Storm Coordination Message #2 – Remnants of Nicole Impacts Late Tonight into late Saturday Morning
Hello to all…
..The remnants of Nicole will combine with a frontal system to bring the potential for heavy rainfall of 1-2 inches with isolated higher amounts, urban and poor drainage flooding in Western New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England with rainfall of around 1″ of rain with isolated higher amounts in this area..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect from 10 PM Friday Evening through 11 AM Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island including Block Island for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts to around 55 MPH possible. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Wind gusts outside the advisory will be in the 35-45 MPH range with the highest gusts at locations closest to the advisory area.
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall and strong wind potential with the remnants of Nicole for late tonight into late Saturday Morning..
The remnants of Nicole will impact Southern New England late tonight into late Saturday Morning. Following the remnants of Nicole will be a warm Saturday Afternoon with temperatures around 70 degrees before colder air more like November moves in Sunday and a good portion of next week. The headlines depict the current thinking on the remnants of Nicole. Key factors include:
1.) Flooding should be minimal but any localized areas that get higher rainfall rates in convective heavy showers or any thunderstorms could see typical urban and poor drainage flooding especially in the vicinity of an clogged storm drains due to leaf drop across the region.
2.) The strong to damaging wind potential is greatest in Southeast New England with Wind Advisories in effect. These winds will increase and be strongest in two timeframes, one late tonight and then again towards daybreak between 5-10 AM along and ahead of a possible fine line of convective showers and thunderstorms. This activity along with temperatures will determine the strength and how widespread the strong to damaging winds will get in the region and the extent of power outages. While some trees still have leaves on them, many trees have lost their leaves which should help mitigate the wind impacts to a degree.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall and strong wind potential with the remnants of Nicole for late tonight into late Saturday Morning. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the Area Forecast Discussion, Wind Advisory Statement and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org