Storm Coordination Message #2 – Storm Hazards Friday 1/14/22-Saturday AM 1/15/22 & Sunday Night 1/16/22-Monday 1/17/22

Hello to all…

..Active Weather Pattern starting Friday into Saturday Morning with an offshore ocean storm affecting Southeast New England and a second more widespread significant storm for Sunday Night into Monday..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect from Friday Morning to late Friday Night for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH possible with isolated higher gusts possible. Wind Advisories maybe needed for other parts of Southeast New England for this same time period. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Snowfall of a Coating to 2″ is expected in Southeast New England from the Friday storm system but trends will be monitored for a slightly closer to the coast track that could bring a higher snowfall particularly to Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands for Friday into Saturday. A flash freeze from rapidly falling temperatures is possible as rain changes to snow and strong winds bring colder air to the surface..
..A Wind Chill Watch is now in effect from Friday Evening through Saturday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for dangerously cold wind chills to 30 below zero. Dangerously cold wind chills will affect other portions of Southern New England as well to a bit less of a degree than the Wind Chill Watch area..
..A significant storm system is likely Sunday Night to Monday but track and details are uncertain and will have major impacts on what areas could see heavier snowfall and strong to damaging winds versus heavy rainfall and strong to damaging winds. This will be better defined in future updates likely post the Friday into Saturday Morning storm event..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems..

We are entering an active weather period that will likely require SKYWARN support for storm reports with two different storm systems. The focus of this message is on the Friday into Saturday Morning system though we will briefly touch on the storm system Sunday Night into Monday.

For the Friday into Saturday Morning system, the main threats remain the strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England and the dangerously cold wind chills that will affect the region as the departing storm drives in a period of bitter cold air to the region. There will also be some snow with this system. At this time the snow amounts look light and focused on Southeast New England but the potential will be monitored for a possibility for a period of accumulating snow for the Cape and Islands and possibly Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts depending on the track of an intense offshore ocean storm system. A closer track might allow for the accumulating snow as some weather models indicate but a further offshore track would result in lighter snow or no snow in the region.  A flash freeze is also possible to likely as the storm system initially brings a period of rain before a changeover to snow with the potential for rapidly falling temperatures. This will be monitored in future model updates. In addition, this storm system will bring dangerously cold wind chills across much of Southern New England with the most dangerous wind chills in Northwest Massachusetts where a Wind Chill Watch is in effect.

For the second storm system, it is definitely modeled as an intense storm by all weather models. The details of the impacts will be defined by the track which is quite variable anywhere from a track as far west as Central New York to as far east as Eastern New England. The track differences will determine impacts of heavy snow and/or mixed precipitation along and to the west of the track versus snow to rain along and to the east of the track with strong to damaging winds a concern across the area of this storm system. Future model runs will bring clarity to the hazards in the region and further details will be posted once we get past the Friday into Saturday Morning storm system.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM Thursday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch statement, Snowfall Maps, Wind Chill Watch Statement and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Chill Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=WSW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Storm Hazards Friday 1/14/22-Saturday AM 1/15/22 & Sunday Night 1/16/22-Monday 1/17/22

Hello to all…

..Active Weather Pattern starting Friday into Saturday Morning with an offshore ocean storm affecting Southeast New England and a second more widespread significant storm for Sunday Night into Monday..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Friday Morning to late Friday Night for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH possible. Wind Advisories maybe needed for other parts of Southeast New England for this same time period. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Snowfall of a Coating to 2″ is expected in Southeast New England from the Friday storm system but trends will be monitored for a slightly closer to the coast track that could bring a higher snowfall particularly to Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands for Friday into Saturday..
..Dangerously cold wind chills could also occur with the departing storm system for Friday Night into Saturday in portions of Southern New England..
..A significant storm system is likely Sunday Night to Monday but track and details are uncertain and will have major impacts on what areas could see heavier snowfall and strong to damaging winds versus heavy rainfall and strong to damaging winds. This will be better defined in future updates likely post the Friday into Saturday Morning storm event..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems..

We are entering an active weather period that will likely require SKYWARN support for storm reports with two different storm systems. The focus of this message is on the Friday into Saturday Morning system though we will briefly touch on the storm system Sunday Night into Monday.

For the Friday into Saturday Morning system, the main threats are the strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England and the dangerously cold wind chills that will affect the region as the departing storm drives in a period of bitter cold air to the region. There will also be some snow with this system. At this time the snow amounts look light and focused on Southeast New England but the potential will be monitored for a possibility for a period of accumulating snow for the Cape and Islands and possibly Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts depending on the track of an intense offshore ocean storm system. A closer track might allow for the accumulating snow as some weather models indicate but a further offshore track would result in lighter snow or no snow in the region. This will be monitored in future model updates.

For the second storm system, it is definitely modeled as an intense storm by all weather models. The details of the impacts will be defined by the track which is quite variable anywhere from a track as far west as Central New York to as far east as Eastern New England. The track differences will determine impacts of heavy snow and/or mixed precipitation along and to the west of the track versus snow to rain along and to the east of the track with strong to damaging winds a concern across the area of this storm system. Future model runs will bring clarity to the hazards in the region and further details will be posted once we get past the Friday into Saturday Morning storm system.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Sunday 1/9/22 – Icing & Strong Wind Gust Potential

Hello to all…

..After the moderate to heavy snowstorm of late Thursday Night into Friday, a smaller winter storm system will bring freezing rain and potential icing to interior western and central portions of Southern New England. The icing will largely be a travel hazard similar to prior events between Christmas and the middle of last week in the region. Use caution if traveling tomorrow in these areas and monitor local traffic and weather conditions..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 7 AM-7 PM Sunday for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester and Northern Middlesex County Massachusetts for a light glaze to 0.10″ of icing in the lower elevations causing hazardous travel conditions with up to and around a 0.25″ of icing in the higher elevations. If icing of 0.25″ or more occurs over a widespread enough area, this could raise the risk for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage from the icing and will be monitored closely..
..Strong wind gusts of up to 40 MPH may affect coastal areas on Sunday. At this time, winds should fall short of Wind Advisory criteria..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor icing and strong wind gust conditions for Sunday..

We want to thank all SKYWARN spotters and Amateur Radio Operators for their support during the prior winter storm. The following is a weather map of snowfall reports from the area from that winter storm:

NWS Boston/Norton Friday 1/8/22 Snowfall Map:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Winter_Storm_1_7_22.png

An icing event is likely across interior western and central portions of Southern New England with some strong wind gusts though short of wind advisory criteria across coastal areas. The headlines depict current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Icing will be a travel concern and in the higher elevations, icing of around 0.25″ could occur. If icing of 0.25″ or more occurs over a widespread enough area, this could raise the risk for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage from the icing and will be monitored closely.
2.) Strong wind gusts of around 40 MPH may occur in some coastal areas but should remain below Wind Advisory criteria but those trends will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor icing and strong wind gust conditions for Sunday. Another coordination message will be posted on Sunday Morning before 1000 AM if a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update as we move to operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory & Snow/Ice Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 1/9/22 Light Icing and Strong Wind Gust Potential

Hello to all…

..After the moderate to heavy snowstorm of late Thursday Night into Friday, a smaller winter storm system will bring freezing rain and potential icing to interior western and central portions of Southern New England. The icing will largely be a travel hazard similar to prior events between Christmas and the middle of last week in the region. Use caution if traveling tomorrow in these areas and monitor local traffic and weather conditions..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM-7 PM Sunday for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester and Northern Middlesex County Massachusetts for a light glaze to 0.10″ of icing causing hazardous travel conditions..
..Strong wind gusts of up to 40 MPH may affect coastal areas on Sunday. At this time, winds should fall short of Wind Advisory criteria..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor icing and strong wind gust conditions for Sunday..

We want to thank all SKYWARN spotters and Amateur Radio Operators for their support during the prior winter storm. The following is a weather map of snowfall reports from the area from that winter storm:

NWS Boston/Norton Friday 1/8/22 Snowfall Map:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Winter_Storm_1_7_22.png

A light icing event is likely across interior western and central portions of Southern New England with some strong wind gusts though short of wind advisory criteria across coastal areas. The headlines depict current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Icing will be a travel concern but should not be significant enough to cause any icing damage.
2.) Strong wind gusts of around 40 MPH may occur in some coastal areas but should remain below Wind Advisory criteria but those trends will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor icing and strong wind gust conditions for Sunday. Another coordination message will be posted either later Saturday Evening before 1100 PM or Sunday Morning before 1000 AM. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory & Snow/Ice Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Late Thursday Night 1/6/22-Friday Afternoon 1/7/22

Hello to all…

..A moderate snowstorm with plowable snowfall remains likely for Southern New England late Thursday Night through Friday Afternoon with the worst conditions in and around the Friday Morning Work Commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 4 PM Friday Evening for Rhode Island and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 6-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts up to 10″ possible especially in Southeast Massachusetts..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 4 PM Friday Evening for Cape Cod for 2-7″ of snow with the lower amounts on the Outer Cape from Provincetown to Chatham and the higher amounts from Hyannis and Barnstable west to Cape Cod. Key items on snow amounts here is any mixed precipitation cutting down amounts in parts of this area as well snow being heavy and wet and with wind gusts to around 40 MPH causing isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 2 PM Friday Afternoon for Essex, Central Middlesex and Southern Worcester County Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 1 PM Friday Afternoon for Hartford and Tolland Counties of Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Northern Middlesex Counties for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible in North-Central Connecticut..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 4 PM Friday Evening for Martha’s Vineyard Massachusetts and Block Island Rhode Island for 2-5″ of wet snow with winds gusting to 35-40 MPH. Key items on snow amounts here is any mixed precipitation cutting down amounts in parts of this area as well snow being heavy and wet and with wind gusts to around 40 MPH causing isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon..

A moderate snowstorm is expected for Southern New England late Thursday Night into Friday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The storm track still has some variance. If there is a track further southeast it could slide heavier snowfall further southeast in the watch area with less mixing on Cape Cod and the Islands and more snowfall there. A track further north and west could bring heavier snows to more of the region. Recent trends have been for a closer storm track to the area with an expansion of Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings covering all areas except Nantucket.
2.) The storm is expected to intensify more rapidly as it moves away from Southern New England. If that intensification occurs sooner closer to Southern New England, it could enhance snowfall amounts a bit more and some of that intensification is going to occur closer to Southern New England allowing for slightly higher snowfall amounts as seen by an additional slight uptick in amounts in eastern parts of the area.
3.) The worst conditions are expected during the Friday Morning commute which raises the impact for this storm versus one that is timed between the commutes or over the weekend.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon. In an effort to try and enhance Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotter efforts and the widespread nature of the storm, listed below are what will be the first SKYWARN Nets that will operate on various local SKYWARN repeaters in the region for this winter storm. Subsequent nets scheduled for each repeater will be announced on the net by the net control until the storm has passed. Here is a list of the first SKYWARN Nets on area repeaters as the storm starts Friday Morning:

730 AM: 146.790-Vernon, CT Repeater PL: 82.5 Hz – Hartford-Tolland County SKYWARN Net
800 AM: NB1RI Repeater System – RI SKYWARN Net
800 AM: 146.940-Mount Tom MA Repeater PL: 127.3 Hz – Western Mass SKYWARN Net
800 AM: 146.895-Walpole Repeater PL: 123.0 Hz – Norfolk County SKYWARN Net
800 AM: 146.955-Barnstable Repeater PL: 88.5 Hz – Cape & Isles SKYWARN Net
800 AM: 146.970-Paxton Repeater PL: 114.8 Hz – Worcester County SKYWARN Net
815 AM: 147.000-Dartmouth Repeater PL: 67.0 Hz – South Coast SKYWARN Net
830 AM: 147.180-Bridgewater Repeater PL: 67.0 Hz – South Shore SKYWARN Net
-The Echolink *NEW-ENG3* node: 9123/IRLP reflector 9123 system will also be monitored throughout the storm event as will WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter social media outlets.

Other nets may occur on other area repeaters but an initial schedule was not available for this coordination message update. This will be the last Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Late Thursday Night 1/6/22-Friday Evening 1/7/22 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A moderate snowstorm with plowable snowfall remains likely for Southern New England late Thursday Night through Friday Afternoon with the worst conditions in and around the Friday Morning Work Commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 7 PM Friday Evening for Rhode Island and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 4 PM Friday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Northern Middlesex Counties for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible in Northeast Connecticut..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 7 PM Friday Evening for Block Island Rhode Island for 2-4″ of wet snow with winds gusting to 35 MPH..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late tonight through Friday Evening for Essex, Central Middlesex and Southern Worcester County Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Late Tonight Through Friday Evening for Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard for 2-7″ of snow and wind gusts to 40 MPH. Key items on snow amounts here is any mixed precipitation cutting down amounts in parts of this area as well snow being heavy and wet and with wind gusts to around 40 MPH causing isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon..

A moderate snowstorm is expected for Southern New England late Thursday Night into Friday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The storm track still has some variance. If there is a track further southeast it could slide heavier snowfall further southeast in the watch area with less mixing on Cape Cod and the Islands and more snowfall there. A track further north and west could bring heavier snows to more of the region. Recent trends have been for a closer storm track to the area with an expansion of Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Watches and Warnings covering all areas except Nantucket.
2.) The storm is expected to intensify more rapidly as it moves away from Southern New England. If that intensification occurs sooner closer to Southern New England, it could enhance snowfall amounts a bit more and some of that intensification is going to occur closer to Southern New England allowing for slightly higher snowfall amounts.
3.) The worst conditions are expected during the Friday Morning commute which raises the impact for this storm versus one that is timed between the commutes or over the weekend.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM Thursday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Late Thursday Night 1/6/21-Friday Afternoon 1/7/21 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A moderate snowstorm with plowable snowfall likely for Southern New England late Thursday Night through Friday Afternoon with the worst conditions in and around the Friday Morning Work Commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for late Thursday Night through Friday Afternoon for all of Rhode Island, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for a general 4-6″ of snow with isolated or a band of higher amounts greater than 6″ somewhere in the watch area. Areas outside of the watch area may see lower end advisory snowfall amounts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon..

A moderate snowstorm is expected for Southern New England late Thursday Night into Friday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The storm track still has some variance. If there is a track further southeast it could slide heavier snowfall further southeast in the watch area with less mixing on Cape Cod and the Islands and more snowfall there. A track further north and west could bring heavier snows to northern areas of the Winter Storm Watch.
2.) The storm is expected to intensify more rapidly as it moves away from Southern New England. If that intensification occurs sooner closer to Southern New England, it could enhance snowfall amounts a bit more in the Winter Storm Watch area.
3.) The worst conditions are expected during the Friday Morning commute which raises the impact for this storm versus one that is timed between the commutes or over the weekend.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday Morning 1/5/22 Light Icing Potential & Friday 1/7/22 Snowstorm Potential

Hello to all…

..Light Icing could cause slippery travel and walkways Wednesday Morning and effect portions of the morning commute. A larger snowstorm event is possible on Friday but there is uncertainty on exact track, speed, intensity of the system. An initial snowfall map on the Friday storm is available in this coordination message and more info on that storm will be posted Wednesday Evening..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM-12 PM Wednesday for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island, Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts for a light glaze of ice causing slippery travel conditions..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for icing conditions and any ice accretion reports Wednesday Morning. This is the only coordination message to be posted on this icing event. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion and Winter Weather Advisory statement which includes the icing map for Wednesday and the snowfall potential map for Friday..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday 1/3/22 Winter Storm Potential for Southeast New England

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will track south and east of Southern New England but may track far enough north for accumulating snow in Southeast New England and particularly Cape Cod and the Islands. Models are struggling with the northward extent of the storm and a difference of 25-50 miles north or south could be the difference between southeast parts of New England getting a coating to 1 inch of snow getting a coating to 1 inch of snow or even no snow at all versus as much as 6″ or more of snow. Areas north of a Westerly to Bristol to Taunton to Plymouth line are likely to see little to no snow from this storm event at this time..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 AM Monday Morning through 9 PM Monday Evening for Nantucket for 4-7″ of snow and wind gusts to 35-40 MPH with isolated higher gusts possible. A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM Monday Morning through 9 PM Monday Evening for Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard for 2-5″ of snow. Areas from Westerly to Newport to Taunton to Plymouth could receive a coating to 2″ of snow with the highest amounts along the immediate south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A more significant widespread coastal storm may impact Southern New England towards Friday. Coordination messages on this storm system if the threat materializes will likely start Wednesday Evening..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports in Southeast New England. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 1/3/22 Winter Storm Potential for Southeast New England

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will track south and east of Southern New England but may track far enough north for accumulating snow in Southeast New England and particularly Cape Cod and the Islands. Models are struggling with the northward extent of the storm and a difference of 25-50 miles north or south could be the difference between southeast parts of New England getting a coating to 1 inch of snow versus as much as 6″ or more of snow. Areas north of a Westerly to Bristol to Taunton to Plymouth line are likely to see little to no snow from this storm event at this time..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 AM Monday Morning through 9 PM Monday Evening for Nantucket for 4-7″ of snow and wind gusts to 35-40 MPH with isolated higher gusts possible. A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM Monday Morning through 9 PM Monday Evening for Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard for 2-5″ of snow. Areas from Westerly to Newport to Taunton to Plymouth could receive a coating to 2″ of snow with the highest amounts along the immediate south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM-2 PM Monday for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of high tide for late morning/early afternoon Monday..
..A more significant widespread coastal storm may impact Southern New England towards Friday. Coordination messages on this storm system if the threat materializes will likely start Wednesday Evening..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports in Southeast New England. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion..

..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports in Southeast New England. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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