Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Friday April 22nd 2016 Strong to Severe Thunderstorm Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms remain possible across Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut from Friday Mid-Afternoon through Friday Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail and heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 3 PM Friday Afternoon..

With warm conditions over Southern New England on Friday, a cold front will approach the region as we move into the mid-afternoon and early evening hours Friday. There will be sufficient strong winds aloft as well as cooling aloft. There is also sufficient heating and destabilization and the timing of the cold front is close enough to Southern New England that this should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail and heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. The threat area is largely over Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut but could go as far northeast as extreme Northeast Massachusetts near the New Hampshire state border.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 3 PM Friday Afternoon. This is the last coordination message on this event as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday April 22nd 2016 Strong to Severe Thunderstorm Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible across Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut from Friday Mid-Afternoon through Friday Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail and heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible after 1 PM Friday Afternoon..

With warm conditions over Southern New England on Friday, a cold front will approach the region as we move into the mid-afternoon and early evening hours Friday. There will be sufficient strong winds aloft as well as cooling aloft. Presuming there is sufficient heating and destabilization and the timing of the cold front is close enough to Southern New England, this should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail and heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. The threat area is largely over Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut but could go as far northeast as extreme Northeast Massachusetts near the New Hampshire state border.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible after 1 PM Friday Afternoon. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Fire Weather Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 4/20/16-Thursday 4/21/16 Fire Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..The combination of breezy conditions, low relative humidity and dry and sunny conditions will result in elevated fire weather both today and into Thursday across Southern New England. This coordination message covers the potential fire weather conditions for both days..
..A Red Flag Warning is in effect for all of Southern New England from 10 AM-6 PM for the continued dry conditions and wind gusts in the 15-30 MPH range. These conditions could result in elevated fire spread potential. Similar conditions could exist on Thursday. On Friday, showers and even possibly a few thunderstorms will end any fire spread potential. This will be the only coordination message on fire weather potential through Thursday. Below is the NWS Taunton Red Flag Warning and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Red Flag Warning:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Special Announcement: Boston Marathon Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday April 18th 2016

Hello to all..

While this may be a bit off topic for some SKYWARN Spotters, Amateur Radio Operators and Red Cross volunteers, many of which are SKYWARN Spotters, will be involved in the Boston Marathon on Monday April 18th. To reach out to the highest level of Amateur Radio Operators involved in the event, this coordination message is being sent out to the SKYWARN email list and posted to the various Amateur Radio lists. We appreciate everyone’s patience with this message. This is a joint message between the Amateur Radio Emergency Services (ARES)-SKYWARN program at NWS Taunton and Eastern Massachusetts ARES. This is likely to be the only coordination message on the Marathon unless a significant change in the weather forecast occurs. See information below:

Eastern Massachusetts ARES members not participating in the Boston Marathon are requested to be on standby for marathon activities on Monday April 18th from 6 AM-7 PM for any significant issues outside of the Boston Marathon that may require Amateur Radio Emergency Communications support and for any unexpected issues on the Boston Marathon route. With over 280 Amateur Radio Operators staffing the Boston Marathon route, the start line and the finish line, if an issue arises needing Amateur Radio support outside of the Marathon route or an unexpected issue arises in marathon operations, it is important that any ARES members not involved in the marathon can help with any response that is required. The Amateur Radio Station at the National Weather Service in Taunton, WX1BOX, will be active on Monday April 18th for the Boston Marathon to provide weather support to the Amateur Radio community participating in the marathon and to gather any weather reports of significance during the marathon. This station will also be used to coordinate any ARES response to any significant incidents regarding Amateur Radio support outside of the marathon zone including any incidents that need to be provided to the State EOC for situational awareness information.

The Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency (MEMA) Multi-Agency Coordination Center (MACC) at the SEOC (State Emergency Operations Center) will be active for the Boston Marathon. Amateur Radio Operators will be at the SEOC to support Amateur Radio communications and will be on the air under call sign, WC1MA, while many agencies will be there performing primary operations for the marathon.

The weather outlook for the Boston Marathon is one that should be favorable for volunteers but potentially too warm for the runners which could result in increased ambulance requests along the course for this year’s marathon and a higher than average year of medical related issues. The Weather Forecast across the Boston Marathon is for mostly sunny conditions throughout the day. Temperatures are expected to be around 50 degrees in the pre-dawn and daybreak hours rising to the low to possibly even mid-70s by afternoon. There is a backdoor cold front that will begin to move towards Southern New England which would increase winds to 25-35 MPH for a period of time right after the front passes, and drop temperatures 25-30 degrees. There has been some wavering regarding the timing of this front.  At this time, models have been showing this frontal passage is expected to be after 5 PM but there is a chance that it could be somewhat earlier in the afternoon to allow some cooling of the warm conditions expected for this year’s marathon. Nonetheless, odds currently favor a warm marathon with cooling conditions towards the latter part of the marathon or after most runners have finished. This will be monitored closely.

From a SKYWARN perspective, the 146.64-Waltham Repeater and 145.23-Boston Repeater are being utilized for Marathon operations. From an ARES perspective, the Minutemen Repeater Association Repeater Network is being utilized for marathon operations. Please review the SKYWARN Frequency listing for your closest alternate repeater from a SKYWARN or ARES perspective.
http://beta.wx1box.org/node/37

For Amateur Radio, Red Cross and all other volunteers along the route, it is recommended that you dress in layers for this event so that you can put on or take off clothes as needed for comfort. Be sure to drink liquids and eat properly during the event and that you are self-sufficient so that you can be of full help to the function and not distract everyone from the main purpose of supporting the runners by having a health issue on your end that can be avoided. No rain is expected at this time so there should be no need for rain gear.

For those people that are planning to go to the Boston Marathon as spectators, the following link details guidelines for spectators for the 2016 Boston Marathon:
http://www.mass.gov/eopss/docs/mema/2016-marathon-spectator-policies.pdf

Barring a significant change in the weather forecast, this will be the only coordination message on the Boston Marathon. We appreciate everyone’s support in this event and hope those that volunteer enjoy themselves and feel the self-satisfaction of supporting this historic event and those that are monitoring the Marathon or events outside of the Marathon realize that the monitoring is an important function as well and is a testament to being able to scale other incidents beyond the marathon if required. Thanks to all for their support!

Respectfully Submitted,

Marek Kozubal
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Email Address: kb1ncg@gmail.com

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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http://beta.wx1box.org
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Wind and Fire Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday April 16th 2016 – Wind and Fire Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Strong Winds today over Nantucket may reach minimal Wind Advisory criteria while wind gusts to 35-40 MPH coupled with dry weather conditions may result in increased fire weather conditions over the region today..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Nantucket Island through 7 PM for sustained winds of 25-30 MPH with gusts to 40-50 MPH. Areas outside of the wind advisory especially at the coast could see wind gusts to 40 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH inland. This may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Red Flag Warning is now in effect from 10 AM-6 PM Saturday for Central and Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island for dry conditions and gusty winds resulting in elevated fire spread potential..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the windy conditions for today. This will be the only coordination message regarding the winds and fire weather for today. Below is the NWS Taunton Red Flag Warning Statement, Special Weather Statement on Fire Weather, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and the Storm Prediction Center, (SPC) Day-1 Fire Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Red Flag Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1604160801.wwus81.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement – Fire Weather:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1604160816.wwus81.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Fire Weather Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Coastal Flood Potential Late Saturday Night 4/9/16-Early Sunday Morning 4/10/16

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm will organize too far south of Southern New England to cause any significant precipitation but is likely to bring a round of widespread minor to isolated pockets of moderate coastal flooding across East Coastal Massachusetts..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from Midnight to 5 AM tonight for East Coastal Massachusetts and Nantucket Island for expected widespread minor to isolated pockets of moderate coastal flooding. This means potential for shore road closures with immediate shore roads flooded and impassable near the time of high tide between 2-3 AM tonight. Wind gusts between 30-40 MPH are expected overnight..
..There could be some light snow across South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands but not much more than a coating to half-inch of snow on grassy surfaces are expected at this time and some areas could see little to no precipitation..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the potential for coastal flooding across East Coastal Massachusetts for the overnight Saturday Night into early Sunday Morning high tide. This will be the only coordination message on this storm situation. Below is the NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 4/7/16 Heavy Rain/Strong Wind/Coastal Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..Heavy Rainfall and Strong Winds slated for Thursday across portions of Southern New England along with the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide Thursday Morning and minor to perhaps even moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide Thursday Evening..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect for Thursday Morning high tide cycle timeframe (7-11 AM) for the potential of minor coastal flooding and a Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for the Thursday Evening high tide cycle for minor to possibly moderate coastal flooding for Southern Bristol, Southern Plymouth, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 2-9 PM ET for sustained winds of 20-25 MPH with wind gusts in the 45-50 MPH range. Other parts of South and East Coastal New England areas and higher terrain areas of interior New England could see wind gusts of 40-45 MPH. Isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages are possible..
..Heavy rainfall of 1-2″ may cause minor pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding over parts of the region..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm from Thursday Morning through Thursday Evening. This will likely be the last coordination message on the Thursday storm event unless time allows for another update. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory/Coastal Flood Watch statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory/Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 4/7/16 Heavy Rainfall/Strong Wind/Coastal Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..Heavy Rainfall and Strong Winds slated for Thursday across portions of Southern New England along with the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide Thursday Morning and minor to perhaps even moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide Thursday Evening..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for Thursday Morning high tide cycle timeframe (7-11 AM) for the potential of minor coastal flooding and a Coastal Flood Watch is in effect for the Thursday Evening high tide cycle for minor to possibly moderate coastal flooding for Southern Bristol, Southern Plymouth, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island..
..South and East Coastal New England areas and higher terrain areas of interior New England could see wind gusts of 40-45 MPH with possibly higher wind gusts and if those wind gusts of higher than 45 MPH become more likely. A Wind Advisory could be issued for parts of the area..
..Heavy rainfall of 1-2″ may cause minor pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding over parts of the region..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm from Thursday Morning through Thursday Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory/Coastal Flood Watch statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory/Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday April 4th 2016 Moderate Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Another moderate winter storm expected across much of interior Southern New England and northeast coastal Massachusetts on Monday. Duration of the storm will be longer but snowfall rates won’t be as intense as Sunday and be prolonged over the course of the day. Winds will also not be as strong..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 8 PM Monday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and all of Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties north and west through Massachusetts. Total snowfall of 3-6″ is expected with the higher amounts within this range over northern parts of the advisory area and higher terrain locations. Across South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands, a coating to 2″ of snow is possible with the highest amounts north and west of the Cape Cod Canal where rain will likely mix in at times. A round of heavier snow will move through this morning and then precipitation will be lighter around midday through mid-afternoon followed by another round of steadier snow later in the afternoon into early evening where a flash freeze could occur Monday Evening and might affect the evening commute and this could affect the South Coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island and will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this winter storm for today/Monday. This will be the last coordination message on this storm unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday April 4th 2016 Moderate Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Another moderate winter storm expected across much of interior Southern New England and northeast coastal Massachusetts on Monday. Duration of the storm will be longer but snowfall rates won’t be as intense as Sunday and be prolonged over the course of the day. Winds will also not be as strong..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 3 AM to 8 PM Monday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and all of Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties north and west through Massachusetts. Total snowfall of 3-6″ is expected with the higher amounts within this range over northern parts of the advisory area and higher terrain locations. Across South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands, a coating to 2″ of snow is possible with the highest amounts north and west of the Cape Cod Canal A flash freeze could occur Monday Evening and might affect the evening commute and this could affect the South Coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island and will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this winter storm on Monday. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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