Hello to all..
..Heavy Rainfall, Strong Winds and the threat for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds and small hail are possible overnight into early Thursday Morning across much of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a Marginal Risk for severe weather with much of Connecticut in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for Fairfield, Middlesex, New Haven and New London Counties of Connecticut until 2 AM Thursday..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through 7 PM Thursday Evening for Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands and all of Rhode Island except for Northwest RI for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. There could be two rounds of strong winds in this area, one during the overnight and another in the mid afternoon into early evening..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through 7 AM Thursday Morning for Northwest Rhode Island, Northern Connecticut, Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. This area should only see strong winds during the overnight time period..
..Isolated pockets of minor coastal flooding possible in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island during the Thursday Morning high tide and will be monitored. This could result in minor flooding of shore roads during the high tide..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight tonight into Thursday Morning for heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and minor coastal flooding and in the Thursday Afternoon into early evening timeframe for strong winds in Southeast Massachusetts and much of Rhode Island. It is advised that SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators should have weather radio alert systems or computer or cell phone app based systems online to alert of severe thunderstorm warnings or other similar warnings during the overnight hours..
An active weather night is possible over Southern New England. The headlines of this message reflect the current thinking. While its rare to have the possibility for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in an overnight timeframe in February, it is not unprecedented. With a warm front moving through the area, temperatures will warm to the upper 40s and 50s across interior Southern New England and even lower 60s across Southeast New England. One area rain is moving through Southern New England, and a line of heavy rain and strong to severe thunderstorms is over Eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey and will swing east-northeastward into the area. This will being heavy rainfall with possible urban and poor drainage flooding along with potentially 1-2″ of rainfall with isolated higher amounts, strong winds and the potential for damaging winds in any thunderstorms or convection that can pull the strongest winds down to the surface with an isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outage threat. SPC has placed much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather with a slight risk for severe weather for Connecticut. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for Southern Connecticut until 2 AM and this will be monitored for any possible expansion. Wind Advisories are posted for wind gusts to 50 MPH but if winds meet severe criteria of 58 MPH or greater and associated with thunderstorms, Severe Thunderstorm Warnings could be issued. It is advised that SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators should have weather radio alert systems or computer or cell phone app based systems online to alert of severe thunderstorm warnings or other similar warnings during the overnight hours.
It is noted that across Southeast Massachusetts and portions of Rhode Island, a second pulse of strong winds could occur during the afternoon and early evening. For that reason, the wind advisory is in effect through 7 PM Thursday Evening. Also south coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island could see isolated pockets of minor coastal flooding at the time of the Thursday Morning high tide resulting in minor street flooding of shore roads and this will be monitored.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight tonight into Thursday Morning for heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and minor coastal flooding and in the Thursday Afternoon into early evening timeframe for strong winds in Southeast Massachusetts and much of Rhode Island. This will be the last coordination message posted for this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Hazard Message, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Coastal Hazard Message:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day1otlk_20160225_0100.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-187(508) 994-1875
(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-450(508) 997-4503(508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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