Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday Morning 2/8/16 through Tuesday Morning 2/9/16 Winter Storm Potential
Hello to all..
..Another Winter Storm to impact Southern New England Monday Morning into Tuesday Morning bringing another round of moderate to heavy snow, strong winds and the potential for coastal flooding in Southeast New England..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Monday Morning to Tuesday Morning for Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts and Providence, Eastern Kent, Bristol and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for 4-7″ of snow and sustained winds of 15-20 MPH with wind gusts up to 30 MPH..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Monday Morning to Tuesday Morning for Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for 6-10″ of snow and sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts up to 45-50 MPH. Given prior wet snow and strong winds with additional snow, isolated pockets of tree and wire damage are possible in this area..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect for the late Monday Morning/Midday High Tide Cycle for Eastern Plymouth County, Cape Cod and Nantucket for minor to moderate coastal flooding meaning the potential for flooded shore roads and road closures at the time of that high tide cycle..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm conditions Monday Morning into Tuesday Morning. Will request a number of call-up nets on various SKYWARN Repeaters in the Winter Storm Watch/Coastal Flood Watch areas..
Another winter storm will affect portions of Southern New England. The headlines of the message reflect the current thinking on this upcoming winter storm. Some of the key items of uncertainty at this time include:
1.) How far west for the heavier snowfall
As we have seen in prior winter storms in this 2015-2016 winter, we have seen storm tracks on model runs indicate just southeast New England areas affected only to have the western cutoff of the heavier snow retrograde back further west into other parts of Southern New England. This will be a key item to be monitored in future model runs and we have seen a trend west here with this storm as reflected in the initial Winter Storm Watches being in Southeast New England and now expanded into much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island.
2.) Ocean Effect Snow band setup
Ocean effect snow bands and their setup could result in localized areas of heavier snow where these bands setup which is difficult to pinpoint. The greatest risk areas are over East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands.
3.) Strong Winds and Impact on Trees and Wires Given Prior Wet Snowfall
The snow for Monday shouldn’t be quite as heavy and wet as Friday but the snow that falls and any strong winds that occur particularly at the coast coupled with any weakened trees and wires from the Friday storm event could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. This potential bears watching.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm conditions Monday Morning into Tuesday Morning. Will request a number of call-up nets on various SKYWARN Repeaters in the Winter Storm Watch/Coastal Flood Watch areas. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch, Coastal Storm Watch, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Map and
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503(508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all..
..Another Winter Storm to impact Southern New England Monday Morning into Tuesday Morning bringing another round of moderate to heavy snow, strong winds and the potential for coastal flooding in Southeast New England..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Monday Morning to Tuesday Morning for Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts and Providence, Eastern Kent, Bristol and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for 4-7″ of snow and sustained winds of 15-20 MPH with wind gusts up to 30 MPH..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Monday Morning to Tuesday Morning for Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for 6-10″ of snow and sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts up to 45-50 MPH. Given prior wet snow and strong winds with additional snow, isolated pockets of tree and wire damage are possible in this area..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect for the late Monday Morning/Midday High Tide Cycle for Eastern Plymouth County, Cape Cod and Nantucket for minor to moderate coastal flooding meaning the potential for flooded shore roads and road closures at the time of that high tide cycle..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm conditions Monday Morning into Tuesday Morning. Will request a number of call-up nets on various SKYWARN Repeaters in the Winter Storm Watch/Coastal Flood Watch areas..
Another winter storm will affect portions of Southern New England. The headlines of the message reflect the current thinking on this upcoming winter storm. Some of the key items of uncertainty at this time include:
1.) How far west for the heavier snowfall
As we have seen in prior winter storms in this 2015-2016 winter, we have seen storm tracks on model runs indicate just southeast New England areas affected only to have the western cutoff of the heavier snow retrograde back further west into other parts of Southern New England. This will be a key item to be monitored in future model runs and we have seen a trend west here with this storm as reflected in the initial Winter Storm Watches being in Southeast New England and now expanded into much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island.
2.) Ocean Effect Snow band setup
Ocean effect snow bands and their setup could result in localized areas of heavier snow where these bands setup which is difficult to pinpoint. The greatest risk areas are over East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands.
3.) Strong Winds and Impact on Trees and Wires Given Prior Wet Snowfall
The snow for Monday shouldn’t be quite as heavy and wet as Friday but the snow that falls and any strong winds that occur particularly at the coast coupled with any weakened trees and wires from the Friday storm event could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. This potential bears watching.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm conditions Monday Morning into Tuesday Morning. Will request a number of call-up nets on various SKYWARN Repeaters in the Winter Storm Watch/Coastal Flood Watch areas. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch, Coastal Storm Watch, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Map and
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503(508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box