Hello to all…

..A mid-April light to moderate snowstorm for interior Southern New England is possible to likely Friday Night into Saturday Morning. Position of the heaviest snow is still in question and the snow is expected to be heavy and wet and if its able to accumulate greater than 4″, isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated power outages could develop..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall total reports and wet snow damage reports Friday Night into Saturday Morning..

A storm system will affect interior Southern New England with accumulating wet snow as rain changes over to snow during Friday Night. The highest chance for snowfall in the area of 2-5″ with isolated higher amounts would be over portions of Northern Connecticut and Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts at this time. This could shift as we get closer to the storm event. Key factors for this storm system are as follows:

1.) Models are varying in where the heaviest snow will fall. Some models favor Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts and parts of Northern Connecticut. Other models including European guidance have interior Connecticut, Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts for this band of heavier snow. This will be monitored in future model guidance.
2.) The snow will be heavy and wet which will cut down on the snowfall to liquid water ratios but it also means any snowfall of 4″ or more could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and this potential will need to be monitored. This is especially true for the higher elevations of interior Southern New England.
3.) The snow will fall mostly overnight into early Saturday Morning. Given the timeframe, its a favorable factor for snow accumulation and could impact some roadways.
4.) How much cold air is available for snow accumulation and when does the changeover from rain to snow occur. This will be a factor in total snowfall.
5.) There could be a few hour period of 1″ per hour snowfall based on the model guidance for interior Southern New England. Coastal New England could see a rain/snow mix but little if any snow accumulation at this time.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall total reports and wet snow damage reports Friday Night into Saturday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..A powerful storm system on Monday is on track bring the potential for widespread strong to damaging winds, heavy downpours and the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for much of Southern New England. This will bear watching given the ongoing COVID-19 crisis response in the region..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for sustained winds of 25-40 MPH with gusts of 65-70 MPH and isolated to scattered high wind gusts likely particularly in Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The timeframe for the warning is 12-7 PM Monday for Northern Connecticut, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, 1 to 7 PM for Providence County Rhode Island, 1-10 PM for the rest of Rhode Island, 3-10 PM for Bristol, Plymouth and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts, 3-7 PM for Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex and Suffolk Counties of Massachusetts, and 4-10 PM for Cape Cod and the Islands. These winds could cause scattered to numerous trees and wires to come down and scattered to numerous power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Franklin County Massachusetts from 12-8 PM Monday for sustained winds 15-20 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed areas from Southeast New York, the New York City area , extreme Western Connecticut and points south in a marginal to slight risk of severe weather for Monday. This risk area could move further north into portions Southern New England in future updates and will be monitored..
..Heavy downpours and potential thunderstorms are expected to drop 1-2″ of rain across much of the region with isolated amounts of greater than 2″ of rain possible. This could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding in the most flood prone areas. The Weather Prediction Center has continued much of New England in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall..
..Coastal Flooding is not anticipated across the south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island but elevated water levels at the time of high tide are possible in this area and will be monitored closely..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Monday for the strong to damaging winds, strong to severe thunderstorm and excessive rainfall potential. Pictures of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feed or via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

A powerful storm system is on track to affect the region on Monday and will bring the potential for strong to very damaging winds for much of the region and even another potential round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for portions of Southern New England. The headlines depict the latest thinking which continues to grow in confidence particularly on the damaging wind threat. The three main key factors for this storm event remain as follows:

1.) The extent of strong to damaging winds and the ability for the winds to reach the surface both ahead of the storm system, in convective showers and downpours and in any strong to severe thunderstorms. At this time, higher end wind gusts are expected and is what’s modeled by most of the reliable model guidance given the strength of the storm system, the expected warmer temperatures and the mixing of the stronger winds to the surface in heavier downpours and any thunderstorms.
2.) The extent of strong to severe thunderstorm coverage in the region. At this time, general thunderstorms are forecast and the gradient winds will be the predominant wind damage threat with severe thunderstorms expected to be further south and east of our coverage area but there is still a possibility of severe thunderstorms possibly getting into parts of the region and will be monitored in future updates.
3.) Rainfall will be heavy at times but also moving fairly rapidly across the region. Nonetheless, given how heavy the rain could fall in areas of Southern New England, rainfall amounts of 1-2″ with isolated to scattered rainfall amounts of 2″ or more are possible. This could result in urban and poor drainage flooding in parts of the region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Monday for the strong to damaging winds, strong to severe thunderstorm and excessive rainfall potential. Pictures of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feed or via the email address pics@nsradio.org. The SKYWARN Coordinator team will doing as much as we can to monitor area Amateur Radio repeaters and the *NEW-ENG3* Echolink conference node 9123/IRLP 9123 reflector system. We will attempt to monitor the SKYWARN DMR channel for New England as well depending on volunteer Amateur Radio resources. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Excessive Rainfall Outlook and Facebook Infographic:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

WPC Day-2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=2

NWS Boston/Norton Facebook Infographic:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/93111680_2866722356755450_3275280663372103680_o.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..A powerful storm system on Monday will bring the potential for widespread strong to damaging winds, heavy downpours and the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for much of Southern New England. This will bear watching given the ongoing COVID-19 crisis response in the region..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect for the entire NWS Boston/Norton coverage area from Monday Morning to Monday Evening for sustained winds of 25-40 MPH with gusts of 65 MPH and isolated to scattered high wind gusts likely. These winds could cause scattered to numerous trees and wires to come down and scattered to numerous power outages..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed areas from Southeast New York and the New York City area and points south in a marginal to slight risk of severe weather for Monday. This risk area could move further north into portions Southern New England in future updates and will be monitored..
..Heavy downpours and potential thunderstorms are expected to drop 1-2″ of rain across much of the region with isolated amounts of greater than 2″ of rain possible. This could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding in the most flood prone areas. The Weather Prediction Center has placed much of New England in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Monday for the strong to damaging winds, strong to severe thunderstorm and excessive rainfall potential..

A powerful storm system is on track to affect the region on Monday and will bring the potential for strong to very damaging winds for much of the region and even another potential round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for portions of Southern New England. The headlines depict the latest thinking. The three main key factors for this storm event are as follows:

1.) The extent of strong to damaging winds and the ability for the winds to reach the surface both ahead of the storm system, in convective showers and downpours and in any strong to severe thunderstorms.
2.) The extent of strong to severe thunderstorm coverage in the region.
3.) Rainfall will be heavy at times but also moving fairly rapidly across the region. Nonetheless, given how heavy the rain could fall in areas of Southern New England, rainfall amounts of 1-2″ with isolated to scattered rainfall amounts of 2″ or more are possible. This could result in urban and poor drainage flooding in parts of the region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Monday for the strong to damaging winds and strong to severe thunderstorm and excessive rainfall potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 PM Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Excessive Rainfall Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

WPC Day-2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=2

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..A powerful storm system on Monday will bring the potential for widespread strong to damaging winds, heavy downpours and the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for much of Southern New England. This will bear watching given the ongoing COVID-19 crisis response in the region..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for the entire NWS Boston/Norton coverage area from Monday Morning to Monday Evening for sustained winds of 25-40 MPH with gusts of 65 MPH and isolated to scattered high wind gusts likely. These winds could cause scattered to numerous trees and wires to come down and scattered to numerous power outages..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed areas from Southeast New York and the New York City area and points south in a marginal to slight risk of severe weather for Monday. This risk area could move further north into portions Southern New England in future updates and will be monitored..
..Heavy downpours and potential thunderstorms are expected to drop 1-2″ of rain across much of the region. This could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding in the most flood prone areas..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Monday for the strong to damaging winds and strong to severe thunderstorm potential..

A powerful storm system will affect the region on Monday and will bring the potential for strong to very damaging winds for much of the region and even another potential round for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for portions of Southern New England. The headlines depict the latest thinking. The two main key factor for this storm event are as follows:

1.) The extent of strong to damaging winds and the ability for the winds to reach the surface both ahead of the storm system, in convective showers and downpours and in any strong to severe thunderstorms.
2.) The extent of strong to severe thunderstorm coverage in the region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Monday for the strong to damaging winds and strong to severe thunderstorm potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Several high tide cycles of minor coastal flooding expected over both south and east facing coastal areas late tonight through Friday Morning along with rain heavy at times and the potential for thunderstorms and possibly isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with hail and strong to damaging winds as the main threats for Thursday. Strong to damaging winds are then possible Thursday Night into Friday across much of Southern New England..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued to place portions of Southwest, South-Central and Southeast Massachusetts through Rhode Island and Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather Thursday. Timeframe is in the mid-morning to mid-afternoon timeframe..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 4 PM to 9 PM Thursday for the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage area for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds will cause isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated power outages. Strong wind gusts up to 40 MPH could continue into Friday for the coverage area..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect through 8 AM Friday for Eastern Essex County, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk Eastern Plymouth, Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for minor coastal flooding of shore roads and a few road closures at the time of multiple high tide cycles during the timeframes specified..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions throughout the next 2-day period around the various high tide cycles for minor coastal flooding as well as for rainfall reports over the 2 day period, any strong to severe thunderstorms that develop on Thursday and general strong to damaging wind potential Thursday Night into Friday..

A coastal storm with a prolonged period of the unsettled weather including rainfall, several high tide cycles of minor coastal flooding over portions of the south and east facing coastal areas and the potential for stronger thunderstorms including isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for Thursday and strong to damaging winds Thursday Night into Friday. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for this event include:

1.) Ability for stronger convection and thunderstorms to develop on Thursday in a low instability, high shear environment. Hail and strong to damaging winds would be the main threats.
2.) Ability for thunderstorms if they develop and become strong enough to break the inversion and transport stronger winds down to the surface.
3.) Position of the warm front and how much of the region can get into the warm sector for strong to severe thunderstorm development. The greatest risk is in the New York City area and points south but some models bring severe thunderstorm risk into portions of Southern New England and that is why a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms remains for our area.
4.) Wind Advisories are now posted for late Thursday Afternoon into Thursday Night for wind gusts to 50 MPH. Winds of up to 40 MPH may continue through Friday Night. These winds could cause isolated pockets of wind damage.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions throughout the next 2-day period around the various high tide cycles for minor coastal flooding as well as for rainfall reports over the 2 day period and any strong to severe thunderstorms that develop particularly on Thursday. Another coordination message will be posted either Thursday Night or Friday Morning as needed as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Several high tide cycles of minor coastal flooding expected over both south and east facing coastal areas late tonight through Friday Morning along with rain heavy at times and the potential for thunderstorms and possibly isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with hail and strong to damaging winds as the main threats for Thursday. Strong to damaging winds are then possible Thursday Night into Friday across much of Southern New England..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Southwest, South-Central and Southeast Massachusetts through Rhode Island and Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather Thursday. Timeframe is in the mid-morning to mid-afternoon timeframe..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect through 8 AM Friday for Eastern Essex County, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk Eastern Plymouth, Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for minor coastal flooding of shore roads and a few road closures at the time of multiple high tide cycles during the timeframes specified..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions throughout the next 2-day period around the various high tide cycles for minor coastal flooding as well as for rainfall reports over the 2 day period, any strong to severe thunderstorms that develop on Thursday and general strong to damaging wind potential Thursday Night into Friday..

A coastal storm with a prolonged period of the unsettled weather including rainfall, several high tide cycles of minor coastal flooding over portions of the south and east facing coastal areas and the potential for stronger thunderstorms including isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for Thursday and strong to damaging winds Thursday Night into Friday. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for this event include:

1.) Ability for stronger convection and thunderstorms to develop on Thursday in a low instability, high shear environment.
2.) Ability for thunderstorms if they develop and become strong enough to break the inversion and transport stronger winds down to the surface.
3.) How strong winds will be Thursday Night and Friday as the storm system moves out of the region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions throughout the next 2-day period around the various high tide cycles for minor coastal flooding as well as for rainfall reports over the 2 day period and any strong to severe thunderstorms that develop particularly on Thursday. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2020/day2otlk_20200408_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Several days of unsettled weather with period of rain, heavy at times, several high tide cycles of minor coastal flooding expected over both south and east facing coastal areas and the potential for non-severe thunderstorms on Wednesday with thunderstorms and possibly isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for Thursday..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 8 PM this evening through 8 AM Friday for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts, from 8 AM Wednesday to 8 AM Friday for Eastern Plymouth and Barnstable County Massachusetts and from 8 PM Wednesday to 8 AM Friday for Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for minor coastal flooding of shore roads and a few road closures at the time of multiple high tide cycles during the timeframes specified..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions throughout the next 2-day period around the various high tide cycles for minor coastal flooding as well as for rainfall reports over the 2 day period and any strong to severe thunderstorms that develop particularly on Thursday..

A coastal storm with a prolonged period of the unsettled weather including rainfall, several high tide cycles of minor coastal flooding over portions of the south and east facing coastal areas and the potential for non-severe thunderstorms on Wednesday and the potential for stronger thunderstorms including isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for Thursday. The headlines depict the current thinking. Further key factors for the various weather hazards will be determined in the next coordination message update.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions throughout the next 2-day period around the various high tide cycles for minor coastal flooding as well as for rainfall reports over the 2 day period and any strong to severe thunderstorms that develop particularly on Thursday. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-3 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Ocean Storm System on track to retrograde back to the 40 North/70 West Benchmark bringing with it rain heavy at times Thursday into Friday Morning, strong to damaging winds to East Coastal and Southeast Coastal New England Thursday Night into Friday Night and the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide, Thursday Night for Nantucket Island and minor to moderate coastal flooding at the high tide Friday Morning for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 5 AM Friday Morning to 8 PM Friday Night for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. These winds will have the potential to bring scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM Friday Morning to 11 PM Friday Night for Eastern Essex, Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. These winds will have the potential to bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages.
..Areas of East Coastal and South Coastal Massachusetts and Blue Hill Milton, Mass could see wind gusts of 40-45 MPH from this storm system..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for Nantucket Island through 10 PM Thursday Evening for minor coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of high tide..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Islands from 6-10 AM Friday Morning for minor to moderate coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of high tide..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for strong to damaging wind, coastal flood potential and for any rainfall amounts 1″ or more Thursday Night into Friday..

A strong ocean storm will track south and east of New England but then be blocked from passing complete out to sea and retrograde and loop around the 40 North/70 West benchmark. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The track of the storm system and if gets near or inside the 40 North/70 West benchmark. That will determine the extent of the strong to damaging winds and coastal flooding in East Coastal and Southeast coastal Massachusetts. Right now, the track is going to be near or just southeast of the 40 North/70 West Benchmark which would support the current thinking.
2.) Predominantly rain is expected but some wet snow could mix in depending on how heavy the precipitation is and if it allows for the column to cool sufficiently for wet snow to occur. At this time, little to no snow accumulation is expected.
3.) Rainfall of 1″ or more could occur particularly in Eastern New England. Somewhat higher amounts could occur if the track is closer to the coast then current thinking but right now the current thinking is for 1″ or more along parts of East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for strong to damaging wind, coastal flood potential and for any rainfall amounts 1″ or more. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into self-activation operations mode unless a significant change occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Ocean Storm System will retrograde back to the 40 North/70 West Benchmark bringing with it rain heavy at times Thursday into Friday Morning, strong to damaging winds to East Coastal and Southeast Coastal New England Thursday Night into Friday Night and the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide, Thursday Morning for Nantucket Island and minor to moderate coastal flooding at the high tide Friday Morning for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Friday Morning to late Friday Night for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. Other parts of East and Southeast Coastal New England may require wind advisories in future updates. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for Nantucket Island from 6 AM to 10 AM Thursday for minor coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of high tide..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Islands for Friday Morning for minor to moderate coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of high tide..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for strong to damaging wind, coastal flood potential and for any rainfall amounts 1″ or more..

A strong ocean storm will track south and east of New England but then be blocked from passing complete out to sea and retrograde and loop around the 40 North/70 West benchmark. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The track of the storm system and if gets near or inside the 40 North/70 West benchmark. That will determine the extent of the strong to damaging winds and coastal flooding in East Coastal and Southeast coastal Massachusetts.
2.) Predominantly rain is expected but some wet snow could mix in depending on how heavy the precipitation is and if it allows for the column to cool sufficiently for wet snow to occur. At this time, little to no snow accumulation is expected.
3.) Rainfall of 1″ or more could occur particularly in Eastern New England. Somewhat higher amounts could occur if the track is closer to the coast then current thinking.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for strong to damaging wind, coastal flood potential and for any rainfall amounts 1″ or more. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory/Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory/Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all…

..Winter makes a brief return with the potential for heavy wet snow accumulation in Western and Central Massachusetts particularly in the higher elevations with lighter snow accumulations in other parts of Southern New England before a change to rain as a coastal storm moves through the region..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect 4 AM Tuesday Morning for Western Franklin, Northern Worcester, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow. The snow will be heavy and wet and this could lead to isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and the evening commute would be most adversely affected with slippery road conditions..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect through 4 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow. The snow will be heavy and wet and this could lead to isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and the evening commute would be most adversely affected with slippery road conditions..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 4 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties for 2-5″ of snow. The evening commute would be most adversely affected with slippery road conditions. Areas of Northwest North-Central Connecticut closest to the Mass state border and the Litchfield County Connecticut line could see similar amounts of snow..
..Portions of Northwest and North-Central Connecticut furthest away from the Massachusetts state line and the Litchfield County Connecticut line into parts of interior Massachusetts may see a coating to 2″ of snow with this system with a few slick spots before it changes to rain. Eastern New England particularly south and east of I-495 through Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts will see mostly rain from this system..
..SKYWARN Self Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely Monday Afternoon and Evening across the Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory areas most likely starting around or after 5 PM through late evening..

A coastal storm will bring a touch of winter to portions of interior Southern New England for Monday. The headlines depict the current thinking and have been updated based on the current set of weather models. Key factors for this storm remain the following:

1.) A track closer to the coast will bring warmer air into the region and knock down snow accumulations and move the heavier snow into Northern New England. A track further offshore would mean less snow in interior Southern New England and still result in mostly rain in Eastern New England.
2.) How much cold air is locked in as the storm system moves through the region assuming the current track remains in place.
3.) How wet and heavy the snow is particularly in the Winter Storm Warning area and northern most portions of the Winter Weather Advisory area, closest to the Winter Storm Warning area.

SKYWARN Self Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely Monday Afternoon and Evening across the Winter Storm Watch area and any Winter Weather Advisory areas. This will likely be the last coordination message on this storm unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and snow and ice maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box