.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for reportable criteria conditions during the overnight hours. This will likely be the only coordination message on this severe weather potential unless Ops at NWS become required or a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 8/16/16 – Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Tuesday after midday through evening across much of Southern New England. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out and is a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center has now placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..The timeframe for severe weather is now looking more like from midday today through late evening. This timeframe could be fine tuned as we go through the day..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely today. The start time of activation could be around 11 AN-Noon or towards mid-afternoon. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows to update the timeframe for Ops at NWS..

Tuesday has the potential to be an active severe weather day in Southern New England. A warm front will push its way through Southern New England in the morning and early afternoon followed by a pre-frontal trough and cold front later Tuesday and Tuesday Night. Right now, it is looking more like the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be later in the day (likely midday into late evening). As the warm front moves through, there appears to be enough cloud breaks for heating and destabilization. If that trend continues coupled with the sufficient strong wind shear profiles, it will set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the main threats but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out and is a secondary threat. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded most of Southern New England to a Slight Risk for severe weather with Cape Cod and the Islands in a marginal risk for severe weather.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely today. The start time of activation could be around 11 AN-Noon or towards mid-afternoon. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows to update the timeframe for Ops at NWS. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 8/16/16 – Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Tuesday across much of Southern New England. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out and is a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center has parts of Western New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather with the rest of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..Timeframe could be either two rounds with the first round between 7 AM-1 PM followed by a break and then a second round between 3-10 PM or all the activity could be centered after Noon Tuesday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as early as 7 AM with any morning convection with SKYWARN Self-Activation likely. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely for the afternoon and evening severe weather potential..

Tuesday has the potential to be an active severe weather day in Southern New England. A warm front will push its way through Southern New England in the morning and early afternoon followed by a pre-frontal trough and cold front later Tuesday and Tuesday Night. The warm front could bring a round of thunderstorms with frequent lightning and torrential rain and an isolated risk for strong to damaging winds and possibly even an isolated tornado and then more activity could occur after the warm front passes behind the pre-frontal trough and cold front. This activity could occur in the 7 AM-1 PM timeframe associated with the warm front followed by a brief break with more activity in the 3-10 PM timeframe or it could be a situation where activity will start around midday and last through early to mid evening. There will be strong wind shear for storms on Tuesday and instability levels despite potential cloud cover may also be sufficient given the level of wind shear and the position of the warm front to our region. The Storm Prediction Center has parts of Western New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather with the rest of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as early as 7 AM with any morning convection with SKYWARN Self-Activation likely. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely for the afternoon and evening severe weather potential. The next coordination message will be posted by 800 AM Tuesday and may be a shortened coordination message depending on how the severe weather potential for Tuesday Morning evolves. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day2otlk_20160815_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – Sunday 8/14/16 Severe Weather and Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..After yet another round of severe weather and flash flooding for portions of Southern New England, one last round of severe weather and flash flooding is likely Sunday before a short break in the heat and humidity for the region. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed all of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall causing urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the primary threats..
..Also, intense heat and humidity continues. An Excessive Heat Warning is in effect for Hartford, County Connecticut, Kent, Washington and Southeast Providence Counties of Rhode Island and Bristol, and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts away from the immediate coast for heat indices up to 107 degrees with high temperatures in the low 90s with mid 70s dewpoints. A Heat Advisory is in effect for much of the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage area except for Northwest Massachusetts for heat indices up to 102 and temperatures in the upper 80s to around 90 with dewpoints in the mid 70s..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 100 PM today. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely again on Sunday..

Saturday brought another day of intense heat and humidity except for Northeast Massachusetts with another round of flash flooding and severe weather to portions to isolated to scattered areas of Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island and much of Massachusetts. One last day of intense heat and humidity will affect the entire area again on Sunday. The headlines mention the latest in Heat Advisories/Warnings for the area. Below are links to reports from Friday’s severe weather event:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio “Raw” Storm Report Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_8_14_16_1.txt

Another round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected Sunday Afternoon through early Sunday Evening. This continues to be caused by a frontal boundary near Southern New England. The boundary has pushed a bit further north which means parts of Northeast Massachusetts will be back to the heat and humidity and will have the potential to have another round of severe weather and flash flooding to the regions. Wind shear values will be the strongest they’ve been in the last 4 days of severe weather events. Instability will be strong and this combination should set off another round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across much of Southern New England. The triggering mechanism will be a cold front that will put a brief end to the heat and humidity to start the work week.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 100 PM today. This will be the last coordination message posted on this series of severe weather events. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 and the NWS Taunton Excessive Heat Warning/Heat Advisory Statement:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Excessive Heat Warning/Heat Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday 8/13/16-Sunday 8/14/16 – Severe Weather/Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..Friday brought intense heat and humidity and a round of flash flooding and severe weather to portions of South-Central Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island. Two more rounds of high heat and humidity and severe weather is expected on Saturday and again on Sunday as a frontal boundary draped over Southern New England will set the for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the primary threat and strong to damaging winds as a secondary threat through the period..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed parts of Western New England in a slight risk for severe weather with much of the rest of central and east-central New England in a marginal risk for severe weather for today and a marginal risk for severe weather for much of Southern New England for Sunday..
..An Excessive Heat Warning is in effect for Hartford County Connecticut and Eastern Hampden County Massachusetts for heat indices up to 107 with temperatures in the mid 90s and dewpoints in the mid 70s. A Heat Advisory is in effect from Noon to 7 PM Friday for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut, Providence and Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island for heat indices of 104 with temperatures in the mid-80s to low 90s and Dewpoints in the low to mid 70s. Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories could be needed for portions of Southern New England again on Sunday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 100 PM today. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely again on Sunday..

Friday brought intense heat and humidity and a round of flash flooding and severe weather to portions of South-Central Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island. Another round of intense heat and humidity is expected again Saturday with a bit of a reprieve in parts of Northeast Massachusetts with intense heat and humidity across the entire area again on Sunday. The headlines mention the latest in Heat Advisories/Warnings for the area. Below are links to reports from Friday’s severe weather event:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio “Raw” Storm Report Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_8_13_16.txt

Another round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected Saturday Afternoon through early Saturday Evening and again Sunday Afternoon through early evening. This continues to be caused by a frontal boundary near Southern New England. The boundary has pushed a bit further south which means parts of Northeast Massachusetts will have less heat and humidity and that may extend through much of Eastern Massachusetts so the Saturday severe weather potential is highest over Western and Central Massachusetts, Connecticut and Northern and Western Rhode Island. Wind shear values will remain marginal today though a bit stronger than Friday and wind shear values may again be stronger still on Sunday. Instability will be strong and set the stage for several rounds of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and extending through this evening with heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the primary threat and strong to damaging winds as a secondary threat through the period and then another round of similar conditions for Sunday afternoon and evening and then the heat and humidity breaks for a couple of days early next week.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 100 PM today. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely again on Sunday. The next coordination message will be posted either late Saturday Evening by 1130 PM or by 1100 AM Sunday Morning depending on how long Ops at NWS Taunton and Saturday’s activation will be. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 and Day-2 Outlooks and the NWS Taunton Excessive Heat Warning/Heat Advisory Statement:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

NWS Taunton Excessive Heat Warning/Heat Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday 8/12/16-Sunday 8/14/16 – Severe Weather/Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..Friday and the weekend will be a very hot and humid stretch of weather for Southern New England. The heat and humidity and a frontal boundary sagging slowly through Southern New England will set the stage for several rounds of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the primary threat and strong to damaging winds as a secondary threat through the period..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather for Friday and again on Sunday with areas north and west of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather Saturday..
..A Heat Advisory is in effect from 11 AM to 7 PM Friday for Eastern Franklin, Northern Worcester County Massachusetts, Eastern Massachusetts away from the South Coast, North-Central Rhode Island and Northern Connecticut for heat indices up to 103 degrees and temperatures in the low to mid 90s. Heat Advisories could be needed for portions of the area again this weekend..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely by 130 PM today and could be activated as early as 1230-100 PM. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely again Saturday and Sunday..

From Friday through this weekend, the weather will feature intense heat and humidity over much of the region with the warmest days likely on Friday and Sunday. A break in the heat and humidity will occur as we get into early next week. Heat Advisories are in effect for portions of Southern New England today and will likely be needed again this weekend.

Several rounds of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected between Friday Afternoon through this weekend. This will be caused by a frontal boundary approaching and moving slowly through Southern New England. Wind shear values will be marginal but instability will be strong and set the stage for several rounds of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and extending through this evening with heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the primary threat and strong to damaging winds as a secondary threat through the period. Exact areas that see isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be difficult to pinpoint and will vary day to day over the region. SPC has a marginal risk for severe weather for both Friday and Sunday but areas in Western New England may see isolated strong to severe thunderstorms Saturday.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely by 130 PM today and could be activated as early as 1230-100 PM. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely again Saturday and Sunday. The next coordination message will be posted either late Friday Evening by 1130 PM or by 1000 AM Saturday Morning depending on how long Ops at NWS Taunton and Friday’s activation will be. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 and Day-3 Outlooks and the NWS Taunton Heat Advisory Statement:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

NWS Taunton Heat Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Saturday 8/6/16 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely over much of Southern New England around midday through early evening Saturday. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall causing urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) now has much of Southern New England, particularly from the Mass Pike south through Southeastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut and into Southeastern New York in a Slight Risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather across much of the rest of Eastern New York and New England with Eastern Maine also in a slight risk for severe weather..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM Saturday lasting through early evening for the severe weather potential..

Satellite and radar imagery is showing some cloud cover and showers across Southern New Hampshire and Northern Massachusetts with some other shower activity in Southeast New York. Much of Southeast Massachusetts, Rhode Island and portions of Connecticut are getting a good amount of sunshine. Clearing follows the shower activity this morning and as we get into the afternoon hours, a cold front will be approaching Southern New England. Presuming the morning shower and any possible thunderstorm activity moves out of the area with any clouds pushing through the region by later this morning to allow for sufficient daytime heating and destabilization for instability, the cold front acting as a triggering mechanism during a favorable time of day and strong wind shear profiles should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms either in a single squall line or a couple of short lines or clusters moving through the region. While favorable remain along and south of the Mass Pike, much of Southern New England could see some isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms move through their area. SPC has upgraded much of Southern New England, especially along and south of the Mass Pike to a slight risk for severe weather. As always with severe weather in New England, severe thunderstorms will hit some localized areas and miss others and there are some key factors which will dictate the coverage of any strong to severe thunderstorms which include:

1.) Current cloud debris and shower activity and its movement through the area to allow clearing or to fire off activity in southern parts of Southern New England by midday.
2.) The timing of the cold front and triggering mechanism into the area. If its timing isn’t near peak heating presuming sufficient heating and destabilization, that may limit strong to severe thunderstorm coverage. If its timed correctly as expected, the timing of the front provided sufficient heating should allow for strong to severe thunderstorm development.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM Saturday lasting through early evening for the severe weather potential. This will be the last coordination message on the severe weather potential for Saturday. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Marine Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Marine Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fzus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday 8/6/16 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely over much of Southern New England around midday through early evening Saturday. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall causing urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has all of New England and Eastern New York in a marginal risk for severe weather with a potential upgrade to a slight risk to severe weather possible in later outlooks..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM Saturday lasting through early evening for the severe weather potential..

A cold front will be approaching Southern New England during the early afternoon through early evening hours Saturday. Presuming there is no early morning convective activity or any early morning convective activity moves out of the area with any clouds pushing through the region to allow for sufficient daytime heating and destabilization for instability, the cold front acting as a triggering mechanism during a favorable time of day and strong wind shear profiles should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms either in a single squall line or a couple of short lines or clusters moving through the region. While favorable areas maybe along and south of the Mass Pike, much of Southern New England could see some isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms move through their area. As always with severe weather in New England, severe thunderstorms will hit some localized areas and miss others and there are some key factors which will dictate the coverage of any strong to severe thunderstorms which include:

1.) Any early morning thunderstorm activity and any cloud debris from that activity as mentioned earlier.
2.) The timing of the cold front and triggering mechanism into the area. If its timing isn’t near peak heating presuming sufficient heating and destabilization, that may limit strong to severe thunderstorm coverage. If its timed correctly as expected, the timing of the front provided sufficient heating should allow for strong to severe thunderstorm development.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM Saturday lasting through early evening for the severe weather potential. The next coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day2otlk_20160805_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: NWS Taunton Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Info Statements and 2016 ARRL Hurricane Preparedness Webinar Recording

Hello to all…

The week of July 18th-July 22nd was the NWS Taunton Hurricane Preparedness Week and a few of Public Info Statements were issued during that week and are provided in this announcement via the link below. In addition, the Thursday July 21st, 2016 ARRL Hurricane Preparedness Webinar recording is also available and provided in the link below.

NWS Taunton Public Information Statements – Hurricane Preparedness Week:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_hurricane_preparedness_week_2016.txt

ARRL 2016 Hurricane Preparedness Webinar Recording:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VsJfG68YNus&feature=youtu.be

As we enter the more active timeframe of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season, we hope this information and webinar will be helpful for preparedness measures in the event a tropical system threatens Southern New England this season.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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