Page 115 – WX1BOX – Amateur Radio Station at NWS Boston/Norton

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday July 18th, 2016 Severe Weather Potential

July 17, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night across much of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western and Central Massachusetts through Northwest Connecticut in a Slight risk for severe weather with the rest of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening..

The heat and humidity will continue on Monday and be even warmer and more humid than Sunday across the region. A trough and cold front will swing through Southern New England later Monday Afternoon into Monday Night with the potential of one or two rounds of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The first round potentially being in the mid-afternoon into early evening with a second round possible in the early evening through late Monday Night around the midnight timeframe. There will be sufficient heating for destabilization and sufficiently strong shear profiles to support severe weather. The key item will be the timing of the forcing of the trough and cold front as it moves through the area.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day2otlk_20160717_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 7/17/16 Severe Weather Potential

July 17, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to possibly marginally severe thunderstorms possible this Sunday afternoon and early evening in the region from around 1-7 PM. Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island are most at risk but areas to the west could also see some isolated activity. Heavy downpours causing urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats but strong winds and hail are possible in the strongest storms..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor today’s strong thunderstorm and severe weather potential. This will be the only coordination message on today’s severe weather potential unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday July 15th, 2016 Severe Weather/Heat Potential

July 15, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms possible today across Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. Strong Winds, Hail, urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall and frequent lightning are the main threats. Threat is contingent on a stalled frontal boundary that causes last night’s isolated strong to severe thunderstorms across Western and Central Massachusetts being enough focus to tap into sufficient instability and shear in the atmosphere..
..Also, it will be very hot and humid today and caution is advised on strenuous outdoor activities..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions today with Ops at NWS Taunton Possible. Below is the NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion detailing today’s thunderstorm potential and a Special Weather Statement on today’s heat and humidity..

NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 7/14/16 Severe Weather Potential

July 14, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are likely across Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut Thursday Afternoon into early evening, strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats. There is the secondary threat for an isolated tornado in this area.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western New England in a slight risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather eastward into Central New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely no later than 2-3 PM to monitor this severe weather potential..

The headlines of this coordination message depict the severe weather potential mainly over Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Thursday Afternoon into early evening. There is expected to be sufficient instability and shear with a trigger in the atmosphere for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development over Western New England. Factors that will affect the outlook are as follows:

1.) Any cloud cover and lingering shower/thunderstorm activity in the morning that could temper instability. Doppler Radar shows an area of showers moving northeast associated with a warm front pushing through Southern New England. Behind that front, satellite imagery shows good clearing to allow for destabilization in the atmosphere to allow for sufficient instability.
2.) Timing of the pre-frontal trough to act as a trigger in the atmosphere into Western New England. This timing is expected to be close enough to peak heating to allow for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development.

At this time, a line of strong to severe thunderstorms are expected with the primary threats of strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning, however, there is a secondary threat for an isolated tornado for any thunderstorms that form out ahead of the main line of thunderstorms or as the line of thunderstorms organizes. If any occur, they will likely be of the short lived and smaller scale nature.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely no later than 2-3 PM to monitor this severe weather potential. This will be the last message on this severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Thursday July 14th, 2016 Severe Weather Potential

July 14, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely across Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut Thursday Afternoon into early evening, strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats. There is the secondary threat for an isolated tornado in this area.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western New England in a marginal risk for severe weather with a potential upgrade to a slight risk for severe weather in later outlooks..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely no later than 2 PM to monitor this severe weather potential..

1.) Any cloud cover and lingering shower/thunderstorm activity in the morning that could temper instability.
2.) Timing of the trigger in the atmosphere into Western New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely no later than 2 PM to monitor this severe weather potential. Another coordination message will be sent by 800 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day2otlk_20160713_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 7/7/16 Severe Weather Potential

July 7, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms likely across much of interior Southern New England from midday through early evening Thursday. Heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats with a secondary threat for strong to damaging winds and hail..
..Threat remains contingent on a trigger in the atmosphere to set off high instability induced from intense heat and humidity over the area and the ability of the high instability over the area to overcome what is still currently expected to be weak levels of wind shear in the atmosphere..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by Noon Thursday..

Intense heat and humidity coupled with an impulse in the atmosphere will lead to isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms over much of interior Southern New England today. While wind shear profiles are weak, high levels of instability in the atmosphere, forcing from the impulse and the winds that are available should be sufficient for strong thunderstorm activity with heavy rainfall having the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the main threats with a secondary threat for hail and strong to damaging winds in the strongest storms. The threat timeframe is after noon today lasting through early evening. Key items for any strong to severe thunderstorm potential is that the impulse in the atmosphere tracks into Southern New England at the time of peak heating as currently expected and that the impulse coupled with high instability can overcome weak winds aloft for strong to possibly isolated severe thunderstorm development.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by Noon today. This will be the last coordination message on today’s severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 7/7/16 Severe Weather Potential

July 7, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible across much of interior Southern New England from midday through early evening Thursday. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..Threat will be contingent on a trigger in the atmosphere to set off high instability induced from intense heat and humidity over the area and the ability of the high instability over the area to overcome what is currently expected to be weak levels of wind shear in the atmosphere..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is possible as early as 11 AM Thursday. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday July 1st, 2016 Severe Weather Potential

July 1, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely particularly across Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut but also across much of Southern New England late this afternoon through tonight. Strong to Damaging winds, large hail, urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall and frequent lightning are the main threats but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out particularly in Western New England..
..The Storm Prediction Center, SPC, has placed portions of Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut in a slight risk for severe weather with a marginal risk of severe weather through much of Southern New England to the Cape Cod Canal. Threat timeframe is between 500 PM Friday Evening through 100 AM Saturday Morning..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 500 PM today at the latest lasting through early Saturday Morning..

The potential exists for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across portions of Southern New England later this afternoon into the early overnight hours. The best chance for severe weather is across Western Massachusetts into Northern Connecticut but could affect much of Southern New England to the Cape Cod Canal. The headlines of this message reflect the current thinking.

The key questions for the potential for severe weather is how much instability develops and can that level of instability be maintained passed peak heating hours as well as the timing of stronger wind shear, favorable jet dynamics, and cooling of air aloft in the upper levels of the atmosphere. If instability is maintained through the evening and early overnight hours with better jet dynamics and cooling aloft, that would favor more numerous strong to severe thunderstorms and the potential for an isolated tornado particularly in Western New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 500 PM today lasting through early Saturday Morning. This will be the only message on today’s severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Special Announcement: NWS Taunton Lightning Safety Awareness Week – Monday 6/20/16 Through Friday 6/24/16

June 25, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

NWS Taunton declared the week of Monday 6/20/16 through Friday 6/24/16 Lightning Safety Awareness Week and issued Public Information Statements daily over this past week on Lightning Safety Rules. A link to the NOAA/NWS Lightning Safety Web Page and a link to the NWS Taunton Public Information Statements issued over the course of this week for Lightning Safety Awareness Week can be seen below:

NOAA/NWS Lightning Safety Web Page:
http://www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov/

NWS Taunton Public Information Statements for Lightning Safety Awareness Week:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/lightning_safety_awareness_week_6_20_16_6_24_16.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

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Amateur Radio Field Day Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday June 24th-Sunday June 26th, 2016 Field Day Wekend Weather

June 24, 2016 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..The following is a message on Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend and providing information on the weather during this period. This is a tradition spanning over 14 years for Amateur Radio Operators involved with Field Day and the NWS Taunton SKYWARN Program..
..Unlike last year which featured a nor’easter type coastal storm with heavy rain and strong winds affecting much of Field Day weekend, conditions will be sunny and pleasant on Friday and Saturday with some heat and humidity working into the region on Sunday for the second half of Field Day. There is no threat for thunderstorms over the course of Field Day Weekend. High temperatures will be in the upper 70s and low 80s with low humidity Friday, low to mid 80s and low humidity on Saturday with mid to upper 80s and a bit more humidity on Sunday and low temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s each evening. Operators and people setting up Amateur Radio Field Day sites should assure they drink plenty of liquids but beyond that it should be an excellent weekend weather wise for this event..
..Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend is an annual event where Ham Operators across the United States setup at Emergency Operations Centers, field locations, home locations etc. to operate and test their equipment and skills and make as many radio contacts as possible during the weekend. Many locations can be visited by the public and Amateur Radio Field Day can be a form of outreach to Ham and non-Ham Operators. It is also noted that several states have given proclamations to Amateur Radio/Ham Radio Operators for either an ‘Amateur Radio Day or Amateur Radio Week’ during the month of June or an ‘Amateur Radio Month’ for this month. It is both a fun/preparatory event for Ham Radio Operators for Emergency Communications scenarios..
..No SKYWARN Activation or Ops at NWS Taunton are expected during the 2016 Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend..

There are a large number of Amateur Radio Field Day sites across the NWS Taunton Coverage Area and adjacent NWS Coverage Areas. Here are some links to information on these Amateur Radio Field Day Sites from across the region:

Amateur Radio Field Day Information: http://www.arrl.org/field-day
Amateur Radio Field Day National Locator: http://www.arrl.org/field-day-locator
Eastern Massachusetts Field Day Home Page: http://fd.ema.arrl.org/

Normally, we send out a series of Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend messages but given the lack of weather, this will be the only message regarding the weather for Amateur Radio Field Day weekend. Again, weather conditions are calling for sunny and warm conditions with highs in the upper 70s to around 80 Friday and in the 80s both Saturday and Sunday and a bit more humidity on Sunday. Low temperatures will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s each evening. Again, no thunderstorm activity is expected.

During setup and takedown of Amateur Radio Field Day sites and even while operating, be sure to drink plenty of fluids and eat accordingly. Also having a jacket or sweatshirt during evenings as conditions cool etc. may also be useful while operating this year’s Field Day. The link below features information on Heat Safety:
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/heat/index.shtml

Below is a link to the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook for those interested in checking out weather conditions over the course of Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

While the lack of weather makes this less important, Field Day sites are still encouraged to bring a NOAA All-Hazards Weather Radio and a dedicated Ham Radio that can monitor their local SKYWARN Frequency for their area as a best safety and preparedness practice. Also sites that have mobile Internet capability can utilize that capability as a way to monitor for weather information. With Mobile Internet capability, utilizing Echolink to monitor the New England Reflector system on Echolink Conference *NEW-ENG3* Node: 9123/IRLP 9123 would be helpful as well. Please see the link below for the latest SKYWARN Frequency information for the region:
http://beta.wx1box.org/node/37

This will be the only Amateur Radio Field Day coordination message regarding weather conditions for the Amateur Radio Field Day weekend event.

Respectfully Submitted,

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