Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday Afternoon 1/18/19-Sunday Morning 1/19/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Storm system to bring accumulating snow to much of Southern New England particularly north and west of the Boston to Providence corridor..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Saturday Afternoon through Sunday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow. Winter Weather Advisories may be required for portions of Southeast New England along and south and east of the Boston to Providence corridor for 1-4″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up nets for snowfall will be utilized during this storm event. A more complete coordination message will be posted by 10 PM Friday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 1/16/20 through Friday AM 1/17/20 – Strong to Damaging Wind and Light Snow Potential

Hello to all…

..A storm system will bring the potential for light snow accumulations in Western and North-Central Massachusetts of a Coating to 2″ of snow but of greater note is the potential for strong to damaging winds during much of the day Thursday into early Friday Morning..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 AM Thursday to 1 AM Friday for the entire NWS Boston/Norton Coverage area except for Cape Cod and the Islands where the Wind Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Friday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. These winds could produce isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for measured wind gusts and wind damage late Thursday Morning through Friday Morning and any snowfall total reports. This will be the only coordination message on this storm situation unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 1/12/20 Strong to Damaging Winds/Convective Shower and Thunderstorm Potential

Hello to all…

..Strong to Damaging Winds possible with a second pulse of strong winds just before daybreak lasting through mid-afternoon across much of Southern New England..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect for the entire NWS Boston/Norton Coverage area through 4 PM Sunday for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated power outages. There is the chance for stronger winds greater than 55 MPH in or near any convective showers and thunderstorms that could potentially bring even stronger winds down to the surface..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong to damaging wind potential and thunderstorm potential for the area overnight through Sunday Mid-Afternoon. This will be the only coordination message on this situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday Night 1/7/20-Wednesday 1/8/20 Snow and Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..A coastal low will move quickly off the coast of Southern New England near the 40 North/70 West Benchmark and then track into the Canadian Maritimes. It will intensify but east of Southern New England only resulting in a light accumulating plowable snowfall for portions of Southeast Coastal New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 10 PM Tuesday Evening through 5 AM Wednesday Morning for South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for 2-4″ of snow. Areas fro Boston to Providence to Westerly and to the Advisory area could see a coating to 2″ of snow..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 3 PM Wednesday Afternoon through 1 AM Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Cape Cod and the Islands, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 15-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Areas outside of the Wind Advisory could see wind gusts of around 40 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports out of the Winter Weather Advisory area early Wednesday Morning and any measured wind gust and wind damage reports per SKYWARN reporting criteria in the Wind Advisory areas Wednesday mid-afternoon into Thursday Morning..

A coastal low will track near the 40 North/70 West benchmark and then make its way near or over the Canadian Maritimes later Wednesday. The system will come close enough to bring a period of accumulating snow overnight to Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and lighter snowfall in the Boston to Providence to Westerly RI corridor to the advisory area. Strong winds will occur as the system intensifies well east of Southern New England. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for this storm event include:

1.) If the storm track is a bit closer, higher snow amounts of greater than 4″ could occur in the Winter Weather Advisory area with higher amounts in the Boston to Providence to Westerly area. If the storm track is slightly further offshore, lesser snow amounts would occur including in the advisory area.
2.) Strong winds will be expected in the wind advisory area later Wednesday Afternoon into Thursday Morning and areas outside of the advisory area could see wind gusts to around 40 MPH.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports out of the Winter Weather Advisory area early Wednesday Morning and any measured wind gust and wind damage reports per SKYWARN reporting criteria in the Wind Advisory areas Wednesday mid-afternoon into Thursday Morning. This will likely be the only coordination message for this storm system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Sunday Evening 12/29/19 Through Tuesday Afternoon 12/31/19 Wintry Mix/Ice Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday Afternoon with the potential for a wintry mix, significant icing and an ice storm in Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and potentially even into Northwest Rhode Island..
..An Ice Storm Warning is in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampden and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for up to 2 inches of snow/sleet accumulation and ice accretion amounts of 0.50-0.75″ of ice with isolated higher amounts up to 1″ of ice. This area could see numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and numerous power outages particularly in the higher elevations..
..An Ice Storm Warning is now in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for up to 1″ of snow/sleet accumulation and ice accumulations of around 0.50″ of ice with higher amounts of .75″ of ice. This area could now see numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and numerous power outages presuming around a half-inch of ice or more from freezing rain occurs in this area particularly in the higher elevations..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence and Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island for up to 1″ of snow and sleet and ice accumulations of 0.10-0.40″ of ice. This area could see isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages if 0.40″ of ice or more is realized from freezing rain..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent and Southeast Providence Counties of Rhode Island for total snow and sleet accumulations of 1″ and a light glaze of ice causing hazardous travel. Winds may gust to 35 MPH in these areas..
..Wind Advisories maybe needed for Cape Cod and the Islands for Monday for wind gusts up to 50 MPH. This will be monitored in future updates. At this time, wind gusts of 40-45 MPH are expected here and possibly extending into the South Coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 530 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday..
..ARES/RACES groups particularly in the Ice Storm Warnings areas as well as the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the warning areas should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. HF Nets will also be on standby for this storm event. Eastern and Western Massachusetts ARES are on alert/standby for any needs if the significant icing conditions are realized..
..Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated..

A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday. The storm system will likely bring a wintry mix and the potential for significant icing in portions of interior Southern New England and now includes Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts. Across the remainder of Rhode Island and the rest of Eastern Massachusetts, a wintry mix at the start should turn to mostly rain across this area. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of freezing rain and ice accretion that is realized in the Ice Storm Warning area could cause significant power outages. This is the area that is expected to get the most significant icing and the most prolonged period of freezing rain particularly in the higher elevations.
2.) The Winter Storm Warning area of Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts has been replaced with an Ice Storm Warning and that means higher confidence that freezing rain will reach Ice Storm thresholds. There will also be a period of sleet but at this time it is looking like more freezing rain than sleet increasing the risk for significant icing damage. As mentioned previously, if more sleet occurs, the threat for tree and wire damage and power outages will be less but if more freezing rain occurs, the icing damage will be as stated. This will be monitored very closely. Higher elevations face the highest risk of significant icing damage.
3.) In the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the Ice Storm Warning areas, amounts of ice at this time are expected to be below warning thresholds which should keep tree and wire damage and power outages more isolated to scattered and would need to reach the high end of the ice total range to cause damage. That said, if more ice and freezing rain occurs in this area, that will result in a greater risk for tree and wire damage and power outages and will need to be monitored closely.
4.) The southern end of the advisory area will experience light icing causing hazardous travel but should eventually turn to plain rain in most of this area and could then see a wintry mix later at night into early Tuesday.
5.) Precipitation is expected to extend into Tuesday Afternoon as a coastal low develops along the cold front though the heaviest precipitation will be done Tuesday Morning. These hazards have been incorporated into the current advisories and warnings.
6.) Wind gusts are currently expected to be just below Wind Advisory levels on the Cape and Islands but any slight increase could result in Wind Advisories being posted. Winds in this area and possibly in South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island may gust to 40-45 MPH.

SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 530 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. ARES/RACES groups particularly in the Ice Storm Warnings areas as well as the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the warning areas should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. HF Nets will also be on standby for this storm event. The Eastern Massachusetts HF net will go into standby mode at 6 a.m. Monday due to the storm. Eastern and Western Massachusetts ARES are on alert/standby for any needs if the significant icing conditions are realized. One note for operators with wire antennas on 80M, it is possible that they may be taken out by ice accretion. For safety’s sake, do not attempt to repair them until after the storm. Western Massachusetts ARES has also been placed on alert to monitor the ice storm/significant wintry mix conditions as well.

Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated.

This will likely be the last complete coordination message as we move into activation/operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Ice Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Ice Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Sunday Evening 12/29/19 Through Tuesday Afternoon 12/31/19 Wintry Mix/Ice Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday Afternoon with the potential for a wintry mix, significant icing and an ice storm in Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and potentially even into Northwest Rhode Island..
..An Ice Storm Warning is in effect from 6 PM Sunday Evening through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampden and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for up to 2 inches of snow/sleet accumulation and ice accretion amounts of 0.40-0.75″ of ice with isolated higher amounts up to 1″ of ice. This area could see numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and numerous power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 6 PM Sunday Evening through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for up to 1″ of snow/sleet accumulation and ice accumulations of up to 0.50″ of ice. This area could see scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages presuming around a half-inch of ice from freezing rain occurs in this area..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 6 PM Sunday Evening through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence and Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island for up to 1″ of snow and sleet and ice accumulations of 0.10-0.40″ of ice. This area could see isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages if 0.40″ of ice or more is realized from freezing rain..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 7 PM Sunday Evening through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent and Southeast Providence Counties of Rhode Island for total snow and sleet accumulations of 1″ and a light glaze of ice causing hazardous travel. Winds may gust to 35 MPH in these areas..
..Wind Advisories maybe needed for Cape Cod and the Islands for Monday for wind gusts up to 50 MPH. This will be monitored in future updates. At this time, wind gusts of 40-45 MPH are expected here and possibly extending into the South Coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 5-6 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton may start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. Additional details on activation planning will follow in future messages during the day Sunday..
..ARES/RACES groups particularly in the Ice Storm and Winter Storm Warnings areas as well as the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the warning areas should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. HF Nets will also be on standby for this storm event..
..Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated..

A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday. The storm system will likely bring a wintry mix and the potential for significant icing in portions of interior Southern New England and now includes Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts. Across the remainder of Rhode Island and the rest of Eastern Massachusetts, a wintry mix at the start should turn to mostly rain across this area. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of freezing rain and ice accretion that is realized in the Ice Storm Warning area could cause significant power outages. This is the area that is expected to get the most significant icing and the most prolonged period of freezing rain.
2.) In the Winter Storm Warning area of Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, there will be significant amounts of freezing rain and that alone may reach warning threshold. There will also be a period of significant sleet. If more sleet occurs, the threat for power outages will be less but if more freezing rain occurs, this area could see significant icing similar to the Ice Storm Warning area. This will be monitored very closely.
3.) In the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the Ice Storm and Winter Storm Warning areas, amounts of ice at this time are expected to be below warning thresholds which should keep tree and wire damage and power outages more isolated to scattered and would need to reach the high end of the ice total range to cause damage. That said, if more ice and freezing rain occurs in this area, that will result in a greater risk for tree and wire damage and power outages and will need to be monitored closely.
4.) The southern end of the advisory area will experience light icing causing hazardous travel but should eventually turn to plain rain in most of this area and could then see a wintry mix later at night into early Tuesday.
5.) Precipitation is expected to extend into Tuesday Afternoon as a coastal low develops along the cold front. Where this low tracks will determine if freezing rain and icing continues, whether it changes back to snow and perhaps brings wintry precipitation to areas of Eastern Massachusetts that will see mostly rain or whether it allows for rain across much of Southern New England. As we get closer to this part of the prolonged event, more details will become known and we can better assess precipitation amounts and types of precipitation.
6.) Wind gusts are currently expected to be just below Wind Advisory levels on the Cape and Islands but any slight increase could result in Wind Advisories being posted. Winds in this area and possibly in South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island may gust to 40-45 MPH.

SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 5-6 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton may start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. Additional details on activation planning will follow in future messages during the day Sunday. ARES/RACES groups particularly in the Ice Storm and Winter Storm Warnings areas as well as the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the warning areas should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. HF Nets will also be on standby for this storm event. The Eastern Massachusetts HF net will go into standby mode at 6 a.m. Monday due to the storm. One note for operators with wire antennas on 80M, it is possible that they may be taken out by ice accretion. For safety’s sake, do not attempt to repair them until after the storm. Western Massachusetts ARES has also been placed on alert to monitor the ice storm/significant wintry mix conditions as well.

Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated.

Another coordination message will be posted by 10 PM Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Ice Storm/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Ice Storm/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Sunday Evening 12/29/19 Through Tuesday Afternoon 12/31/19 Wintry Mix/Ice Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday Afternoon with the potential for a wintry mix, significant icing and an ice storm in Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and potentially even into Northwest Rhode Island..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Sunday Evening through Tuesday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for a half-inch of radial ice accumulation with isolated higher amounts possible and a coating to 2 inches of snow/sleet. If icing amounts of a half-inch or more are realized, the potential exists for scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages and this will bear close monitoring..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Sunday Evening through Tuesday Afternoon for Northwest Providence and Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island and Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for icing of up to 1/2″ and a coating to 2 inches of snow. If icing amounts of a half-inch or more are realized, the potential exists for scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages and this will bear close monitoring..
..Wind Advisories maybe needed for Cape Cod and the Islands for Monday for wind gusts up to 50 MPH. This will be monitored in future updates.
..SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 5-6 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton may start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. Additional details on activation planning will follow in future messages during the day Sunday..
..ARES/RACES groups in the Winter Storm Watch area should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership..
..Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated..

A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday. The storm system will likely bring a wintry mix and the potential for significant icing in portions of interior Southern New England and now could potentially include Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts. Across the remainder of Rhode Island and the rest of Eastern Massachusetts, a wintry mix at the start should turn to mostly rain across this area. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of freezing rain and ice accretion that is realized in the Winter Storm Watch area. Weather models appear to be coalescing around a prolonged period of freezing rain and icing. Some models even have icing amounts of greater than a half-inch to as much a 0.75″ of ice. If that were to occur, scattered to numerous pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages would occur. This trend will be monitored closely to see if higher resolution short range models have the same solution.
2.) As alluded to in item 1, several reliable models indicate a prolonged period of freezing rain and icing leading to ice storm and significant icing potential but there are a few models that indicate more sleet versus freezing rain. If that were to occur that would increase snow/sleet amounts versus freezing rain/icing and lessen storm damage potential but currently the expected freezing rain/icing potential appears to be the bulk of the precipitation.
3.) The southerly extent of the significant icing is an area of uncertainty that will be monitored. Current thinking is that this could extend into Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts and resulted in the expansion of the Winter Storm Watch to this area. This will be monitored in future updates.
4.) Precipitation is expected to extend into Tuesday Afternoon as a coastal low develops along the cold front. Where this low tracks will determine if freezing rain and icing continues, whether it changes back to snow and perhaps brings wintry precipitation to areas of Eastern Massachusetts that will see mostly rain or whether it allows for rain across much of Southern New England. As we get closer to this part of the prolonged event, more details will become known and we can better assess precipitation amounts and types of precipitation.

SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 5-6 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton may start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. Additional details on activation planning will follow in future messages during the day Sunday. ARES/RACES groups in the Winter Storm Watch area should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated.

Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday Night 12/29/19 Through Tuesday Afternoon 12/31/19 – Wintry Mix/Ice Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday Afternoon with the potential for a wintry mix, significant icing and an ice storm in Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut. Interior Northeast Massachusetts should closely monitor this potential as well..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for a half-inch of radial ice accumulation and a coating to 2 inches of snow. If icing amounts of a half-inch or more are realized, the potential exists for scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages and this will bear close monitoring..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event particularly Monday into Tuesday. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are also possible with details on activation planning to follow in future messages most likely during the day Sunday..

A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday. The storm system will likely bring a wintry mix and the potential for significant icing in portions of interior Southern New England north and west of I-495 in Massachusetts and across Northern Connecticut. Across Rhode Island and much of Eastern Massachusetts, a wintry mix at the start should turn to mostly rain across this area with the one exception being interior Northeast Massachusetts which will be on the line between significant icing and plain rain. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of freezing rain and ice accretion that is realized in the Winter Storm Watch area. Weather models appear to be coalescing around a prolonged period of freezing rain and icing. Some models even have icing amounts of greater than a half-inch to as much a 0.75″ of ice. If that were to occur, scattered to numerous pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages would occur. This trend will be monitored closely to see if higher resolution short range models have the same solution.
2.) Interior Northeast Massachusetts is not currently in the Winter Storm Watch area but will need to be monitored closely as they will be the closest to the warm front and whether it will be a cold rain just above freezing or below freezing with freezing rain and icing. This will be monitored closely to see if this area has a risk of prolonged icing.
3.) Precipitation is expected to extend into Tuesday Afternoon as a coastal low develops along the cold front. Where this low tracks will determine if freezing rain and icing continues, whether it changes back to snow and perhaps brings wintry precipitation to areas of Eastern Massachusetts that will see mostly rain or whether it allows for rain across much of Southern New England. As we get closer to this part of the prolonged event, more details will become known and we can better assess precipitation amounts and types of precipitation.

SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event particularly Monday into Tuesday. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are also possible with details on activation planning to follow in future messages most likely during the day Sunday. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 PM Saturday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Special Announcement: Merry Christmas/Happy New Year/Happy Holidays to All SKYWARN Spotters & Amateur Radio Operators!

Hello to all..

On behalf of the entire Amateur Radio Group at WX1BOX, the Amateur Radio station for NWS Boston/Norton Massachusetts, and the forecaster staff at NWS Boston/Norton, we would like to take this opportunity to wish everyone a Merry Christmas, Happy New Year and Happy Holiday season. 2019 was another interesting year for weather across the region. Some of the highlights included a relatively quiet winter season that did have a brief period of active weather with a damaging wind event on February 25th, 2019, a significant winter storm Sunday Evening March 3rd into Monday Morning March 4th, rain, thunderstorms, and strong to damaging winds on April 15th for the Boston Marathon, the July 23rd Cape Cod Tornado event, several other active severe weather events in the spring to summer season, a significant nor’easter that brought hurricane force wind gusts and many power outages to Southern New England on October 16th-17th 2019 followed by another potent damaging wind event on October 31st through November 1st. The year ended with an active first half of 2019 with several winter storms bringing heavy snowfall including the 3-day storm of December 1st through December 3rd 2019, the Monday December 9th-10th heavy rainfall event, Wednesday December 11th winter storm and December 17th icing event. A complete slate of SKYWARN training classes were completed largely by Amateur Radio Operator instructors with some assistance from NWS forecasters. On Monday May 6th, 2019, members of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts ARES and SKYWARN and other Amateur Radio SKYWARN spotters from around Southern New England participated in the 2019 Hurricane Awareness Tour from Quonset State Airport in North Kingstown, RI. Amateur Radio Operators supported event logistics and had a special event station that made contact with WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio station at the National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida who came on the air to support his event.

As has been the case for the last several years, many of you provided critical reports, pictures and videos that supported and resulted in the protection of life and property and timely warnings being issued based on the surface reporting and ground truth that is so critical in confirming what the radar is or is not seeing. This information was then shared with the media, local, state and federal emergency management and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) that are always looking for situational awareness and disaster intelligence to gauge the level of response and recovery required for an incident. They remain extremely impressed with all the work that all of you do and they extend their appreciation. That appreciation of the weather and damage reports is highly recognized by many of the media outlets as well who thank SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators on television and over social media such as Facebook and Twitter. This mission could not be done without all of your support.

The winter season of 2019 was quiet for most of the season with very small snowstorms and below average winter storms. That said, there was one active week between February 25th and March 4th. It started on February 25th with widespread pockets of wind damage with trees and wires down, power outages and wind gusts over 60 MPH in many locations across Southern New England. After a couple of smaller winter storms, a coastal storm, responsible for a significant severe weather outbreak in the Southeast United States, would affect the region with a widespread 6-12″ of snow and a band of 12-18″ of snow across portions of interior Southern New England. The snow was heavy and wet but the lack of stronger winds precluded a more damaging event. Nonetheless, the heavy wet snow caused pockets of tree and power line damage in the areas that received the most snow across interior and coastal Southern New England.

In April, a storm system brought thunderstorms with heavy rainfall impacting the morning of the 2019 Boston Marathon with the lightning over the area causing some minor contingencies to be invoked for the start of the race. Some of the thunderstorms were severe with wind gusts of around 60 MPH causing pockets of tree and wire damage. These severe thunderstorms stayed just south of the race route that morning with wind gusts of up to 48 MPH in Wrentham, Massachusetts while Hopkinton, Mass at the start line of the race only had wind gusts to 30 MPH. The race was largely dry after thunderstorms that morning but later in the day, some rain showers with gusty winds and wind gusts 40-50 MPH moved through the area including along the race route but towards the end of the race with only minor race impacts.

Severe thunderstorm events started up in late May and extended into June and July. Several notable events included thunderstorms with hail that affected numerous Amateur Radio Field Day sites on Saturday June 22nd. Several Amateur Radio Field Day sites across Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts were affected by these thunderstorms until the thunderstorms cleared out during the early evening. The following weekend, two days of severe weather affected portions of Southern New England. On Saturday June 29th, Golf Ball Sized hail affected locations such as Lincoln RI, Cumberland, RI and Attleboro and North Attleboro, Massachusetts. On Sunday June 30th, another round of severe thunderstorms affected the region with Quarter to half-dollar sized hail and larger affecting the Warwick, RI area. On both days pockets of tree and wire damage also occurred.

As we moved into July, several flood and severe weather events occurred during the month. On July 22nd, several tornado warnings were issued for Cape Cod but no tornado occurred. Wind damage with numerous trees down occurred in a section of Harwich, Mass but it was determined to be from straightline winds.

On July 23rd, 2019, a meso-low pressure system with a ring of severe thunderstorms caused significant straightline wind damage and 3 tornadoes, effectively doubling the number of tornadoes on record for Cape Cod in one day with wind damage and wind gusts over 60 MPH recorded on Martha’s Vineyard. Straightline wind gusts as high as over 90 MPH were recorded on Cape Cod. Many trees, wires and utility poles were downed along with structural damage to a few structures. SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators along with several automated weather stations around Cape Cod were the first to report the significant severe weather conditions in the region. Within a few hours, Cape Cod ARES and SKYWARN produced over 100 pictures of the damage in the region. At the height of the storm, over 53,000 were without power across Cape Cod and parts of Marthas Vineyard. Cape Cod ARES was active with shelter and support of the Barnstable County Emergency Operations Center (EOC) and Multi Agency Coordination Center (MACC) in Barnstable, Massachusetts. The Amateur Radio and SKYWARN Spotter efforts drew media attention with 2 phone interviews with FOX-25 TV in Boston as well as an article on the ARRL web site. The ARRL web story can be seen at the following link:

http://www.arrl.org/news/cape-cod-ares-and-skywarn-provide-support-in-rare-cape-cod-tornado-event

On July 31st, 2019, a potent severe weather event affected much of interior Southern New England all the way into the Metro Boston area with wind gusts of 73 MPH recorded at Boston Logan Airport. Pockets of tree and wire damage and hail up to Quarter to Half Dollar sized occurred across interior Southern New England. Straightline wind damage in more numerous pockets occurred across parts of Winthrop and Boston, Massachusetts along with areas further west in parts of Southern Worcester County Massachusetts and along the Massachusetts and Rhode Island border. This was one of the more notable severe weather events of the summer season.

As we moved into August, several flood and hail, wind damage events occurred over the course of the month. The most notable event was on August 19th where reports of hail up to Golf Ball and 2″ diameter in the Agawam and Springfield, Mass area with pockets of wind damage in this area and across portions of the remainder of interior Southern New England. As we moved into September, there were several weather events in the first week of September, the most notable of which was on Wednesday September 4th, 2019, where severe thunderstorms occurred across portions of Western Massachusetts and Connecticut with the fourth tornado of the severe weather season occurring in Coventry to Mansfield, Connecticut. Dorian would then make a pass close enough to Cape Cod and the Islands to produce tropical storm force conditions across this area with wind gusts to around 40 MPH into other parts of Southeast Coastal Massachusetts. Severe weather season was quiet until Wednesday October 2nd where a few severe thunderstorms in Rhode Island caused pockets of straightline wind damage and a weak, brief EF0 Tornado in Portsmouth, RI bringing the total tornado count for 2019 to 5 for the season. The 5 tornadoes were above normal for the season but well below the 11 tornadoes that occurred in the 2018 severe weather season.

As we moved into October and November, wind events and coastal storms were scattered about these months. The most notable events was the coastal storm of October 16th and 17th 2019 which had widespread pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages and widespread rainfall of 2-4″ with isolated higher amounts. Several hundred thousand people were without power in Southern New England including over 250,000 in Massachusetts alone. Hurricane force wind gusts occurred in portions of Southern New England with widespread wind gusts of 58 MPH or greater meeting High Wind Warning criteria. SKYWARN Amateur Radio Operations used self-activation given the strongest winds happening during the overnight. Some flooding of road ways occurred from the heavy rainfall in urban and poor drainage areas. On October 31st into November 1st, another round of strong to damaging winds with a cold front and area of low pressure brought a second round of damage to the area but not as significant as the October 16-17th event though there were power outages in the tens of thousands across Southern New England. November had several wind events and some areas in Northwest Massachusetts having their first snowfall of the 2019-2020 winter season.

In December, the first half of the month was very active and kicked off by the first major winter storm for the region as a 3-day winter storm affected the region. Reports in parts of North-Central and Western Massachusetts ranged between 15-29″ of snow with other areas receiving 4-12″ of snow over a long duration 3-day period. Some strong wind gusts in the 40-50 MPH range with isolated higher gusts were also recorded causing some minor tree and power line damage. An extended period of SKYWARN activation starting with Ops on the Sunday Night and Self-Activation with Amateur Radio call-up nets on Monday and Tuesday. On Monday Night December 9th through Tuesday December 10th, 2019, heavy rainfall was widespread in the region with the highest rainfall amounts in Southeast New England where 2-4″ of rain occurred. Immediately following this storm, late Tuesday Night December 10th into Wednesday December 11th a moderate snowstorm bringing a widespread 3-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of 7-8″ across much of Southern New England with the highest amounts over parts of Central and Eastern New England. This storm adversely affected the Wednesday Morning December 11th commute. Another heavy rain event occurred Friday December 13th into Saturday December 14th with some minor flooding issues. This event brought some strong winds over Wind Advisory level with brief wind gusts to over 60 MPH on Nantucket Island. Finally, on Tuesday December 17th, after a period of light snow and some areas receiving 2-5″ of snow, icing of largely 1/8-1/3rd of an inch with isolated amounts of 1/2″ inch of ice occurred in portions of Southern New England. This even resulted in a few isolated pockets of tree and wire damage in parts of Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts.

With the high pace of events in the first half of December, we have not had a chance to post any Facebook photo albums of the storm events. Over the next week if the weather remains quiet enough, we will post those photo albums of these storm events on our Facebook and Twitter feeds. Many thanks to all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators for photos and videos from these events in December and year round in 2019.

As we move forward in 2020, we will be continuing our commitment to SKYWARN training. Planning has started and sessions will be posted for 2020 SKYWARN Training starting in January. There will be a presence at the American Meteorological Society (AMS) 100th Anniversary Conference Weatherfest on Sunday January 12th from Noon-4 PM and planning is ongoing for this event. We know that we’ve continued to have a large influx of SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators after a full slate of SKYWARN Training classes. We will also look at ways spotters and Amateurs can become more active in supporting efforts to gather critical reports from other areas beyond where they are located and do so in a precise manner.

We will also continue to embrace new technologies while maintaining all the other technologies utilized to gather as much real-time and precise meteorological and damage report information as possible and this effort will be pushed more heavily as we get into 2020. We will attempt to look at expanding DMR usage and potentially look at DSTAR Amateur Radio as an additional means for reporting during severe weather and we are still looking at a new Amateur Radio technology called NBEMS, the Narrow Band Emergency Messaging System, as a potential means to gather weather spotter data digitally over Ham Radio. These are added capabilities that we will be looking at and will not replace the continued core technologies within VHF and UHF (2 Meters/440 MHz) SKYWARN Amateur Radio Repeaters and simplex capabilities, our usage of Echolink/IRLP Amateur Radio linked repeaters, Amateur Radio HF and 6 Meters capabilities as well as monitoring of weather stations ingested over APRS and into the Mesonet networks that have supported and helped with seeing what is happening on the ground.

We will also be looking at other ways to engage both Amateur Radio and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters via other ways to get near real-time and historical spotter reports and near real-time video and pictures as well as historical video and pictures after a major severe weather event via a project the WX1BOX Amateur Radio team is working over the past year. Further details on this will be announced as the project progresses along with additional projects being worked over the past Spring as well. This will further enhance our abilities to gather situational awareness and disaster intelligence information in a short period of time

We continue to have our twitter feed setup and you can follow WX1BOX on Twitter by following our Amateur Radio Call-Sign, WX1BOX and have our WX1BOX Facebook page available as well. NWS Boston/Norton has also continued the use of their Twitter and Facebook feeds as well over the course of 2019. Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators can follow WX1BOX and ‘NWSBoston’ on Twitter and on Facebook can ‘like’ these pages. They are available via the following links:

WX1BOX Amateur Radio SKYWARN Facebook Page:
http://www.facebook.com/wx1box

NWS Boston/Norton Facebook Page:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/

WX1BOX Amateur Radio SKYWARN Twitter Feed:
http://twitter.com/wx1box

NWS Taunton Twitter feed:
https://twitter.com/NWSBoston

We, again, want to provide a tremendous THANK YOU to all of you that supported SKYWARN and the National Weather Service during 2019. We wish everyone once again, a Merry Christmas, Happy New Year, and Happy Holiday Season and hope people enjoy their time with family and friends during this joyous holiday season!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 12/17/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Snow and Ice will have a significant impact on the Tuesday Morning Commute across Southern New England. Ice accretion may be thick enough to result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages if ice accretion values are thick enough..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 7 PM Tuesday for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, and North-Central Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5 inches of snow and a light glaze of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 7 PM Tuesday for Northern Connecticut, and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 2-4″ of snow and up to two-tenths of an inch of ice. In this area, ice accretion may be thick enough to result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages depending on the ice thickness..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect 1 AM to 1 PM Tuesday for the remainder of Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 1-3″ of snow and a light glaze of ice..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio call-up nets will monitor this winter storm for Tuesday..

Another winter storm is slated to impact Southern New England for Tuesday. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors of this storm include:

1.) The morning commute will be significantly impacted by snow and ice and the heaviest accumulating snow will fall during the commute. This will result in slippery road conditions and slowed travel during this period. Allow plenty of time to get to your destination or delay travel until later in the day.
2.) The evening commute could have some impacts in western and central New England but not as bad as the morning commute.
3.) Ice accumulations across Northern Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island could cause some isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages if the higher end ice thicknesses are realized and this will be monitored.
4.) The snow versus snow/mix to freezing rain has oscillated north and south based on the various models. This will ultimately dictate snow and ice amounts in the region and will be monitored.
5.) Models have trended a bit heavier with the precipitation which has led to bumping up the snow and ice amounts slightly in the region and this will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio call-up nets will monitor this winter storm for Tuesday. If time allows another coordination message will be posted Tuesday Morning but given we will be in operations mode, this may be the only message on this storm event. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the snow and ice maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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