Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm Likely for Southern New England Monday Evening through Wednesday Morning. This will be a multi-hazard long duration event with Heavy Snow, heavy rain, strong to damaging winds, wet snow load and strong winds causing potential damage and the potential for several cycles of at least minor coastal flooding. Exact placement of impacts and potential hazards will be affected by as little as a 25-50 mile storm track difference and models remain variable in the track position. This is an updated initial set of thinking that will likely change as we get closer to the storm event..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 8 PM Monday Evening through 8 AM Wednesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampden, Western Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 12-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 20″, highest amounts in higher elevations but all elevations will fall into the 12-18″ range and wind gusts to 55 MPH. The snow is expected to be heavy and wet and with the strong wind gusts scattered to numerous pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages are likely in this area..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Monday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut, Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 5-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The snow will be heavy and wet and with the potential for wind gusts to 55 MPH, this could lead to scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages in this area..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Monday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Hartford County Connecticut, Eastern Hampshire and Eastern Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in the hills and 4-7″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in valley locations. The snow will be heavy and wet and with the potential for wind gusts to 55 MPH, this could lead to at least scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages in this area..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect Eastern Essex, Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts, Southeast Providence, Kent and Bristol Counties of Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow and wind gusts 55-60 MPH with isolated higher gusts. The snow will be heavy and wet and with the potential for wind gusts to 55-60 MPH, this could lead to at least scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages in this area..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Tuesday Morning through Wednesday Morning for Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages..
..Additional Winter Weather, Wind and Coastal flood headlines are possible in future updates. Additional adjustments to the snowfall forecast are also likely as models continue to coalesce on the storm track and a subtle shift in track can have huge changes to the impacts in the region..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely. Exact schedule is to be determined. They could start as early as Monday Evening but are most likely to run all day from early Tuesday Morning through late Tuesday Evening with a couple wrap up nets possible Wednesday Morning. An initial schedule will likely be posted in the Monday Morning Coordination message. ARES/RACES groups should closely monitor the progress of this system. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

A significant coastal storm is likely for Southern New England and it has the potential to be a multi-hazard and long duration event. The headlines depict the current thinking though there remains some disparity in the model guidance and small track guidance differences will have huge impacts on hazards. This is especially becoming true now in Southeast Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island where some models indicate much greater snow than currently forecast while others maintain much lighter amounts. Winter Storm Watches were expanded down to the Coventry RI to Bristol RI to Taunton Mass corridor in this update and Winter Storm Warnings were posted for the east slopes of the Berkshires through Franklin, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts where the heaviest snow is currently expected. Key factors remain:
1.) A subtle shift as small as 25-50 miles will have huge impacts to the hazards over the area. With a closer to the coast track meaning heavy wet snow confined to more of the higher elevations of Western and Northern Massachusetts while a slightly further offshore track would bring the heavy wet snow to lower elevations and potentially even a period of wet snow for some coastal areas of Southern New England. The model trends have remained with a more eastward path but there remains disparity in some of the model guidance. Winter Storm Watches were expanded down to the Coventry RI to Bristol RI to Taunton Mass corridor in this update and Winter Storm Warnings were posted for the east slopes of the Berkshires through Franklin, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts where the heaviest snow is currently expected based on the current weather model suite.
2.) Strong to damaging winds are likely across coastal areas with strong wind gusts inland and in the higher terrain. This aspect bears watching for infrastructure damage at the coast as well as inland and interior higher terrain locations where heavy wet snow clinging to trees and power lines with the strong winds are likely to cause scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages with a more widespread infrastructure event not out of the question. High Wind Watches have been expanded to include areas such as Boston and Blue Hill in addition to Cape Ann, Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and additional wind headlines will likely be posted for other areas.
3.) While astronomical tides are low, the fact the coastal storm will stall near or over the Southern New England coast could cause multiple tide cycles of minor coastal flooding with isolated pockets of moderate coastal flooding possible particularly due to wave action which will build over the tide cycles. This will continue to bear watching as we get closer to the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely. Exact schedule is to be determined. They could start as early as Monday Evening but are most likely to run all day from early Tuesday Morning through late Tuesday Evening with a couple wrap up nets possible Wednesday Morning. An initial schedule will likely be posted in the Monday Morning Coordination message. ARES/RACES groups should closely monitor the progress of this system. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement, Snowfall Maps/Infographics, High Wind Watch Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Hazards_Infographics_3_13_3_15_23.png

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement & Infographics:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Hazards_Infographics_3_13_3_15_23.png

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm Likely for Southern New England Monday Evening through Wednesday Morning. This will be a multi-hazard long duration event with Heavy Snow, heavy rain, strong to damaging winds, wet snow load and strong winds causing potential damage and the potential for several cycles of at least minor coastal flooding. Exact placement of impacts and potential hazards will be affected by as little as a 25-50 mile storm track difference and models remain variable in the track position. This is an updated initial set of thinking that will likely change as we get closer to the storm event..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Monday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampden, Western Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts at elevations below 1000 feet and 12-20″ of snow at elevations above 1000 feet and wind gusts to 50 MPH. The snow is expected to be heavy and wet and with the strong wind gusts scattered to numerous pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages are possible to likely in this area..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut, Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The snow will be heavy and wet and with the potential for wind gusts to 50 MPH, this could lead to at least isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages in this area..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Hartford County Connecticut, Eastern Hampshire and Eastern Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in the hills and 2-4″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in valley locations. The snow will be heavy and wet and with the potential for wind gusts to 50 MPH, this could lead to at least isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages in this area..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Tuesday Morning through Wednesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages..
..Additional Winter Weather, Wind and Coastal flood headlines are possible in future updates. Additional adjustments to the snowfall forecast are also likely as models continue to coalesce on the storm track and a subtle shift in track can have huge changes to the impacts in the region..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely. Exact schedule is to be determined. They could start as early as Monday Evening but are most likely to run all day from early Tuesday Morning through late Tuesday Evening with a couple wrap up nets possible Wednesday Morning. An initial schedule will likely be posted in the Monday Morning Coordination message. ARES/RACES groups should closely monitor the progress of this system. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

A significant coastal storm is likely for Southern New England and it has the potential to be a multi-hazard and long duration event. The headlines depict the current thinking and with a storm track a bit further east as resulted in the expansion of Winter Storm Watches down to the I-95 corridor. Key factors include:
1.) A subtle shift as small as 25-50 miles will have huge impacts to the hazards over the area. With a closer to the coast track meaning heavy wet snow confined to more of the higher elevations of Western and Northern Massachusetts while a slightly further offshore track would bring the heavy wet snow to lower elevations and potentially even a period of wet snow for some coastal areas of Southern New England. The trend was a bit further east in overnight model runs resulting in the Winter Storm Watch expansion and greater risk for heavy wet snow into the lower elevations of Western and Central Mass and Northern Connecticut and into Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts. Model trends so far today have essentially held steady with the storm track after the eastward trend during yesterday.
2.) Strong to damaging winds are likely across coastal areas with strong wind gusts inland and in the higher terrain. This aspect bears watching for infrastructure damage at the coast as well as inland and interior higher terrain locations where heavy wet snow clinging to trees and power lines with the strong winds are likely to cause at least isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages with a more widespread infrastructure event not out of the question. High Wind Watches have been posted for Cape Ann, Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and additional wind headlines will likely be posted for other areas.
3.) While astronomical tides are low, the fact the coastal storm will stall near or over the Southern New England coast could cause multiple tide cycles of minor coastal flooding with isolated pockets of moderate coastal flooding possible particularly due to wave action which will build over the tide cycles. This will continue to bear watching as we get closer to the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely. Exact schedule is to be determined. They could start as early as Monday Evening but are most likely to run all day from early Tuesday Morning through late Tuesday Evening with a couple wrap up nets possible Wednesday Morning. An initial schedule will likely be posted in the Monday Morning Coordination message. ARES/RACES groups should closely monitor the progress of this system. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Snowfall Maps/Infographics, High Wind Watch Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Winter_Storm_Watch_3_13_23_3_15_23.png

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/HighWind_Watch_3_14_23_3_15_23.png

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm Likely for Southern New England Monday Evening through Wednesday Morning. This will be a multi-hazard long duration event with Heavy Snow, heavy rain, strong to damaging winds, wet snow load and strong winds causing potential damage and the potential for several cycles of at least minor coastal flooding. Exact placement of impacts and potential hazards will be affected by as little as a 25-50 mile storm track difference and models remain variable in the track position. This is an initial set of thinking that will likely change as we get closer to the storm event..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampden, Western Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and wind gusts to 50 MPH. The snow is expected to be heavy and wet and with the strong wind gusts isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages are possible to likely in this area..
..Additional Winter Weather, Wind and Coastal flood headlines are possible in future updates. Adjustments to the snowfall forecast are also likely as models have yet to coalesce on the storm track and a subtle shift in track can have huge changes to the impacts in the region..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely. Exact schedule is to be determined. They could start as early as Monday Evening but are most likely to run all day from early Tuesday Morning through late Tuesday Evening with a couple wrap up nets possible Wednesday Morning. ARES/RACES groups should closely monitor the progress of this system..

A significant coastal storm is likely for Southern New England and it has the potential to be a multi-hazard and long duration event. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) A subtle shift as small as 25-50 miles will have huge impacts to the hazards over the area. With a closer to the coast track meaning heavy wet snow confined to more of the higher elevations of Western and Northern Massachusetts while a slightly further offshore track would bring the heavy wet snow to lower elevations and potentially even a period of wet snow for some coastal areas of Southern New England.
2.) Strong to damaging winds are likely across coastal areas with strong wind gusts inland and in the higher terrain. This aspect bears watching for infrastructure damage at the coast as well as inland and interior higher terrain locations where heavy wet snow clinging to trees and power lines with the strong winds are likely to cause at least isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages with a more widespread infrastructure event not out of the question.
3.) While astronomical tides are low, the fact the coastal storm will stall near or over the Southern New England coast could cause multiple tide cycles of minor coastal flooding with isolated pockets of moderate coastal flooding possible particularly due to wave action which will build over the tide cycles. This will bear watching as we get closer to the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely. Exact schedule is to be determined. They could start as early as Monday Evening but are most likely to run all day from early Tuesday Morning through late Tuesday Evening with a couple wrap up nets possible Wednesday Morning. ARES/RACES groups should closely monitor the progress of this system. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Snowfall Maps/Infographics, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Winter_Storm_Watch_Mar-13-15.png

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Coastal Storm Will Impact Portions of Southern New England with significant snowfall north of the Mass Pike away from the coast, Wintry Mix to rain in interior locations south of the Mass Pike with a Wintry Mix to Rain in East Coastal And Southeast Coastal New England, strong to damaging winds and minor coastal flooding Friday Evening to Saturday Evening. Subtle, small track differences could mean significant changes to the final snow and/or ice/wintry mix accumulations in the region..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect through 7 PM Saturday Evening for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester, North-Central Middlesex and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and wind gusts to 40 MPH except in Eastern Essex County particularly Cape Ann where wind gusts will be as high as 50-60 MPH. The potentially wet consistency of the snow and strong wind gusts could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 7 PM Saturday Evening for Providence, Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Northern Connecticut, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts for 2-6″ of snow with the highest amounts near the Mass Pike and west of Route 128..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 4 AM to 6 PM Saturday for Eastern Essex and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with Gusts to 60 MPH likely. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 4 AM to 6 PM Saturday for Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, and Plymouth counties, from 1 AM-10 AM Saturday for Southern Bristol County Massachusetts, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island including Block Island and from 1 AM to 6 PM Saturday for Dukes and Nantucket Counties. These winds could cause isolated to scattered tree and power line damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 5-9 AM Saturday Morning for Washington County RI and 8 AM-Noon Saturday for Dukes ad Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding of shore roads with the possibility of isolated moderate pockets of coastal flooding in Dukes and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely late Friday Evening and especially Saturday for snowfall and ice totals, precip type reports, minor coastal flooding reports and strong to damaging winds in coastal Southern New England. An Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule appears below..

A coastal storm will impact the region late Friday evening into Saturday Evening. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) A subtle, small track difference of 25-50 miles south could mean heavier snow in the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory area and more snow and ice in areas further south across Southern New England. A track difference of 25-50 miles north could mean more rain than frozen precipitation south of the Mass Pike and more of a wintry mix north of the Mass Pike.
2.) The track differences and amount of cold air will determine the snow consistency and whether its heavy and wet in and near the Winter Storm Warning area. If its a heavy wet snow with wind gusts to 40 MPH, it could result in isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages and will be monitored closely.
3.) Strong to damaging winds in coastal areas are likely unlike the storm earlier this week where winds were light with High Wind Warnings for Cape Cod and Cape Ann and Wind Advisories for much of the rest of East and South Coastal Massachusetts through Plymouth and Eastern Norfolk Counties.
4.) Minor coastal flooding is possible at the time of high tide in portions of Southern Rhode Island, Nantucket and Marthas Vineyard with a low risk for pockets of moderate coastal flooding in Nantucket and Marthas Vineyard.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely late Friday Evening and especially Saturday for snowfall and ice totals, precip type reports, minor coastal flooding reports and strong to damaging winds in coastal Southern New England. An Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule appears below:
146.940-Mount Tom Repeater – 800 AM, 1000 AM, 1200 PM, 200 PM etc. as needed and resources allow (It is noted that many Amateurs may attend the Mount Tom Amateur Radio Association Hamfest so snow reports before and after attending that Hamfest would be appreciated)
146.970-Paxton Repeater – 830 AM, 1030 AM, 1230 PM, 230 PM etc. as needed
145.450-Fitchburg Repeater/145.370-Route 2 Corridor System- 730 AM, 930 AM, 1130 AM, 130 PM etc. as needed
146.790-Vernon CT Repeater- Nets Saturday Morning if/as needed
NB1RI Repeater System – RI – 700 AM, 900 AM, 1100 AM, 100 PM, 300 PM etc. as needed
Other nets in Southeast and East Coastal New England will be monitored as needed including the New England Weather Net and Cape and Islands Weather Net.

This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement and Infographics, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Infographics, Area Forecast Discussion, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/FqU0ukTaEAAwsth.png
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/FqU0yBraIAAmUvD.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement and Infographics:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/FqU0wUuaEAAPvdM.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Infographics:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/FqTgEk8acAIS6_X.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Coastal Storm Will Impact Portions of Southern New England with significant snowfall north of the Mass Pike away from the coast, Wintry Mix to rain in interior locations south of the Mass Pike with a Wintry Mix to Rain in East Coastal And Southeast Coastal New England Friday Evening to Saturday Evening. Subtle, small track differences could mean significant changes to the final snow and/or ice/wintry mix accumulations in the region..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Friday Evening through Saturday Evening for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester, North-Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6″ or more of snow and wind gusts to 40 MPH. Other Winter Weather Headlines for areas closest to the Winter Storm Watch area could be issued in later updates..
..Wind Gusts to 50 MPH are likely in East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Wind Advisories could be issued for these areas in future updates. Astronomical tides are low so coastal flooding issues are not expected..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely late Friday Evening and especially Saturday for snowfall and ice totals, precip type reports and strong to damaging winds in coastal Southern New England. An Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule will be formulated by early Friday Evening..

A coastal storm will impact the region late Friday evening into Saturday Evening. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) A subtle, small track difference of 25-50 miles south could mean heavier snow in the Winter Storm Watch area and more snow and ice in areas further south across Southern New England. A track difference of 25-50 miles north could mean more rain than frozen precipitation south of the Mass Pike and more of a wintry mix north of the Mass Pike.
2.) The track differences and amount of cold air will determine the snow consistency and whether its heavy and wet in and near the Winter Storm Watch area. If its a heavy wet snow with wind gusts to 40 MPH, it could result in isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages. Something to monitor in future forecasts.
3.) Strong to damaging winds in coastal areas are likely unlike the storm earlier this week where winds were light.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely late Friday Evening and especially Saturday for snowfall and ice totals, precip type reports and strong to damaging winds in coastal Southern New England. An Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule will be formulated by early Friday Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch and Snow Maps/Infographics, Wind Gust Map, Area Forecast Discussion, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Winter_Storm_Watch.png
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/precip-onset.png

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Gust Map:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/MaxWindGustMphISC_SFC_3_3_23_3_4_23.png

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Minor icing causing slippery road conditions expected in portions of Western and Northern Massachusetts at elevations above 800 feet. More impactful storm system expected Friday Evening into Saturday Evening. Details are uncertain with that system as there is spread in the weather model guidance but there is the potential for significant snow or wintry mix along and north of the Mass Pike with a Wintry Mix over to rain south of the Mass Pike along with strong to damaging wind potential at the coast. Changes in storm track will affect the general outcomes with that system..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from Midnight tonight to 9 AM Thursday for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for freezing rain and possibly some sleet leading to a light icing glaze..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the icing potential overnight into Thursday Morning. This will be the only coordination message on this light icing event. Coordination messages for the Friday Evening to Saturday evening coastal storm system will likely be started by Thursday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement/Snow & Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..A moderate plowable snowstorm remains likely for much of Southern New England late Monday Night into Tuesday Afternoon. Winter Storm Warnings issued for portions of Southern New England..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 7-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The worst conditions will be overnight into the Tuesday Morning commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 7 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Worcester, Northwest Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The worst conditions will be overnight into the Tuesday Morning commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for the remainder of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in interior Southeast Massachusetts and Southeast Rhode Island with lower amounts along the immediate coast particularly over Cape Cod and the Islands..
..Wind Gusts inland will be 25-30 MPH and along the coast wind gusts of 35-40 MPH are possible. At this time, the snow consistency and these winds are not expected to cause damage but this aspect will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely and an updated schedule of Amateur Radio Nets is listed in this message mostly centered from Tuesday Morning through mid-afternoon Tuesday though there will be one or two late Monday evening call-up nets in Western Massachusetts..

A moderate plowable snowstorm remains likely for much of Southern New England late Monday Night into Tuesday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) The strength of the approaching system as if its able to maintain strength further south and east, it could result in a bit more snowfall and those model trends of a bit of a stronger system has continued so the Winter Storm Warning was expanded to more of the region.
2.) Exact placement of the heaviest snowfall. The highest confidence is in the current Winter Storm Warning areas but other portions of the Winter Weather Advisory area will be monitored.
3.) The amount of mixing along southeast coastal areas in addition to precipitation intensity for this region. This is the area of greatest uncertainty on snow amounts.
4.) Winds and snow consistency should be such that tree and power line damage should be minimal but this will be monitored closely.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely and an updated schedule of Amateur Radio Nets is listed in this message mostly centered from Tuesday Morning through mid-afternoon Tuesday though there will be one or two late Monday evening call-up nets in Western Massachusetts. Here is the current Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule and if time allows another update will be posted Monday Evening:

146.940-Mount Tom Repeater (PL: 127.3 Hz): Monday 2/27/23: 1000 PM & Tuesday 2/28/23: 600 AM, 800 AM, 1200 PM, 200 PM etc. as needed.
146.790-Vernon CT repeater (PL: 82.5 Hz): Tuesday 2/28/23 – 630 AM, 830 AM, 1030 AM, 1230 PM, 230 PM etc. as needed
146.970-Paxton Repeater (PL: 114.8 Hz): Tuesday 2/28/23 – 730 AM, 930 AM, 1130 AM, 130 PM, 330 PM etc. as needed.
146.895-Walpole Repeater (PL: 123.0 Hz): Tuesday 2/28/23 – 700 AM, 900 AM, 1100 AM, 100 PM, 300 PM etc. as needed.
NB1RI Repeater System: Tuesday 2/28/23 – 700 AM, 900 AM, 1100 AM, 100 PM, 300 PM etc. as needed.
147.180-Bridgewater Repeater: Tuesday 2/28/23 – 800 AM, 1000 AM, 1200 PM, 200 PM etc. as needed
147.000-Dartmouth Repeater: Tuesday 2/28/23 -815 AM, 1015 AM, 1215 PM, 215 PM etc. as needed
-The New England Reflector system *NEW-ENG3* Echolink conference node: 9123/IRLP 9123 system will be monitored from around 530-600 AM through 300 PM for any snowfall reports.

This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement with Snowfall Maps/Infographics, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Winter-Storm-Watch-and-Winter-Weather-Advisory.png
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Onset-time.png

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..A moderate plowable snowstorm remains likely for much of Southern New England late Monday Night into Tuesday Afternoon. Winter Storm Warnings issued for portions of Southern New England..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 7-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The worst conditions will be overnight into the Tuesday Morning commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Worcester, Northwest Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The worst conditions will be overnight into the Tuesday Morning commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for the remainder of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for 2-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in interior Southeast Massachusetts and Southeast Rhode Island with lower amounts along the immediate coast particularly over Cape Cod and the Islands..
..Wind Gusts inland will be 25-30 MPH and along the coast wind gusts of 35-40 MPH are possible. At this time, the snow consistency and these winds are not expected to cause damage but this aspect will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely and an initial schedule of Amateur Radio Nets is listed in this message mostly centered from Tuesday Morning through mid-afternoon Tuesday though there will be one or two late Monday evening call-up nets in Western Massachusetts..

A moderate plowable snowstorm remains likely for much of Southern New England late Monday Night into Tuesday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) The strength of the approaching system as if its able to maintain strength further south and east, it could result in a bit more snowfall and those model trends of a bit of a stronger system has continued so the Winter Storm Warning was expanded to more of the region.
2.) Exact placement of the heaviest snowfall. The highest confidence is in the current Winter Storm Warning areas but other portions of the Winter Weather Advisory area will be monitored.
3.) The amount of mixing along southeast coastal areas in addition to precipitation intensity for this region. This is the area of greatest uncertainty on snow amounts.
4.) Winds and snow consistency should be such that tree and power line damage should be minimal but this will be monitored closely.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely and an initial schedule of Amateur Radio Nets is listed in this message mostly centered from Tuesday Morning through mid-afternoon Tuesday though there will be one or two late Monday evening call-up nets in Western Massachusetts. Here is the current Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule and if time allows another update will be posted Monday Evening:

146.940-Mount Tom Repeater (PL: 127.3 Hz): Monday 2/27/23: 800 PM (if needed), 1000 PM & Tuesday 2/28/23: 600 AM, 800 AM, 1200 PM, 200 PM etc. as needed.
146.790-Vernon CT repeater (PL: 82.5 Hz): Tuesday 2/28/23 – will have active nets – timeframe is TBD
146.970-Paxton Repeater (PL: 114.8 Hz): Tuesday 2/28/23 – 630 AM (pending net control availability), 830 AM, 1030 AM, 1230 PM, 230 PM etc. as needed.
146.895-Walpole Repeater (PL: 123.0 Hz): Tuesday 2/28/23 – 700 AM, 900 AM, 1100 AM, 100 PM, 300 PM etc. as needed.
NB1RI Repeater System: Tuesday 2/28/23 – will have active nets – timeframe is TBD
147.180-Bridgewater Repeater: Tuesday 2/28/23 – will have active nets – timeframe is TBD
147.000-Dartmouth Repeater: Tuesday 2/28/23 – will have active nets – timeframe is TBD
-The New England Reflector system *NEW-ENG3* Echolink conference node: 9123/IRLP 9123 system will be monitored from around 530-600 AM through 300 PM for any snowfall reports.

Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement with Snowfall Maps/Infographics, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Winter_Headlines.png

https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/02_27_23-NWS-Boston-Onset-Snowfall.png

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..A moderate plowable snowstorm remains likely for much of Southern New England late Monday Night into Tuesday Afternoon..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Monday Evening through Tuesday Evening for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for the potential of 5-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 10″..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for the remainder of the NWS Boston/Norton coverage area from 7 PM Monday to 7 PM Tuesday except for Eastern Massachusetts where the advisory is in effect from 9 PM Monday to 7 PM Tuesday for 2-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible depending on snow intensity and whether or not precipitation remains snow for most or all of the event. Wind Gusts to 35 MPH are also possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for this storm and a schedule of nets will likely be posted as we get into Monday Morning and likely centered from Tuesday Morning through mid-afternoon Tuesday though there could be one or two late Monday evening call-up nets in Western Massachusetts..

A moderate plowable snowstorm remains likely for much of Southern New England late Monday Night into Tuesday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) The strength of the approaching system as if its able to maintain strength further south and east, it could result in a bit more snowfall in portions of the current Winter Weather Advisory area.
2.) Exact placement of the heaviest snowfall. The highest confidence is in the Winter Storm Watch area but there could be a second maximum in another part of Southern New England depending on how the system maintains intensity as it moves through the area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for this storm and a schedule of nets will likely be posted as we get into Monday Morning and likely centered from Tuesday Morning through mid-afternoon Tuesday though there could be one or two late Monday evening call-up nets in Western Massachusetts. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement with Snowfall Maps/Infographics, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Winter-Storm-Watch-and-Winter-Weather-Advisory.png
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Onset-time.png

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..A moderate plowable snowstorm is likely for much of Southern New England late Monday Night into Tuesday Afternoon..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening through Tuesday Evening for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for the potential of 5-8″ of snow. Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area have the potential to receive 3-6″ of snow except for areas of Southeast Massachusetts and coastal areas where 2-4″ are possible as snow may mix with and change to rain and precipitation across portions of Eastern Massachusetts may be lighter than areas west of this region..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for this storm and a schedule of nets will likely be posted as we get into Monday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 PM Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement with Snowfall Maps/Infographics, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/02_26_23-NWS-Boston-Expected-Snowfall.png
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/02_26_23-NWS-Boston-Onset-Snowfall.png

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box