Page 81 – WX1BOX – Amateur Radio Station at NWS Boston/Norton

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 10/11/18-Friday 10/12/18 Flash Flood/Strong Wind Potential

October 11, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Hurricane Michael will become post tropical passing well south and east of Southern New England but his interaction with a cold front and the unusually humid air mass for this time of year will set the stage for heavy rainfall with the potential of flash flooding in localized locations in Southern New England as well as strong wind gusts possibly to 40 to 50 MPH over Southeast Coastal New England..
..A Flash Flood Watch is posed from Thursday Morning to Thursday Night for Northern Connecticut, Western, Central and Northeastern Massachusetts for 1 to 2″ of rainfall in a short period of time and localized higher amounts possible. A Flash Flood Watch is posted from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Morning for Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-3″ of rain with isolated higher amounts of 3-5″ of rain. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ amounts with localized higher amounts of 4-6″. This rainfall could produce urban and poor drainage flooding and some small river and stream flooding..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely Thursday into Friday with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. Another coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Special Announcement: Hurricane Michael Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans

October 10, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Special Announcement for Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans for Hurricane Michael and impacts to the Florida Panhandle, Southern Alabama and Southern Georgia..
..Amateur Radio Operators in Massachusetts will be providing support to the VoIP Hurricane Net Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning as necessary..
..SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators in Southern New England who may have contact with family, friends, other Amateur Radio Operators or SKYWARN spotters in the affected area of Hurricane Michael are encouraged to forward any reports, pictures and videos via the Amateur Radio hurricane nets, via the WX1BOX or voipwxnet Facebook and Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org. Also, any relayed public safety reports, pictures, videos from online feeds, social media or from public safety people in the affected area is also encouraged. Credit will be given to the individual with the reports and pictures and the person within our spotter network that relayed this information..
..Links below provide information on various net activations for Hurricane Michael..

Hurricane Watch Net Activation Plans:
http://www.hwn.org/policies/activationplans.html

VoIP Hurricane Net Activation Plans:
http://voipwx.net/2018/10/09/voip-hurricane-net-activation-for-hurricane-michael-wednesday-10-10-18-5-am-edt-through-early-thursday-morning/

ARRL Web Page on Hurricane Response:
http://www.arrl.org/2018-Hurricanes

Respectfully Submitted,

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Special Announcement: IPAWS National Test of the Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA) and Emergency Alert System (EAS)

October 3, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

The following is a press release for the National EAS and WEA test that will be held today, 10/3/18 beginning at 218 PM EDT. A web link to the press release and the press release itself appears below:

FEMA Press Release Web Link:

https://www.fema.gov/emergency-alert-test

*PRESS RELEASE*

*THE NATIONAL EAS AND WEA TEST WILL BE HELD ON OCTOBER 3, 2018,
BEGINNING AT 2:18 P.M. EDT*

WASHINGTON – The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), in
coordination with the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), will conduct
a nationwide test of the Wireless Emergency Alerts
<http://www.fema.gov/frequently-asked-questions-wireless-emergency-alerts/>(WEA)
and Emergency Alert System (EAS)
<https://www.fema.gov/emergency-alert-system> on October 3, 2018. The test
was originally planned for September 20, 2018 but was postponed until
October 3, 2018 due to ongoing response efforts to Hurricane Florence.

The WEA portion of the test commences at 2:18 p.m. EDT, and the EAS portion
follows at 2:20 p.m. EDT. The test will assess the operational readiness of
the infrastructure for distribution of a national message and determine
whether improvements are needed.

The WEA test message will be sent to cell phones that are connected to
wireless providers participating in WEA. This is the fourth EAS nationwide
test and the first national WEA test. Previous EAS national tests were
conducted in November 2011, September 2016, and September 2017 in
collaboration with the FCC, broadcasters, and emergency management
officials in recognition of FEMA’s National Preparedness Month.

Cell towers will broadcast the WEA test for approximately 30 minutes
beginning at 2:18 p.m. EDT. *During this time, WEA compatible cell phones
that are switched on, within range of an active cell tower, and whose
wireless provider participates in WEA should be capable of receiving the
test message.* Some cell phones will not receive the test message, and cell
phones should only receive the message once. The WEA test message will have
a header that reads “Presidential Alert” and text that says:

“THIS IS A TEST of the National Wireless Emergency Alert System. No action
is needed.”

The WEA system is used to warn the public about dangerous weather, missing
children, and other critical situations through alerts on cell phones. The
national test will use the same special tone and vibration as with all WEA
messages (i.e. Tornado Warning, AMBER Alert). Users cannot opt out of
receiving the WEA test.

The EAS is a national public warning system that provides the President
with the communications capability to address the nation during a national
emergency. The test is made available to EAS participants (i.e., radio and
television broadcasters, cable systems, satellite radio and television
providers, and wireline video providers) and is scheduled to last
approximately one minute. The test message will be similar to regular
monthly EAS test messages with which the public is familiar. The EAS
message will include a reference to the WEA test:

“THIS IS A TEST of the National Emergency Alert System. This system was
developed by broadcast and cable operators in voluntary cooperation with
the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the Federal Communications
Commission, and local authorities to keep you informed in the event of an
emergency. If this had been an actual emergency an official message would
have followed the tone alert you heard at the start of this message. A
similar wireless emergency alert test message has been sent to all cell
phones nationwide. Some cell phones will receive the message; others will
not. No action is required.”

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – 10/2/18 – Severe Weather/Flood Potential

October 2, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible late this afternoon and evening across Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut with strong to damaging winds, and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding as the main threat and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed this area in a marginal risk for severe weather. The urban and poor drainage flood risk could occur in a few localized areas across Southern New England depending on where any thunderstorms with heavy rainfall develop and whether they train over the same area and this will be monitored as the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has placed much of New England in a marginal risk for heavy rainfall/flash flood potential..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the situation. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton would be possible if the threat for severe weather and heavy rainfall increases. This will be the only message on this potential unless time allows for a shortened coordination message and Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are initiated or a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-1 Convective Outlook and Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Excessive Rainfall Outlook..

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=1

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Friday 9/28/18 Heavy Rainfall/Flood Potential

September 28, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Periods of Heavy Rainfall will affect the area Friday Morning through Friday mid-afternoon and given the recent wet conditions, there is an increased threat for flooding to flash flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and some small rivers and streams. Heaviest Rainfall expected over Eastern Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts..

..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Northern Connecticut, Hampden County Massachusetts, Central and Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island except for the islands through this Friday afternoon. A widespread 0.5-1.5″ of rainfall is expected but bands of 1.5-3.0″ of rain are likely particularly in Eastern Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and this could lead to flooding/flash flooding of urban and poor drainage areas as well as some small rivers and streams..

..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall/flood potential for today. This will be the only coordination message on today’s storm event. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:

https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – 9/26/18 – Severe Weather Potential

September 26, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..After the flash flooding in portions of Southern New England, particularly in Southern and Eastern Connecticut, warm and humid conditions exist over Southern New England with the warm front having pushed through, this will set the stage for the potential for severe weather late this Wednesday afternoon and evening in Southern New England..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued to place much of Southern New England in a slight risk for severe weather except for Southeast Coastal New England which is in a marginal risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding to possibly river and stream and flash flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats. An Isolated tornado is a secondary threat in Western New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will commence by 400 PM Wednesday Afternoon to monitor the severe weather potential..

Flash flooding and significant rainfall amounts occurred in portions of Southern New England with amounts over 4.5″ in scattered locations. Information on the heavy rainfall and flooding/flash flooding can be seen at the following links:

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement – Rainfall Reports:
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1809261305.nous41.html
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1809260846.nous41.html

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement – Local Storm Report:
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1809260048.nwus51.html
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1809260134.nwus51.html
https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1809260208.nwus51.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Team Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/reports_9_25_18-1.txt

The region has now moved into the warm sector with warm and humid conditions over the region. A strong cold front will move through Southern New England this evening. While the timing is a bit later than peak heating, there are very strong winds aloft and strong lifting and triggering with the cold front. This will set the stage for the potential of a line of strong to severe thunderstorms to swing through Southern New England with interior Southern New England as the main threat area particularly from Worcester County Massachusetts and west and across Northern Connecticut. Areas to the east will have the potential for severe weather as well but it will be less than out west due to slightly weaker wind fields and the timing of the cold front with lower instability levels.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will commence by 400 PM to monitor the severe weather potential. This will be the last coordination message as we move into operation mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Heavy Rainfall Potential – Tuesday 9/25/18 & Wednesday 9/26/18 Severe Weather Potential

September 25, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Soaking heavy rainfall for Tuesday through Tuesday Night with the potential for some localized urban and poor drainage flooding issues if some areas receive 3″ or more of rainfall..

..As a warm front passes through the area that causes the soaking rainfall Tuesday, the potential exists for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms in South Coastal New England overnight Tuesday into daybreak Wednesday with the potential for another round of severe weather particularly in interior Southern New England late Wednesday Afternoon and Wednesday Night. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a slight risk for severe weather except for Southeast Coastal New England which is in a marginal risk for severe weather..

..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rainfall and flooding reports on Tuesday through Tuesday Night and the severe weather potential in South Coastal New England overnight Tuesday into Wednesday Morning. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are possible Wednesday Afternoon and Evening if the severe weather potential materializes during this timeframe..

A soaking rainfall with a storm system and warm front is on track to occur across Southern New England with a widespread 1-3″ of rainfall. Some models are indicating that some interior locations of Southern New England could see amounts greater than 3″. There could be two areas for this higher rainfall, one across Western Massachusetts in the higher terrain and the second area across portions of Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Central and Northeast Massachusetts. This will bear watching as this could lead to some localized urban and poor drainage flooding issues if those totals are realized. As the warm front and soaking rainfall moves through the region and Southern New England gets into the warm sector, this will set the stage for potentially 2 rounds of severe weather. The first round of severe weather would be around South Coastal New England during the overnight hours Tuesday Night through daybreak Wednesday and then a second round with a cold front that will swing through Southern New England late Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. The wind fields ahead of the cold front will be quite strong and the key factors will be the timing of the cold front and the amount of instability that can develop ahead of the cold front with the favorably strong wind fields.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rainfall and flooding reports on Tuesday through Tuesday Night and the severe weather potential in South Coastal New England overnight Tuesday into Wednesday Morning. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are possible Wednesday Afternoon and Evening if the severe weather potential materializes during this timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2018/day2otlk_20180925_0600.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 9/25/18 Heavy Rainfall Potential/Wednesday 9/26/18 Severe Weather Potential

September 24, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Soaking heavy rainfall for Tuesday through Tuesday Night with the potential for some localized urban and poor drainage flooding issues if some areas receive 3″ or more of rainfall..

..As a warm front passes through the area that causes the soaking rainfall Tuesday, the potential exists for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms in South Coastal New England Wednesday Morning with the potential for another round of severe weather particularly in interior Southern New England late Wednesday Afternoon and Wednesday Night. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a slight risk for severe weather except for Southeast Coastal New England which is in a marginal risk for severe weather..

A soaking rainfall with a storm system and warm front will occur across Southern New England with a widespread 1-3″ of rainfall. Some models are indicating that some interior locations of Southern New England could see amounts greater than 3″. This will bear watching as this could lead to some localized urban and poor drainage flooding issues if those totals are realized. As the warm front and soaking rainfall moves through the region and Southern New England gets into the warm sector, this will set the stage for potentially 2 rounds of severe weather. The first round of severe weather would be around South Coastal New England during the overnight hours Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning and then a second round with a cold front that will swing through Southern New England. Future model runs will better define the level of instability and destabilization for strong to severe thunderstorm development on Wednesday but it is notable that SPC has much of Southern New England in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather 3 days ahead of time which is a relatively rare occurrence.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rainfall and flooding reports on Tuesday through Tuesday Night and the severe weather potential in South Coastal New England overnight Tuesday into Wednesday Morning. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are possible Wednesday Afternoon and Evening if the severe weather potential materializes during this timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2018/day3otlk_20180924_0730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Remnants of Florence Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 9/18/18 Flash Flood/Severe Weather Potential

September 18, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Remnants of Florence will bring the potential of heavy rain and urban, poor drainage and small stream flooding to flash flooding across much of Southern New England and the threat of an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm with the potential of strong to damaging winds or an isolated tornado..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from 5 AM Tuesday through Late Tuesday Night for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Western, Central and Eastern Massachusetts except for the South Coast. The potential exists for a widespread 1-3″ of rain with isolated higher amounts and a band of 4-6″ of rain could potentially setup somewhere in the coverage area within the Flash Flood Watch area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely on Tuesday. Specific timeframe of activation will be determined in the morning..

The remnants of Florence are finally moving away from the Carolinas and will make a pass through Southern New England late tonight through Tuesday Evening. The headlines of the message depict the potential. Not much change to the current forecast but will be monitoring a bit more closely any thunderstorms and severe weather potential given what occurred in Virginia Monday Afternoon into early evening. Again, we do not expect the impacts of Florence to be anywhere near what has been seen in North and South Carolina. That said, with recent heavy rainfall and this new potential for heavy rainfall, there will be some potential impacts to the region and we have to remain aware of the low to very low risk of an isolated severe thunderstorm with the potential for strong to damaging winds or an isolated small tornado. Key items on this flood and severe weather potential:

1.) The position of the heaviest rainfall is still not totally known and will be refined in future forecasts.
2.) The threat of an isolated severe thunderstorm with a damaging wind or small tornado risk will be contingent on the amount of instability that can develop.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely on Tuesday. Specific timeframe of activation will be determined in future messages. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday Morning and ongoing weather early Tuesday Morning will determine whether or not it will be a full message or a shortened coordination message. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Remnants of Florence Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 9/18/18 Flash Flood/Severe Weather Potential

September 17, 2018 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

…Remnants of Florence will bring the potential of heavy rain and urban, poor drainage and small stream flooding to flash flooding across much of Southern New England and the threat of an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm with the potential of strong to damaging winds or an isolated tornado..
..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from Late Tonight through Late Tuesday Night for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Western, Central and Eastern Massachusetts except for the South Coast. The potential exists for a widespread 1-3″ of rain with isolated higher amounts and a band of 4-6″ of rain could potentially setup somewhere in the coverage area within the Flash Flood Watch area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely on Tuesday. Specific timeframe of activation will be determined in future messages..

The remnants of Florence are finally moving away from the Carolinas and will make a pass through Southern New England late tonight through Tuesday Evening. The headlines of the message depict the potential. We do not expect the impacts of Florence to be anywhere near what has been seen in North and South Carolina. That said, with recent heavy rainfall and this new potential for heavy rainfall, there will be some potential impacts to the region and we have to also be aware of the very low risk of an isolated severe thunderstorm with the potential for strong to damaging winds or an isolated small tornado. Key items on this flood and severe weather potential:

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely on Tuesday. Specific timeframe of activation will be determined in future messages. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

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